Successful sports betting requires proper bankroll management (10% daily wagering), understanding variance as inevitable, and utilizing sharp data models that aggregate millions of dollars worth of sportsbook information to identify value bets with positive expected value (EV), rather than relying on simple statistics or intuition.
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5/29 BEST PRIZEPICKS TODAY | FREE SLIP | HOME RUN LOCKSAñadido:
What's going on YouTube? It's your boy Chem HTL and welcome back to another video with your boy. Drop a like down below cuz I already know you're going to love it. Subscribe to the channel if you haven't already. Comment anything in the comment section to enter your name into the $50 giveaway I do every single week on this channel. Happy Friday, ladies and gentlemen, and a big [ __ ] you to Brandon Lowe. In such a beautiful position and couldn't go over his hits runs RBIs. Sucks when you miss them when you just been on a [ __ ] tear and you just miss some [ __ ] that felt so [ __ ] obvious and easy for you. But again, this is sports betting. So losses are still going to happen regardless of how deadly the Smart Slip Generator is at Props Made Easy. You're still going to lose at times. That's why I always reiterate to you guys, bankroll management, never go all in. Um a good rule of thumb is like 10% of what you have in your account playing per day.
You know what I mean? That way you live to fight another day.
You know what I mean? So like cuz anything can happen. Like you're following the best strategy, so long-term you will be successful, but anything can happen along that road where it won't be as smooth as you had hoped it would be, right? Like there's people who are playing the sharpest strategy in the world who will go a week losing. Now, I don't expect that to happen for any Props Made Easy members.
Why? Cuz the Smart Slip Generator is just a very high probability slip that it's generating for you. But nonetheless, we are in the sports betting world and to be successful in the sports betting world, you need to mentally be able to handle down stretches because that's just inevitable. That's going to happen. You know what I mean? You can go from winning 20 days in a row without a loss and then lose the next 10 days straight.
That's just reality. [ __ ] like that can happen. You know what I mean? So you got to stay locked in on the best strategies. At propsmadeeasy.com, we give professional strategy for cheap ass price. $30 a month um is all that costs for Props Made Easy. Gives you professional level data to where you can actually have success in MLB. If you're not utilizing sharp odds, like pretty much we steal the information that these millions of dollars that they put into their models.
These These sports books put millions in every resource they have into their odds, into their data, to make it the most accurate. We just swoop in, take all their information, put it together into one sharp average, and then utilize it against any book that may be slow and lagging behind. That's what we do.
That's the simple basics of it. Um plain and simple. That's how we find the best options because we're taking So, that sharp average you see, it's the sharp average from million-dollar models.
You feel what I'm saying? It's not just a a human being. We don't come on here every day at midnight and manually enter our own sharp averages that we feel are good for players. No, none of the data is just manually made up here at Props Made Easy. It's all created off sharp model data. And those sharp models have millions of dollars into them. Of course, I want to take their data and use it against the others. Plain and simple. That And that's just what we do.
And that's really the only way to be successful in this game. Otherwise, they will [ __ ] you up long-term. I mean, it could be why because they have millions of dollars in their models, whereas you're just following some [ __ ] Statcast data tool that you got off [ __ ] some ex-guy who hit a home run parlay and then started [ __ ] promoting some random some random cheap-ass tool that won't change anything. You feel what I'm saying? So, like look, in this game, there's a lot of people who will tell you a whole bunch of [ __ ] In my videos and what I pride myself on is just keeping it 100% real with you.
Never bullshitting, keeping it 100% facts, building a tool that is just 100% real with information that'll really help y'all.
I've taken the professional strategy and simplified it for you guys to be able to understand and utilize at Props Made Easy and really take your game to the whole 'nother level, plain and simple.
Now, with all of that being said, let's get straight into the slip of the day.
propsmadeeasy.com. If you haven't tried it yet, there is a three-day free trial.
You can lock in, utilize it for those three days. You will see pretty much right away that it is next level.
And then you will lock in. It's only $30 a month.
Sorry y'all, my allergies are [ __ ] up.
I don't If you're in Dallas and your allergies are [ __ ] up, I'm with you, brother. Okay? I'm getting absolutely pummeled by this [ __ ] Anyway, smart slip. Let's see, the smart slip of the day and again, clicking on smart slip, whether you're on desktop or on mobile, it'll pull up the highest possible hit rate slip you could possibly play on PrizePicks PrizePicks at that moment based off of again, millions of dollar models. Okay? This again, none of this is made up. None of the data you see is just thrown together. It is from the sharpest books in the world who put millions into these models, okay? I say that because I want you to fully understand the scope of it.
Like the data we provide is next level.
Nothing else will put you near it. Slade Sassouni outs over 15.5 on PrizePicks is minus 135 from that sharp average. And on PrizePicks, he is an elite signal or he wouldn't show right here. Elite signal is when those sharp models are at their most confident level on the odds they're providing.
So we love Slade Sassouni over 15.5 outs.
Pair that up with Jaccob Slavin.
Jaccob Slavin shots on goal over 0.5 PrizePicks goblin is going to be the guy that we pair that with. And again, as always, we make life incredibly easy at Props Made Easy. Click on add top picks, send it over to PrizePicks and you can enter it in.
Simple as that. It'll already be entered in. You just put how much you want to put on it and place it.
That's it. Now, let's go to the home run calls.
>> [cough and clears throat] >> I'm coughing up my lungs. Okay.
Let me refresh.
Make sure it's got the most up-to-date data on it, which it runs real time, so it should have been already, but nonetheless, I just refreshed to see.
Let's let that all populate. Let's let all the props scan and come in.
And then what we're going to do is my favorite thing to do utilizing the home run prediction tool. And again, this does come with your membership at Props Me DC.
Um I look, we understand people are going to do home run parlays. It's one of the most exciting things in baseball sports betting, right? Now, a lot of you are going to get your asses kicked because that's what you want to do. And that's why baseball is so hard for a lot of you cuz all you do is home run plays, home run parlays.
Like you should see like if a person hits a little home run parlay that they made, they're one of the year. I'm talking about the one parlay they hit in 365 days. The internet blows up over it.
Like and then that person has so many follows and then everybody's going to them the next day like they're going to hit it again. You realize it's going to be another 365 days before this [ __ ] happens, right?
Why? Because these people aren't even using sharp data. They're just [ __ ] going off of oh, this guy hits righties good and simple [ __ ] like that. We got to go off every important data point.
So, what do we do? We go to best only.
Best only on the home run prediction tool at Props Me DC. Takes everything.
It shows whether the play is EV. What is EV? Expected value long term on that exact bet in that exact position.
Fair probability. What is fair probability percent? It is those sharp book odds prediction of how the odds of that player hitting a home run. So, the 30% you see right here is what sports books think the odds are that Aaron Judge hits a home run today. All right.
So, he is the most likely of all the options to hit a home run today. Then you have a statcast score.
Okay?
The statcast score is an overall score based off of home run predictive data.
So, barrel percent, hard hit percent, all that stuff, right? Now, not only is he have a 30% fair probability, but when you add the statcast score being high as well, PME score is 85. That's EV percent paired with fair probability to create a score.
Okay?
So, you're getting great value at him at plus 254 on DraftKings. He has got a due grade of a B, meaning he normally averages a home run every 11 at bats.
He's gone 13 at bats since his last homer. So, Aaron Judge is also due with a high due grade. He would be the guy I would go for a home run today, but that's no surprise, obviously.
Everybody's going to go him.
Um Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Schwarber, Michael Harris II, and Oneil Cruz. All of these guys check all of those boxes we look for to be the best only options. Okay?
Statcast scores are high, PME scores are high, uh fair probability has good probability on them from the sports books. Like, everything is backing these guys as being fantastic options. All right?
So, lock those guys in. And as always at Props Me Easy with the home run prediction tool, you have the ability to select whatever book you're on. Let's say FanDuel. Select how many legs you have, and it'll create the highest probability uh parlay for you. So, let's say you just want to do a two-leg home run predict uh parlay. I put 32. Holy [ __ ] Two-leg. Aaron Judge, Matt Olson. All right. Unselect the best only. Aaron Judge, Murakami. Murakami's not showing under best only because his PME score dropped under 80.
Why did it drop under 80? Probably because of that EV being so low at 1.7.
All right. I believe for the PME score to be high, it needs to be over a five 5% EV at least.
All right?
Really [clears throat] good fair probability on him though. The books have him at a 28.6 fair probability to hit a home run today.
Statcast score's really high at a 94.
The only thing holding him back is if you're doing playing him on DraftKings, he is only a 74 PME score, which DraftKings has the best odds or it wouldn't even show right here. So, he's a guy that long-term profit-wise wouldn't give you the same as what Matt Olson would give you. Matt Olson is a ginormous EV, as well as having the good Statcast and PME score. So, everything's clicking. So, Aaron Judge, Matt Olson for the two-legger. Um and again, it's that easy, y'all. Appreciate you guys as always for joining me. Let's continue dominating. If you want to join the premium Discord with the sniper bot, the sharp money bot, these bots are absolutely killer. The sniper bot notifies you to your phone via Discord notification the moment a play is nearing bump level on prize picks, meaning that you're able to beat the bumps over 90% of the time. If that interests you or that feels like it's valuable to you, definitely join up with the premium Discord. A sharp money bot is when multiple proven positive ROI betters, winning betters, are on the same bet together. It notifies you letting you know, "Hey, multiple winning betters are on this, maybe you should be, too."
Feel me?
Both of those bots you get access to in the premium Discord, and then I post some of some of my favorite straight bets on there as well and prize pick slips. All right?
>> [cough] >> Sorry about [clears throat] all the coughing in this video, y'all.
Allergies are [ __ ] Happy Friday, y'all. Have an amazing day, man, and I'll see you on the next video. Peace.
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