This Hedera HBAR Price Prediction is CRAZY

Added: 2026-05-15

[00:00:00]This Hideera HR price prediction is crazy. That's right. Once again, now I see these all the time, these crazy price predictions. And so many people, first off, I don't even think price predictions are really important or something that you should really worry about. Uh most people are just flatout wrong about them. And there's a reason because no one knows what the price is actually going to do. And then I see silly stuff like this market cap math where people are like, "Oh, if H bar had the market cap of Salana, yeah, you know how it gets there? the price goes up.

[00:00:30]Like there's there's no magical mechanism where the market cap happens first and then it drives the price. This is one of the dumbest things I see in all of crypto, but this one this guy's making the case for $200 H bar. And I think we got to react to it because I'm frankly kind of sick of this nonsense.

[00:00:48]Now, I am saying this as someone who likes H bar. Do I think it will probably appreciate over time? Yes, I do. Do I think it's going to go to $200 anytime soon? No. And I think we just got to stop with the nonsense predictions. Now, I do think there's a very strong bull case for Hideera and he's going to get into that. We're going to talk about that. So, we're going to we're going to go to the through the intro cuz I think that's part important to set it up. And then we're going to go through his actual price prediction cuz this is like a 17minute video. I uh and we're not going to react to the whole thing. It would be like a half an hour video.

[00:01:19]We're just not going to do that. So, uh we will put the link in the description so you can see it. By the way, if you like these kind of things, hit the like and subscribe button. You don't always have to smash it. and actually just press it gently and it works just fine that way too. Appreciate that. Like I said, we love H bar, so I don't want to come across as this is a video hating on H bar. It absolutely is not. What I'm hating on is some of these like XRP to $10,000, H bar to $200. Just stop, guys.

[00:01:44]Just stop. But, okay, let's get to the video cuz I I I think I think he does make some important points, just not on the price prediction. I sure hope it's not financial advice.

[00:01:53]>> Hideira at $200. It sounds like a fever dream, right?

[00:01:57]>> Yep.

[00:01:58]>> Right. We're just sitting here at 10 cents staring at a price chart that looks like it's been stuck in a coma.

[00:02:04]Well, there are people out there doing the math on a 2,000x return, which is insane. But, uh, you know, the first thing I want to say about this, by the way, is like 10 cents, that's like double what it was when I bought in, which was not that long ago. It was like two years ago or something, maybe three, I don't know. So like 2x, you know, and and if if my if my stock account was up 2x, I'd be like doing cartwheels, you know, but this is like this is cryptoland. So cryptoland, we want 10x, we want 100x, we want to we want to become millionaires on like five bucks a crypto. This is like this is the way people think in crypto sometimes. And I think we I think I think we're getting to the age where we have to start thinking a little more realistically about returns and think of this as like a a long play, you know, like maybe you got 10 years to get to a millionaire instead of uh 2 days or something. So, all right, let's let's continue.

[00:02:55]>> Now, usually you when you hear these numbers that big, well, it's a scam.

[00:02:59]It's some kind of meme coin with a dog on it or it's uh you know, some kind of rugpool by Tuesday. Yep.

[00:03:05]>> But today, no, we aren't talking. Oh, talking about memes. We're talking about a network that is backed by Google, IBM, and FedEx. We're talking about the [music] aetic economy and the math behind the valuation model that most people think is impossible. It is not impossible, just not at any time. Look, could H bar be worth $200 like 10, 15 years from now? Pro possibly. Yeah, it's entirely possible. Uh, is it going to happen like in a year or two? No, it is not. I I I'll I'll delete my channel. I swear to God, I'll delete my channel if that happens cuz I'll be I'll be doing well enough I won't need it. Um yeah, let's get into it. If you've been wondering why HAR is lagging while the rest of the world is talking about [music] an AI super cycle, well, you're in the right place. We are going to be breaking down the immediate resistance levels at 14 cents and [music] the macro road map that leads to a world where the AI agents are the ones paying the fees.

[00:04:07]All right. So, all right. So, we're going to skip ahead a little bit. U we're just going to go through some of the things he's saying here because I think they're important to point out and we can get through them like way faster than trying to react. So, um yes, the hashgraph works different than a traditional blockchain. It's a digital ledger technology. Uh the timestamping is really really important. It's one of the ways that prevents against uh front running where these ME taxs can basically frontr run and and make a lot of money. It's uh yeah talks about the gossip protocol which uh is is important and and Algoran just added that as well.

[00:04:42]Now he's going to go he's going to spend a lot of time in the Hideera governing council and I do think this is one of Hideera's biggest uh biggest wins here because the council is made up of like Google, IBM, Boeing, FedEx now, now McLaren and Accenture which has ties to Nvidia. Uh why I think this matters and there's there's a there's a good and a bad side by the way. The good side is the fact that these are huge companies that are putting their their weight behind Hideera and I think that's a big endorsement that's that when enterprise sends that kind of signal I think that's awesome. So actually I I think this is great. I think that's really a good positive. Now the negative side is that this is not decentralized. I mean let's be honest this is this is a this is very per to run a node on Hideera. It's hu it's a huge permission. you have to be like a Fortune 500 company basically or something close to it. Um, you know, you have to be Google or you have to be IBM or LG or or now Dell too. You know, there's no there's no person in their basement running it. So, decentralization, it's a spectrum obviously. Uh, this is pretty far on the centralized spectrum. Well, I think it's funny because Algrand gets accused of being too centralized, which is crazy.

[00:05:57]Like now there's so many nodes that people are running because they incentivized it, which I think is smart.

[00:06:02]Uh Hideera is going to be fixing this.

[00:06:04]So this isn't like a long-term we're going to do this forever and no one's ever going to uh no one no one is ever going to be unrun a node who isn't a Fortune 500 company. But uh right now that's where it's at. Uh so it's going to talk about Hyera price action liquidity. Uh let's see cruel dilemma exchange redundancy strategy. Hideera agent lab launch. So here's the thing about Hideera. whenever there's a use case for Hyera that they want to run what they'll do is they will launch a lab around it which I think is really smart. there it's they have an agentic lab they actually have like they have like several AI labs I believe it's not agent agentic lab is only one of them you know they have like a stable coin lab they have all these things so that's that's pretty smart I think I think hideera and algorand and are are perfectly poised for this but you know what I'm seeing like adoption around Salana so uh I forgot which which uh which AI company just made a big partnership with Salana you know it's it's sometimes crypto is a big popularity contest and you have to like you have to get it's one of those things if you come into crypto from the outside you'll look at stuff like Hideera and you'll be like this is awesome why isn't everybody using Hideera this just makes so much sense and then what you'll see is oh well Salana just is more popular even though it's had like tons of downtime the transactions fail all the time uh you know it was founded on like scam tokconomics it's real tokconomics weren't even revealed right away all this stuff comes out and you know it doesn't matter nobody cares all a huge popularity contest I do think there will come an age though I hope where fundamentals matter more than just popularity and then hideera algorand chains like sui I think chains like that will will have a lot better success and he's going to talk about the AI super cycle and growth I think that's really really smart because I'm telling you I'm using agents now uh through codeex I'm not full on open claw because man that stuff's a little scary u but codeex I'm finding it so useful and the agentic commerce era is going to be so important, I think. So, I think that's awesome. And he's he goes into oversight and government oversight and the Clarity Act. Hard to say with that stuff because that's not even finalized yet. The Democrats and Republicans, as I record this, are still fighting over the final details. Um I think Elizabeth Warren tried to put in a a segment where she said, "Oh, we don't want it. It would have prevented crypto companies from being able to access banks." That's insane. So yeah, it's uh I there's nothing clear about the Clarity Act right now. So I would even like factor that in. All right, but that's enough about that. Let's get to the mathematical road to a $200 target.

[00:08:41]Let's see what he has to say. I think this is crazy, but let's talk about the math. Now to reach $200, we have to understand the immediate hurdles first. Now we have micro resistance at 10 cents [music] and major psychological barriers at 14. So we are currently trading below the 200 day moving average which means okay I'm sorry is that math that's psych that's psychology a lot of chart a lot of charting by the way is psychology it's not math >> the technicals are still screaming caution but >> and in case what you're you're wondering what I'm saying by the way if if you're actually talking about math in terms of a valuation uh you're looking at the enterprise value that comes with it you're doing dollar cost you're doing a dollar cost discounting um a dollar you know, you're looking at kind of like dollar cost discounting but in reverse.

[00:09:30]You know, it's all the factors that could lead to a future high price evaluation and whether that's a deal.

[00:09:35]You're basically working backwards to find out whether that's a deal right now. Uh it has nothing to do with like charts and chart psychology. It's just silly. Analysts like Jake Claver are looking past [music] the candles. His valuation model is based on the Agetic economy, a world where AI agents are the primary users of the network.

[00:09:56]>> Okay. And that sounds great, but here's the thing. No one knows where that's going. It's going to be huge for sure.

[00:10:02]Uh that I think is probably uh has a high probability of being certain that Agentic Commerce I think is going to be huge. I don't even know if it's entirely settled that it's going to happen on the blockchain. I think most likely it will. And then it's probably going to happen via US dollarcoin. I these these agents aren't going to exchange crypto directly. So it's a matter of what rails it's it's going to run on. Now I think Hideera has a strong case. So does Algarand so does a lot of other chains we too a lot of other chains that are lowcost and decentralized are going to have a strong case to make but there's no guarantee that it's I want to see what he if he if he says like okay they have a chance of having like 10% of the market that might be legit. That might be legit but uh yeah let's go.

[00:10:47]>> So here is the logic. as the circulating supply hits 86%. [music] The supply overhang that has crushed H bar for years is finally gone. Doesn't matter.

[00:10:58]Okay, this I got to get into this one because this is this this this frustrates me too. Everything's like oh once the supply is like almost fully released then oh wow the price is just going to go up because the scarcity.

[00:11:09]It's like you know what the other side of that is though? Demand. And when you have 50 billion coins, 50 billion coins, you need a lot of demand to create the kind of scarcity that would actually drive up prices. And I don't think that's what's driving price. What I see is the biggest thing I see driving price or at least correlated with price is revenue. So if you got a lot of chon chain revenue, in other words, a lot of activity that seems to be driving prices. Look at Hyperliquid has been like has driven crazy revenue and its price has keeps increasing. You know, it's been on a run. It just keeps going on a run and it's working its way up.

[00:11:45]Meanwhile, stuff like Hideera Algarand just doesn't have that much demand.

[00:11:50]Hideera was TPS was like three the last time I checked. Like that is not the kind of demand that's going to be driving a price up. It just isn't. So, and you know that and just like just like the hype cycle, I think that's starting to end. You know, when I was when I first got into crypto in 2017, you would see you would see a news item come out and the price of that coin would just jump. You know, you could say like, "Oh, Polygon partnering with Starbucks and Polygon would shoot up."

[00:12:15]That that those days are like primarily over because Wall Street is starting to become uh the biggest investor while retail is struggling. This is why I have to react to this stuff because there's just so much false belief in crypto. so much hopeium I guess you would call it in crypto terms and people just got to like get over that because I think the days of these things pumping like Hideera to 200 is just it's insane you know like I said someday probably but like not in not anytime soon and you don't need it to go up that much think about $10 H bar how much would that that'd be like 100x right from now around 10 cents no let me think dollar $10 yeah 100x like that's pretty good >> we are moving out of the inflationary phase and into a utilitydriven phase.

[00:13:03]The total supply is hard capped at 50 billion tokens. If the global AI agent market scales to trillions of dollars, as it some really do expect, then Hideira captures just a tiny fraction of that as the trust layer where the demand for HAR to fuel those transactions becomes exponential. We also have the institutional.

[00:13:26]>> Why would it be exponential? I don't see that. I I I think it will probably capture a segment of this and I think that's awesome. But first off, there's no guarantees that's going to happen.

[00:13:38]And the amount with 50 billion tokens, I would see it going up. Like I said, $10 H bar in the next 5 years, 5 to 10 years could be very realistic, but I'm not making a prediction on it because who knows? Everyone could decide, you know what, H bar, it's not the thing. We're all going to Salana. Does it make sense?

[00:13:55]Would I think that's smart? No. But that's there's a lot of things that I think aren't smart in crypto. You know, I see this all the time. I see people still building just the other day who built on Ethereum. And I was like, are you insane? You want you want to choose a coin that is slow and has super high fees and like has no throughput. I mean, come on. Compared to like these other coins, it's just a popularity contest, guys. You got to get over that. You got to realize that you're you're just you're just going to keep getting disappointed if you don't realize that this whole thing is a giant popularity contest. And I I hope that one day it's not, but it is today.

[00:14:33]>> Rails being built right now. The Canary HR ETF ticker HBR is already trading on the NASDAQ. It's got nearly $100 million in inflows already.

[00:14:44]>> Yeah, it's actually um it's actually up to like I I saw today it's like 1.5% of the total supply, which is great.

[00:14:50]Listen, I I think that's one of the best things that's happened on H bar. And I I will fully admit I was shocked by that.

[00:14:56]I thought I didn't think Wall Street was ready for H bar. I thought Wall Street was still getting their heads around Bitcoin and Ethereum. And that's what I was hearing from people who operate in the space. Like a lot of these bigger companies, you know, they're still they still think of everything as Bitcoin that realize there's other coins even.

[00:15:11]So, but you know, obviously the Black Rocks of the world are are different, but uh I think it's I think it's a huge W for H bar. So I I give him total credit on that.

[00:15:22]>> This allows standard brokerage accounts and IAS to buy into the network without needing a wallet or a seed phrase. So the target of $200, it relies on one massive assumption. Then the Hideira network becomes the standard for the enterprise world. Much like TCP/IP became the standard for the internet.

[00:15:44]And if the $389 million grant succeeds in bootstrapping DeFi liquidity and if the founding 10 are replaced by even bigger names while the actual [music] acrruel dilemma or the value acrruel dilemma might actually be solved by sheer brute force for you. We are move okay hold on hold on just a minute. Come on now. Where in crypto have we we we seen one standard adopted and everything else has been ignored? Like I I you could almost almost and I say almost make the make the case that like chain link has become the the de facto interoperability layer and even that there's like other op interoperability protocols now. It's definitely number one. Chain link is definitely number one for sure, but it's not the only one. I mean that'd be crazy to say it's the only one, right? So yeah, I don't know.

[00:16:40]I I think the fact that the idea of that happening, that's just not going to happen. There's not going to be one standard. I I'd be shocked if there were one standard. There's just too many interests in there not being one standard. It's just not going to work that way. Now, you could say like maybe Open AI for all its agents or maybe Open Claw for all its agents would choose HAR and that'd be very bullish. I would see I think you'd probably see a big increase in H bar's value. But again, this idea that like everyone's going to operate on HAR, it's not impossible.

[00:17:10]It's just highly unlikely. And you shouldn't make you shouldn't make predictions based on well, first I don't think you should make predictions. Just buy when things are down and wait for them to go up and then sell them. And you know what? Some stuff you just hold on to long term. Like Bitcoin, I just don't sell my Bitcoin now. And I if I'd be much richer if I done that in 2017 instead of taking profits, but other coins I definitely I'm very glad I took profits. So anyway, >> moving into a period where the investor economics are finally aligning with the institutional validation. Now for the retail speculation.

[00:17:45]>> By by the way, this is a nice fancy chart that means absolutely jack squat.

[00:17:49]Like there's no actual data that's showing you anything. It's just a nice looking chart. It's nice infographic, you know, obviously made through AI, but um this isn't this isn't going to tell you anything. Just so you know, >> the road map is clear. Watch the 14 cent level. Watch the council rotation at the end of the year and keep a very close eye on the Hideira agent Lab or those >> uh actually I I I almost let that go. He said 10 bigger companies joining the Hideera Council. What would 10 bigger?

[00:18:21]This is like some of the biggest companies in the world are already on it. What 10 bigger what what 10 bigger ones would there be? Nvidia, I mean that that's about the only one I can think of. These Facebook, Meta, I guess, could join. That would be good. I mean, I could see big or other bigger companies joining and maybe replacing some of the smaller ones. Fair enough. But 10 bigger. I I almost let that go. I forgot about it. And then he brought up the the governance council shifts and I was like, what? Now, what would would be interesting, however, and you got Google on there already, they got Gemini. If you started seeing more AI companies get on here now, that would be an important signal. That would be a huge signal actually who want to track these assets and these movements in real time. Well, we do have a free educational discord.

[00:19:05]It's a community of people looking at the same data points and technical analysis that we've discussed today.

[00:19:11]Only network that has built the bridge.

[00:19:14]Okay, he's just talking to Okay, so bottom line, I mean, I I really think you guys should ignore most of this. I I would just look look for coins that have historical price appreciation, that have revenue coming in. Like I said, it's a correlation, but the correlation is very strong. I've like researched this pretty extensively and everything that pumps tends to have a lot of revenue coming in to support it. and chains with low revenue which is Hideera right now it is it is Algarand like I think they're great blockchain technology or digital ledger technology in the case of Hideera the technology is great I think I think they will have a strong future in providing the backbone for a lot of different use cases including the edge commerce space but let's be real the where the money flows that's where the price appreciation has happened Salana has had great revenue hyperlid has had great revenue and they've had great price appreciation, too. So, um, these these always sound nice. They always sound nice and convincing. Bottom line is right now, these fundamentals just they just don't matter. They don't matter for price. I mean, they matter, but they don't matter for price, if that makes sense. Anyway, I just want to make this video because I think more people need to realize this. And listen, I get no benefit. Most of you guys are going to get mad at me. You're going to dislike the video. That's fine.

[00:20:30]Whatever. Uh, people get mad when you tell them how it is. I get it. It sucks to have your favorite coin. and your favorite coin isn't going to go to the moon. But I just see so much of this nonsense in the space. And I would make way more money if I was just like, H bar is going to go to 200, guys. XRP to 10,000. Yay. You guys will watch. I I would just I my videos would my views would triple probably. And I'm just not willing to do that cuz I think it's BS.

[00:20:54]So anyway, guys, thanks so much for watching. Uh, thanks for tuning in. If you haven't already liked the video, please hit that like and subscribe button. And you don't have to smash it.

[00:21:02]Like I said, just press it gently and it works just fine that way, too. Uh, no sponsors right now. Um, Elrine not really supporting that. So, if you are interested in being a sponsor of the show, reach out to me. You can find my email on my main page. Otherwise, I'm Frugal BC and I will see you in the future.