SEVERE Weather Is Rapidly SHIFTING...

Ajouté : 2026-06-04

[00:00:00]Good morning, good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome back to Weather on the Go. All your weather coverage on this Friday, May 29th, 2026. Hopefully everybody's having a wonderful Friday.

[00:00:10]Wonderful week out there. And it's the 149th day of the year. In this forecast, we're going to be looking at severe weather with damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes possible with some flash flooding rainfall this weekend. And then we're going to look at your wind temperature outlook heading into the long range June and the summer's outlook and what to expect as we head through the summer season with El Nino later on in the long range part of the video. So make sure to like the video, give it a thumbs up, share this video with friends, family, and on social media and also subscribe to the YouTube channel as on a daily basis we give you an accurate breakdown of what to expect across the United States, southern Canada, and the tropics for tropical weather season.

[00:00:50]It's free to subscribe. doesn't cost anything. So, make sure to do so if you haven't already. And for without further ado, let's get into the latest forecast details. And let's look at the upper level pattern. This kind of helps to show what you expect here over the next few days. And this is a big ridge of high pressure in red and orange extending from near Greenland all the way down into southern Canada and the northern tier of the United States. On either side of it, we have low pressure and that is what is called an omega blocking pattern. This high pressure in southern Canada and the upper Midwest is blocking this low from crossing through the plains and into the Great Lakes like we saw earlier on this spring. And you can see it on the graphic here. It's a big blocking high. It's really kind of interrupting the flow if you will. So generally our weather comes from the west and moves east. But we can't really see that move east because of the high pressure that's stuck right in between.

[00:01:44]So instead there's a cutoff low pressure system off the west coast. There's also another dip in the jetream on the eastern side of the high in the eastern US and the north atlantic basin and that is also stuck over there as well. So and the result with that is daily chances for showers and storms and some of which could become severe especially this afternoon and evening in yellow from portions of the Kansas Oklahoma border down into western Oklahoma west Texas.

[00:02:13]This does include parts of the eastern Texas panhandle and into the Leach area for example and Midland and then up there just west and northwest of the OKC metro. Scattered showers and storms could become severe. Damaging winds, large hail, and a couple tornadoes may be possible. A few strong storms in dark green will also be on the lookout for in southeastern Utah and then up in from Idaho into Montana this afternoon and evening as we transition into the upcoming weekend. This is for tomorrow on Saturday, May 30th, 2026. You got that yellow area extending up there near Rapid City and South Dakota into western portions and even central Nebraska. In the yellow, that's where scattered severe storms are possible. And then even in the dark green, an isolated strong storm or two will be possible even as far north as southeastern Montana and getting all the way down through Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas on Saturday. And it's a similar area, albeit maybe a further north as we go into Sunday for the last day of May on May 31st. This extends from the Dakotas down through eastern Nebraska now along I 80 extending into western Iowa into Kansas and into Missouri. This includes the Omaha region and Kansas City, Missouri. So we got to keep an eye on that. Millions of Americans may be at risk as we go into Sunday. I feel Sunday will be upgraded once we get closer. We look at the storm energy. This is your storm fuel. If any storms tap into this environment, it will readily become severe very quickly. With a lot of these storm values today, um these instability values over 2,000 jewels per kilogram.

[00:03:44]As we go into Saturday afternoon, you can see even more robust energy for storms to tap into from Nebraska down here into Kansas. You can see the violet color showing up almost the charcoal whites. Those are 4,000 jewels per kilogram of instability or higher. And then extending into the day on Sunday, we see that again in similar areas again, albeit a little bit further north and eastbound. So, let's walk you through what the radar could look like.

[00:04:08]This is a simulation over the next couple of days. And as we go into the afternoon, notice the storms are more scattered out here. So, not everybody will see a storm. Just keep that in mind. But if you do, there could be damaging wind gusts over 60 m an hour, quarter size hail or larger, and an isolated brief tornado threat and some torrential downpours that could lead to localized flash flooding. And that does extend up into Montana into Wyoming there, even into Idaho. And then as we go into the evening, especially well after dark, I think the atmosphere begins to stabilize. So we lose the coverage and we lose the intensity of those storms. And then as we start daybreak on Saturday, yeah, we could see some rain showers, even some higher elevation snow if you can believe that and blue up there in northern Utah, outside Salt Lake City, and into western Wyoming. cold air aloft with this bowling ball trough across the west. And then as we go into Saturday afternoon, that cold air aloft is going to be interacting with the warm, moist, and unstable air and more scattered severe weather will be possible. Saturday could be a significant day with supercells up there into portions of the central plains. And then a line of storms could bow out across portions of South Dakota and Nebraska. Winds could be over 75 miles per hour at times there. We'll have to keep an eye on that threat as it moves closer toward Rapid City as we go later on Saturday. Starting Sunday off, again, some storms in eastern Dakotas down into areas near and east of Kansas City into northern Missouri. We got some higher elevation snow again out here into western Montana. So, some cold air loft will again be interacting with the warm, moist, and unstable air on Sunday and more storms will be possible. The Omaha area could be a ground zero for some stronger thunderstorms Sunday evening. And these could be packing a punch with some damaging winds by then.

[00:05:55]Here's the rainfall we see through the rest of May. This goes through 7 a.m. on Monday, June 1st, 2026. And the heaviest, most widespread rain will be up into Alberta, southwest Saskatchewan there in Canada, and then down into Montana, where we could see a nice two to three inches worth of rainfall. And then extending down the plains, more spotty activity and then some concentrated activity down there into Tennessee, the peach state of Georgia and northern Florida near Jacksonville, Gainesville and Tallahassee, Savannah, Georgia included. You guys could see some soaking rain. And this is an area that's been very dry here for the last several weeks. And it could be too much of a good thing for some because we could see some flash flooding extending through this afternoon into tonight and then eventually into tomorrow across the Tennessee Valley here and into the southeast including the Atlanta metro, Chattanooga, Nashville, and even Cookville into Tennessee. And that'll extend down into the east coast of Florida. So, we'll be watching out for a flooding risk going through tonight.

[00:06:55]Windy conditions out across the West will be continuing in earnest through the rest of May. And that's because of that low pressure that continues to sit there in the west and spin. And those wind gusts across the Rockies, especially as you go up in elevation, could be over 50 mph. You go east towards the Mississippi River, our winds will be a little bit calmer as you would expect with high pressure, lots more sunshine, stabilized atmosphere, calmer conditions as we go into the middle part of the country, Midwest down into the deep south. But then the winds pick back up again as you travel further east into the northeast, southeastern portions of Canada there in Ontario and Quebec.

[00:07:31]That's where wind gusts could be over 40 miles per hour. Would not be shocked to see wind advisories for the weekend over across this region with that other side of the low further east. Temperatures cool on either side of the nation. East coast, west coast, it's in between. We got that high pressure and the sunshine going to work and warming that ground up very rapidly for the daytime hours and then expeditiously getting cool at night. So, as we look at the weekend ahead, we're seeing some pretty hot temperatures further north and even south at times as well. But to the north, Minnesota, these are record highs today in the arrowhead of Minnesota in the low 90s. And as we go into Saturday, much more of those mid 80s sticking around in Minnesota. 90s, mid and upper 90s will start to show up into Oklahoma, much of Texas, and into Louisiana. As we go into Saturday, May 30th, maybe a record high near 100° in Amarillo as we go into Sunday, May 31st. A little bit more comfortable. It's drier heat to the north. So, it's not humid, but it's definitely warm into the 80s as we go into Sunday. And those overnight lows will be warm, especially the further south you go climatologically near the Gulf Coast will be the warmest. And you can see as we go through the next couple of days, yeah, some record warm lows in the low to mid70s will be showing up from DFW all the way eastward into Shreveport and then down into the peninsula of Florida as well. Let's take a look at halfway across the world in the West Pacific. And you're like, why in the heck are we talking about the West Pacific? Well, a typhoon is going to be developing over the next few to several days, and this is going to recurve back along the coast of Japan and back into the North Pacific. And this is going to be a big pattern as we start to see June start to arise and the calendar flipped to June because look at the marine heat wave that's out here in the West Pacific. Very warm water temperatures and this typhoon is likely to thrive as most hurricanes do in warmer temperatures. We also have to keep in mind we have that positive PMM, the positive Pacific Meridiano mode off into the East Pacific. You can see all these warm waters off the coast California, the Baja, and Western Mexico that is enhancing the subtropical jet, at least in the short term with El Nino.

[00:09:45]So, what we're going to see is a very interesting pattern in the jetream heading not so much into early June, but mid June, I think the second week of June, we're going to see a lot of these low pressures lining up like a train across the Pacific. And this eventually will force a ridge to develop across the West with time by the middle of June, the second or even the third week of June. So, we got a few weeks to get there to that point, but it's definitely a pattern flip that we'll be watching closely. So, as we go into the first week of June, June 1st through June 8th, warmer temperatures from the desert southwest. And then there's that big high over the upper Midwest and southern Canada. Cooler underneath as you would imagine with cloud cover and precipitation. A little bit cooler at times in the Pacific Northwest as well, especially up there into British Columbia. And then as we go into week two, you can see the pattern trying to hand off. We're starting to see a little bit more of the heat building further west. And we're starting to relax some of the heat into the upper Midwest and relax the cooling across the Southeast by week two. This is the 8th through the 15th. And then into the third week of June, I think this pattern is going to really be set in stone where we start to see that northwest flow come back across the upper Midwest and the Ohio Valley.

[00:10:56]And this will be an uptick in moisture, but cooling our temperatures off. So the heat, the main heat will be coured over here into the southern Rockies. And then as we go into the last week of June, that heat could try to come back towards the upper Midwest by that point. How does the precipitation outlook look?

[00:11:13]Well, it looks wet up into central and southern Canada for the time being. High pressure in between kind of squashing our precipitation chances. Well above normal preip though for the time being going into the first week of June. This is the 1st through the 8th across much of Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and along the Gulf Coast into the southeast.

[00:11:33]These are critical areas that we are getting those uh drought improvements to. But as we go into the second week of June, notice we start to open up moisture opportunities further to the north into the Ohio Valley. And then eventually by Father's Day weekend, we start to see above normal precipitate the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes, and Midwest on a more widespread significant scale as we dry out a little bit across the central southern plains with that high kind of backing up across into the western US. And then the last week of June and getting into the Fourth of July holiday, I think we see monsunal flow come back across New Mexico and Colorado and over the top of that ridge. That's what we got to watch for ridge riders.

[00:12:14]And this is a pattern that we are keeping a close eye on for the summer season overall because of datios. A datio is a fastm moving line of storms that can cover hundreds of miles and bring widespread damaging to destructive wind gusts. Hail and also tornadoes, flash flooding rains are all included with potentially a datio this season.

[00:12:35]Not a slam dunk by any means. A datio is rare, but it can happen. We average one datio per year in the Midwest in the cornbt. So areas of Iowa, Illinois, Missouri, Indiana, Kentucky, you want to be on high alert. You're in the most likely risk for datos. If you're in the orange, you're in still in the likely.

[00:12:52]And then in the yellow, extending up towards North Dakota, northern Minnesota, the UP of Michigan, even as far south as northern Arkansas and Tennessee, including the Cumberland Plateau there and towards Gatlinburg, we could be seeing dos possible this summer season. The most likely period for datios this summer will be mid July through mid August. The 15th or so roughly of July through roughly the 15th of August is what we're keeping an eye on. So, as we look at the pattern for June overall, it does look warmest across the West. Okay. And it looks coolest in the east. Simply put, it's a wet pattern. I think we start dry in the north in the upper Midwest the first couple weeks of June, very dry in the Pacific Northwest, and then we stay wet, turning drier as we go deeper into June across the southern plains. So, this is mainly geared towards the early part of June. And then the preip starts to lift further to the north and we start to get in that northwest flow storm track. How about the rest of summer? July and August. Well, it looks like the core of the heat will be across the Pacific Northwest with the high pressure sitting over there. Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, British Columbia, and Alberta.

[00:13:59]Very dry with that heat dome. And then the northwest flow. kind of a messy storm track further east downstream through the plains through the Mississippi Valley and then eventually the preip getting into the east coast later on this summer season. And we look at the Atlantic basin overall for the hurricane season. Very cool waters out here in the main development region from the Lesser Antilles to the coast of Africa. And that's because of El Nino.

[00:14:27]And we do have warm water out here in the West Caribbean, the Gulf, and the West Atlantic. But that's if a storm develops. And right now, we don't really see anything pressing over the next several days that will suggest anything significant. But we do have to watch the Central American Gy out here as it could emanate a low pressure near the Yucatan further north getting into that second third week of June. And that will be something to keep an eye on as we get into the middle part of the month of June. But overall, the hurricane season looks very quiet out here in the main development region as you would expect with cooler water. the Caribbean, the Gulf, anything homegrown would be near Florida, the uh Carolas and off the east coast. And then any storms that develop early east of the Bahamas toward Bermuda will kind of curve back out to sea.

[00:15:13]That's typically what you see in an El Nino pattern. On the other hand, the Pacific side, very, very warm water out here. This is the positive Pacific meridional mode or the positive PMM, and this is enhancing our subtropical jet.

[00:15:27]But those shelf waters are very warm out here. And you can see there is a system or two or three that even develop over the next couple of weeks. We got one heading towards Hawaii and then we got another one that was could potentially develop with flooding rains off the central American gy and southern Mexico as we go into the first week of June, maybe even a third one after that. So very very active. And the National Hurricane Center likewise has a 60% chance of development. So, better than 50-50 odds. And this is likely to increase in probability as we talk again in tomorrow's video because I do feel this is a wave that's going to be heading toward Hawaii. So, if you have any vacation destination out there to Hawaii, I would watch this from at least an indirect standpoint with wave heights. And if you're surfing for sure, but definitely keeping an eye on Hawaii this hurricane season. So, thanks for watching, folks. Make sure to like this video. Give it a thumbs up. Uh share this video with friends, family, and on social media. Subscribe to the YouTube channel. It's free to do. Doesn't cost a penny, a nickel, a quarter, nothing.

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