What todays price action means and where things are headed next.

追加: 2026-05-27

[00:00:00]Hey Rvestors, it's Tuesday, May 26. It's about 5:30 p.m. Markets closed today. We had another strong day for equities. We early in the morning. It looked like a broad market rally. Everything was moving up. It was a very strong looking move. By the end of the day, a little bit of a mixed signal. We do have the Dow closing negative while the other indices closed positive. We also saw dividend stocks moving lower. So, they moved down a little bit. We also saw utilities, consumer staples and healthc care move down. So early in the morning, everybody was excited. They just jumped into everything. By the end of the day, people became a little more selective and decided to move into the risk and growth stocks, which are the NASDAQ up 1.78% today. Also, the small cap 1.89% and the micro caps up 2.16%.

[00:00:50]So very nice strong move. Money is definitely looking for speculation, for gains, and that is a good sign. We're seeing the market continue to move up.

[00:01:00]Now, we didn't see money flowing out of the defensive plays too much today.

[00:01:04]Overall, still a strong day, but the big leader was technology. This is what I find interesting. Actually, the tech space was up 2.63% having a very big move, expanding to the upside. But if we go and take a look at the Magnificent 7, it was only up 4/10en of a percent. Very neutral. Look at the stocks in the Magnificent 7. There's only three of them were positive. The other four were negative. So money was definitely it wasn't flowing into the big megate. It was actually flowing into the smaller technology stocks and growth stocks. We saw semiconductors.

[00:01:43]If we take a look at SMH, big move up today over 4% doing a lot of the heavy lifting. Again, the market, including the NASDAQ and semiconductors, had a very nice move. They have since then chopped around, had a bit of a breather, and there is potential for a pretty strong rally to the upside. And I do feel like this could be a bit of a euphoric blowoff phase, IPO with SpaceX, and just kind of resurgence. We just had a pause here over the past two and a half weeks. the market taking a breather and is kicking back into high gear. We can see most of these sectors we saw a pullback. This lime green territory telling us the market is oversold. We saw that both in the NASDAQ as well. The NASDAQ pulled back. Just zoom out a little bit. NASDAQ pulled back into this oversold territory. Bargain hunters stepped in. We start to see a pop and the trend kicked back into an uptrend and we continue to see this push higher.

[00:02:35]That was the same with the S&P 500. had a tiny little bit of oversold. Literally just got into an oversold condition and then boom, it's at its stairst step way price action higher. And again, the market, we'll just have to see how this unfolds, but we are still in a strong uptrend and we are definitely seeing money chase returns at this point. Now, if we take a look at the rest of the market of what has been moving, let's take a look over at TLT, the bond market. We've got oil sharply pulling back. And of course, if oil is dropping, that means inflation fears are declining, that means interest rates are likely pulling back. And so, we're going to see the bond market start to move higher. So, we've had a very strong pop in bonds. It's the flip for interest rates. We had a sharp pullback in rates.

[00:03:21]And of course, when we look at oil, we saw oil have a very sharp pullback as well. Now, oil's not in the clear or it's not headed lower at this point. It really has it's come up into this level and really it just has this premium this war premium this straight her premium built into it. It could easily ping pong around and stay here for a while and if things don't get dealt with again I I believe it'll eventually want to creep higher and start to really take off. So we're not in the clear. This is just another good day for equities and some positive or somewhat positive news sending oil lower and that is helping support the equities market. Now, if we go and take a look at our positions here, we have the S&P 500. We had a long entry price. It's had a very nice move, hit a first target. It is on its way to hit our second target at 12 1.5%. So, we are in striking distance to hitting that this week, which will be pretty nice. When we look at our sentiment chart, we can see on the right-hand chart, sentiment was bearish, started to turn around, and then we got into a strong wave of money flowing in. It continues to be strong.

[00:04:26]It's really hard to see on this chart.

[00:04:28]If we zoom in, you can see there's these deep green bars. That is telling us that there is a lot of money flowing into this stock market. Deep green means it's a strong market. And that you can see last time we had a couple deep green bars here. We saw a pretty strong impulse move to the upside. Now, if we zoom back, this is the weekly chart of the S&P 500. This is our technical investor strategy. These bars over here, these arrows tell us when the bull market trend has come to an end short-term. when we need to protect our capital. The market did fall from that level alone, fell about 53%. It then bounced and then eventually we had a new buy signal telling us to avoid the bare market and then to get long for the bull market to the upside. And so this eventually we're going to have one of these. The market has always goes through these big financial resets and economic declines. And so eventually we're going to have one of these. And that is these are a very powerful tool to know when we need to step aside, protect our capital. And the ACS strategy allows us to not only avoid this, but to eventually take advantage of these drops. As the market rolls over, we can take advantage with inverse ETFs. And again, that is when we really start to shine. where everyone else is seeing their accounts decline and everyone's panicking, our account should be moving in the opposite direction as we earn interest on cash and we also generate returns from inverse ETFs as the market falls and then of course we can reload and play these upside moves.

[00:05:55]So overall this is what we want to protect ourselves from. This was the last major bare market that we had and of course it had 20 288 bars. These are weekly bars. That is about 5 and a half years of no return and going through losing, you know, potentially 50 plus percent of your wealth, which is a very painful level to hold through. Most people can't hold through that and they usually hit a tipping point of if it keeps falling, they're going to have zero retirement left and that's what creates these huge drops and these big waves of panic. And so that's what we want to make sure we avoid and can benefit from both the decline and being able to play the fresh upside move in the markets.

[00:06:38]Let's take a look over at gold and silver really quick. We do have gold continuing to trade sideways trying to figure out what it is going to do.

[00:06:45]Short-term trend is down, long-term trend is up. That gives us a mixed signal. That means it's a kind of a coin toss. We do have a short-term move down.

[00:06:55]And you could see this as a little bare flag. So we just need to wait and see.

[00:06:59]We surprisingly stocks had a big rally today and gold ended up really not performing very well and maybe money is actually not looking for precious metals right now as a defensive play. Maybe money wants to go into stocks and maybe we're going to see more money come out of the metal space as people chase IPOs, chase growth stocks that are popping and surging. If we take a look over at silver up 1.4% 4% this morning. Again, it has uh really mixed signals. Moving averages, short-term moving averages are down and mixed. Long-term trend is up.

[00:07:31]And when we look at the recent big move, we have a strong move to the downside and potentially a little bit of a bare flag forming here as well, or is it a another low? We will just have to wait and find out. But when we have major mixed signals, a trend down and a trend up, we really just want to steer clear of it. There's no point in getting involved in coin toss plays especially silver because it can have a lot of volatility and move very quickly.

[00:07:56]There's no need for that. Now if we take a look at miners posted pretty good gain. We saw on average miners were up about 4%. Gold and silver miners. When you look at this chart though overall it really is just a green bounce. We see these big moves happen all the time. And while 4% looks pretty good, it really is the first bounce from this little bit of a bottom here or this little bit of a pause. So, a one-day bounce is enough to get most people pretty excited, but it's definitely not something to uh start riding home about and expecting it to just take off. This really is just an oversold bounce. Stocks moved up and the stock market was helping support gold miners today. Interestingly enough, the the physical metals didn't budge. So, we'll see how that plays out in the long run.

[00:08:42]And interestingly enough, if we take a look at the put call ratio at the top, I've drawn these vertical lines where we've seen the put call ratio have these big moves to the upside telling us that everybody is moving towards put options expecting the markets to fall. And you can see on the SM or the QQQ chart below, we saw multi-day week and a half long rallies after that. So hopefully we're going to see something similar to that again where the majority of people are looking for falling pricing and the market goes the exact opposite way.

[00:09:10]Right when they apply leverage the worst thing happens. The market just keeps going in the opposite direction higher to the upside. So overall that is about it. We're really just letting this market continue to unfold. Again it's not about trying to predict where price is going. What we do is follow price.

[00:09:27]And if you follow price, it really you don't have to predict anything. You just have to have rules in place and the discipline to follow them and make sure that we protect our capital through protective stops, profit targets, and then rinse and repeat. Anyways, that's it for now. Take care. Bye-bye.