Tokenization of Everything. Market Intervention, Bears Still In Control

Añadido: 2026-05-19

[00:00:01]Hey guys, how we doing? Crypto Insight UK here bringing you back another YouTube video. So today we're going to discuss a little bit of news. Then we're going to talk about liquidity and then we're going to talk about a few charts at the end. I haven't got tons to update you on, so I thought we would look through the liquidity pools and just see what we're seeing and a few little charts. There's been a bit that happened yesterday. Before I get into that, some people were negative about my potential premium newsletter. Um, not many I think, but I just want to address the people that were negative cuz people are positive.

[00:00:30]Thank you for that. And like a lot of people on X have been very positive about it. Um, it's hard to discuss everything here.

[00:00:37]Uh, because I can get way more um analytical, but also like the idea of the newsletter isn't to be perfect. It's to show you all the alpha. The things that I'm looking at, the things that like I don't want to talk about here because they could go either way. They could be 100 x's or they could be zeros and they're the things that not many people want to hear about on YouTube.

[00:00:58]You're here to to find your XRP information and that won't change. Um, also the same for the newsletter. A lot of people might just want to passively invest. Fine, do then do that. And that's why I was going to put a fee on um something that's a bit more active and a bit more volatile. Um, the one thing I do want to address though is I think some people think um, I don't know. I don't know what some people think. Some people put put comments in there like, "Oh, why would we want to do that?" I don't know, bro.

[00:01:29]Maybe you just don't know as much about crypto than than I do. Like, I'm not not saying that in a big headed way. I just spent seven years doing this full-time and I'm up 5,000% on my whole net worth since I've done it. But like maybe you want to know like a bit more and maybe you don't. And if you don't, then that's why that's why I say it's only going to be an extra. But again, it was still an idea. But yeah, I was just a bit surprised by some of the messages. Um, have you seen me charge for anything? No. So, you know, the money that I've made in crypto is the money that I've made in crypto that allows me to live the life that I live.

[00:02:03]Um, and yes, I do keep that life very close to myself. I've seen some of my friends have like different security issues uh both in person but also online. So yeah, I keep a lot of close to my chest, but if you want to know what I do, it doesn't mean you're necessarily going to make shitloads of money. Um but I can give you more of an insight to that if people wanted to pay for it. That that's essentially what I was saying. Like I have the information there. We talk about it in my closed circles and why shouldn't I release that to to people if that's what they want to do. But also if you don't want to then you don't have to. So, I also didn't get why the ne there there's negativity there around that either. I mean, the overall response um like on X and stuff was was definitely positive and so I appreciate everyone, but I wanted to address the negativity because I actually don't really understand it.

[00:02:47]It's like why do you think that I get to do this every day? Um it's it's not because I don't it's not because I do badly because otherwise how would I be able to live and travel around the world and live in Dubai and etc. I mean, I don't know. I don't know. But I I think that's also not necessarily just a viewer's issue. I think it's the perception that a lot of people online give. Um I'm not one of those people particularly. I'm very frugal. I don't really do anything other than what I like to do. Um and this is more something that I enjoy and obviously can make money from and something that I'm looking to use to set uh my family up and my and my future family um forever.

[00:03:25]And realistically, I've got enough money uh for myself now uh for the rest of my life. It's just about trying to grow this into something more and also helping other people. That's why I've given all my content away for free forever pretty much. So, it was just a thought and it is still a thought and I do think it's not a bad idea because I think there are a lot of people out there that want to trade more actively and just want to know what I'm looking at, where I've got things deployed, what yield I'm earning, what all these sorts of little things that I don't really talk about in here because I know that the majority might not be interested.

[00:03:55]It's more of for select people that might want to have like a just a closer touch point to my portfolio, but also maybe to me as well. So that's that was all the thought process was. So just continuing from there, this is huge news yesterday, guys. There some huge things came out yesterday and this is the the main one. I think the DTCC is basically telling you that tokenization is happening. They said tokeniza tokenized collateral has the potential to unlock significant capital and reshape liquidity management. The question is how the market gets there.

[00:04:29]It's coming guys. And then today uh the bank of England extended settlement infrastructure to near 24/7 operations alongside the FCA to prepare the UK wholesale market for tokenized finance.

[00:04:40]All of a sudden the UK have 180ed on their like strict crypto laws just as it looks like the Clarity Act might get through. What I'm saying has been saying in the newsletter last few weeks. Excuse me. We're at an inflection point for crypto and I think that is just glaring us right in the face. But because we're so wrapped up in like macro and low time frame price action, which I don't think is wrong, but we are missing the bigger picture, which I do think is wrong. I don't think it's wrong to be wrapped up in those things, but I do think it's wrong to miss the bigger picture, which is what I think is what we've been waiting for for so long. Um, oh yeah, and the SEC also prepares to allow blockchain, um, based tokenized stock trading as early as next week, uh, is some of the reports that I saw. So, that's what I wanted to look at first.

[00:05:29]Next, I want to look at this. We're going to look at these charts and then we'll finish with some liquidity. Um, Scott Besson came out yesterday and did what I thought he was going to do. He came out and he discussed uh, a way to potentially bring oil down and I also think it should have backed off the bond markets as well a little bit. However, it hasn't actually done that yet. But he hit two things that I said that was going to be hit after the US and China discussion. One, I thought there would be an energy deal and I think that they would try and manipulate the energy prices down either verbally, which is what this is, or like through some physical action, which I guess what this is as well. So, he said US Treasury is issuing a temporary 30-day general license to provide the most vulnerable nations with the ability to access uh Russian oil that stuck at seas.

[00:06:12]Essentially uh the extension will provide additional flexibility. We'll work with these nations um to provide.

[00:06:18]So essentially um does he say anymore to provide or is that the end? Yeah.

[00:06:25]To provide specific licenses as needed.

[00:06:27]This general license will help stabilize physical crude market and ensure uh oil reaches the most energy vulnerable countries. It will also help root existing supplies to countries most in need by reducing China's ability to stockpile discounted oil. So the thing that I said out of the Russia u the China US uh conference was that there'll probably be an energy deal um and there'll probably be also something that included Russia I thought would be the most likely route forwards at least in the short term whilst the straight of Hammuz issue was occurring. There is some sort of energy deal potentially happening. It does seem to be bypassing China at the minute. So they're obviously still discussing that very heavily. I will presume that's one of the most hotly contested uh topics in their discussions because China have an energy problem and the US have a production problem essentially. Um so that's where the compromise is trying to be. The production for the US also includes like heavy metals but it's it's still to produce um things like batteries or things uh like semiconductors etc. That's where the big mismatch is right now. Um but I did think that there would be something with Russia as well. it started to make sense for me. Um, and this is what we've got so far. But it doesn't seem to have been enough.

[00:07:40]That's the thing that's interesting with me to me right now. If we then look at the the the US 10 years, the US 10 years are at 4.611%.

[00:07:48]They've been coming about 4.5%. Again, this is where Bessant spoke yesterday.

[00:07:53]We've still gone to alltime highs or not alltime highs, but like our the highest um reading that we've had for bonds since May of last year. Um, I've highlighted every time where we've been overbought on the daily RSI for uh 10 years. Um, sometimes they have put in double tops like in this period here.

[00:08:12]Boom. And then boom. Um, and some and then there was another one here. That's when the first um RSI hit the overbought area. Then we did go higher as the RSI came down making bullish divergences.

[00:08:24]So, I'm not saying we can't double top.

[00:08:26]I'm not saying we can't like the RSI can't back down and price can't keep going higher. But I do expect some sort of um intervention at some point soon.

[00:08:34]Um probably around here. If this doesn't work, maybe something uh else will come.

[00:08:38]And also the technicals are showing that there's probably not that much left to the upside of this move. Um and maybe that's where these bears are looking for like a pull bound pull down to the bottom of the range or something to collapse for something to change all these sorts of things. So maybe that's where we get that. The other thing I've been discussing over on X today is that there is this gap. Look, as you can see on the DXY, um, are we going to fill that at some point before potentially rolling over? This is what I've been showing you guys. I said, look, if we if we come down, risk on, crypto pushes higher. If we get up to that resistance and then push through, crypto probably pushes lower. At the minute, I still think it's most likely we probably fill that gap and then come down as we hit into the resistance, gap filled, and roll over again. As I said, potentially the 10 years will do the same. Um, and oil also at this 103 level. Uh, 108 is the line that I've been drawing in the sand. If we just look on the weekly, 108 is like a level that has never really spent much time above. Even when we went above there the other week where it looked like it was an absolute dead S for us to go higher straight of Hm's close looked like potential war continuing for a long time etc etc. The price still managed to back down. Now whether that's obviously manipulated through like release of US strategic oil reserve or whatever that might be, it's this 108 level that seems to be the level or the line in the sand that that the US don't want oil price to go over.

[00:10:00]Maybe that changes, maybe it doesn't.

[00:10:01]It's just an observation that I've got uh so far. So then the main things in terms of what I'm looking at today, not too much has changed since yesterday.

[00:10:10]Yesterday looked like it was going to be quite a bearish day and then towards the end of the day um we actually had quite a a little bit of a pick up from the lows. Still similarly nothing really changed. Um I'm still looking to watch these lows here uh for Bitcoin. This low it's not quite there that low there.

[00:10:28]That's what I'm looking for. Looking to watch these lows here for Bitcoin. Um this is what I discussed in the newsletter 2 3 weeks ago. We're still waiting to see how this plays out.

[00:10:37]Currently, we're still in scenario one, unless we lose this uh low to watch, then that would make it into scenario two where I think we might bounce this this double like double bottom sort of structure. Currently, we're in scenario one where we haven't actually still violated any downside structure right now. So, again, it's just like a waiting game. The 4hour RSI is right down near the lows like the last times when it's got here and like spent some time down here, it started to form a bottom. So, maybe we do that and maybe we continue higher from here. That's still the that's still what I'm thinking is going to happen at some point soon. It doesn't mean it's definitely going to happen, but that's what I put the most likelihood on. I think if you look at some altcoins like Hype, for example, I'm going to take Hype's the weekly.

[00:11:19]It's showing great signs for alts here.

[00:11:21]Like I know that Hype could be like a an outlier or whatever, but essentially Hype is is showing the space what what the world wants. Tokenized online access to finance essentially decentralized.

[00:11:34]and Hype is supposedly the outlier with this, but I think there's a lot of assets out there that want to do this on a larger scale. Hype's just doing this with perpetual futures and it has a good token um tokconomic structure and it's still it's at the last real resistance level here while the 702 and it's got the 786. But what it's showing is that large caps are moving to the upside. is showing yes this is what people want uh in my opinion and yeah that times by like a decent team and decent tokconomics is basically quite a solid execution for the project itself and that's what I'm basically looking at there for hype. Um XMR doing all right as well. We've been flagging XMR a little bit. I think that there's a good chance XMR pushes towards that like 1,000ish dollar range. Um watching for that as well. We're at 392 right now.

[00:12:20]Doge yesterday came into this into this level that we discussed. Had quite a bounce last night and then today we're still like right back into that resistance, previous resistance, now current support. Just watching to see what Doge does here. I wouldn't mind seeing like a little push down uh maybe a little bit further in price and then maybe see the RSI set higher low. Or maybe we're not quite there yet. Maybe we do come into the oversold area for Doge on the 4hour RSI. Like the last time we actually hit madly and I think we just bounced off the oversold yesterday. The last time we came into the oversold area was like literally the lows of Doge um for the last few weeks.

[00:12:59]So, we're just watching to see what develops over the next few days. I really think that there's going to be another intervention from from Trump and and the US um administration. Whe however that comes, I really don't know.

[00:13:10]But I do think, like I said, I I said it was going to be um it was going to be to do with Russia is what I thought and I thought it was going to be to do with um oil and Russia. That's basically it. And that's what we got. Didn't know exactly what they were going to do, but I still now think they're going to they'll probably the next step is if it doesn't back down, release like a threeletter acronym to basically back start the bond market is what I think is going to happen.

[00:13:33]When you get or see that, then it's going to be full send for crypto. Genuinely, that's what I think.

[00:13:38]So looking at XRP on the hourly, we still have this hourly liquidity below us. The same for Bitcoin. It's the same where Bitcoin is like 64K. I think the liquidity is for Bitcoin. It's 126 here for XRP. But then if we go to the 4hourly time frame or the daily, it's significantly different here. This is where we start to get super bullish. Um above us, there's just such dense liquidity compared to what what there is below. And there's there's some liquidity. Look at like $1, but look at this. Look at the denseness of the liquidity above us. It's nothing like what is below. Um that's up to say 190.

[00:14:11]You start to squeeze to 190. As I say, it's like a reflexive move. 190 then it becomes a discussion as to whether you can take that jump to 270. We discussed yesterday the similarities between where we are now and um where we were back in 2024. And if this loads, which it doesn't look like it's going to. Oh, here we go. Yeah, we might be getting a bit lucky here. We had those two liquidity pools similar to what I was just showing you there up to like 85ish cent and a little bit liquidity above that. We squeeze through that liquidity and then because that makes like a reflexive positive cycle. We cascaded higher and then we consolidated again and then some liquidity started to build above us again. Then we started to push up through that and again it's this reflexive um positive cycle. Well, what happens then is more liquidity builds above you. You then squeeze through that liquidity and people get excited or people have been left on the sidelines and then they buy and it squeezes you higher and higher and higher and as I said it's this reflexive cycle and it works both ways. Look, we came down and we dumped through um the liquidity below us and we took that uh this is back in February 25 and then we took again the downside liquidity pushed high and then on October the 10th wicked literally all the down. Come on pizza, you can do it. On October the 10th, we came to here and we wked all the downside liquidity. All of that downside liquidity was taken. That's a massive liquidation event. And then since then, the market's been digesting that move. Some liquidity has been building blows. And look, we've fallen through it. And look, now we're at this stage where there's a huge mismatch in liquidity where it's all sitting above us. Like all the way up at 340 is probably like our main areas of liquidity here. And I don't know if this is just an API issue. I tried to ask trading different yesterday. They didn't reply yet. Um, but on the low time frame even, we've got this dense liquidity building above us. Now, look, this is the first time really on the low time frame that we've really started to see this after being ranging for a while.

[00:16:08]So, excuse me. We did have this range here and liquidity did like start to build above us there and then we did fall down further because we had this dense liquidity below. But now the liquidity above us definitely mismatches that below. And that's something that I think is very exciting. And it's not just uh for XRP, but there is a significant amount for XRP here. We'll also look at Bitcoin. Let's have a look at what's going on for Bitcoin. We'll start with uh we'll go to the hourly first.

[00:16:36]So, I've just shown you I've just we basically just um back tested the liquidity thesis and it shows that like the liquidity over time gets taken wherever the liquidity is most dense and it does often lead to a like self-reinforcing move. So, for Bitcoin, again, this is that 64k level I've just discussed with you there on XRP and we do have the densest liquidity there on the hourly and so I can't deny that that is a possibility. However, we're starting to continue to get liquidity build above us. And as I said earlier, the structure so far hasn't broken and this low and this uptrend is still intact. Even though it does feel even though momentum is clearly slowed a little, uh the structure has not yet broken. We've not seen yet a higher low.

[00:17:17]Um or a lower low, sorry. We we're still on this higher low structure as of right now. That could obviously change today, could change at any point, but that's where we are right now. And we have to play from that from that uh from that game. 4hour again very similar to XRP like we do have this band down here at 47K which um a lot of people are discussing as a potential possibility here. If we really zoom out like it's nothing like the liquidity that we have above us at this 28,000 128,000 level. Like that's that's where the liquidity is now. Do we get a flush down to these levels? I don't know. If I could see the future, I'd tell you exactly where I think we're going to go.

[00:17:58]But as I continue to say, the upside is where the m majority of liquidity is.

[00:18:04]And I I can't see a world where we don't at some point revisit that upside. I think that that's the most probable thing that's going to happen. It happens 80% of the time. I'm a statistical person. It doesn't mean that I'm going to be right. Like I play a lot of poker.

[00:18:16]I've been playing poker the last two nights. I went to the casino and played poker and a final table twice. Let's go.

[00:18:22]Um, but essentially like I play a pop if the riskreward is in my favor and you can still be wrong. The cards can come out against you even if you get it in good. I got it in bad a couple times last night and the cards came out in my favor. So it works both ways. So you can make a bad trade and it can work or you can make a good trade and it can lose.

[00:18:43]But over time the good trades win. And that's what that's what I've been trying to say. Look, you don't have to have any leverage here. You can just buy spot and wait. And that it's such a hack. Like I think people really don't understand that. People want to be rich today. I get it. So like if you if I could tell you exactly where this is going to go, I can tell you right now exactly what what price we're going to go to. Of course I'd tell you that. So would everybody.

[00:19:05]And look, a lot of people out there look good in hindsight because they say a lot of different things and a lot of conflicting opinions. And they even spread their bets. They say, "Oh, this could happen, then this could happen, but on the other side, this could happen, then this could happen." Then they go, "Oh, but I told you that was going to happen." I try not to do that.

[00:19:19]I do lay out those outcomes sometimes, but I tried to give you my bias. And my bias is there for a few reasons. One, because obviously I think that's what's going to happen. But two, because the riskto-reward of playing the bias the way that I play it is something that's made me money over time. That's kind of the idea of the premium newsletters. I just show you what I've done and over time it worked or has worked up until this point. And that's all I wanted to show if people are interested in that.

[00:19:42]And then you don't have to be as well.

[00:19:44]That's the other thing. But like if you think if it 80% of the time it comes off, then if you take that trade five times, you're literally going to win four out of five. And one out of five, you got to you know you're going to lose. And that's that's trading. But you can actually mitigate that loss with time frame with with your time. If you just play the DCA game and you know there's an 80% chance that at some point it's going to come up and take this liquidity, then the longer you accumulate below that price, the more money you're going to make when it moves up there if you can just wait it out.

[00:20:16]And I'm not saying that it's going to be an easy weight. We could also, as I say, come down to like 47 48K based on liquidity. But then you can also accumulate there, too. Like that's the thing in crypto. You don't have to buy the exact low. just as long as you buy at a discount and you've got a good idea of where you think price is going to go, which liquidity is basically giving us that. It's a in my opinion a bit of a hack like take your time, buy crypto. If you don't want to actively invest, just keep on buying and then keep an eye on liquidity and what what what things do over cycles. Be a cyclical trader.

[00:20:53]It's a way to beat the system and take less risk. So, that's basically my thought process. That's today. Uh this is basically where we are. Uh, the last one I want to just cover is ETH. I feel like I've just rambled a bit today, but that's all right. Sometimes days are like that. I'm a bit tired from poker last night that as well.

[00:21:10]Um, ETH has some liquidity on the daily time frame below us. I do think that that's it's possible that we sweep that there for ETH. Again, there's liquidity building above us. So you can see why it's a predicament at the minute because even when you were like say in in this range here for ETH, what we were seeing even in this range, let's just zoom in a little.

[00:21:32]What you were seeing in this range is that liquidity below us was deeper than that above. And again here the liquidity below is deeper than that above. So it comes down into that liquidity. Now the liquidity below is slightly deeper. But there is this red liquidity above us for the first time. And if you look at XRP and Bitcoin as well, you can see that liquidity there. But specifically on XRP, there's dense liquidity above us.

[00:21:53]So you have to presume um we're way more likely to start to head into the upside liquidity than than we have been throughout this whole move down. And that gives me some confidence in terms of like maybe this lows in because the first time we've really seen like heavy outside short positions which can lead into a short squeeze. So I'm going to leave us there today. I hope you enjoyed the video guys. If you did, please hit the like button, subscribe button, and share it with a friend. Um, if you'd like trading any leverage, I got a link to WEX and MEX in the description of this video. As always, nothing I say is financial advice, but I do hope you enjoyed. Peace up. A town down as Crypto Insight UK would say.