In crypto trading, technical analysis using fractal patterns, trend lines, and support/resistance levels can help identify potential pump and dump scenarios. When price breaks down from a large channel and reaches key support levels (such as the 300-week moving average around $54,000), traders should be cautious as this often precedes a temporary pump that traps long positions before a subsequent massive drop. The fractal pattern analysis shows that after dropping the distance of a head and shoulders pattern, price typically pushes up to test resistance levels (around $71,000-$79,000) before the next major drop. Market makers often exploit this by pushing price up to close shorts and trap bullish traders, creating a bull trap that leads to a significant rug pull.
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bitcoin pump & dump soon! Macro analysis with timing & BTC price targets.Añadido:
Okay guys, it's early. I have only had one cup of coffee. I need about five more. But I want to explain to you why I think it's very likely we're about to get a pump and dump. Again, this will be a bull trap. And again, we're going to push up. We're going to drop, go sideways, and have a massive drop. Now, the question is, how far do we drop? And we're going to break this down, and I'm going to show you all the clues. Right now, everything is hinting to more downside, which actually tells me that more than likely we're going to get this pump.
And I'll break down all the clues and just show you through this chart. Now, the last the last videos I've been putting up for the entire month, 13 or less uh days before we top out, that was a month ago, and we did. We topped out.
And then I was showing you points to go long. Uh, you know, points to short.
You know, this was another one talking about a point to, uh, short. And then, right 10 days ago, I said short everything because that was potentially a top. It was based on a ring. The last video I told you to go short. I'll link this video now if you want to check it out. Um, in Discord, you know, I keep everybody updated hourly. And I made $29,000 on that short. I said your target was around 72,500. We got near that area. I took profit. So, I was happy with that. Now, I think it's time to go long. So, I'm going to break this down for you. And by the way, guys, if you do want to sign up to Bit Unix, they are a great platform. They have very low fees. I love their uh trading tools. Uh if you want to sign up and support me, I'll put a link up to Bit Unix. Now, again, all these links will be pinned in the first comment description. They are no KYC, no VPN. So check them out, sign up to them, get ready because soon, and I'll give you kind of a time frame. If we do bottom, you want to be ready to start dollar cost averaging in or potentially go long. Now, if you break below that point, you know, then it might be game over, but that means the stock market's crashing. Right now, the stock market's been pushing up. And this kind of goes into what I was saying, why this pump and dump potentially will play out. So, if you get access to my website and uh my charts, this chart on the website is called Bitcoin Craft Cycles.
If you want to sign up, get access to my charts and Discord. The website's optryto.com.
Uh homepage here. So just uh again, operto.com. The link's penders comcript.
I'll put a link up to it now if you want to check it out. If you do sign up, make sure you click the contact page. Once you sign up, you need to email me through the contact page and then I will send you a Discord invite link. You can pay with crypto to get access to the charts discord and tutorials, but you need to email me through the contact page first. So, let's get on to this. I have a few charts up. Let's break this down. So, first of all, let's look for one clue why we would get a pump at this point. So, I can tell you right off the bat, now I do have a lot on this chart.
So, just try to kind of just follow along right here. This this line, this is just a simple trend line, okay? Right here. This trend line right here, this this encompasses our peaks, right? So right here, this was where we topped out around 126,000.
And then we came up and we tested it again right around 97,487.
And then you can see we pushed up. We got a rejection around 77,450.
And then we came down and we found support on that red trend line around 75,000.
And now you notice we pushed up and now we are testing that trend line. So that is a very very significant uh macro trend line which was resistance. Now we'll flip as support for a second time.
So that's the first clue that we're going to get a pump because it's it's a it's a major uh major support level. And again that's around and we pretty much made contact with it. That's that's right around 69,000. All right, we so far have a dropped down with 69,245 on this uh Bitstamp chart. So, this would be a 02 chance to long. I'm going to long from here. So, if you notice now, we have been following this fractal. Now, now this is where it gets not too complicated. I I got a lot to break down here. So, please follow along. I'm going to give you all the clues and show you. So first of all, this is a a very key resistance level that's going to flip out support. So first clue now we can zoom in um before we break down the fractal just let me show you a few things. So if we look at this right here uh you can see this looks like a head and shoulders, right? So you say this was the left shoulder, this was the head and this was the right shoulder.
So, if we just measure the distance, we go from, you know, the highest point down to the neckline. And then we duplicate this and bring it down. Uh, well, I'm just going to let me here. Crl Ctrl +V. There we go. And we bring this down. This is about not quite. So, we're we're we're right at the point. We could dip down maybe to 68,642. I'll show you some other charts in confluence, but ultimately I think I think we're going to catch a bounce here. And notice this fractal. This fractal right here, this yellow one basically is this exact same fractal as the gray one. The only reason I moved this fractal up is because while yes, we're following this fractal completely, price action was higher. So, so price action diverged, but we are still ultimately following this exact same fractal. So, so keep this in mind. We are at all right this macro resistance trend line. We've already found support on it once and we're hitting it now. So, that'd be a point to go long. And this fractal that we've been following shows that we're potentially going to get a move to the upside if we continue to follow this fractal. And again, every call I've made over the past what month, two months has been based on this fractal. You can see back here when I called uh remember obviously, you know, we were we're following this gray fractal moving up, moving down. We had a little uh divergence. We the the previous crash we dropped the gray the gray uh fractal price action pushed up.
But notice this when price caught up, we dropped. We moved up. It was divergence right here. You see how you know previous price action during the crash pushed up. We dropped here and then price caught up. And this is where I call that massive drop from 97,000.
And notice notice we dropped. We just moved down this fractal, right? But we came all the way down instead of, you know, the previous crash, we created a bare flag and it dropped down. But ultimately, we pretty much dropped down to pretty close to where that fractal that gray fractal um bottomed out. But what changed is instead of having uh a smaller a smaller bare flag, we created one large bare flag which was is this this channel this channel right here that we're inside of right now. But you will notice that we have broken down from this channel. All right. So again, just follow with me here. I'm giving you all the clues. So basically, you know, this this was the channel we're in and we broke down from it. All right. So, first of all, people are going to see that channel and they're going to say, "Okay, well, we're breaking down from this larger channel." And if you measure that, so if we just go, let's just say that this is a bare flag, and you want to measure the distance, you know, from from where we uh, you know, we pushed up, we topped out. So if we take this and we duplicate it and we bring this over well where we break down from this point you know actually I I think it might be from the top or from the point where we topped out which probably here which does put us close to 300e moving average and this is what we have to find out if if we're going to bottom around this the bottom this bottom gray fractal and I do think that is the case. So if things turn around and I'm going to show you the Dow as well. The Dow is looking bullish. So, the markets could push up.
AI is just pushing these markets up like crazy. So, yes, we have broken down from a large channel, hinting that we have a lot of downside. But here's what happens, guys. While everybody is shorting and adding to their shorts, exchanges are losing money on these people going short. So, they want price to push up. They want people to close their shorts. They want people to go long. They want people to get bullish.
And then all of a sudden you get a rug pull and price comes back down to where it was. And then we're going to have some boring sideways action. And I already told um everybody in Discord, I'm going to start making some 15-minute swing trading charts for Bitcoin and for some coin charts. And I'm going to have those available on the website. And also I'm going to do some live streams where we can watch those play out. I'm going to add fib circles to it. But I just want to make sure you understand what I'm expecting. So we've already pretty much dropped the distance of this this head and shoulders. Okay, that is coincidentally right at that macro trend line of resistance that is now support.
And the reason again why I moved this fractal up while we've been following this fractal exactly again like I said you can see right back here you can see I have price action. It's kind of you know where this was. But notice we follow this fractal completely, right?
Had a little a little divergence here, but price was following it. Then we had a divergence, right? Price pushed up while the previous crash it dropped.
Then we caught up where the fractal was.
And then it showed a drop. So we dropped, we pushed up, price caught up where fractal was. Then we had a divergence. You know, previous crash, price pushed up, price dropped, we caught up to where price was. And that's how I predicted this drop at 97,500.
We dropped all the way down to 60,000.
Then we got stuck in this channel, right? So the question is now I pushed that I pushed that um that gray fractal up again. And the reason I did that is because I wanted current price action.
And even though I just moved this up, right, just moved it up to match, you can see price actions falling this completely. And that's why the last video I put up, I said, "Hey, expect a drop." I said that was more than likely we're going to top out, top this channel, 83K. We did. And I said it was very likely we're going to follow this fractal. I gave you the timing, the exact timing. Now, while you can see right here, we had uh one well, we came down and we dropped and we dropped. So, we knew we were going to drop, didn't necessarily know we're going to push back up and then come down. But notice notice what I'm showing here. We catch up where the fractal is. So even though it took it was a different way. Even though this this was more like a bare flag here, you know, the last time we had a straight drop then created a kind of a consolidation pattern. They change it up a bit, but ultimately they're following the fractal. So if this is correct, we're at a key support at 60 uh 69,77.
So this would be a point to chance to long or if you're playing spot, just buy in. But take note how far up this fractal goes. And there is a key resistance right here that's up around 79,263.
We're look at some other charts for some confluence.
But it does look like because we're at key support, this red trend line that's now support. We have this fractal and I'm talking about the yellow fractal.
It's the same one. I just pushed it up.
So that means potentially we're going to hold support above 71,427.
We're going to push up. You know, people going to start getting bullish thinking, oh, the bottom's in. It's time to go higher. And then we get a rug pull. I mean, we've been following this fractal so well. And we're at support. We've already dropped the distance of the head and shoulders. It looks like we're going to push up. So, get ready because that's that it just makes sense.
Now, the the Now, here here's where it gets interesting. Okay, so let's say that this does play out. And I am going to chance a long here because I do think it will play out. Not to mention because of two things I just told you. We we've already broken down the distance from the head and shoulders. We broke down from a larger structure which would be a trap. People say, "Okay, we're breaking down from this huge very large bare flag." So since we broke down from it, everybody's expecting us to drop. You know, if this is a bare flag, you create your pole and then the amount you drop.
So everybody's going to be expecting us to drop a lot more. Before that happens, market makers going to trap people and based on this fractal, we're going to push up. And again, that is going to going to be roughly that's about 14% move. Guys, with leverage, you can make a killing on that. And we already have our level. So, you know, if you want to wait, see if we start pushing up a bit.
If we do, then enter there and then have your stop below. Remember, you can start out with low margin if you're using cross trading and you can add to your long as price pushes up. Obviously, if you get below 69,000 and that's resistance, then we're heading lower.
But this this is what's interesting.
Since this started to to diverge, we're following the fractal. But the the fractal that we've been following is this gray fractal. And take note the 300E moving average. Now, historically, if you go back, we always bottom on the 300E moving average. Now, historically, we have dropped below this 300 300we moving average. doesn't go back that far here, but we have broken below the 300 moving average and just kind of stayed below it a bit and pushed above. But, but historically, the 300E moving average typically is the bottom. And that fractal, the original fractal, I left it on here because price has been respecting this very well. Well, that's pretty much where the 300 move 300 week 300 week moving average is, which is around 54,200.
the bottom of this uh yellow fractal that I pushed up. That's around 62,000.
So, I think what's going to happen is we're going to push up. We're gonna we're probably going to get topped at around 78 maybe 79,000. There's some liquidity up there. It makes sense they push it up. They want to trap. They want to trap longs. They they want to close shorts. And then if we measure this out, all right, after we come back down and drop, notice about, you know, actually we we'll start pushing back up as well. will kind of go sideways and up. This is about 50 52 53 days. And then look what happens. That's when that next drop happens right under this key resistance right at all right at and remember these lines have been here and I just moved this fractal and this fractal matches price action perfectly.
So I think it's very possible we're going to get a pump possibly to 78,900.
Price is going to drop. We can hold support, right? Push up. And again, this this is what's what's key here. You know, I think, you know, a lot of people are catching on to this fractal. We're following it, but it diverges a little bit to throw people off. So, you can't play the exact moves. I do think this move is going to push up again. Key support. We've already dropped the uh distance of the head and shoulders, and everybody's looking at this larger structure thinking, "Oh, well, we got a long ways to go down." You know, if if the pole comes from 97,000 down to here, then you would expect a target of at least 54,000, possibly lower. I think what's going to happen is it's going to fall this fractal and push up. But the question is, do we only come down to this point here, right, which would be around uh 63,000. I think it's going to eventually catch up. And I I I think it's more than likely since it just it just changed since it was instead of a smaller bare flag, we created one larger bare flag. And again, people saw me broke down from this. So, they're going to stay short and they're going to miss out on all that profit. That's why I took profit on my short because I'm ready for a long. So, again, bear trap.
We push up and we move sideways. But I don't think it's just going to be a drop from 76,400 down to this point, which is about a 17.48% move. I think more than likely it's going to be a drop down to now, we don't know how long it'll take. I think it's going to be closer to about 29% drop because ultimately, as I showed you, we have been following this gray fractal.
You can see right here, I just pushed this yellow fractal up just so we can get price action.
closer to where we were and it's still following that fractal even though we pushed it up. So again, I'm just showing you people expecting more downside, but we're at a macro key support level.
Everybody sees this channel we broke down from expecting more downside. What happens? Usually what you think is going to happen, the opposite happens. And this damn fractal has been so accurate allowing me to call these drops and these pumps, you know, within days. I mean, I'd say it happened on a certain day. It happens maybe a couple days before or a few days after, but ultimately it follows it. So, the point of this, I don't repeat myself, expect some possible upside, but it will be a trap and then within 50ome days, we're going to have a massive drop. I don't think we're going to stop at 63,000. I think ultimately rather we take longer to drop or we have one massive drop. I think we're coming down to test around 54,000 that, you know, I just drew I just kind of drew a line or a curve just pulling this out. We could drop below it. That's happened before. So, you know, maybe at 54,000 or 52,000 if if you're bullish on Bitcoin long term, that would be the point I would start dollar cost averaging in. If you're okay with it dropping down to 40,000 or 30,000 and you're just putting a little bit in because you want to sort accumulate, that would be the point to do it. Now, if the stock market completely tanks, yes, we could go much lower. But if you're just thinking long term and you think Bitcoin is going to continue to go higher and higher over time, well, that would be the point to start um, you know, adding to your spot position. And I'm definitely going to be entering along. All the clues show the fractal shows are going to push up.
Major support already dropped the distance of the head and shoulders. And just because you're bug jump from this channel, it looks like people expect more downside. And again, usually what you think is going to happen, the opposite happens. But again, I do think ultimately we are going to catch up with the gray fractal. So we could get that pump kind of move sideways and up. But I do ultimately think we're headed down to the very least the 300 moving average.
So I think this will be the bottom instead of this because ultimately as I said every time we follow this fractal it'll diverge a bit but we always end up back where that fractal was where price meets up with it. So I hope that makes sense as far as um you know just kind of a macro not too macro just you know a couple months out. Now let's look for some confluence here. Uh so this is uh let's see here. So, so right here was 60 63,000 and right here was around 54,000.
So, we know this uh and I mentioned this in the last video and a discord. So, so this was a key support level. We caught a bounce here. This is where and why I took profit on my short and I mentioned that in Discord as well because we came down. We found support on this channel.
Right now, what I was waiting for is do we break this channel? If we get below this channel, that becomes resistance.
Stay short because that's what I said in Discord and this was the most recent one. I said I got kind of busy, but I was saying pay attention because according to that fractal, if we continue to do uh do so, that means a small dip, which is what happened. We started dropping, then another pump, pump and dump, then we get that drop, then we get the sideways, and then a massive drop. in question is will that last drop be the yellow fractal I moved up uh to match price action or the original gray fractal and that's what we're waiting to see how it plays out.
So this is the original gray fractal the price has been following and this yellow fractal I just moved up to get um more precise with how price action is moving.
So I'm going to go through these other charts look influence but please understand what I'm saying. They're going to send price up to take out these these um shorts, get people bullish, and then we're going to this again, this is going to be a bull trap.
All right, so let's move on. So, let's just look for some good fluence here.
So, currently your major resistance. So, if we push up 72,877, uh the most key resistance above that, this is on the daily. Uh this chart is called Bitcoin macro. Um it's called chain. Let me hold on guys. This is called Bitcoin macro levels. So we're currently coming up on support. So this is further confluence for a possible bounce. This is horizontal support. Your next key sport below is around 63,4 444. All right. So this right here 63,64,000.
Okay. So that would play along. So if we continue down that would that would follow this yellow fractal if that breaks. All right. uh your next key support and I the next video I will cover this this this red line because this red line could be a larger head and shoulders either we bounce from there and push up and then that was the bottom and continue up but if we break below 57,000 we could be breaking down from a larger head and shoulders pattern going way back. So 57,400 look for confluence again 54,400 54,300 that would be the 300E moving average.
We have never dropped below that point.
We always hit the 300WE moving average and that becomes a bottom. So if things straighten out with the the straight of Permoose, you know, the market start pushing up, you know, maybe they start, you know, printing money and maybe we get some maybe we maybe get a drop and then and all of a sudden price starts pushing back up. I don't know the scenario how this plays out. I'm just showing you the confluence. So our first target to watch, you know, 63,000 around that area. But it does show that if we break 68,651, which is our current support on that macro trend line, this this red trend line that was resistance 126,000 currently at support, very very strong support.
That would be the point chance long right now after you watch this video. If we break down, well, you know, the bottom of of that yellow fractal above would be 63,400. And this is a very, very key support line. We've been respecting this line going way back.
Notice every time we hit it, we get a bounce, bounce, bounce, pushed up, and it goes further back. And notice, we respect each one of these fib channel lines. So, we do know that that is going to be um a very, very key support. If that breaks, this is and again I can just zoom out and show you what I'm talking about. This this line right here moving around right now. That is why it's so important that holds because that is your left shoulder. That's your head and this is the right shoulder. So if we hold 57,000 that is right at 300 the 300we moving average which we always hold support that always ends up being the bottom.
Okay. So if we follow that gray fractal potentially that would be where we bottom and that's where you want to dollar cost average in. Now if we break below 57,400 and that becomes resistance.
Well all you have to do is you know that's your neckline. So basically you go from the highest point to the neckline and then you basically just duplicate that and that takes you way the hell down. All right. Right. So, I'm saying that that would be catastrophic for Bitcoin. That would also mean the stock market has tanked. I mean, we're talking 30% 50% crash with the stock market.
That is possible. We will cross that bridge when we get to it. I just want you to understand why 57,000 is the most critical support right now for Bitcoin.
That has to hold. And then we know that we're going to get some kind of move to the upside. We've already we've already dropped a distance for the head and shoulders.
That's right at a key macro support level. The fractal shows a push up.
Price has been dropping. You know, they're going to send price up to take out shorts. So, again, that's why I'm short-term bullish but ready for the trap. Then we'll go sideways. You know, found support will push up. But that massive drop is coming. The question is, is it only going to be a 15 or 16% drop or a 30%, you know, 29% drop? I think the 29% drop is more likely and then we find out was at the bottom or did we break below that and become resistance and again I was just showing you the confluence on this chart and it does match up. So and we'll we'll figure out if this does push up how how high it will go. We can already tell based on this we're looking at possibly 76,389.
I don't think we make it up to 279,361.
I'd pay attention to about 76,400, but I want to find confluence in other charts. So, if we go to this chart, so we're looking at uh 76400.
So, if we do push up um you know, if it takes longer and well that that's 73, this is 80K. Not saying we can't do that. I just like to look for confluence. We do have confluence for downside targets. The current major resistance right now is around 73K.
Um again this is more macro. Let's look at this right here. So just current current resistance on this chart uh 71,400 the bottom of this channel now that there is some confluence there. So this this line right here right this is the bottom of of the channel that potential bare flag we broke down from. So if we push up you know if we follow this fractal push up that's 73,879.
Uh let's see right here 73. Now this is the H1 chart 73,885.
And this is how we knew and I made a post about this in Discord. We were moving up this um and and this is what I was talking about that larger I'll show you what I'm talking about. But this was a larger uh I mean sorry a smaller bare flag. So notice what happens. Basically you just go kind of from the top right.
Let me let me zoom out a bit. Show what I'm talking about here. So basically you would just kind of go from the top part, right? And then you duplicate this and then that shows how far we dropped.
We've pretty much already dropped that distance. So from from the highest point, this is this would be the pole.
This would be the flag. We broke down from it. We've already reached that point. All right. So we've already dropped the distance dropping down from this bare flag. Another clue that potentially we have some upside. And we know that your first resistance is 71,300, right? And let's look for confluence on this chart. H 71,300 72,6624.
I mean that is going to be a resistance level.
I'm just just trying to explain this.
But you see this smaller bare flag. You see you do your pole bare flag. We've already dropped the distance of the smaller bare flag. We've already dropped the distance of this head and shoulders.
We're at a macro resistance. Flip that support. Fractal shows we're going to push up. Giving you the clues, guys. You decide what you want to do. I'm just trying to show you what I see and why I think upside is more likely, but it will be a trap. And then we find out, you know, that that last rug pull if is going to be, you know, a smaller rug pull or if we're coming down to three moving average. My guess is we're coming down to three moving average. That's what I'm expecting to play out. So again, pay attention. Uh 73,800.
It does look like that would be one target. We don't have to push above it.
You know, just because our factors there doesn't has to play out exactly. We know that 73,800 is a very key resistance level. So, write that number down. If you wanted a chance to short there, go ahead. You could wait. You know, if we hold above it, hold a support, then more likely we're going to push up to at least 79,000 to take out some of that liquidity above. But I do think that'd be the highest point we go because we have so much resistance from 79,000 around that area. Uh so again uh let's see what's right above that. So if we come up 76,000 and again this is on on the one hour so keep that in mind other show on the daily. So 76,400 and then you got around well if it's further out that's 78,000 just take a little time compared to the day. So that's 78,141.
All right. So let's see here. Let's bring this up.
70 79,000. So again, 78,500 79,000. That would be the point to pay attention to.
Now if if you look at this head and shoulders and that's what it was, well that resistance would be around 76,554.
So again, a lot of times you break down from a head and shoulders pattern, you'll come back up and test it. But that means we're pushing back into this channel. And usually when that happens, that's bullish. So if you if you break down from a rising wedge, all right, and then you push back up into that rising wedge, that's actually bullish. If it's a falling wedge, you break um you uh push to the upside and then break back down into it, that's bearish. So, so make sure you have these key levels. But whether we get rejected at 73,800, 76,500 or the highest point, you know, if you want to hold it and get lucky, push up to this point, that'd be the point to go short. And keep in mind, the center of this channel and this next macro resistance is up around 81,000. I don't think we make it to that point, but that would be a very macro, very key uh major resistance level. But I do think it's likely we're going to get a pump, we're going to get a dump, we're going to consolidate, go sideways for a bit, kind of push up, and then we get that massive rugpull. And if we're lucky and people are bullish and you want price to push back up again, whether you decide to long this point with leverage or you want to dollar cost average, I will start dollar cost averaging in as long as we hold and stay around 54K. We start dropping down to 50K and this becomes resistance. you know, this this is the line I'm going to watch right here. We get below this, you know, 49,000. Well, then more than likely we're coming down to test that gap I mentioned previous video. I will make another video more macro. I just want to show you what I'm seeing in the charts and just let you know why I expect some upside. And and I just basically kind of showed you a smaller um a smaller uh bare flag. And again, I think a lot of people are seeing, like I said, they're seeing this massive, massive bare flag, right? This is huge. And we just broke down from it. People are thinking, "Okay, I'm going to hold my short. Going to add to my short. We're going to be going all the way down to the moving average, which probably would be even further, but I don't think that's how it's going to work. We're going to push up. It's going to trap everyone. We're going to move sideways. It's going to take a while. People are going to get bored. They're going to be like, "What the hell is going to happen? They're going to make mistakes. They're not going to be patient. And then all of a sudden, and again, this this date is around the 2nd of August, 2026, potentially August 4th. Now, it could be off by a few days, but so far, we have followed this fractal so perfectly. Go back and watch my video over the past month or so. Every single one has been spot on for timing for these moves. So, I've explained to you why we're at major support and why I expect some upside. I think I've repeated myself so many times. Some of you probably already tuned out. I just want to make sure that you understand why I believe this is the case.
Uh and this is just um this is the uh C1 fund chart. Now, if we look here uh 67,000, let's just call the 68,000. This is horizontal support. You know, sometimes you can get wicks below, guys.
That's why I like to have these charts.
Now, if you notice right here, look at where all these lines converge. You've got this fifth channel line right here.
So you got you got where these fifth channel fifth channel lines meet which is a very key a key uh level when a fifth channel attaches to another fib channel. You can tell by these two lines and then you have horizontal support. So so you got a lot of confluence by 66,500.
But for right now, you know, it looks like we're getting close to a point where we push up and and basically it's because of this this macro. Now, if we get below this as resistance and we start dropping, then maybe we're going to catch up sooner to where this um you know, this gray fractal is. And that's down around 59,000. But it would still play out the same. You know, we would drop down, potentially get a push up, then kind of consolidate, go sideways, and then maybe we we push up to 64K and then drop down to around 54K. Just want to make you aware that we're ultimately following the gray fractal. I just pushed this yellow fractal up to match price action which gave us timing and gave us a top gave us points to long and short but ultimately I think we're going to catch up with the gray fractal because that's what we've been following and I was just looking for confluence across charts um and we know that you know if you push up this lot of resistance was 71,500 uh 73 72,300 and then 75,292 and then we pushed up You know, we got 77,500 and up here is around 7 again. Got 78,600 and what is what is this level right here? All right, that's that's around 80K and it's 30 minute chart. So, this is going to be lower with time. 79, um 183. If we bring this out, you know, that's closer to 78K. So, remember 30 minute chart, it's going to it's going to take a lot longer for price action to move compared to the daily. So, I just want to make sure you have those levels.
Um, your your most short term. So, if we pushed up, you might want to scalp short around 72,300, 71,500.
But these are your more scalping levels because this is a 30-minut chart. Now, the the the Dow Jones, this is what's interesting. So, I told you based on this ring, I said the reason I wanted to go short because this ring is a very key ring. When we came down and we held support right here, right? And and I told everyone I said when we hit that ring, expect a bounce. We push up, we draw back down. Said look, every time we hit this ring, you know, this is usually a reversal point. We did drop below it a bit. Notice we're even following this fractal right now. Now things are a little we we pushed up a lot higher. And remember, AI stocks are booming right now. And I I think AI is like I don't know.
I don't know what the number is, but but basically all the other stocks in in the NASDAQ and the Dow and the S&P are pretty much flat or dropping. It's only the AI stocks. A handful of companies are holding up all of the markets. But I can tell you this another clue for a possible bounce. As I had mentioned, you know, either we get a major rejection at this um this blue ring for the Dow Jones. Now, we're holding above it currently. Now, if we drop back below it, it comes resistance. Well, hey, get ready for some downside. In the meantime, we are holding above that uh that blue ring. And that would imply if we continue to go sideways, hold above this ring. Yeah, we could push up. We could push all the way up to 54,000.
That would be very bullish. We don't have to push that high. This could just be kind of we're holding support. We'll come up, test resistance level, come back down. But for the meantime, as long as we're holding above 50,000 last video, that would be bullish.
That's why for the confluence for a possible pump, but again based on that fractal, it will be a pump and dump. And let me zoom in because I got price labels all over. And I didn't plan this out too well. I apologize, guys. So, I do think it's very likely major macro support level, previous resistance. We've already dropped the distance of the head and shoulders. Exactly. We have a fractal that we've been following for months and months and months and it shows we're going to push up. So that's why I believe a pump and up is coming and we got plenty of time, guys. When we get to this point, we'll find out, you know, if we're going to drop that entire 30% or if it's only getting about 16 or 17%. That's what I'm waiting to find out. But we do know that the most important level is 54,400.
All right, for Bitcoin, we drop below that, you know, things get really bad and that means the stock market's crashing. But in the meantime, you know, that's that's the point I would start dollar cost averaging in even if we drop below it. You know, that's depends on your risk tolerance, how much you want to put in. But we're in for a rocky road. And in the meantime, I'm going to go crazy creating some 15-minute swing trading charts. And I'm probably going to do the live streams where I'm going to ask you guys, guys, what kind of charts? Make sure you're signed up. Make sure you subscribe to my YouTube channel because when I do these live streams, I'm going to have charts already have created with some fib circles and price targets for for these different altcoin charts and Bitcoin charts and have those playing out while I'm creating charts that you guys request. I'll add them to my website and then with these live streams, we can just watch the charts play out and it kind of lights a fire under my butt to create some new charts.
And it'll be fun because back in the day, that's what I did. I would have live streams going for, you know, you know, hours and hours or sometimes all through the night or through the day and you guys can watch these charts play out, see how accurate they are. So that's what I want to do because we have at least a month or so or almost two months before we get that next major drop. So pump and dump, right? We pump, we don't, we consolidate, things get kind of boring. People think, "Oh, have we bottomed? Are we going to drop?"
Price starts pushing up. people get bullish again and then we get that rug pull. We bottom and things get boring and then if it plays out like last time, well, you can see what happens from this point on. It was only up and up and up and that was the start of the next bull run. So, we'll see how that plays out.
Just want to know just want to let you know what I'm I'm paying attention to.
But, we need to pay attention to the Dow. The Dow looks like it's potentially bullish. We probably need to check out the S&P and and the NASDAQ. But from from the standpoint of the Dow, we're above this ring. So that looks bullish and we're at a macro support level.
We've already dropped the distance to the head and shoulders. The fractal shows we push up. So I am going with what the fractal shows. So you know, again, let's look at, you know, 79,000 as a point to potentially long do and then take profit short and be ready to buy back in down around 69,000.
It'll kind of move sideways and chop and then in about a little less than two months we get that massive massive rugpool and then again we already know about 300 moving average. The next video I will make a more macro. We'll zoom out look at the bigger picture but I just want to make sure you have these levels and you know what I'm expecting. I'm going to go and put these these price labels here so you just have an idea. So if if we're lucky and you're bullish, 60 63K will be the bottom and we push up from there. But because we have been following the gray rock more accurately and that matches up three 300 week moving average, that would be potentially the bottom maybe around 53K.
I just kind of drew this line. We don't or this curve. We don't know exactly where it'll be, but again around 54,000, you know, 50,000 that's the point that has to hold. and then we just go sideways. It gets boring. People make stupid decisions. But but that could be the bottom and you know, we'll see what happens when we get to that point. But guys, again, I I've been doing great with um Bit Unix and you know, everybody else that signed up seems to love it too, guys. So again, I will put up my link for Bit Unix. Uh sign up to it. It supports me. So if you want to support this channel, you know, they're actually sponsoring my channel as well. So, if you want these live streams and these charts up, guys, that's one way you can support me and also, you know, um actually subscribing to my um my channel. It would help help the channel grow and and get it more out to more people. And I'd really appreciate that, guys. And if you leave a like, you know, it does help the algorithm.
And again, if you want to sign up to get access to these charts, if you want to sign up to Bit Unix, all these links are pinned in the first comment description.
And if you have any questions, you know, if you want to ask me questions about my charts or specific charts you want to have made, which I want to do that in the live stream because that's fun.
Everybody like, "Okay, let's make this chart, this chart, and then all right, we'll make this chart." And you know, in that live stream, I'll show you some of my secrets, how I create the charts. So, make sure you're subscribed so when I put up this live stream, you don't miss it. You know, if you're not subscribed to my YouTube channel, I'll put up a live stream, you'll miss a live stream.
And I'll actually do trades within that live stream on the charts I create. So make sure you um if you want to get access to these charts when I create them, I will put them on my website. You know, we go under access charts and then you know if you click on Bitcoin and then you can see the actual charts I've created and same with altcoin charts, stocks and I have tutorials as well guys. I have tutorials teaching you how I how I use trend lines first. Trend lines is the most key key part of creating a website. Everything I do is based on trend lines. And then from trend lines, you can create fib circles to find exact points for support and resistance as well as timing. And then I show you my refined method. This is a swing trading chart actually. Uh you see refined method creating fib channel chart. Uh this is a Binance BTC USDT chart. This is a swing trading chart. So this is on the 15minute. But I show you how I find how I create these things from scratch. Very from scratch. how I do the the uh trend lines, how I do the fib channels, how I had the fib circles, and th this was when I was still creating or coming up with this method of charting the ones at the bottom. So, you would want to start with the first one for trend lines, watch this one, then you watch my refined method and then my swing trading chart. And this is what I'm going to start creating for the website and then do a live stream showing you the swing trading charts in a smaller time frame because that way we can make uh longs and shorts, right? I can open longs and shorts on the 15-minute time frame and the live stream. We can do that. If it's something on the daily, I don't have a live stream going for an entire week trading. I know this this randon long. I just want you to understand, be ready.
We are at a macro major support level.
Drop the distance from the head and shoulders. Everybody's seeing this major channel. We broke down. So, everybody's getting super bearish. Fractal shows we're going to push up. We are above um uh what what I was expecting to be major resistance now support. So everything's hinting to a pump. But remember pump and dump and then we consolidate before that next major rugpull and that's when we find out if we're going to bottom at the 300e moving average and it's only up from there. And then if we get below this point, that's why I'll next make that next macro um um uh basically video.
So worst case scenario, if the stock market crashes and things get really bad, then we'll start looking at those lower targets. Again, cross that bridge when we get there. I hope I made myself clear. Expect a pump and dump. expect some sideways price action, possibly pushing up back to where we previously topped out, maybe a little lower, and then that's when we get that major crash. And that does look to be around, you know, early August and then we'll bottom somewhere around here or here.
We'll see how that plays out. But again, guys, you sign up to Bit Unix uh or my website. All the links are pinned for comment description. I will keep you guys updated, guys. Um, expect a wild ride. Things are going to get crazy. Uh, that's it. Chase, save chase smart. I'm out.
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