This video presents a debate on Federal Reserve rate cut predictions, where the speaker argues that despite Warsh's more hawkish stance and increased skepticism toward interventionist policies, a rate cut is likely to occur soon, though not necessarily at the next meeting; the speaker contends that the Fed put (market expectation of Fed support) may weaken under Warsh's leadership, but this does not preclude a rate cut, as bond yields are pricing upward dramatically and the dollar has strengthened, indicating complex market dynamics that don't necessarily align with hawkish policy signals.
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Fed Rate Cut Predictions: Warsh vs Powell & Bond YieldsAdded:
Great cuts are going out further. Some desks are potentially discussing hikes.
We talked about this last week. And bond yields are uh you know, pricing upwards dramatically. And the dollar has strengthened. And what Warsh will now do, or what he's viewed as, is more hawkish than Powell, more credibility folks, the credibility of the Fed, and more skeptical of interventional policy, or intervention interventionist. And the Fed put may weaken materially under Warsh. Now, I don't think that's the case, and I I actually think that we're going to see a cut almost immediately.
Maybe not at the next meeting. Maybe we'll have a you know, a little bit of time. Meeting following that, I think we'll get a cut, if it's not going to be this meeting. Click the join button now to become part of the Arca FX trading community. Together, we'll help you navigate the most exciting and profitable markets in the world.
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