LIVE TRADING: MY BASE CASE ON BITCOIN IS BEARISH BUT....

Hinzugefügt: 2026-05-12

[00:00:00]We're breaking it down right now. Zoom in trend line red day. It can flip in no time. Green wig, big risk. I'm calm when the chat goes frantic. High g low. I just read but the charts want to show.

[00:00:12]New coin game. Same rules when you're playing with flame. Welcome to the show.

[00:00:16]It's even though every single level on the chart is exposed. Crypto on my mind while the market speeds don't lie. Welcome to the show. It's 7 trading through the noise while the candles explode. If you want to know where the next wave goes, watch it in real time. Yeah, the charts don't lie.

[00:00:43]Yeah. Break out, fake out. I wait for the blows, not a shout set, no guessing my wins. Cut the stress. New high, pull back. I'm ready when price attacks. Fast moves, clear rules. We learn what the crowd chases move. Welcome to the show.

[00:00:57]It's seven alo. Every single level on the chart is exposed. Crypto on my mind while the markets reload. Read it in the lines. Yeah, the charts don't lie. To the show trading through the noise while the candles explode. If you want to know where the next wave goes, watch it in real time. Yeah, the charts don't lie.

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[00:01:52]Hey, candles up, candles down. Yeah, we're breaking it down right now. Zoom in trend line red day can flip in no time. Green wick big risk I'm cal when the chat goes frantic fear high low I just with the charts want to show new coin old game rules when you're playing with flame welcome to the show it's all every single level on the chart gets exposed crypto on my mind while the markets reed in the lines yeah the charts don't lie welcome to the show it's loud though trading through the noise while the candles explode if you want to know where The next wave. Watch it in real time. Yeah, the charts don't lie.

[00:02:44]Don't lie. Break out, fake out. I wait for the closing. Not a shet. No guess.

[00:02:50]I'm stacking my wins. Got to stress new high. Pull back. I'm ready when price attacks. Fast moves clear rules. We learn what the crowd chases move.

[00:02:58]Welcome to the show. It's Evo.

[00:03:01]Every single level on the chart is exposed. Crypto on my mind while the markets reload. Read it in the lines.

[00:03:08]Yeah, the charts don't lie. Welcome to the show. It's now trading through the noise while the candles explode. If you want to know where the next wave go, watch it in real time. Yeah, the char.

[00:03:22]Yeah.

[00:03:23]Never end up locking play with life.

[00:03:37]Don't look away in the don't lie. Oh.

[00:03:50]Oh.

[00:03:57]Now you know, >> right? What's up, guys? Welcome back to the channel. Evan Aldo here. Hope you guys are doing fabulous today. Um, lot of things to talk about. Um, interesting market. Some altcoins are showing a little bit of signs of life, but we'll see. I mean, ETH versus its Bitcoin pair. I think it's a little bit premature to get too too excited what's going on. Baker, always appreciate you guys tuning in to the channel. Always appreciate that. So, smash the like button, all that good stuff if you enjoy the content because, you know, if I do say so myself, this is one of the best TA channels, if not the best TA channel on there in terms of, you know, everything. So, yeah. Um, daily, you know, let's get right into it. I mean the daily right here if we want to update you know ultimately 82 um you know essentially 827 is going to be that huge area and if you can break above that you know 83k then you could we could start talking about 92k as long as we're below that I would keep a more bearish bias base case remaining to be more bearish that you will reject and potentially come down you got your gap RSIs on the 2-day I mean they're just trying to come up a little bit higher your guess is as good as mine I mean I don't know I mean we'll Um, you know, I think that, you know, it's very low risk, high reward to try to um to try to short this, you know, something like this with a stop-loss, you know, above this area. And then right here, it's almost like a 5:1 or something. I would go maybe, yeah, 5 to1 reward risk ratio.

[00:05:32]So, I think that's cool right there. Um, something to look at towards that point.

[00:05:36]And then trying to think what else I want to Yeah, I mean you got your money flow, you got all this cool stuff here, you know, essentially. And just trying to think here. So yeah, potentially kind of, you know, drop down from that point. Um, and yeah, trend reversal potential on your 5day. So yeah, I would say seller buyers are starting to get a little exhausted here. I mean, can they, you know, buy us up to 92? Maybe. You got Trump going to China and all that stuff.

[00:06:04]I mean, I don't know what to even I don't I mean, I'm not a news guy. I mean, some people are so obsessed with headlines, man. And then I look at, you know, their their trades and I look at, you know, how they've done and they're down like 80% in the last year or so, you know, unfortunately, that's that's how it is. You I remember one guy just would always send me stupid headlines, you know, every every day, you know, multiple multiple headlines. And needless to say, um he's down pretty damn bad. Um you know, so yeah. Um, yeah. I mean, I wish it was that easy where you could just look at headlines and, you know, make tons of money just looking at headlines. Half of them are fake anyway.

[00:06:42]Yeah. Um, yeah, slowly down to 60. Okay, maybe. Um, oh, well, you were the one that was saying that. Yeah, you were you were commenting on my video saying that 60 was not the low. I mean, anything's possible. I think 60 was the low. I I predicted it being an earlier low. I think you were the one. Yeah. So, okay.

[00:07:02]slowly. I think the 200 weekly SMA um is the big point there to look at. Um so yeah, I mean this oh my god if that's not I mean it's probably going to drop markets if this is you completely done here. Freaking it's never going to end.

[00:07:17]Thing too is like you know the other technique too that I see a lot of noviceses have is they just try to short whatever is pumping. I mean I I know a guy that was trying to short this all the way from back here. Didn't work out so well, but maybe maybe now it'll work.

[00:07:30]Uh maybe now it'll come down, you know, we'll see. Um golden pocket is right above the high.

[00:07:37]Okay, definitely could be, man. Yeah. Um I like the uh the the MA, the moving average more. CryptoTimmy cryptomy, excuse me. But yeah, the other um I want to look at Micro Strategy, too. I mean, that's hitting a major point right here.

[00:07:56]I think you're eventually going to break upward. I mean, this is up a hell of a lot. I got in back there, believe it or not, up 57% or something. So, yeah, that's cool. But I think you may, you know, kind of roll over potentially um into the summer summer consolidation.

[00:08:09]You know, if I had to guess, I think, and I I I've been, you know, with the Phil Anderson cycle, not many people know about that, which makes it more likely, but here's what I think could happen sometime into 2027. These areas, that could be a good like double top area to get out. I mean, your boy has started to sell Bitcoin now. So maybe you'll go up to a thousand bucks or something, but maybe not. You know, again, I still think Micro Strategy can make some money with over the next, you know, year, two years potentially. Um, so yeah, I do, you know, there's a lot that I've been looking at here. And um, you know, if we look at Micro Strategy versus BTC, you look right there, big point. So this may come down a little bit on its Bitcoin pair, but it could keep breaking upward. I think it generally will still outperform Bitcoin for a year, two years, you know, that that potential there. So, yeah, that's ultimately what I'm kind of looking at. Yeah. Um, Destiny Tech, I never heard of that, but sure, we could look at it.

[00:09:17]Okay, hitting a big point. I mean, maybe I'll keep going. I don't know too much about this. Um, but yeah, looks okay. I guess it's tough to say with some of these new ones, you know, could break upward. We'll see. Um, excuse me. TRX right there. Yeah, that's kind of starting to lead on that point.

[00:09:43]My base cases, this would probably come down, but we'll see what happens. XRP is showing a little bit of signs of life on its Bitcoin pair. A teeny weeny bit.

[00:09:52]Yeah, I don't know if this is you want to break back above this area right here and I want to see where we are at currently if we can because that might just be a rejection from Yeah, so far that's just a rejection so be careful.

[00:10:06]Um but if she can break above there then we'll you know get a little bit more bullish on this pair but until then I think it's more cautious more cautious situation chain link people have talked about. Um, I do think that um, Micro Strategy seems a bit scammy. Why not just buy Bitcoin? Why not just buy Bitcoin? Whoa, whoa, you're not a degenerate. You don't want leverage. You don't want more greed. It's it's all greed, man. You're just trying to outperform Bitcoin. That's exactly what it is, you know? That's that's the entire entire reason. You're taking more risk to get a potential better reward.

[00:10:39]That's that's exactly what it is. I mean, as long as it holds that low, you're in an uptrend against Bitcoin.

[00:10:45]That's that's the exact thing there. So yeah. Um what was I gonna look at here?

[00:10:50]Link bit. Okay. So that's that area and then XRP coins. So there. Yeah. I mean you got a little bit. You definitely got a little bit um I'm just trying to think how long is this. Yeah. So you've been in a fiveyear bare market or sixyear sixyear bare market um against Bitcoin. Maybe she'll jump. We're due for it. Yeah.

[00:11:12]It's been a while. Maybe one of these jumps. Yeah. Yeah, we're due for him.

[00:11:16]So, yeah, it allows a retail guy. Interesting.

[00:11:26]Yeah, I think Micro Strategy is going to be more like a hedge fund in the future.

[00:11:31]I mean, if if it actually goes really well, it could be considered more like a Bergkshire Hathaway in 20 30 years when he's 90 years old. How old is Sailor?

[00:11:39]50s, 60s, you know. So, there's that. um is potentially going to jump up. So that's micro strategy versus Bitcoin. If we look at I don't know Bitmine versus Bitcoin.

[00:12:00]This is getting to be a slight problem.

[00:12:03]Not invalidated yet, but hopefully we hold, you know, hopefully we hold right here. Um so yeah, and that invalidates. If we don't, I'll get the hell out of this.

[00:12:13]So, there's that. Hyperion DeFi, I wanted to look at. Oh, god. This is This is on thin ice, too. This is another one I may have to get the hell out of relatively soon. I'm a little bit indifferent here. Uh I mean, theoretically, if you lose these areas, it's probably the place to get out. I mean, you got the January and then he jumped up. I don't know about this, man.

[00:12:33]The problem is this is going to probably fall hyperliquid.

[00:12:37]And if we look at Hype Bitcoin, there's one pair from that actually. I don't want to. It's like a hype Bitcoin. Hype Bitcoin right here. So, yeah. I mean, it's it's losing momentum, I'll tell you that much. These charts, there's just not much data on it because it's kind of new. Um I mean, argue. Yeah. I mean, you came up so much against Bitcoin. I guess you're still kind of in an uptrend as long as you kind of hold some of these areas. But I don't know if I like that two week man. Two weeks now. Confirmed.

[00:13:08]I may get the hell out. Yeah. I don't know if I like that too weak. Don't know if I like that too weak. So yeah. Um ASST. Um yeah, ASST. So ASST, that's still in a good position, I think. You know, you know that that's in a good position. Um if we look at Yeah.

[00:13:27]ASST versus VM, that may be the trade.

[00:13:30]Yeah. Um or ASST versus Hyperion D.

[00:13:34]There you go. Yeah, that may be the that may be the trade to make. Although this is going to this is going to if Bitcoin goes down, you're going to see a correction, but still, you know, there's that. Um, you need $1,700 to sell a cash secured put on this. I mean, you know, that could be an option here. So, yeah. And now let's look at let's just look at the latest trades. Let me show you the trades. Show you some stuff. Okay. So, this is slightly, you know, I realized the profits. I didn't set stop loss to entry point because I still liked I still liked it. And this came down more than like it would have came down to Coinbase. That's the advantage of like using um Bidfi or some of the non KYC exchange. Bitfi is pretty good. Two bit um people talked about weeks. Um Blow Fin is you need to use a VPN. It's still not KYC, but you got to use a VPN.

[00:14:22]They're pretty strict on that. So that's why I'm lazy sometimes. So you know um bit the MNAV. Yeah, I mean it may be better to hold E. But the the thing with that William what I want to show you one thing here is that you know if we look at Bitmine versus ETH ETH it's still above ETH on its pair. So I mean yeah I would I would get out if you lose that area. That's that's what the argument I would make here. Doesn't look the best.

[00:14:50]Doesn't look the best right now. So yeah I kind of like Strive though a little bit. You know that's kind of the thing I like a little bit. So So yeah definitely got to look at my portfolio. So, I think I'm going to get out of Hyperion DeFi.

[00:15:03]It's just not Yeah, just not what what I hoped. Um, so yeah, and we got some other stuff. Pay I think people are getting excited about. I think this is cooked though. You know, it's just there's not going to be enough of the retail interest had to jump up. But yeah, and then this Yeah, kind of this is breaking down. ETH is yeah we may have to have to get on ETH within a few days if this comes down guys ETH is going to get s if this comes down ETH is going to come down as well so I there's esoteric ones that look okay chain link after its sixyear bare market against Bitcoin maybe it'll jump up a little bit XRP you know a little bit of signs of life but it's not you know those people that are screaming about altcoins you know they're they're they're they're down 99% against you know they're they're down so much. I mean they're just not there there's only like three of them left and I mean they're they're on like life support right now you know they're I mean even this is showing major you know momentum changes here TRX you know so there's that um Shrivever is a nice DJ play I think so I think with good risk management it absolutely is man um and if you guys want to trade especially some of these coins no KYC no VPN bidfi is really good 20% fee off and And then two bit similar thing. Deposit 1,000 get 200. So I like that. And there's trading challenge as well. What kind of thing do you guys want? Do you guys want a trading competition? We haven't done one of those in a while. I might be able to get you guys a trading competition if you guys are interested in a trading competition. Sweet had a nice pump.

[00:16:46]Yeah, people talk. I forgot about um yeah, this is the look the trade that I wrote out. It did pump up and hit that.

[00:16:56]So, I didn't take the trade, but I think I posted it. So, yeah. And if you guys want to join the Discord, post all these, you know, in advance. So, check it out. We got Nightshade Kak in there as well. Um, this point right there.

[00:17:11]Yeah. I mean, if I had to guess, I think you may reject, but it could be the daily two. You actually hit your daily 200, which is big. Yeah. I don't know if this has a ton going for it. Sweet. I mean, it's one of the new ones, you know, they all get, you know, I mean, that's Bitcoin Perry. Yeah, jumped up a decent amount. We'll see if that can hold. We'll see if it can you that day the 200 on the Bitcoin. Yeah. So, we'll see. It's like sweet. I mean, really, sweet is probably the This looks the best of anything I've looked at. This would be the the new one. Um, I know DAO got a good or people call to I call it Tao normally, but um we'll look at Bitcoin. Yeah, I don't know. This is too new. Well, it's really older, but these Yeah, little jump. We'll see what happens. It's a weird weird situation here. Um 6 month to a year Bitcoin outlook. I think you'll at least hit 100K within a year. Probably 90K, you know? That's what I'm thinking. Um so, yeah.

[00:18:10]So, we get a nice pump. I mean, that looks decent on this chart. Maybe it'll eventually jump up. I don't know too much about Tao. I know it's AI type stuff, but yeah. I think the thing too is like it's more of the trad converting over my Hyperion to I think I'm going to convert it today because that's such a risky play to begin with and Hyperliquid looks like crap against Bitcoin at the moment. Um there's been a lot of talk about the speculation you know the speculation on the uh the like the betting markets the polygon all that it's looking like you know almost great depression si 18.6 6 year 18.6 six-year um what is it? Phil Anderson cycle will tell you that um will tell you that we this could be the year this could be the year where it all peaks out. You know the I mean Phil said that it could Bitcoin could hit a million dollars before it all peaks out the mania phase there. But I don't know. I mean I don't think it's going to go that high. Um, you know, I think I think you'll see the top, you know, maybe end of 2027, if I had to guess, maybe end of end of this year, you'd probably need a new alltime high or something. Well, end of 2027. Yeah, 2028. So that um yeah and uh let's see a very good spot.

[00:19:54]I know some another one people have gotten excited about.

[00:19:58]Let's see. I remember everybody was talking about this like in the beginning of 2026. Uh well, just going back. Yeah.

[00:20:07]Or beginning of 2025, excuse me. Yeah, not too much. And then it's jumping up.

[00:20:12]Yeah, that we've learn. This is all the ones that are relevant right now. These are the only ones that pumped. So, it's like three or four that have pumped. Um I don't know. I mean, your guess is good. It's tough to say what happens with this. I mean, you got some resistance right there. I mean, I guess if you could hold arguably if you could hold for 43 cents, you got something going. Um, definitely that I mean, I don't know how you would even try to trade this. Maybe Yeah, you'd probably go from that low.

[00:20:40]If you if you entered right here, you'd go from that low and then you'd um do something like this, you know? Yeah, that is a good risk order. Yeah, something like that. If you can get up, I'd probably go from there or Yeah, you're above that D something like that. Maybe maybe come up some more full bubble pop pattern then jumping back up. Yeah.

[00:21:03]Phil Anderson cycle BB Baker I posted um probably wasn't the best. The post didn't get as many likes as it should have. I People hate it because everybody's intergenerate and wants to know what's going to happen tomorrow.

[00:21:14]They don't they don't want anything that's more, you know, in the future or whatever. But I did um I did post about it and uh this was kind of just explaining simple stuff here. But um let's see where is it?

[00:21:36]I think it was after where was it? Oh yeah, here we go. So essentially it didn't get the too much traction like I hoped it would. But you know it's yeah especially read this post I would say you know it's essentially 14 years after the bull run starts. So essentially basically the real estate bottom was you know 2012 essentially is 14 years 2026 would be the peak for that real estate's getting a little bit of a jump and it's more of a land cycle but it follows you know it follows 2027 2029 peak you know 5 to 7 years after rate cuts start you know rising you know they also always peak when a Republican's in office every single time you know when they were deregulating banking since uh since Lincoln for the past few hundred years so I think you'll see a peak you know before Trump is out Um, that's my kind of guess. I think whoever is president after Trump is going to have some some issues potentially. Um, we'll see though. Um, so yeah, you know, I think there's always, you know, the thing that we can take away from this is I'm not too worried. You know, there's always a bull market somewhere. Um, so yeah, but always appreciate you guys following me on Twitter trying to get up to 10,000, you know, just to just to get there and then then you can lay off the the gas a little bit on Twitter. Shout out to Trade Toast. Um so yeah um and Kevin Wsh um I don't I wonder I just want to see if the um the odds are changing a little bit for rate cuts um this year um if markets do come down in the next few months which I fathom they might um we may see one or two rate cuts I and that's what temp in the Anderson cycle usually you get rates coming down a little bit for the last year or two years I think we're in the last two years like last kind of mania phase you know that's That's what I would say maybe this year and then end of 2027 being that peak for Bitcoin or something like a year early this time.

[00:23:27]You've been peing and bottoming early every time. That's the main pattern.

[00:23:30]Let's go with that. But yeah, I mean no rate cuts about 50 60% chance of no rate cuts. I think one to two is possible.

[00:23:38]You know, this could change, but you may not see any. Um, I wanted to look at yields too if they I think they are coming down if I'm not mistaken. But it's tough, man, to really get these to come down that much without, you know, asset prices coming down. But we really got to hope Bitcoin, S&P 500, all all that comes down to get these to come down so you could get a rate cut or two.

[00:24:00]Um, that's this thing that could be the top for a little bit here in the SPY big area, too. So, I'm hoping for a 3 to 6% drop. That's what I'm hoping for. 3 to 6% drop. I'm hoping for maybe a bear div. It still doesn't look too bad though. But today, you hope we hear the peaks. You hope you go back to retest the peaks. That's the important part thing. Um but yeah, I think too and if we look at I'm just curious. I mean real estate's been recovering, I'll tell you that much. If we look at Yeah. Is this Yeah, the date is still slightly, you know, coming up. So still below the highs.

[00:24:51]Look at you know maybe we look at it's um real estate futures. Maybe they'll come up. Yeah. Um that's interesting.

[00:25:03]But New York. Yeah, let's look at like New York. Yeah, I mean down slightly from fe from this year. So you still are keep going up this year for real estate.

[00:25:13]So your peak could be this year and I think this is going to keep going up as well. Um if we look I just want to feel oh what's the Chicago was the nut Midwest has been nuts. Yeah, I don't know why but it has been actually that's weird. Okay, this is still below. So New York I guess New York City. Um, I don't know. Do you guys care about real estate? I feel like Boston might be okay. Interesting.

[00:25:38]February. I guess this is following S&P 500. They're all kind of the same. I want to look at maybe LA because I know somebody some clown was I don't want to call him a clown, but somebody was telling me, "Oh man, it's down so much.

[00:25:52]It's I'm like, dude, it's down 3%."

[00:25:59]It's down 3%. So something that went for, you know, something that went for a million dollars is 970 right now, you know, and it's it's starting to come back. I think it will, you know, cuz the thing, too, that one that one sold over here, I think. Yeah. 35% of the table, which not a lot. I mean, if you put in S&P 500, you would have doubled your money or more. Yeah. Well, I mean, what did the S&P 500 do since 2021? And you know it shows just how much real estate generally bleeds you know against the S&P 500. But what has that done since you know since 2021 essentially if we look at I mean this was yeah let's say right here. Yeah 100%. So you know obviously that was the major choice but a lot of people they weren't in the S&P 500 you know they may have been in all coins.

[00:26:47]So that's the thing there. Um so yeah but let's see. Um, what's the promise?

[00:27:05]So, I think this may Yeah, correct. I'm not sold on all coins yet. Maybe I will be in a few months. I'm not sold on it yet. It doesn't look very true. I think even Hyperliquid may see a drop. I think it's losing momentum against Bitcoin.

[00:27:18]So, I'm thinking that's, you know, that may see a drop here. But, yeah. Um, but yeah, look at that post, guys. Follow me on Twitter on X. We're almost getting up to 10K followers. So, it's a big thing.

[00:27:29]Obviously, we got my many more on on YouTube. Let's see. I got 23. So, 23 plus 10. So, essentially 30K total.

[00:27:36]100K, you know, on both of them would be a a really good goal. So, so yeah. Um but yeah. Um, oh, appreciate it. One of my friends saw my stream on uh he's watching it right now on on the uh recommended page. He's probably seen my channel before, but yeah, we there's like no viewers though.

[00:28:00]Yeah, nobody's watching this. So, appreciate it.

[00:28:05]11 people. God, that's un Yeah. Yeah, YouTube must uh Yeah, if you looked up the channel before, this is We had 40 the other day. This has been trash. I don't know if people want to see the trade more. That's the trade over over on Bidfi right now. Um, so and yeah, I don't Let me know what you guys want.

[00:28:24]Like, have you like are you guys traders? Do you guys trade on these exchanges? I mean, both blowofin has been good. We've used that a lot.

[00:28:31]There's KY there's there's VPN you need now. It gets annoying sometimes, but Bidfi and Two Bit are non uh nonVPN, no KYC, so I like to kind of stick with those. The least regulated. So, here are the deposit bonuses and trade challenges. Let me know what you guys want. If we could we could do a trading competition. Um, shout out to I think Andrew in the Discord. He won the last one we did. That was a few years ago. We haven't done one of those in a while, but they they could be fun. Um, so yeah, it's not like a very large amount. You need a deposit to even do it either. So, they can be fun, but that's probably enough shilling for now. Um, but yeah, and then check out the Discord. We've done really well in there. Got night shade in there. Got K obviously myself.

[00:29:10]A lot of good stuff. the macro has been absolutely crushed. I mean, you know, I I think, you know, I've been doing this about five, you know, five years full-time trader, I'd say. I've been studying markets or looking at markets since I was like, I don't know, 14, 15, but not seriously, you know, since I was like, you know, younger 20s. Um, and it's probably the best I've done at least in terms of macro in the last like couple last year or two years at least in terms of macro like you know just spot holding and trading you know that type of stuff. Um, viewer yeah viewership is down.

[00:29:48]Yeah. No, we had 40 people the other day but it's it's nothing to worry. It's cyclical. Um, so yeah, I think the uh the video I uploaded I don't know if this is probably just gonna people probably don't care at all, but you know the what did the how the video I uploaded yesterday did pretty well. 600 views, but this 600 I guess it's 600 people saw it. I mean you know it's something man you know it's something. Um favorite nice. Um yeah I mean flopping his indicator is pretty good too. I use it from time.

[00:30:22]It's It's good for um you know, it's definitely good for like day trading, you know, even in a day. You're just finding those points. Not the the [ __ ] moon cycle language.

[00:30:34]Um but yeah, no, it was funny. Um it was funny where I am. My friend who's watching this, somebody uh where I am, there's like a decent French population. Somebody started speaking to me in French the other day.

[00:30:54]But yeah, I mean here's the here's the support 81. So it is decent support. It gives you some good support is really good places to look. So if you set notifications for these areas like week week today anchored VWOP is a strong place to potentially look to, you know, scalp long or day long something like that. You know, a lot of SR is really important. So So yeah, I mean that's that's important thing to realize there.

[00:31:15]Um I mean we looked at a few of these things. Um, I mean the TLT here's what and it you know the thing that irrit you everybody's got like all these especially like old people do not like Evan Aldo I will tell you that much like these old people on Twitter or whatever they usually don't like me all the hunks out there. Oh boy. I don't know why but I remember one Oh yeah.

[00:31:40]Yeah. I'm not going to say who was that case. He's he's too afraid to go on anybody's Twitter space now. Um he was like calling me a clown for saying this was still rangebound. It wasn't going to break out. And this is kind of before 08 what happened. This could stay rangebound for a few more years here potentially. I don't think it'll be this long because I think if markets peak you know earlier than that but it could be rangebound for a while and I want to look at you know if we look at you know obviously this thing you know how would you have gotten I mean it would have been hard to know you know over here to get in 07 or08 I mean and this was the thing that really did the best this was the bull market of08 obviously you know this was yeah 08 and then at the end of 08 it was pretty much done and then you you gave up all those gains against your S&P 500 within a year or two. So, you would have you would have had to get out in the momentum. I I mean the two week is a good chart to to always get the hell out on a lot of things, you know. The two week tell me to get out of, you know. Um yeah. Um yeah, I mean the the older Yeah, the older crowd is is I mean it's so different, you It's kind of like, you know, somebody like a Mike Alfred or uh, you know, somebody like that. He he commented on one. He clowns on me in the Twitter space. I I can't believe I'm even relevant to somebody as big as big as him. But he did comment on one of my one of my tweets. But it's like for him to like me is like Trump saying, "I like Mexican immigrants and I want more of them." You know what I mean? That's like that's not really, you know, it's just such a different thing. But yeah. Um um yeah um let's see weekly time. Yeah, I I would lean more with the bare case.

[00:33:26]I would say I would lean more with the bare case if Bitcoin breaks up higher.

[00:33:29]But how what could we look at to get you know to derisk and get into the TLT versus and I'm more of you know it's pretty rare actually that you know um was I going to say that um TLT is the best performer. That's the other thing too. Uh I mean money flow coming up that could have been one of you're at the same point there. Um it would have been much too late once you got into the green there in the two week. I mean this is something that just generally only bleeds against the you know S&P 500 and it's been you know let's see it'll be 15 16 years 17 years. Yeah. I mean you're due for a jump. I'll tell you that much.

[00:34:08]Um yeah I'm just trying to think like how you would this is kind of like looking you know dollar versus the S&P 500. That's a thing there, you know, that's the main thing there. Um, so yeah, BNB. Oh, are you talking about um Yeah, whenever I see that, I think you're talking about Airbnb. That's a public view trade company, too. BNB people talked about. Yeah, I mean, it's kind of lowrisk, high reward if you wanted to do something like this. I've never traded this. It's a weird one to me. I don't know, especially after the October 10 scam. You can try that, though. Um, against Bitcoin's a little bit more wonky, I would argue. Um if we do look at you do look at this. Um so yeah um you know that potential right here have a warning here. Oh it's a no big deal. But um you got our 528 hertz. Yeah I mean it's been dropping against Bitcoin. Maybe you could get a jump here. Pretty low risk high reward against Bitcoin. I don't know if I'm sold on this though, you know. I just don't really like it because of CZ. Never been the biggest fan, you know, after after October 10 situation. This is going to be the future, guys. I think for a lot of a lot of alt trading CMC 20 and you could trade it on Mexi. That's the only Yeah.

[00:35:27]Bit mart bit you can. Yeah. So, more and more exchange this is the future. I think more and more exchanges are going to start to offer this, but look at it against Bitcoin. You know, there's nothing too significant here. It's it's pretty garbage against Bitcoin, I would argue. So, that's the problem, guys. You know, that that's the issue here.

[00:35:43]There's not not much going on, you know, that's the thing. Um, that's the drop down there. But yeah, the looks on the two chart. So, I mean, you know, we got to wait until this shows more strength. And I want to buy this, although I don't. You may get slippage and other crap, but yeah, I want to look at coin coin hake. I want to see where some uh liquidation heat map. I want to look at that right now. That's something to look at. Fear and greed is neutral. I think it's getting slightly into greed, right? Yeah, very neutral. That's where it could have peaked out for a while, but we'll see. Yeah, you may jump up more. Um, stupid thing. Um, did I have it on? Give me one sec. Let me just get it on the other so I'm logged in.

[00:36:36]Coin Inc. What a stupid name. Coin Inc.

[00:36:40]Good chart though, but this won't even load now. Interesting.

[00:36:46]Just log in my other screen.

[00:36:54]Okay, looks like we got her.

[00:36:57]So, yeah, if we go up with this um and now we'll load. I think people have liked the that's the higher. Yeah. Liquidation heat map. Come on. Yeah. I mean 83. You got more down. But this is lower. I mean this thing you could look at this until the cows come home and you know it's it'll tell you get into analysis paralysis with this. I mean you got liquidity everywhere. This is kind of more neutral. Funding rates are slightly positive. So yeah, there's that. I mean oil gas prices have been pretty high in the states, right? I think um if I'm not mistaken. Yeah. I mean I would guess this is peaked out but with that ceasefire doesn't go through you know there's that monthly looks bearish. Yeah. Could jump up. I don't know. I think I feel like this will be sideways for a while.

[00:37:57]Honestly, I mean, this negotiation stuff with Iran, I I I could fathom this would go on for some time, you know, maybe some time. The Russia Ukraine thing, I think, is a little bit of wishful thinking. I kind of don't think that's going to end, at least not during this.

[00:38:11]Um, let's see. Russia, what the betting odds for that ending? I think it's only like 50/50. I don't I mean, let's see.

[00:38:20]Might eight or so. Let's see where um is it this would be okay be for yeah I mean I would argue it's pretty low odds that this will be over you know by the end of this year. I think it's going to I What were they talking about?

[00:38:44]Ceasefire. Um, Russia, Ukraine.

[00:38:50]What will happen before?

[00:38:53]Oh god. Um, yeah.

[00:38:59]This is going to go on for a while, I think. I don't think this is this could go on for a while. So, yeah.

[00:39:06]Um, anyway, so there's that. Um oil I would be neutral to more bearish I guess. Um you know there's that I wanted to look at real estate ETF even. Yeah that's like industrial stuff so it's a little bit Yeah. Oh my god. 0708. Yeah. Someone I heard KB.

[00:39:37]That looks kind of bearish. Yeah, that's just one company or whatever. I think Garrett Soloway was more bearish on this. Yeah, he was right. Um anyway, um so there's that. And yeah, I mean Bitcoin itself or let's look at the triple Q's too. if it looked at that, but does this jump it? Yeah. I If it goes up That's the thing, too. If this freaking thing goes up to Oh, man. I mean, yeah.

[00:40:19]7%. I think it it should. Yeah, cuz this it's weird because your S&P 500 had is hitting a fib level. This is above the fib level. This is like in no man's land almost. I don't even know how I would want to, you know, look at SR on this, but we'll see. Um I want to look at this versus your spy actually. Um it's jumping up. Wow, that's a jump if I've ever seen one. Yeah, that's a that 2022 was a lot of fear, especially with the Biden presidency. Here we go. Yeah, there's your next fib level on this. So, yeah, I'd assume you could hit a speed bump there. Um, that's the main thing there. This is significantly outperformed, you know, since the dot bubble. I mean, you had a what a two-year bare market. Um, or a year and a half. Let's see. One uh no, that was two years. Over two years. So yeah, about about two years, a little over two two-year bare market on this pair and then you since then have done very very well. Um so yeah, that's the main thing there. Um is coming up and then that potential.

[00:41:34]By the way guys, if you want to check out the Discord, it is 35 bucks a month.

[00:41:38]Lot of good stuff there. A lot of really good stuff there. Um, so yeah. Um, check it out. Fair market discount won't go on forever. So yeah this I mean ETH. Yeah, you got the 3WE.

[00:42:07]I think you will probably retest these points, but you know, it still looks like your long your macro still looks very good here generally. But the problem is ETHV Bitcoin not the best.

[00:42:18]Like I've been mentioning guys, like I've been mentioning ETH versus Bitcoin, definitely it's not the best. Um, you know, I mean, we look at headlines a little bit, you know, here's Oh my god, Trump pulls off everything.

[00:42:39]Yeah, I think the Dems are going to win the house. It's going to be Let's see.

[00:42:44]House midterms. Here we go. Let's look at what the odds are. 50. Yeah, this is what I was thinking.

[00:42:52]Yeah, this is what it's going to be in all likelihood. That's a purple one.

[00:42:57]Yeah.

[00:43:03]So, essentially, it's Yeah. Republicans are probably going to keep the Senate.

[00:43:06]Dems are probably going to take the house. That's likely what's going to happen. I mean, if Iran didn't, you know, if that you put troops in the ground, Dems are taking everything, but yeah. So, that's that's in all likelihood. Um, hunt. I don't know what the hell this means or is. Um, maybe the people like Bill Gates are saying there would be another pandemic. I don't know what that that's such a wild card. I don't think that's going to be anything.

[00:43:27]But, um, Colia.

[00:43:31]Oh, okay. That's interesting.

[00:43:34]The thing too is let's see what Cuba's been the talked about one. Um yeah, so it's not very not very likelihood that Cuba is going to be Yeah. At least not this year. Maybe next year they'll do it. But it is interesting, you know, is that that you see the empire is just trying to hang on. But I mean, you could argue it's kind of for a good cause. Venezuela is not I mean it's still I mean it's like it can't get any worse. I mean, same thing with Cuba kind of. I mean, the Obama principle was trying to just open it up and be like chill with it, but you know, this is more take out the bad guys, but then they usually just replace, you know, with bad guys.

[00:44:14]They're just as bad. Cuba is such a tiny little island, though. I mean, it's not really, you know, it's not that um Yeah, not that big. So that would be easy to if you bring tourism there, you could probably bring up the Yeah, bring it up a bit.

[00:44:39]Heard good things about Cuba generally, you know. Um, so yeah, there's that right there. Uh, okay. So that's NASDAQ versus SPY. There's this right here. Um, yeah. I mean, I'm a little like Hyperlid versus There's some of these alts are jumping. You know, it's only a handful. Um, there's also meme coins that are there's always meme coins that are jumping. River is down.

[00:45:12]Um, there's always that. So, yeah, Supreme Court. Yeah. I mean, you got it more in the Republicans more have it on the bag there. So, you're going to keep the Senate. I think House will go to Dems.

[00:45:28]Obviously, if there's a recession, you know, if things crash between, you know, 2027 or 20 and 2027 or 2028, in all likelihood, Newsome is going to be the next president. Um, if you can avoid a recession, then probably JD Vance, let me look at that. Yeah, 2028 election.

[00:45:45]And this is obviously highly subject to change. So, so people still think Vance um it doesn't look like Don Jr. wants to do it. He's not even Yeah. I mean, yeah, if you're you're pulling below Tucker Carlson Rubio. The thing too with all those Trump posts, you know, joking about and I'll say joking because I know he was kind of joking um about him running for another term, you know, people actually believe that some people, but it's so, you know, it's just so impossible.

[00:46:14]People say that for the clickbait and attention, but they know deep down it's so unlikely. Um you'd have to go to World War II or something probably. Um yeah, Rubia. I mean, new sum is, yeah, that's kind of a coin flip. It's a coin flip of, you know, recession. Um, US recession, but yeah, UK recession. I don't think you're going to, um, I wish there was, if we can look at it, this by end of 27 or end of 20 I think 2028 could be the that'd be a very obvious, yeah, thing there. There's inverted yield and all that. you know, there's stuff people like to look at, but I think the SPY, the S&P 500 in the NSAI, we could look at in a second. I think I know this is a lot of freaking points, but I think 8 8 to 10 like it's going to be somewhere big range, but somewhere here, you know, and if you look at, you know, when does this all peak out before it's all over, you know, when does, you know, that would be mid 27. If you can extend farther, you're looking at mid 28, 900, probably 8 to 900, 800 to a,000 will be before you finally see, you know, a a pretty big correction. Let's let's say it's 800. A 50 center would bring you back to, you know, kind of these areas, your your 2022 areas. You got your peaks. Where are your peaks? Yeah, kind of right there. Your peaks are a little weird this time around, but you know, if it's 900, which it could be, 50% would be right here. 45. You know, I would say here, you know, 500, you'll probably end up hitting that at some point, you know, between 2028 to 2032. I know it's a big range, but, you know, there's going to be bull markets within that range.

[00:48:03]Excuse me. It's it's just going to be a very different environment, but there's going to be ways to do it. You know, it's just the patterns like the 1970s, like the double O's, you know. So it's just the patterns that that we all follow, patterns that we all follow. So patterns that these all see. Um so there's that jump there. Um so yeah, essentially there's that and then Bitcoin jumping um at the moment and maybe up to these levels. Um let's look at 826. Yeah, right there. 826.

[00:48:48]We can look up NSAI. I've never heard of it.

[00:48:52]Oh, yeah. This is Yeah. Yeah. I I don't know. You never know if anything's a meme coin now. Uh I mean, you could try to chase this. If you chase this the weekly, you know, when the VWAP crosses the zero line, the weekly, get out. Um, I would also look at potential fib levels. Hitting one right there. Next one's at 21. So, those are obvious places um to look. And then, yeah, right here. Should you FOMO into this? I don't know. I mean, this is tough. Um, if you look at the daily, yeah, it'll probably get up to this place or more potentially.

[00:49:30]We'll see what happens. There's a lot of things pumping. I want to look at the This was Yeah. 8.0. coin always has its little little jump and then it just goes down farther. But yeah, I mean this was the the trade that I kind of posted trying to short this down to there.

[00:49:46]That's a two to one. So be lenient with the stop, but I would assume this will drop. Um so yeah.

[00:50:07]So yeah, that's what I'm kind of looking at. If we look at Yeah, there's been a little bit of resurgence in some of those, you know, Twitter space. I mean, it's mainly the Twitter game with those, you know, the apes and all that. And I mean, what's the market cap on those?

[00:50:19]Like couple hundred million. What is Let's see. Yeah, I mean, okay. Oh, no.

[00:50:24]200 million. Yeah, if we look at Apes 30 days. So, I think you've been Yeah, I mean, you're trying uh you're trying to do it. I think it's a lower high if I had to guess. I mean, maybe this is the resurgence after your four-year bare market. I mean, that's a long bare market. I'll tell you that much.

[00:50:41]Four-year bare market's a long bare market.

[00:50:44]One point. Yeah. I mean, in terms of market cap, let's see here. Yeah. 80 mil from you. Yeah, we'll see. Definitely have to see. So, yeah, but I would think it kind of will. You roll over. Let's look at the the Trump.

[00:51:02]He released the meme coin after. It's like just they they make it so much more than a more of a scam than it has to be.

[00:51:09]Here was this part there. We looked at Yeah. So, it's even down from that point. When did this Okay. April. Yeah.

[00:51:16]Um but yeah. Um and then if we look at his meme coin, they pumped it up with the dinner I think a little bit.

[00:51:33]Yeah, that funny that l that list was funny. The people the top holders are Yeah.

[00:51:39]And now there's nothing. Yeah. So I would think this is just going to go to zero. I mean the millennial one's at zero. People are still Yeah. I mean, I can't believe Kraken would list this, but there's got to be some incentive there. But yeah, it's essentially zero.

[00:51:54]Is that 100 mil? My god, how could that still be 100 mil? That's insane. That's bigger than the I This stuff is just so small, too. Yeah, that's the thing. It's just so so teeny weeny. Yeah. 200 mil, you know? It's just tiny. Um, there was an XRP. Um, yeah, it's not even Yeah, there was an XRP. Um, people talked about XLM, but there was an there was an XRP uh uh shoot XRP like memecoin that they were showing at the XRP conference that was I think an organized pump and dump probably. Um, those people were idiots. My god, those people just seemed [ __ ] Um, mind my language, but yeah. Um, they probably already dumped it. I think they were probably they probably dumped it at the end of the I, you know, it's so funny. It was such a small cap where you couldn't find it on Trading View. I couldn't even figure out how to find it anywhere, you know, to even find the market cap or anything. So, yeah.

[00:53:01]NFT for Yeah. 2 million. Yeah, NFTTS are pretty much I mean they're easy to move that market. There's going to be resurgences here and there. You know what I mean, guys? There's going to be a little bit here and there, but I don't Yeah, I mean I don't it's Yeah.

[00:53:19]Um Yeah, I don't think there's too much of a future. I mean, the thing too is you're probably going to see some type of drop off here. I think you know if we don't cool too you know if we don't cool I mean I still think Bitcoin looks more attractive than pretty much everything you know what I mean if you look at like like if if you if I had to decide between Bitcoin S&P 500 I think it's obvious that Bitcoin looks stronger than that I mean Bitcoin versus gold and I converted my gold over the Bitcoin at the exact right time nobody really did that guys if you want these you know alerts in real time check out the Discord down below nobody really did that you know right there you know everybody saying it's going to go lower and now I'm like no no 70% down is good enough for me you know 69 that's a good number good enough for me monthly potentially jumping um so yeah this looks good and you could there's a lot you can get here on your S&P 500 I mean 100% up that's doubled your you know 100 grand you know if you can get you know two 3x I mean you know 300 grand it's something it's something something man other thing too is I wanted to if we looked at this that's the thing it was recovering it still is I was just curious about this against the spy because I was thinking that this may be one of the years that real estate could outperform the spy like 2022 nope not quite you may get a jump though but you know if you just look at these it's kind of like looking at TLT versus spy you 08 was a jump because it crashed less.

[00:55:03]Yeah. And then 2022 was a You don't get many of them. Pandemic that it only gets a jump when things crash.

[00:55:09]It'll get a jump in the next couple years if things Yeah, it's a thing there. Um, so yeah, thing with gold and gold is weird if you look at it against the spy. Obviously, gold is pretty weird, but and it's been bleeding against the spy.

[00:55:27]I think Peter ship posted about silver, but it's been bleeding against a spy.

[00:55:31]Got this jump, but I think it'll consolidate for a little bit and then eventually, you know, maybe in a couple years break up again. And I uh Yeah, I mean that kind of jump or whatever.

[00:55:43]Yeah. Um RWA or the replacement for NT. Yeah. Uh real world. Yeah. I mean, the thing with that is it's weird. I don't know if there's really the biggest place for that. I mean, you already have a real estate investment trusts, you know, that kind of already exists. It's going to be Well, I mean, the the ability to trade 24/7, but then you have Trad trying to do that. It's tough to say what the hell is going to happen with that, guys. It's tough to say. Um, and then you got hacking, you know, you got security risks. I mean, I think there's a market for it, but it's it's tough to say. Um, but we're jumping right now. We're jumping right now. So, we'll definitely have to see, you know, if she can, you know, jump up to this point. I would guess a rejection from there or something, but we'll see, guys. Um, I think sellers are getting exhaust, excuse me, buyers are getting exhausted here. And we do, you know, kind of drop further down. That's what I would, you know, kind of argue. Um, so yeah, and check out the Discord, guys. Um, you know, I post a lot of really good stuff here. Got the Bitcoin short. I got the market bot. This generally gives a trade once a week, one one to two, three times a week. It is a low, it's a high risk reward. Like it's 2.5 to one and it's um I gotta mess around with it um some more. Um I did it all with Claude based on like a lot of my strategies, but I got to make sure it's super posting and all that. So got to mess with that, but it's cool too. We'll get it going. Um so so yeah, but um always appreciate you guys um tuning in, smashing the like button. Let's go over to two bit right here. Chance to win 10K 15 days. Let me know if you guys want if you guys want a trading competition. We can get that going. Um and then bidfy as well. 20% free rebate deposit 20k get 2k. So um yeah, I mean real world asset, you know, the problem with real world assets is most of them do bleed against S&P 500 like your real estate, you know, things of that nature. You know, maybe you could do it with sports teams. Those could be, you know, I feel like the thing too is once everybody could own the damn sports team, it doesn't it's not as lucrative. The same thing with the hedge funds and all that. you know, that's the problem there. You know, let's be real. You know, once it's if it's hard to get into, usually usually it does a little bit better. Um, it depends though, but you know, a lot of people do lose money with hedge funds, too. I mean, a lot of them do bleed against a spy. They have good um or large uh what is it? Operating costs, you know, [ __ ] like that. Um think I'll be on the Wolf um Wolf space later today. Um yeah, I'm trying to I'm looking at the spaces. Yeah. Alien. What the [ __ ] is Anyway, guys, I'm going to get going.

[00:58:22]Um, appreciate you guys. Smash the like button. Check out the Discord down below. See you guys really soon. Check out two bit. Check out Bid 5 if you're interested in trading, especially for the altcoin trades. No kerosene of V.