In trading, analysis differs fundamentally from prediction: analysis uses data and historical references to provide actionable insights for immediate decisions, while prediction merely guesses future outcomes without evidence. Effective traders focus on identifying support and resistance levels, understanding market structure, and making tactical decisions based on current market conditions rather than long-term forecasts.
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ANALYSIS Vs PREDICTION 🚨 THE TRAP | BEWARE追加:
Greetings. I hope you all are well, having fun, and are first class.
I am not a regular trader but write down that the market is going to touch 58. The situation is that at this time there is no need for anyone to have anything to do with giving advice. As many mouths, as many opinions, people have tongues without bones in their mouths, so whoever has any experience, whether he understands the market or not, whether he understands the analysis or not, he is giving a price point. Ok? And if the market moves towards that price point then come and make a video and tell us. Look, we said this. First of all, with all due respect to you, I am saying that I am not a predictor. I do n't give any predictions like, friend, I predicted this and now look, that thing is happening.
I present the analysis and the person who presents the analysis does it with data backing and through historical references. So right now I will talk about two or three things. If the market goes down, we will simply short and earn money. I have no idea about the absolute price of any market.
Ok?
We caught from 65.5 to 82.
We avoided longs throughout the run from 82 and from there the market should have risen from 65.5.
I think I was wrong in that matter.
My analysis was wrong. The market came down to 61. But here too the markets had to liquidate the shorts and longs, of which I had told you there were 2 billion rupees lying around. The market may come. At this time when I am making the video, the market has slipped below that and is currently sitting at 60.3 and the market is under pressure at this time when I am making this video.
Ok? What is the situation now? You see, at this time when this has happened, especially today when the market has slipped, BTC has broken 62, then very negative news came about ZDC, which is privacy token, this blockchain ZDEC is called Quantum Bitcoin on Quantum Computing, that Cloud AI has found a bug in it, it has become a big issue and all such tokens are of big issue.
Number two is Canano which has been a very major alt coin for the last several years and is a very old alt coin. Charles Hoss Hoskisson, its founder, has described himself as a kind of fan of it.
And that thing is also making a lot of noise right now, look what is the condition of crypto.
Charles Hoskisson is the only one gone back. He is the one who left and went away. So what will happen next?
BTC friend, the BTC ETFs of BlackRock are selling a lot. I'm trying to explain to you guys what's going on with the game. If you are understanding then understand, if you don't understand then don't understand. There is no issue. I will position my investment strategies and the Bull Army will position its investment strategies accordingly to best suit this.
We don't care about what the market is, we care about where the market might go. Now look, all these things are happening. Bitcoin is not perfect.
Now the news is coming again. Bitcoin Is Dead. Bitcoin is going down. This is not a true asset. Blu Blu Blu But at the same time Micro Strategy has scooped up over 400 Bitcoins in the last month.
And Black Rock Larry Fink is scooping up Black Rock. And the US is adding more to the BTC reserves. And the US has decided that whatever BTC they capture from anywhere will be added to the reserves. There is a hard cap of 21 million on this asset. The Clarity Act has been presented to us, the major has been approved and the final signing will probably take place at the end of this month or in early July. The market has also absorbed Kevin Warch.
Money supply will definitely increase in the market.
All these things are happening. The situation will also improve and lead to peace and security because both sides are talking.
Negotiations are ongoing. So if all this happens then what will the market do? It will respond positively, right? And why is it that so much news based on research is increasing during these difficult times? Earlier also it used to happen that brother Binance will be finished.
Even big people used to come and talk about this.
They used to say that USDT will end now.
Many people used to come and talk. Nothing happened. BANB will be over. Nothing happened. It will be BTC Day. Ethereum Day will be done. Nothing happened.
What a huge fund was running on Ethereum. Just two weeks ago, the person I had addressed, his entire team had left. So why does this happen almost always at this time when the market is at its bottom?
Why do such news spread at the same time?
Now you should leave all this at one place.
I'm going to show you two or three things.
Ok? Here in the pay chart. Ok? You see, BTC held this blue line here.
Ok? You see this, the blue line was held. This is when the price was at Rs 15,000. Ok?
BTC held this blue line and BTC came up from here in a great way. Ok? Now here BTC once broke this blue line in the daily time frame. You see, this blue line was broken here and after that BTC came down to 24,900 and then it recovered by making the next green line.
And This Was the Bottom. This was the bottom here and then after that in 2023 that was 2022.
And in 2023, This Was the Bottom. Ok?
Once here and then here also we got closure on this. And then upwards to us you see where BTC went. The same blue line is here right now. This is the fresh same blue line. Red closer below this. If we get a reclamation of this line which means we need BTC above 62,500.
We need a close above this line and the green open the next day. Tomorrow's the day. I always present immediate analysis to you guys.
I have no idea what will happen after a month. No one can tell you this.
If someone is telling you that I have been talking to you for the last 2 months and I do n't even look at the supports and I don't look at anything, so because now it has come down, then I have come to say that look it has come down, this is not analysis, this is not a trader, so what did you do in 2 months, what was your strategy, did you not do any trading in the market which has gone up and down so much in 2 months, did you sell everything at that time and now you have started buying, they don't even have an answer to that, no, if it goes down further, will we buy, did we not sell everything, I did not sell everything, you will do DCA, I will not do DCA also, I don't have money for that because I did not sell. So you leave those things.
I will always talk to you about the immediate analysis that you have. Both USDT Total 3 are currently painting negative pictures.
But both are currently at the same point where they were in February 2026 of this year, three-four months ago, they were painting bearish things in the same way and the market took a reversal from there and the market again went to 82. Now those people who are talking about lower levels of 58, 48, 38, they were talking about the same thing in February also at 65.5.
So when the total went from 65.5 to 82, then why did they not say that we were wrong?
Why didn't they tell us that our analysis had failed?
No, I remained silent at that time.
Now because it has come again brother, now look it has come.
We have been saying this for 4 months. So you were wrong.
It has been three-four days since your analysis is done. But for four months your analysis failed. So that's why I present the immediate analysis to you.
I don't have a one month analysis of three-four months. Why?
Because I have to take the trade immediately today, what should I do? How do I inform my investment strategy today? What Should I Do Now? And you should have the same question.
Why did I tell you that we will wait right now? Brother, what should I do now?
You tell me. I want to open a trade, I want to close a trade? I want to buy, I want to sell? I want to protect my capital? How does it help me right now know what will happen after a month? How does a level help me? Any insight should be an actionable insight.
Without that it's nothing, just a speculation or prediction. So the market is flooded with predictors and speculators.
But the person who will tell you after doing proper analysis, the way I am telling you, you will see people like Shaat and Nasir because people do not know much.
So this is the whole story. The only thing anyone knows how to say against me is that I got a buy done at 126.
okay brother? We were wrong about that.
Above 126 we thought it would go up to 135. We were wrong by $00.
But BTC was also bought at $6,000.
I have my video.
[nasal sound] I even got a buy at the bottom of $5,000. My videos are lying around. The community knows.
Only once over a 26 and on top of that people made a big deal out of him because people were waiting to see that this guy is never wrong.
This may go wrong.
Even in December 2024, I sold the top price at ₹1,8,000 when everyone was buying it. So I got it done once at 126. If I made a mistake, I myself suffered the loss, my portfolio was also stuck there, so it does not mean that we will be wrong again and again and still, Insha Allah, the analysis that I have presented to you, let's see how it is played out, this is an analysis, the market does not belong to anyone, whether it plays it out or not, time will tell, but without analysis, Shariq Amin, no one will talk, thank you so much, yes
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