The VIX (Volatility Index) measures the expected volatility of the S&P 500 over the next 30 days, representing how much investors are paying for protection against market risk. When the VIX rises significantly (more than 10%), it typically indicates that investors are becoming nervous and seeking hedging strategies, which can create potential bullish scenarios for the following trading sessions as relief rallies may occur. However, the VIX should be analyzed alongside other market factors like investor sentiment, geopolitical events, and price action to make informed trading decisions.
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Deep Dive
Stocks and Bitcoin Massive Week Ahead: VIX vs. Market Reality
Added:What's up everyone? It's Gabby Trades here and welcome back to the channel.
Well, the market at the moment is giving us two completely different messages.
Volatility is rising, you guys. Tech stocks are breaking important support levels and oil is reacting to continuous escalation in the Middle East and yet again retail investors have suddenly become more bullish out of nowhere. So uh this is really interesting setup right now. We don't know if it's like buy the dip type of opportunity or our investors at the moment really underestimating the possibility of a much larger decline. Before we get started, make sure to smash the lucky like button today and I'll see you guys in the chat box right about now because I want to see everyone say hi in the chat box. All right, let's go ahead and have a great week uh here in trading and discuss the most important things. Okay.
So, what we're going to do here is we're going to start with uh the volatility.
All right. Let's see how many people we have, how many likes we're missing. By the way, recently we've been doing so great on likes, you guys. Like, even though whatever the sentiment is down in crypto, the likes have been absolutely at all-time high for Gabby Trades and our community on YouTube, which is so amazing. I'm so grateful for you guys.
All right. Uh let's look at the VIX here. So basically what happened last Friday uh we had this big warning coming up from the VIX which jumped approximately around 12.3% and uh closed pretty high above the 18 level. So we know that the 18 level is pretty dangerous and we usually get spikes from that level. Uh you guys for anyone that's new here I like to explain stuff in case you don't understand. So what is the VIX? Well, basically the VIX is the one that's going to measure how much uh volatility the traders are expecting from the S&P 500 specifically, and that's over the next 30 days. So, if we try to break it down in simple terms, what happens when the VIX rises is that investors are paying for more protection. All right, that's what's going on. They're paying for more protection because they're getting nervous. Now another thing that we know here at uh you know at gabbytrades.com is that uh when the VIX rises more than 10% right remember that that's important. We are usually expecting for the next session or two right in the is in the next session or the session after that to have some sort of bullish momentum. It is a possible bullish scenario, right, for us for Monday or Tuesday if we consider that jump on Friday, right? This is never a guaranteed buy signal, you guys. It's just something to keep in mind. But, uh, the one thing that's like actually really interesting right now is the investor sentiment combined with the VIX. Okay, so when we look at the investor sentiment over here, um, before we get into that, actually, first of all, we can see that it's positive.
Okay. But the one thing that's uh really weird is that we still have rising tensions um in the Middle East, right?
Right now, the biggest sort of uh market risk is no longer coming from the economic reports you guys is going to be coming from the Middle East. We're going to see actually this week even more why.
So, but uh yeah, the United States have had strikes against Iran following attacks, you know, uh military personnel down. It was just terrible scenario and it's spilling just all across um the markets, right? We know that this trade of hormones is extremely important and this is what happens, right? because a significant share of the oil supply will travel through that narrow shipping route and this is what what happens. Uh US oil jumped here almost to 85 which we know as a key area for us. We also have brand that jumped almost to 90 and it's pulling back. The reason why it pulled back a little bit was because again we got some sort of news that you know Israel is sort of uh you know open to negotiations to keep the straight of her moose open. All right everyone make sure to smash the like button. Also make sure to share the stream around like if you're on Twitter on X or anything like that. Uh make sure to do that. uh but you know the thing about the oil moves in relation to the Middle East tensions is going to tell us that we are very much controlled by this situation. The market is is controlled by this situation. So if we have any military escalation that is going to push the oil higher right and then if we get any of sort some sort of diplomatic headlines that is going to bring the oil down you know it's really important it's becoming a macro story right not just a chart I even made a post on Twitter about it but uh the point is right when we looked at the CPI report um you know we didn't look at the CPI report when I looked at it but we looked at the results and we traded the results whatever we've had a pretty nice uh you know encouraging sort of uh you know data coming here we suggested that the headline consumer spending declined consumer prices declined with uh 4% in June okay but the problem with this data is that uh it's looking backwards you know the data is looking backwards so what's going to happen if oil continues to rise well we're going to get uh probably some other results Why? Because when I look at energy right over here, I can see that the Let's see here.
Hopefully, we don't get any I don't know why the stream keeps jumping, you guys.
I have no idea to be honest with you, but I hope we're online and everything is fine. Um, so yeah, the energy is really driving the CPI report and that's a very important uh report for us. All right. When I look at Friday and what happened to the overall market, well, it was kind of interesting because it wasn't kind of like simply just one bad day. Okay. And it then it came back.
Yeah. I don't know. I need to check. Um but uh so the thing is we didn't have like one or two companies that fell down. Actually, we had a broad sell-off.
Okay. Now, we're talking Dow Jones, NASDAQ, S&P 500. It all ended up on red this Friday. Advance versus decline.
Okay, we had a little bit more. Um, it was really weird actually. Look, declining 22 advance. Um, this is probably wrong to be honest, but declining is way more, I'm pretty sure.
And, uh, the grouping here, if we have a look at groups, when I looked at it earlier, it was basically one day performance.
This can't be right.
This can't be right. Anyways, uh groupings energy is the leader. I'm not sure what's happening. I think this is tripping because I checked it earlier and energy was the leader. So, that's a bit weird. Uh but anyways, because of that, right, we're seeing the weakness across the markets. And the thing is for crypto traders, this is very important.
It's very important how the NASDAQ and the overall US indexes are doing because they frequently respond to the same sort of um investor risk appetite if you will right this is tripping I don't know what's happening maybe something's wrong with my internet I don't know but the one uh you know continuous most important thing you guys let me know backstage if the stream is running fine because to me like it looks a bit weird um I don't know is it like going on pretty strange. I'm not sure for me it's not really it doesn't seem to be working out. Oh yeah, it seems fine. Um now it's fine. Okay, great. Great.
Great. Um thank you guys. Uh so this week, let's see what we have. Major earnings week. All right, we have Tesla, we have Alphabet, uh we have Service Now, IBM. You know, we're going to get get a lot of reports this week. though it's pretty packed on earnings, Intel as well. These companies are going to matter a lot because you know the tech sector is the one that matters at the moment and it has been the one that has been experiencing the heavy selling. So when this happens, the second thing I'm going to think about is all right cool.
So these companies are already experiencing the fall besides Apple. By the way, Apple had an all-time high. I don't know if you saw you guys, but uh you know pretty crazy chart. But the point is before earning they're already dropping down. So does that mean that expectations are probably already ex you know going to be lower right? Um so that's the question and we really are looking forward to that guidance and we want to understand you know if any investors are questioning the AI valuations right now. That's what we're looking for here. Now, uh, in terms of the economic calendar this week, honestly, we don't have much besides the weekly unemployment reports and, uh, probably the one thing that's important is probably the ECB, um, conference that's going to happen on Thursday.
Well, that's basically where the Europe European Central Bank is going to meet.
Um, and let's see what happens. But in my opinion, this week is going to be more sensitive to the earnings. You saw we have a lot and probably the geopolitical headlines you guys more than you know the traditional economic data. Okay. So where is our focus going to be? Well, we're going to keep tracking the VIX. We want to see what happens with the oil. Maybe some diplomacy calls. Maybe something is going to improve the sentiment in general and we're going to get a relief rally. But if we get that continuous escalation, it's probably not going to get that great. So, we're really into the between spaces right now. All right. Really interesting. Just as usual, you know, but this time it feels a little bit heavier. Uh now, in terms of Apple, you guys, honestly, uh pretty generational.
We we got alltime highs on Apple. I think this thing is just uh continuing higher for the moment. I don't see it um you know, pulling back too much.
Ideally, if it pulls pulls back, I have some areas of interest that uh you know, I could be interested in probably around 321, but for now, this is probably, you know, the most uh strong chart that I can see. Uh which is really great to see. Now, when I look at Bitcoin, all right, again, extremely interesting, you guys, but let's look at the overall picture without being biased or anything like that, right? We're not biased.
We're just looking at the Bitcoin chart at the moment. you know, barely just the liquidity indicators and we're looking at structure, right? So, we're still extremely bearish. So, when I look at this low, it's still the lowest low, right? We still we this is still the lowest low. We haven't had a higher low.
Do you know what I mean? And then if I look at the highs here, well, essentially, we still have the lowest lower high right now. So, we need something to happen here for us to get a little bit more confidence in this chart. Now, of course, we have all the tools of Gabby Trades that we use.
Shout out to me. But uh uh and we're going to see how this could potentially go. But for me, the ideal scenario is if they're going to pull back price, at least create a higher low that is going to be a little bit more comforting for me to be honest. maybe complete that head and shoulders pattern a little bit more [snorts] substantial with the with the right side of the shoulder here and maybe that would be a little better for me. Right on the weekly time frame, we know that we have the divergence which is great. So, it's definitely an area and a moment to to start looking into um into crypto just in general, right? The sentiment has been absolutely terrible.
Nothing is said that it's going to improve immediately. But let's see what is happening when we add all of the things. So, first things first, right?
Um on Friday, uh Bitcoin was actually in a very nice buy zone down here. So, that was a pretty nice buy. So, instead of again buying Bitcoin because I'm already long from like 57K, I decided to just uh buy Hype. Okay, which was probably not the best decision because hype didn't move as much as Bitcoin did and uh you know of course we have all the areas of interest the daily SR flip zone which uh price rejected from just inevitable right this is our zones are pretty accurate um as usual. So, as you can see, we had the pump continuation, very nice. We tapped into the daily SR flip zone and then we went down to tap it where into the true month open. So, that's why I keep telling you guys these levels and the way I sort of read the charts is going to show you that you really can have power over this charts and you can read them and you can actually make use of them. So, I highly highly recommend the first thing you can do is get on Discord, you guys. It's completely for free. Once you're on Discord, you're going to use um either TX Flow sign up down here, which you can find under the um video, which is a DEX, which I'm trading on, because I'm hoping they're going to have an airdrop in the future. So, I want to be early. Why not?
You know what? If they have an airrop in two years, I have the most points. Like, that would be great. Uh you have another option also for bluffing. So completely free to get your VIP access. The mentorship is one time. You get 20% off if you're a VIP member. So in that mentorship, you're going to learn not only to sculp, you're going to learn to swing, and you're going to learn all my timebased series and everything um that I use for my trading you guys. The indicators, of course, 30 days free trial. Nobrainer. All right. So it's just important for me to mention. Hello, Maximus, the best community on this channel.
Well, thank you so much. Yeah, I think we're honestly like pretty awesome people because you know the difference between us and probably the rest of the people is that a lot of people out there, they're just looking for signals, right? They're looking for signals. What we're doing is we're learning how to utilize, you know, everything that we know, our timebased uh model, our uh skills of reading the tape to actually do it ourselves, right? So that's the freedom, right? You open the charts and you know where you are and you know what to expect and things like that. So that's why, you know, I believe that we're the best. Yeah, I agree. Um, not to blow my horn, I never like to do that. I think it's bad energy, right? So what are we going to do here uh for Bitcoin? So, you know, I can tell you and I've already told my community what my sort of positioning is. Like I said, I'm long um from low levels on Bitcoin as well as Ethereum. I have a short from 65K and I'm going to tell you exactly what sort of thing I'm expecting right now.
So, on the 4hourly time frame for Bitcoin, things are not looking that great, right? We keep generating liquidity below. It's very heavy 4hourly liquidity, mid-time frame liquidity. It is strong. Okay, so we had one down here, several retests, then we dropped down into the buy zone, created another lower high. So now we have basically both of these liquidities sitting here at 62.5 and below even that around 61.5.
So that's dangerous. We're still not trading above the 0.786, which of course we know in the model. By the way, if you come on Discord, you're going to get um the educational PDF for how to utilize this sort of fib tool for for free, you guys. Um so, we know that 0.786 is always a sell zone. Okay. But what is another thing that we're looking at? Is price coming from the 0.5? In this case, it is. So it's really a situation of are we going to manage to to be able to break this levels and eventually start chasing plus one right if that happens happy days because you know what we have liquidity above we also have the trueear open at around 69 and we have um 4hourly SR flip zone at around 69.3 so this area is actually going to be quite a significant area of interest for me for short continuation potentially right?
Potentially um if that happens, you know, but I want to see price break above a little bit more substantially. And if that happens, I'm not going to be opening any more shorts. So that's why I have only one go with the shorts and I have a lot more longs open at the moment. All right, it seems like really we're in the grace right now of what happens with uh you know, Iran and the US.
Everyone say hi in the chat box. So, I love seeing you guys here. How many likes do we have? Let's have a look.
We're missing about three today. We're gunning again for 40 likes. Awesome. Um, all right. So, that's where we are, right? Let's have a look on the daily.
Actually, let's have a look on the weekly.
All right. Cool. Awesome.
Yeah, you know, it definitely has some sort of potential here. It's looking fine for a continuation up. Like I think it's going to be great. Hopefully it doesn't fail. Like I I'll be way more happy if that happens because you guys know I have way more exposure on the long side rather than the short. But as you can see, we're keep uh keep rejecting the um you know the daily SR flip zone which is kind of a strong uh kind of a strong zone. And here with that uh you know 12-hourly close we didn't manage to get above here. So it is very tricky. You know, I do I do want to have that short open for sure. Now, when I look at ETH, okay, when I look at Ethereum, honestly, it's kind of like in the middle of uh of nowhere. It's holding at the moment. Kind of like trying to create a lower high here, but this could be just a pullback to fill a little bit of that move and then continue higher.
So, for me, uh for Ethereum, I'm kind of way more interested to see what happens in higher levels to be honest, right? So I can see here we had massive selling so we re reacted from that. We kept the bullish uh internal order flow here. So it's looking fine for now, right? Unless we start seeing breaks down here then maybe things could change a little bit.
But for now on the 12-hourly Ethereum is looking fine. Honestly, let's hope for like 2,00 2,100. I think that'll be um pretty awesome for Ethereum.
All right. And in the meantime, if you have anything that you want me to look uh into, I will. Now, let's have a look at hype. Actually, first remove everything so I show you kind of what I did uh last week um on Friday.
So, this was uh this was pretty much it.
Um I think I longed one time down here.
Uh where was it? Did I long here?
Initially, I did. Yeah, that's what happened. Yeah. So, essentially my first long attempt was here and then I realized, all right, here we're reacting to um pretty heavily to like a a lower time frame sell zone. It was a massive reaction. So, we came down and we actually retested 0.236 a little bit better than before because this was not a proper touch here to my buy zone. Um and then higher time frame on the 12-hourly. Let's have a look here. Uh with my first buy down here, we did have, you know, a sweep of the double liquidity on the the 12-hourly down here, but like I said, we didn't get a touch of the 0.236.
So, I positioned one more time down here after the proper touch and everything.
And now I'm long on um hype, which I think is pretty awesome because I'm expecting higher prices on this. There's a little bit more liquidity up here. And I think 63 is going to be a very good target here for me for hype. So that's what I'm hoping for. If we jump up here, I'll definitely pick up some more profits on that long, which by the way, I'm like pretty high leverage. I think I'm 50x. Remind me you guys on Discord um that follow that trade uh with me.
But uh that's kind of the expectations here that this is going to push a little bit higher. Hopefully it doesn't fail one more time uh in this area that we've been failing quite a bit from. Okay. Um and when I look on, you know, S&P 500, NASDAQ, so you know, overall higher time frame range, we know that we have the double liquidity on S&P 500. We sort of like tested it, gave it another another bearish retest down here. We're breaking kind of below lows at the moment. Still back into, you know, into that buy zone that's been heling uh that's been holding for now. But is it really going to hold? I don't know. Honestly, if we start failing below these levels, it's going to get a little bit dangerous and we might get exposed to to lower levels which could potentially spill um not could but probably most probably will spill into the crypto as well which for me you know is a huge problem because you know the thing with crypto is before we could say all right cool um they're you know they're linked uh they're correlated if the indexes go up bitcoin is going to go well But that hasn't been the case, right? So, um it's it's just a little bit difficult right now to say the least. Um with NASDAQ, okay, we also have the double liquidity on the 12-hourly. We can see that it's been working a little bit stronger to get to that um to that level which is down here. We're trying to double bottom right now from which we're reacting, but internally this is looking quite weak and it could be just a little bit of a fill for a continuation lower.
This is the kind of thing that I'm afraid for, but I think this um essentially would be the most probable target um to the downside here. I think that would be great if we just sweep. Um it's going to be a little bit more convincing for me to look for longs um rather than just here from a double bottom. Of course, it is a previous area of interest 28,330.
So again I do understand why it is uh it is popping from here but it's not enough for me and coming from the 0.5 you can see this um sort of you know congestion here around the 0.5 of uh this trading range which usually results in subzero okay where we also have liquidity. So for me it's really a no nobrainer. This could be just a move to fill in you know the bearish imbalance move to the downside here. So, we fill it a little bit and then we continue lower. Okay.
If I have to look a little bit more uh you know in depth for where could that happen, there's quite a bit of areas um that this could occur actually, right? It could be within here. We have a locked buyer on the 1 hourly time frame and it could be uh down here from the break below of this uh buy formation as well. That's also a possibility around 29092.
Okay. So, let's just put some, you know, alerts here to see how everything is reacting at the same time, which is, by the way, um the thing, the number one thing that I do, right? I put alerts and I want to see how everything is doing at the same time. Now, you know, interestingly enough, SpaceX new alltime lows, you guys. Um, it's kind of crazy, right? We had the the perfect sell setup down here. It is going lower. It is also huge market cap. Okay, so it's a huge market cap. It's one of the top 10 market cap from the indexes right now.
So, you know, it's probably weighing to some extent like I would imagine, you know, I would imagine that uh it weighs to some sort of extent. So, yeah, I'm definitely keeping a close eye on that as well. Um, for now it's just a complete sell-off to the downside and uh nothing much more than that.
Uh, when we look at gold, uh, gold is also pretty interesting, you guys.
Higher time frame. We're still waiting for this lower side to commence, but it's trying to hold strong and it's trying to just like, you know, make a lower high, make a lower high, make a lower lower low, lower high, and that's where we are at the moment. So I really think that this has a potential to also dip below subzero coming from the 0.5 of the trading range. Right? This is our trading range. We know it very well here like that. So it has a potential to to dip subzero. Yes, you guys make sure to keep the chat active so then we can get more people to discover us. Um and make sure to smash the like button if you haven't. So, you know, it is kind of interesting what's happening right now.
We are trying to hold some levels down here, but I'm I'm still not convinced um that gold could push like if it gets some strength out of nowhere, you know, as a safe heaven or whatever due to the escalations. I don't know. Maybe we could get a push to 4,100, but I don't see it uh pushing much more than that um at the moment. Uh but it is entirely possible for me. It's going to be way more interesting if we get that dip below subzero and we actually trade around 3,887.
I think longer term, uh, this could be more interesting for me, right? If we come and sweep that low down here. So, if we do that, the thing that I'm going to be looking at is actually for a sweep and a potential bounce from there. Does that make sense?
like that doesn't mean that I'm going to, you know, um completely change my bias after the sweep at 3,800. I don't think it's going to be the case. Uh we could have a pretty substantial, you know, pull back from that level. In fact, I am expecting a little bit more substantial pullback in gold from from that level down here approximately. But the reality of the situation is that if we start losing that level, which probably most probably eventually we will, the thing is you don't have much uh to look forward to on gold up until like 4 3,4 3,500 approximately to uh you know this area 3,500 in between 3,250 I think is probably the area where gold could uh you know potentially give another reaction. more substantial but losing that level in between we don't have that much unfortunately for gold.
Okay.
So, uh that's the kind of thing. Uh let's have a look for Gala 80. Uh we can look at uh silver at the moment, but um yeah, it's still not looking very great. Um, it is sort of kind of in the level that I'm usually, you know, willing to be paying attention to, but it hasn't really reached my level, uh, which is a little bit lower at around 54.4.
Love you too, Gala 80. So, yeah, I don't know. I would say I'm still a bit, uh, you know, wary with this. It's going to be way more interesting to me at around 49.7 or even lower around 45.3.
Right? There was a time there was a time and uh now we're back. Right? So um we need to be careful with this. Okay. But there is a quite a substantial um you know demand and interest within this levels. So around $49 $50. So let's see.
We might get something um happening over there. So, I'm quite excited about that as well, but as of now, not yet.
Okay, what else do you guys want to look at since Tesla is reporting this week?
And uh let's see how much were we expecting from Tesla?
Uh where was Tesla did we have? We have service now. Here we don't have XP. Oh, yeah. Here it is.
Um around 7%, right? So plus minus 7.1% on uh Tesla.
That would be quite quite interesting.
We're sitting really in between very very interesting levels uh within the price range here on the daily time frame. It is a bearish range. Okay. You have liquidity on the both sides. Most importantly, you have liquidity at uh hello silver moon. We have liquidity at around 336.78.
So that's quite low. Um you know it's the lower part of the range. So that means sub-zero. So then we're looking at reactions at 0.5 and we already have them, right? We had a 414 414 for um Tesla and we lost the level.
Okay, we lost the level. So the next interesting level for for Tesla is 367.
So I'm kind of curious to see if anything could happen right with these reports and we could get um you know something like that. Like that would be crazy if that happens. Okay. Or at the very least because always the 0.236 first take profit for me will always remain 0.5. And not only 0.5, we also have the 414 area of interest uh for Tesla down here which is a previous inflection point within this range. Not only the equilibrium of the range. Okay.
Hey soul, welcome everyone. Make sure to smash the like button. We need to get at least 40. That's what we're aiming for.
It's been like that for a while and I'm very proud that we've achieved so many likes, you guys. It's so cool.
Oh my god, I love sparkling drinks.
I am obsessed. Okay. Um, what else? What else? What else?
Everything else is pretty much in the gutter. Um, so that's that's that, right? We already talked about oil. Uh it's kind of uh you know for me like you know a a proper test um up here 85.71 I think that's probably inevitable um at this stage pretty amazing buy uh down here we called it you know the most more refined zone down here then another zone for a long um then we had resistance we beat the resistance retested it another uh leg up and Now, I'm still expecting a little bit more to the upside to be honest you guys here for um for oil. So, that's going to be quite interesting uh to see semiconductors not great news. Uh we continue to not do so well um in the semis which is a problem in terms of crypto. I think we we said pretty much what uh we needed to say.
Let's go back to Bitcoin and see the current reaction. And then I might look um a little bit more at gold today to see if I can catch any trades uh for a Monday. But today um you know honestly with the beginning of this week, the fact that we don't have so much economical data, I think we're we're very much in the graces of that military conflict right now. Okay, we're really in the graces of that.
Uh when I look at fear and greed index, I can see that we've dropped down in the fear territory. Um that's where we stand. Uh crypto of course is uh even worse, but investor sentiment for me is uh is more important and right now it's leaning kind of bullish. So uh let's hope that's not just another, you know, um trip for us. I think gold, sorry, oil can go to support.
So, Silver Moon is looking at 87.
[sighs] Um, let's have a look.
Mhm.
Um, yeah, I mean, could be, right? It could be a situation of a wick um of the zone and then you kind of like lose the zone at around 87. um would totally make sense for me.
You know, you do have a zone essentially on the daily as well uh within that level. It is kind of in between um you know 92 and 85 which are my two levels down here. But the idea is that 8576 is firstly the most important level. So, uh, you know, if I'm looking at this, right? If I'm looking at, uh, at this, and then I say, "All right, cool. I want to see a break of the, um, 85, and then instead of a a held of that area, I want to see, you know, so instead of something like this, I want to see something like um, like this, you know, immediate rejection sort of thing." Um, so that's one thing to be watching out for. Um, I think definitely. So I can actually have some alert here as well.
So thanks for the heads up. But for now, recovery is still there. Um, if I look on the 4hourly time frame, we are in a massive, massive danger zone, you guys.
And unfortunately, it's not really going anywhere, right? At least for now. Um, I don't know what the political interests are whatsoever. I don't think anybody really knows. People can speculate. This all we do even with the charts. Um, but yeah, 4hourly looks terrible and it looks like this could um escalate a lot more.
I like trading all kinds of assets except Bitcoin. What kind of assets do you like to trade? You know it's interesting like uh when you are in your sort of like beginner journey of uh trading I don't know I mean I shouldn't judge like that but you know this was at least my experience um like at the beginning you know when I started learning I was like okay I'm learning this one asset I don't need to know about anything else which was probably the best approach because then you can focus on this one asset and just study it and master it and then you can move on to other assets. Now, the reason why we talk about all these other assets here with me is because I'm used to that, right? Like I can be uh long Bitcoin, long Ethereum, short something else, or I can be long Ethereum, short Bitcoin, long-term, you know, high frequency trading, whatever I do, it's just a complete mess. Uh but you know the idea is that you want to get to to that level where it doesn't bother you really which asset uh you're looking at you know um of course some will have their benefits um more than others etc. Let's here look um have a quick look at uh gold. I can see that we swept the Asia high like twice. We're breaking down. So this is not looking very bullish at the moment.
Five minute time frame. Let's see if uh there's something of interest to me.
Quite a bit of a session.
Way too much motion. Yeah. Yeah.
Yeah. Options is also pretty cool, right? Buying the right to um to buy and sell. It's uh it's pretty cool. I don't particularly do it. uh but it is something that could be very lucrative um if you do it correctly.
So let's have a quick assessment here um first on uh on gold.
All right. So Friday we had quite a bit of recovery. Then we came down, we retested into the buy zone, but not as deep as I would I would have liked it to, but uh definitely within uh within parameters of a long here.
You tried to break down, you failed. You pushed one more time. So now you're retesting that demand down here. You're pushing again. You failed um to break structure and then you push down here.
So, massive manipulation going on at least on the 30 minute. Let's have a look um the 15minut.
Mhm. Yeah, 15 minute is okay. Um nice bullish retest at the levels.
Tried to break down here, failed. Uh you had another break here. So, that looks like a liquidation here at the top to which you proceeded to sell off.
Now, let's have a look on the lower time frame. Three more likes, you guys, to 30. Let's go. We can totally do that.
We can totally do that.
Mhm.
Yeah. Yeah. Well, yeah. Like I said, the take is a little bit down right now. Um, so it could be an opportunity. It could be um the start of something a little bit worse. But in my opinion, you know, they're so down. Like there is so much work to be done in these stocks to kind of shift the whole structure to bullish that you know you could have a bounce but you might as well look to short it.
You know what I mean? Like it just that's how it feels to me um with these stocks at the moment.
All right. So again let's start again daily time frame. Let's have a look a little bit here.
It doesn't look bullish at all. Daily time frame, like if it starts bouncing up from here, it's going to be out of nowhere and I'm not going to be involved in that because it's too risky.
Um, yeah, way too risky.
I'd I'd rather advocate for uh for the shorts here to just finish the job to the downside.
So, I'd really love for the bears to be able to pull down um for me to get some sort of interest even though you have a nice bounce here um with the buy formation on the 1 hourly time frame.
This was a pretty good retest as well down here exactly in that zone. If I remove everything else, you can see that's the kind of thing you want to be looking out for, right? You have the buy formation here.
You have the buy formation. Actually, let's Yeah, perfect. Uh, you have the buy formation here. You kind of hover, you try to lose it, you recover it immediately. Uh, this is on the 1 hourly. On the lower time frame, there was a very nice area for a retest here.
And you also combine that with the lower sides of the buy formation here on the 1 hourly. You guys, you just need these indicators. I don't know how many times to repeat. You can get them at gabbytrades.com. The reason I repeat that is because of all the questions I get. Even after I've said it 100,000 times, people still ask me, "Where do I get the indicators?" So, I'm like, "Here." But I kind of said it 15 times.
Where were you? Like, I don't know. It doesn't matter. Um, okay. So, that was a nice retest down here. This was a nice buy, I must say, down here. Um, for sure. And on a lower time frame, it looks even better. Okay, fine. Cool. So that happened down here.
Asia low at that time. I'm not trading whatever. So with the start. All right.
We had another push up and we already assessed that. So that looks bearish. So Asia high is taken.
We just want to quickly assess here 1.15% of a range here for Asia. So that's quite healthy.
That's quite healthy. So yeah, they'll probably look to drop a little bit lower. Now the question is if um that would be another maintenance scenario here of uh this structure down here or they will just like lose it.
Not very ideal conditions for me. But I think on the 1 hour uh sorry on the one minute time frame there's probably something.
Take the daily high and move down. Let's have a look again at the daily high.
What? Today's um You mean today's daily high?
It's not going to be really taken. If that's the case, uh it's just going to be developing much further higher cuz the previous daily, uh you know, it's already out.
So, um, yeah, there's definitely resistance at 4,045. So, yeah, it is a level to watch to be fair. So, just slap an alert there just in case.
Um, but I do think they have a case here uh for a little bit lower.
All right. Now I want to see whether, you know, that's going to be a sweep and then the levels are still going to hold down here, this buy zone, and then they push it one more time up or they just completely fail.
4hourly.
[sighs] Yeah, 4 hourly probably shows that the daily up um momentum is probably not done yet, but uh that's not for me to determine.
And we still have 15 minutes uh to the market open. Let's have a look 5 minute time frame.
Mhm.
Yeah, it's just consolidating at the moment here. So, not ideal uh for positioning at the moment.
1 minute. We already kind of saw that uh we have liquidity here on both sides. So that is just telling you that they're probably going to keep ranging that um up until the market open.
And then uh let me just quickly have a look here.
Mhm.
Yeah, I'm just quickly checking the volume, but it they could really bounce it from here, but 15 minute, you already had a weak fill. Maybe you get another week fill here. We have the new 15-minute opening like right about in like 20 seconds or something like that.
So uh they could potentially hold that level but I'm not planning to enter in like the last sort of minutes before market open. I think that would be uh not ideal and I've kind of relaxed a little bit on my high frequency trading on gold because you do need that at least me like I need to step away. I've had such, you know, amazing um 3 months doing it like non-stop every day. But, you know, high frequency trading for me is just too much, right? It's too much on your system. Like, if you feel the need that you need to step away a little bit with everything else that I'm doing, which are live streams and also trading Bitcoin and all that kind of stuff, um I do push back a little bit.
All right. So, while we're waiting for for that to develop here, cuz I'm kind of interested uh what's going to happen, we can look at some requests.
All right. So, we have ADA.
Um, which I think we kind of saw it earlier, but let's have a look if anything has changed really.
Yeah, it doesn't look bad, honestly.
Let's see just where we're coming from.
Uh on a monthly it looks like a disgrace, complete disgrace. Uh weekly kind of starting to look like okay maybe there is something here just like everything else with crypto does look like that right now that it might be something. It might be uh really nothing, you know. Um so um what do you like in terms of what like long-term hold or just like in terms of potential entries or anything like that? What are you what are you thinking? So I like this, right? I like this break uh to the upside. Lots of bullishness here. So this is healthy kind of bring it back retest. Um you want to hold sort of u the level down here. You you don't want to break below it. You really want to have that higher low and then just continue higher like that would mean potentially continuation of that break up here. So that's how I view it. Uh but for me, ADA is uh way below where it needs to be and I'm not trying to be the one that catches the absolute bottom here. I think it's going to be really difficult for me to um to do that. It is it is a very good formation down here like on a weekly time frame candle wise also looks sort of okay like you had a bullish engulfing obviously you're not going to get a follow through. Like why would you? Um it's going to be too easy then. But I think the fact that it's holding down here where it is right now, it's kind of all right. But look, you haven't really had much action. Price is consolidating right now. It's, you know, bulls are not managing to recapture the momentum. So, it is one of the risky ones that um I'm looking at at the moment. Um I'll treat it as one of the risky ones. All right.
such as optimism which I looked out earlier um for one of the members on um on discord but you are you know you are generating a lot of liquidity um to the upside but still you know internally I wouldn't it's it's internally is a range right it's like it's not it's indecisive um so yeah I'd like to see a higher low here and um and a push higher I think that would be great. But for me, I think I have my levels for ADA. So, I would need a recovery above 0.2161 at least.
Um, or to be more precise, like 0.2141.
That's going to be a hard level to recover. Um, so even if we get a push, I think this zone is a massive zone of resistance.
Doesn't matter that it's ADA. I'm just going to put my alert here in case price pushes significantly to the upside here. Still bullish formation. It could definitely do that. U but it's it's going to be a massive uh resistance level. So, um just keep that in mind. It's a higher time frame level as well. But if you break it, you know, then uh you could really send it to 0.4.
Like it's it's possible. Anything could happen.
XLM. All right, cool. Let's do XLM.
And uh send me some more requests, you guys. We still have 10 minutes.
Mhm. Yeah.
Yeah. Again, consolidating. Not at bad levels, honestly. Um not at bad levels at all. Um to me this is looking kind of okayish down here. If they manage to hold the position they're coming from a good level. Um you know the leg is bullish right? You have liquidity above uh you properly retested 0.236 um here in um end of June. You had a nice uh buy and another rejection here.
You're holding the previous buy formation here at a lower levels which is also good.
Um so essentially from here you want something like this that would be great at the very minimum something like this right because that is also possible.
Why? Well because you know you pushed up here but then uh yeah you created a new low here internally. So uh essentially this could be you know it could be a little tricky to uh to beat because you have a strong high here. So, um, you know, that's the kind of thing, uh, you're looking for, but that doesn't mean that, uh, if you don't get momentum here, you won't snatch this high, you know, um, which could be interesting. But from 0.236, you know, daily time frame range, take profit one for me, it's always going to be at around the 0.5.
Um and then you want to see something like this, you know, price consolidating here and moving up sell zone. Uh but you have liquidity above. So even if it drops here with the liquidity below coming from the 0 um five, you would want to be uh looking for some sort of u uh level that could hold you down up here for a continuation for that liquidity. You know, that's the kind of thing uh you're looking for.
Jazz me. Oh my god, guys. You're bringing me back into into the debts of uh of crypto, which I haven't been in quite a bit now, [snorts] just like all the cryptos, uh you know, at a potential interesting level consolidating around here. Um, it's it's honestly it's not too bad that it's holding that level down here on the daily.
Um, let's look at weekly one sec.
Yeah, weekly still, you know, you have the lowest low. Are you going to make another, you know, lower high? That's the question.
Um weekly is still nothing um in terms of like a big reversal sort of situation daily. Okay. Like you had um your higher low. You had a weak high here. You grabbed it. Then you're pulling back.
Now the question is can you see um strength here to kind of get above this level and probably hold um price to grab at least these highs right these tweezer tops up here. I think that would be interesting at 00005138 resistance a little bit above that at 005507 you do have lots of liquidity above but um you know nothing confirmed for now like I I'd love to right I'd love to be like super positive and be like hey I need to start buying from here and honestly like you could make a case for that Because you're welcome because like we said, you have Bitcoin having the bullish divergence right now on the weekly with the RSI. It's huge. Like it's happened before and that only resulted in higher prices. So indeed, it is a moment for me to definitely turn my eyes in that direction instead of just looking at um um all the other markets.
But so I am definitely and that's why it was extremely important for me to be uh positioned from very good prices and you know we were the the people who had the opportunity to do that at the very bottom honestly for Bitcoin like I don't know many people that could see uh what we were able to identify down here pretty substantially right which was and we even said it like in the daily updates on um on Discord, which by the way, if you're not on Discord, you guys, please join. It's completely for free to get your VIP. You're going to get my daily updates. You can ask questions about your charts and meet the rest of the community that are traders and post their charts every single day. We also have a freaking amazing DJ community.
So, they're trading memes. I joined them and I like doubled my portfolio. I have even more than double right now, which is pretty amazing. And I did it in like a week. So, uh, these guys are every day hunting for coins and it's insane. But we posted this exact setup or I did, okay, where I said I need a dip below here and uh, that's going to be a buy.
So, uh, and that's what happened, right?
And, um, correct me if I'm wrong, but you know, it's not about whether you know you're the greatest trader or this like that. I don't care about that at all. it's important if I make money if uh my community is learning what I know but uh yeah I mean our indicators and our system is just what um is enabled me to do that so uh props to that and now the indicators are signaling again attention right be careful we're still rejecting from a very important area so we might dip right let's see for a Monday it's going to be quite interesting Yeah, definitely a bit of an explosion here.
We have some levels of potential support.
You had double liquidity here on the 5m minute. You dip below the lower side.
You recover extensively. Of course, you went to chase the upper side and that's where you sold off because you were at a daily SR flip zone, which means, you know, support and resistance. previous supply and demand exchange.
Okay, we're missing four how many likes?
Seven more likes, you guys. And we're making our 40 likes, which by the way is generational for Gabby Trades, even though the views are like super low because everyone's like uh dipped and went on summer vacation or I don't know what they're doing, but uh likes are at alltime high. Um so yeah, which I only have you to thank for.
Um yeah, definitely exposed a little bit up here. Let's see if we're going to get the support um that we need somewhere for a continuation higher. It could be it could really dip down here as well and u also continue higher. I wouldn't mind that at all.
I think within here could be actually uh quite interesting.
It will be a little bit deeper but I think it's possible here as well.
Let's see how the market reacts on open and um have a look at uh gold as well.
Same thing just like we said the week fill and then continuation up on the new 15minut.
So you had a this was the previous week fill for this. Now we're week filling for this um you know and an area of support. So let's see if we're going to get something here because look at that 10-minute dodgy. You had a selloff you made. It's just um you know a very ugly range on a lower time frame. And if you are trying to look at the candles on a sort of a higher time frame, it's a mess. Okay.
But um yeah, I'd say these lows here are probably exposed um to potential grab.
[snorts] If it pushes up maybe could be another sell from sort of this zone on the 15.
So we need to wait for that uh volatility to kick in but lower side of the liquidity is already grabbed. So probably upon open um they might push it a little bit higher. Let's see.
You have a nice reaction here. They try to push it up but then failed miserably.
So that is important to follow through as well. See what happens. But for now, this is what we're dealing with um on gold. S&P is trying to push one minute. Retesting the one minute zone here.
too many bullish candles. So, a nice pullback here. If it's too bullish, this is probably going to be enough to chase these highs up here. I think that would be probably the case.
Five more four more likes, not five, five more likes.
So, from here, probably a push up. Let's see what's happening with gold.
And we have about 8 seconds again. Back down to retest. Let's look on the uh 15 second.
So is tradable is it?
We got to look. Um and here it is.
Market open. I think they are planning to do some interesting things here. So, let's wait for it and see what's uh what's the verdict here.
Lots of highs here. That could be a target. But like I told you, I'm a little bit more inclined to the upside.
Not only because we have here the double liquidity formation also because we're at a support area kind of right now u with low here. So, let's see. Uh let's look at Sana. Actually, we've been kind of ignoring it or I have. I'm just not trading it.
All right. Yeah, cool. I mean, at support, I guess it's been there like 15,000 times before that on the daily.
Um, yeah, I mean, okay, cool. Like, you have some levels broken here, but you're not managing to break others and you're just like selling off here. Lows, lows, lows. Um, not ideal. Um, honestly, I think, uh, if it doesn't start to recover here, it's probably going to dip, um, way lower within the buy zone down here that I have for it, uh, within this range. So, I'm not very enticed to trade Salana at the moment.
dip down, retest the break before.
All right, it does look like it can push a little bit higher, but I'm just not convinced right now. The market is just giving me uh rangey vibes at the moment, so I don't want to get stuck in anything.
Here's the push on gold.
All right. So, that's a nice recovery here.
If it pulls back, if I were to trade it, um I think I would have liked to to enter here somewhere, right? Like something like this. I think that would be uh interesting.
There is no volume. Yeah, it is kind of rangy, but we we can still see the direction, right, that it's kind of wants to to get to.
So, uh you know, whether it's going to see another sell off from from here or a little bit higher, it's quite possible. But I I'm just not feeling like uh you could you know what like structurally when you look at this it really makes sense right? So first of all like we said earlier it should be a buy because it's kind of holding up a key level here right key level. It's trading above it's broken levels above it. Um so if anything is going to happen it should really happen here.
you know, that just makes the the most sense. Um, [snorts] so let's see 5 minute really trading in between levels. Um, if you see again, you have the uh previous formation here even on 5m minute visible where the support is but then you have also the resistance above it and that is where you're forming the range. Now if I'm like on the one minute and I like I just want to I just want to trade that you know like I mean I want to participate in the range then I would have done something like this right so this is the most clear leg even though I have the liquidity above and even without the range I I knew that was sort of the buy down here I would pull the range here and I'll just play the range right you just play the range until you can with the double liquidity So uh right so that's your most clear um sort of last leg once created 0.236 buy 0.786 sell 0.5 always take profit again same thing 0.236 236 0.5 0.786. You know, eventually what happens is you're going to get cut off, right? Um, you know, but always like if you're trading lower time frame ranges, the stop loss always has to be, you know, um, within these zones here.
So, here it is once again pushed really high, but uh, it lost, right? it lost 0.786. So that's the new 5m minute that's doing the damage at the moment.
And like we said with the five minute not only we drew the range but what is the five minute also doing right? It's maintaining price between two levels. So as the green line down here and the red right so that's support and resistance.
So you see it wicks above it and loses it. So it's still maintaining the range.
Okay. So what is that telling you? Well, on the 1 minute with the drop from 0.786, there's another um high frequency trading by 0.236 and we just go on go on go on until there are no more chances, right? Until you exit the range and the range is invalidated.
Okay. So, so that's pretty much how you can play these stuff like on a lower time frame. Does that make sense? Let me know in the chat box. Everyone, thumbs up if you understood what I said.
very important stuff.
Okay.
Yes. Great.
Look at those wicks. Amazing you guys.
Amazing. Good job.
Good job in understanding uh and listening.
Silver is reacting a little bit with a delay here.
Awesome.
But again, now let's say you're in a high frequency trade. So like I said, this is going to be the sell. Now you're in a buy.
First take profit 0.5. You're waiting for second take profit 0.786. You're playing the range. That's it. Right.
Internally, this was a bullish engulfing. Then you have no follow through. After that, you're kind of in a range. You're hoping to exit high up.
But uh let's see.
There is not much evidence right now.
Which one's going to fail first?
Um, overall bias like I said one more time. I can still repeat it. Uh, for me is bearish.
I see head and shoulders in BTC. Um, what's like on a lower time frame? I think I saw it too. Yeah, you are right.
You're totally right. Yeah, you're totally right.
You're totally right. It's coming back retesting here. Uh that's a 30 minute zone. Let's have a look. Yeah, absolutely pretty valid zone. Now, how do I know that the zone is valid? Okay, I look for previous reactions to it.
Okay, so look at that. This is my this is my thing right here.
That's the one that's created the uh the the support and uh the resistance or was flipped SR flip zone, right? So I can see price heavily reacting to it. Right. So here the latest reaction was from here, right? So that's the lower level of this formation. I hope you guys can see it.
All right. Then you break above it. This is a lot of volume here, right? So you you kind of retested bullishly. That's that's good. That's good. Could be a continuation up. So um it's great. You're generating, you know, liquidity above it.
Um, so let's see.
[snorts] Me personally, I I would love if it drops a little bit deeper like within this zone. Like technically, I think for me that would be way more attractive, but it could hold also here like we said because bullish is right. Right. This could be a head and shoulders. All right. Who's going to give us the last four likes for today?
Um, and uh, yeah, but that's the thing.
It could be uh it could be not you know because higher time frame we still have uh some areas to worry about you know so uh we just take it as um as it is hype nothing dude like I was I had such high hopes for this to to run like more and faster but essentially it just uh slowed down momentum Um, soon as I picked it, almost like on purpose, they were like, "Yeah, we know Gabby's going to pick this one.
Ethereum is picking up 15 minutes." So, that's the first sort of market opening candle here uh that you're getting. I do think they're going to push it a little bit higher, though. Like, I think this could resolve um at least above Asia high, like one retest.
If that happens though, I will still watch sort of the reactions here because like this is still 0.786.
You have a sell formation on the 4hourly. So yeah, you beat the previous formation, but now you created another one. So uh also I kind of really really am interested to see what happens here.
So I'm putting an alert at around 65 587. Actually that's pretty precise. Um that's a bluffin chart I'm looking at.
So that's kind of the alert that I have be because here I'm going to be watching right in case we move up right we take that price pushes up I want to see first is there any body closes above here on the 4hourly time frame above the previous bodies then secondly what I'm going to look is uh how is price reacting once it sweeps that level right do we have a break or retest you know or we just lose the level immediately like that's the kind of things that uh you want to be looking out for.
So, um, yes, you guys, make sure to check gabbytrades.com. Like I said, uh, this is $800 lifetime. You're going to get all of my materials, all of my knowledge is in there in hours of videos that I've made for you guys. So, make use of that.
You get 20% off from the VIP access on Discord, which is completely for free.
And I'm going to say it one more time.
If you're not on TX flow, not only not only that I'm partnered with them, I really like them as a team, but I also know that they might have airdrop. So, I want to be in early and that's it because it doesn't, you know, I trade anyway. Dex Bluffin, I use them both um to open position. But also one more thing that I forgot to tell you on Bloffen right now you can actually open a short and a long on the same asset at the same time which you couldn't do before because you had to average your position. Okay, so that's also very valuable information.
Um you can adjust your settings at uh where the hedge mode is like you can adjust it in there you guys. So also very cool stuff and let's see did we manage. It seems like we managed to exit the range here and grab the liquidity which is good.
Oh yeah.
Okay. Great.
Hello Missy. Now usually when Missy comes we're bullish. Um, but let's see.
So, that's it. I'm going to keep watching. I'm going to give it a little bit more time. Um, and then decide if I feel like it because last night I was staying up pretty late to watch the football game, you guys. And that is just one rule. And also the five minute you can see here, you've thrown a big week. You might want to come down, refill that a little bit, you know. Um, you had a bullish engulfing also kind of follow through. Big wick, but close bullish regardless. So, all of these things I'm watching. Um, yeah. Another thing that you can do if you want to help out is to leave a comment after the stream below on what your thoughts are for the market. What do you guys think of everything that I just told you earlier in regards to the macro and anything more that you would like to see from Gabby Trades? Also, you can put it in the comments below. You guys, thank you so much for being here today. We've started the week strong and uh I'll see you guys tomorrow.
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