Economic bubbles occur when asset prices become disconnected from fundamental values, driven by speculation, stimulus, and market manipulation rather than organic growth; historical patterns show that markets inevitably undergo boom-bust cycles, with corrections, recessions, and depressions occurring at predictable intervals, making it essential for investors to recognize bubble indicators and avoid buying at peak prices.
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The Big Shorts - Michael Burry - Crash - SHOCKERAdded:
The Big Short, Michael Burry, now warning another crash around the corner.
Hey everybody, Scott Walter's. Buckle up, strap in. We got a hard-hitting, pull no punches, no sugarcoating it, no rainbows, no sunshine. I'm just going to give it to you and give it to you straight. We got a good one to unpackage today. Welcome to the show. I hope everybody's doing great. Let's jump back on the economic around, examine the good, the bad, and maybe a little bit of the ugly.
>> not the ugly. I only examine rainbows and sunshine and AI stock values.
>> No, no, no. Somebody's got to read between the lines and look between the economic cracks. We've got cracks to look through today. Michael Burry is back in the in the news headlines reporting that we are in fact in another basically stock bubble, which is no secret, right? We're going to unpackage that, but what's really more important than the fact that we're in another stock market bubble along with the real estate bubble, which is actually now that I hear myself unpackage, it is really the scariest thing about this thing. It'd be one thing if we were only in a stock market bubble, but we're in a real estate bubble as well. And if we lose one, we will lose the other. And to have the two-headed monster loose with both bubbles now raging, this has got, you know, potential disaster written all over it. And while I'm certainly not cheering for a crash, it's just, you know, the percentage of likelihood so high. We can't overheat the US housing market and the US stock market at the levels we did courtesy of stimulus and a casino climate with no organic growth, market manipulation, and not pay close attention to that. That is scary. So, you know, Michael Burry, if you've ever seen the The Big Short, great movie, he predicted the 2008 financial crisis.
He saw that toxic debt in the mortgage market, and he's like, "There's no way that" And he got laughed out of so many rooms. He shorted everything he could short, big all the big banks that ended up needing bailouts basically laughed at him and he took them all to the bank. He made a hundred billion dollars betting against the real estate market and up until that point people >> people always pay their mortgages.
Uh there's no way you know there's no way the housing market's too big to fail.
>> is this, nothing is too big to fail. So let's jump over and hear what Michael Burry is now predicting and what he's saying about these current market situations. Then let's meet back here and wrap it up. Let's get started.
Michael Burry's latest warning, stock market feeling like the last months of the dot com bubble. The investor made famous in The Big Short urges stockholders to reduce their exposure to the AI rally.
Michael Burry is one of a growing chorus of experts warning that the torrid tech stock rally of the past several weeks is unsustainable.
Michael Burry, famous for predicting the 2008 housing market crash, warned investors in a series of recent Substack post about unsettling similarities between today's market and the lead-up to the dot com crash in 2000.
Burry and other experts worried about a bubble advise against shorting tech stocks and instead encourage investors to de-risk and diversify their portfolios. Boom. There it is there. I think we get the gist of it. This guy's predicted it before. He's predicting something again. Let's jump back to the studio and wrap this one up. All right friends, welcome back and there you go.
So Michael Burry, he predicted the 2008 collapse. He's saying this feels like the 1999 dot com bubble at the beginning of that one all over again. And I think here's some of the challenge that we're currently having even myself included because like I said, you know, I'm a real estate guy. I lived through 2008. I suffered some of his blowback as a bill paying adult. I work in real estate. I love real estate. Most of my wealth is is all in real estate. It is the path to wealth, but it wasn't by buying in a bubble. It was buying outside the bubble. And I made the mistake of buying in that last bubble, and I had to dump a property. Now, I got out of it relatively well. Stay tuned and I'll tell you that story. I actually I actually stuck it to the bank when I sold that property because they were basically ripping people off. I mean, they got bailouts and bailed themselves out, but didn't help anybody in the American public like that money was intended to. So, here's the challenge that we're having now. You know, the one thing that I really my takeaway from this Michael Burry um now resurfacing saying what he just said, which is basically the stock market. He's not betting or shorting the housing market, although he could and he might be. And at some point we might hear that's exactly what he's doing because there's no secret the housing market definitely exhibited bubble behavior again. But, as the as the economy goes through its boom bust cycles, for me it's never been if we're going to have another bust cycle. It's purely been when, right? I think we should all be able to agree with that.
Historical data shows us the boom bust cycle has cycled throughout history like clockwork.
And, you know, it's always been corrections, recessions, and depressions. Only three levels of an economic downturn. And right now we're in the correction phase. If we can't stop it, we'll then enter into a recessionary level of a downturn. If we can't stop it there, we enter into a deep cycle recession. It would be category as a depressionary level of a downturn. And that happened when?
In 1929 with what? A stock market crash.
In final thoughts, I come to you as a friend, as a content creator, as a real estate guy that wants to see you not only win in real estate, but win in life. Understand the waters you're swimming in now. They're shark infested.
Stock market, welcome to the swimming pool. Listen, here's the But the skinny of it. We saw this. This was all artificially induced euphoria in the stock market. Stocks are now trading above their earning reports and that can only last for so long. We have had depression cycle throughout recorded history approximately every 100 years.
We're in the 100-year cycle. It would make perfect sense to see the stock market be the pinprick that pops this current stimulus bubble that we've put ourselves in. It doesn't matter. I mean, take your pick. Pick your poison is it whether it's the housing market or the stock market. Those are the two big catalysts that are going to usher in our next recession. Our goal now is to be ready for that that we can weather a storm and then reallocate funds and deploy it back into buying the dip.
You're never going to get rich buying in a bubble. You're going to get rich buying outside of the bubble. Real estate's the path to wealth. If you're buying right now, it's simple. Just kick the tires, shake the trees, don't fall in love with anything, and make sure your payment is within that property's rent range. You do that and you're pretty much going to be protected from a lot of the blowback that's around the corner. If you're selling your house right now, find out who your competition is, run the comps, but then beat them.
You got a limited buyer pool and people are hearing these news reports. There's people like me out here protecting people, trying to just get them aware of the waters we're swimming in.
Unfortunately, most people haven't lived through a boom-bust cycle as a bill-paying adult, so they're out there drinking the stimulus and economic Kool-Aid. And that's why I'll be here to blow the lid off it every step of the way because it's not only what we need, it's in fact what we deserve. If you appreciate the content, I want to humbly ask you to give the video a like, subscribe to the channel, leave a comment below. I'd love to hear from you. Social media link in the description of this video if you'd like to follow me there. Search up Scott Walter's Real Estate on all social media networks. If you need help buying or selling real estate here in America, biggest network, top-rated agents in the nation ready to assist you. It would be our honor and our privilege to do so.
Email in the description for you as well. As always, thank you for your time. Please go make a count today. God bless. I'll see you on the next video.
>> [music] [music]
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