Smart investors should track three critical indicators to understand market movements: India VIX (volatility index) measures market fear, where higher values indicate greater fear and reduced investor confidence; Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) activity reveals foreign investor sentiment, with sustained selling indicating bearish outlook; and crude oil prices directly impact inflation and corporate profits, especially for economies like India that import 85% of their crude oil.
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3 Things Every Investor Must Track Right NowAdded:
Iran and US war is going on. You don't have anything to do with it, but your portfolio is under attack. Now, if you don't track these three things, you are investing blindly. These three things are India [music] VIX, foreign institutional investor, and crude oil price. Let me explain it to you. So, let's start with India VIX. India VIX is volatility index. Volatility is fear, and if volatility is higher, fear in the market is higher. And if fear is higher, investors will not invest. And that's why the markets go down. So, India VIX, if you look at the last couple of months, has gone up. From the levels of 10, it is over 20 now. If it comes below 20, if it goes below 19, uh the confidence in investors will go up, and they will want to invest, right? So, watch out for India VIX. Second [music] is foreign institutional investor. Now, foreign institutional investors have been selling for a very long time, and they've been bearish on Indian markets.
They're not just selling in the cash market, they're also bearish in the derivative market. So, if you analyze their position in the derivative market, it's bearish. They're selling in the cash market. So, they're not very hopeful of the Indian markets as of now.
And I don't see them coming back anytime soon because of growth concerns and because of currency depreciation, which negatively impacts them. Third thing is >> [music] >> crude oil. India imports 85% of its crude, and if crude price is higher, India pays a higher price. And if India pays a higher price, that leads to inflation in India, and inflation not just impact you as an individual, it impacts the companies as well. Because if inflation, the price goes up, and companies are not able to pass on the price every time to the customer. As a result, they have to take that hit.
Profit goes down, and as a result, the share market starts to go down as well.
So, don't get buried with all this noise surrounding you. Look out for these three things: India VIX, foreign institutional investor, and crude oil price, and you'll be able to make sense of what's going on, and you will be able to find the right opportunity, too. If this made sense to you and you want to learn stock market in a very simple manner, follow me for more.
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