The distinction between price and time capitulation provides a pragmatic framework for navigating market exhaustion beyond simple technical indicators. It effectively prioritizes psychological discipline over the often-misleading noise of macroeconomic speculation.
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BITCOIN: ANOTHER LEG DOWN STARTING!!! (how I profit from the bear)Added:
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Oh yes. Oh yes. Oh yes. Oh yes. Guys, welcome to another episode. And as you can see right now, Bitcoin is going below 73K. We're currently at 72.7.
We're dropping and dropping and dropping and dropping and dropping. People are in disbelief because they thought we're going to go to alltime high very quickly. We told you since October 8th to take a chill pill. We're in bare market. It is a lower high after lower high after lower high. a high and then a lower high and then look you're like it's a tech it's a textbook literally if you open up a textbook a trading textbook and you look at what is a downtrend you will see this picture literally a high a lower high and a lower high but the amount of bull jaculation premature bull jculation as we call it that happened right here it was quite crazy it was quite quite crazy but there is a silver lining here and that's that if if we see a final flash in the coming weeks Let's say we go into this buy zone which would be a very nice proposition. Fantastic price to buy Bitcoin at at around here 200 week moving average which is currently at 61.
If we go there guys I think it's the last flash is the last flash last flash before the great Valhalla. The great Valhalla of 2027. Let me know if you love great Valhalla of 2027. Write in the comment section. Ivan I love the great Valhalla because I think we're going to have great Valhalla towards the end of this year. We're going to probably boop down a bit to the buy zone, but at the end of the day, you will see money rotating from all of this AI for guys that's going on and some AI is great, but just the valations are so big and also you will have political pressure coming after AI because as you know currently many people hate AI. A few weeks ago we played this video where Eric Schmidt was having a talk in the university like graduation talk or whatever. He was there to inspire the youth and he said AI is coming. AI is going to be great. AI is going to be so fantastic. It's going to touch all industries. And the freaking student started to boo. Literally told him, "Get out of here. We don't want AI." People hate AI. The average playback Joe, he hates AI. He doesn't want AI. He He doesn't want any change. So, the political pressure on AI is going to be massive. You will have the Democrats likely taking this issue as a way to get back in power, saying that they're gonna tax the crap out of AI. Maybe 50% tax, maybe 40% tax. This will be a new political movement that likely is going to start start around midterms because that's when a lot of political discourse is going to take place. But then also think about the next the next presidential election. The Democrats will have to figure something out here and likely is going to be a position against the rich tax the crap out of the rich and against the AI tax the crap out of AI. So the market will have to price in this political instability that AI has. It's a very very big political instability. Meanwhile, crypto is opening up a new way to invest where you have political stability. It's very very politically stable now. I mean, look at all of the regulation that's coming through. That's number one. Number I mean, isn't this crazy, guys? Isn't this crazy? Crypto is politically stable.
I think it's crazy, guys. I think it's crazy. Finally, we have a politically stable ecosystem. But that that's number one. It's politically stable. We have all the regulation, the Genius Act, the Clarity Act. Like all this is coming online. That's fantastic. That's number one. But number two, also, let's say you're a rich person. You're Jeff Bezos, man. Jeff Bezos now is very scared. Jeff Basis is speaking about that you should lower tax on working people kind of trying to get the worker plebe on his side. He's now doing media uh media appearances like speaking about the fact that taxes are too high for the uh average Joe. I mean just look at this.
Jeff Bezos says bottom 50% of Americans should pay no tax. Why is he saying all of this? Because there's a lot of pressure on him. Like he he is the number one rich guy everyone wants to tax. Wouldn't it be nice for him to have a bit of Zcash? I mean, just as a proposal, Jeff, just as a proposal, there is Zcash. Okay, there is Zcash and uh it's very nice for your use case, it could be very nice to maybe put a bit into Zcash because I don't know how much this, you know, donut licking is going to help you here. Okay, they're coming.
They're coming for your money and they're coming very, very fast. No matter what you say in the media here that, hey guys, maybe you should not get taxed. Don't tax me and you don't get taxed also. No, focus on the politician.
He's trying basically to ship shift the focus from himself to the like inefficiencies in the government. But Jeff, it's not going to help you. Zcash can help you. Zcash can help you. Okay.
I I think more and more people will start waking up to this uh idea that hey, maybe crypto is kind of nice. Maybe it's kind of nice, especially when you want a bit of sovereignty. You want a bit of encrypted money. It is kind of nice. It's not it's not unice. It's not it's not it's not bad. It's it's good.
Okay. But so now back to reality, guys.
the now that we spoke about the Valhalla likely coming in 2027. Before we get to Valhalla, I I think we need to go into another flash. I think I think that's that's what's left. You need another flash. There are still people that are too bullish, you know, here. I knew that this is likely not going to go to alltime high. Why? Because people were so bullish. It was quite insane. It was quite insane. It was so And I have all of the I will actually maybe create a documentary on all of this. Let me know guys if you want that. But um I I have uh collected basically samples of the sentiment around this time when we like had a fake out here at 83. I have all of the samples like what people wrote uh online, what people said. Uh and it's going to be quite crazy. It's going to be if we do this documentary, it's going to be quite crazy. But anyway, uh people who did listen to our calls from October 8th, but also like throughout this whole situation, they're in a very good position. If you instead waited for ISM to kick in, you are losing 80 90% of your portfolio. But again, Valhalla coming, I don't want to be uh too bearish here because listen, we will have likely a a uh a uh a a boop to the downside, like a small boop to the downside. That's very very likely and that small boop may take us into the buy zone. But overall, now it is time to uh really start thinking about Q4, guys.
Okay, that that's really really time to start and and that's how you profit from the bare market in the best possible way because you have money to to invest in in the next bull because we really thought about this whole situation properly since October. The biggest payoff here is that you have money to invest in uh Q4. Okay, that's the biggest then of course we've been shorting the crap out of this market.
We've been using the money line. We've been I mean there there are many many things that were super shortable. Uh especially when you look on the weekly, you look at all of the things that have fallen like uh there's no tomorrow. I mean everything here with Celestia, all this blue like shorting is it's it's an important part of the bear and we've been proficing a lot from the shorting. Uh and I mean listen, a lot of this is vaporware. So you short vaporware, it's fantastic.
Optimismus 92%. Vitalik checking out from ETH. He wants to now write a sci-fi novel. Did you guys know that? But Vitalik is going to write a sci-fi novel.
Let's see. So, uh, but that that's I would say this is a short thing is secondary to you having money to invest in next the bull and and and time to start thinking about that because in Q4 and especially next year the bull is going to come now. I love Carl the moon but he is now a singer. He's big he's talented man. He's talented. Let's listen. He said bye-bye boring crypto.
Hello the world of music. Big shout to Carl. Uh this is kind of I I love seeing that when you know people are leaving crypto. It's good. Now Carl has not left crypto. Yeah, he he's also very talented singer. Let's see. But guys, if I start singing guys, if if I start singing, you know, it's it's it's a big bottom signal.
Okay. Uh I'm not that talented. But let's listen to Carl. darkness. I have found my only remedy.
You know, you know, you know, you know when I'm low.
3 2 1 go. When I am >> I love it, my [ __ ] out to Carl. [ __ ] out to Carl. He He's talented person.
Very talented person. And guys, but if I start singing, I can tell you I I I'm not talented singer. Uh outside for Bitcoin will be pump song. But if I start singing, if I start singing, you know, it's it's a bit of bottom. It's a likely a bit of a bottom, a nice bottom, guys. Uh the I I we need to speak about the Bumazarus. There is a signal which I don't like when it comes to Sana and when it comes to Suie and that's that the Bumazarus loves it. Okay, the Bumazarus, they love Sui. They love Sana. Now the Bumazarus is normally a cycle behind uh where you should be.
Okay. Bumazarus loved Bitcoin in 2015, hated ETH because ETH, you know, the scam Vitalic scam. Then instead of loving Solana in 2020, they loved ETH and and now they're kind of like catching on Sana. And uh so yeah, listen to this is R Paul and I I don't know why, but he says he that Hyperlid is a niche product like the I I I just don't agree here. And hyperlquid has been slaughtering sui price-wise. Um, so anyway, listen to this. I I I just don't Yeah. Uh you need to hear this. Listen to this.
>> What are your thoughts on hyperlquid and what these guys are doing even on the hype token? Are you like not >> and by the way guys I say bumazarus with I myself I'm bumazarus. I'm bumazaros when it comes to main things. Like just to clarify I'm also bumazarus like I don't use Tik Tok. I don't use like all this kid retardio stuff. Maybe you know it's you're bumazar we're all bonazarus in our own respective ways but this in particular not liking hype and saying that hype is a niche I don't get it but listen to this >> tempted to to do something about that >> if I don't use it >> I wouldn't buy and I'm just not a trader so you know we talked about that so it's just not for me I don't use perks I don't use leverage I don't use any of this stuff so I get it but it is a niche within a broader ecosystem >> bro no no no hi Hyperlquid is not niche guys.
Hyperlquid it's not niche. The number one use case of crypto is trading. There there there are few use cases in crypto guys. I mean trading, holding, paying.
That's it. That's it. Trading, holding like you know preserving money, maybe a bit of Zcash, a bit of Bitcoin and then paying stable coin and stuff like it's literally the use case like Hyperlid is the key one of the key use cases. So, I totally disagree, but also, you know, type absolutely murdered sui price-wise.
Okay.
>> And it's a great one. You can have great niche products.
>> Um, but it has no real motor around it.
>> Bro, >> I mean, Robin Hood are going to come after that as fast AS THEY CAN.
>> BRO, Robin Hood is not going to come after hype. Why? Because people use hype because it is a deck and Robin Hood is not a deck. Uh, I and I see it myself.
Listen, in in our community, most people when they trade and uh you know they cannot use by bit or whatever, they go to hyperlquid. Even if they can use by bit, they just want to be self-custody, they also go hyperlquid. So I can tell you that hyperlquid has the number one use case of crypto which is trading. Uh the price is loving that. Like high price, we've been bullish hype forever.
Like high price loves it, loves it, loves it, loves it, loves it, loves it.
And I just see like in our community, many traders are using uh hype. Okay, they're using Hyperlquid. U I mean every day I see someone posting something from you know some gain they made on Hyperlquid. So use cases there absolutely uh but I mean again we care number one about price and you look at high price it's is is the best is the best. They had the dump. They recovered from the dump. Now it is up only. Up only. Very, very nice. Uh, you know, Sana dumps like sooie. I don't know what the hell happens. It dumps this thing.
It's like a rocket, guys. It's a It's a rocket. It's a rocket. It's a rocket.
It's a rocket. Now, will it be like this forever? Who the hell knows? If it goes bare, we're bare. I mean, that's it.
It's super simple. It's super simple. If it goes bare, we're bare. But if if it's bull, man, don't uh Yeah, we're bullish.
We're bullish, bullish, bullish. And the hyper liquid has been fantastic, fantastic. And I don't want to, you know, people when they watch this, they they may get thrown off their strategy.
If something is in bull trend, you have to be bullish. Don't overanalyze it.
This and that. It's But also, when you overanalyze it, it's also bullish. Like I just said, meanwhile, in the Sui land, Suie is doing very bad. Sui is doing horrible. Suie basically retraced. I mean, like had a pump and dump here.
Basically, it had a pump and then it had a pump and dump. Okay. Was this like exit liquidity? Someone did the final exit. I I I don't know. I don't know.
But it's uh it looks like this. It looks like this. So, a niche product, a small niche product, a small niche product is absolutely slaughtering sweet in this case. And again, hype is not a niche product. Absolutely. Absolutely.
Absolutely not. Hey guys, I mean you really have to be careful here because uh I mean with uh with RO uh I love RO in the bull market, but you have to be a bit careful. You have to be a bit careful with RO. You have to be a bit careful. Listen to this. Is 2020, 2021, 2025, 2026. You have to be slightly careful here. Listen to this. So we've chosen some of the most trusted names in the space to work with us to help provide this for free. So, BlockFi and Silvergate have teamed up to partner this so we can bring this to all of you and for you to share it with as many people as possible. I think you know by now how important this digital revolution is and I urge you to take part in this stuff like terror network >> BlockFi silvergate fito >> you can just put money stake the network and get 20%.
And they're basically risk-free if bro terrorist >> you want to own that network and they're basically riskree at 20%.
And they're basically risk free and they're basically riskree guys listen I do I care about this so much because when people get wrecked they disappear from the industry they disappear. They disappear. We have seen a big um draw down in the overall engagement for all YouTube channels, for all Twitterers. So, we see people struggling a lot. They're they're struggling a lot. And when I try to explain how the market works, the number one push back I get is, you know, oh, but I heard ISM like R said is or, you know, R said, listen, you you you need to understand what's happening here, okay? You need to understand what's happening here. I'm trying to save people every initially every day and it's tough man it's very very tough >> if you want to own that network >> I'm massively overweight >> oversold >> massively >> can I ask you percentages wise more more or less >> I'm definitely over 70% sweet and that's not anything to do with the foundation that I'm on that's my just capital allocation of my savings and >> um man I mean I I could have saved All he had 70% money in Sui. He lost 83% of it. I could have saved a lot of money. A lot.
>> I added some Zcash.
>> Why?
>> I bought more Suie obviously. Um but I added bit of Zcash.
>> Okay.
I mean that maybe we agree there. Now here's the thing. In the bull market, R and I we're going to be best friends. I look forward to that. We're now still in bear, guys. We're still in bear. But in the bull market, R and I, we're gonna be this like this tight. We're gonna be we're gonna be this tight because then when he says a bit retardial stuff is going to actually be fully correct in the bull. Okay, that that's the problem, guys. Like in the bull, it's correct. It's correct. In the bear, you lose 90% of your assets. Okay, so we're going to be the best friends.
Maybe we even have a invite ro on this channel. We're going to be speaking about stuff. Now also listen, I love Novograss, but it's just another I I get a bit concerned when they're bullish Solana, but when Solana already had its uh cycle and they don't speak about Hyperlid too much. So you had R Paul. I love Mike. Mike, I love Mike, but he's also like bullish soul. Uh I want more of this like underground kids be bullish stuff. Okay. I I want more of this underground kids be bullish stuff like uh you know with hype and all of that.
It's it's more you know this cryptonative now now that I mean these guys they learned about soul now I don't know yet let's listen to this >> you know why salana at this moment uh >> but but he he was ETH like last full cycle he was ETH he would be saying exactly the same thing but about ETH in 2023 and now he's like why why Salana why Salana in this moment come on man >> total transactions per second Salana can do in a day is 14 billion. Uh that's more than total transactions on on >> Yeah, listen. I I know it like I was the same. See, this it's going to be interesting to see obviously Salana next next cycle, but this is me like in 2023 2024. Like he he he Mike is what I was in 2023 2024. But man, the time for that was then was then hyper liquidity did not exist then. Like many things did not exist then. But the okay >> equities, fixed income, commodities, and foreign exchange, right? And so you've got a blockchain that's now fast enough, tailor made to be the blockchain for financial markets. Uh and you got an SEC chair saying, I want you to build on chain. And so those two things are lining up. Uh I I'm the usage isn't hyperlquid. Like that's a problem. The usage is not on Solana now for stocks, for everything. It's not on Solana. Yes, you have all the speed. All chains are fast nowadays. Like even Tron man is fast. Even Tron is a cheap and fast man.
You can do stuff on. Okay. So at the end of the day, listen, just follow the damn price trend. That's it. Oh, also speaking about the price trend and ju just before I tell you about the price trend, it's just so we saw R being bullish souls and and then Noatrat bullish Sui and Saul. Uh well, he's only sold. No only soul. And here Ro is also bullish Bitcoin, ETH, Soul and Sui.
There's some pretty easy bets to have.
You can just own Bitcoin. It'll work.
It's not going to zero adopt. There's more DeFi uh last cycle. Anyway, you can watch the whole thing. But basically, he says now he's excited about Soul and Suie. I mean, normally guys, normally these guys, they they are a bit like behind the curve. They're a bit behind the curve. They are like one one curve behind. So, that's why don't get surprised if it is hype and other stuff.
Now, Ro says he's bullish Zash. I mean, that's good. I there we agree there we agree but uh just a warning there because again most people they they learn about something it's uh this was last cycle thing they missed on the last cycle now they're thinking okay now I'm going to catch Sana but then another thing pumps just like people miss ETH they said okay now I will I will not miss ETH now and then ETH doesn't go anywhere instead Sana pumps and they get so angry man they get so angry get so they're no Solani is a scam is a scam but why why you say so because you miss miss you miss ETH last cycle you thought this and you will not miss it. But now freaking scam Salana pumps and now they're bullish soul. Okay. Okay. Now I'm bullish soul. I'm bullish soul. This cyclon bullish soul. The man hyperlid the scam. The scam.
The freaking scam. Scams pumping my pristine asset. Not pumping. All this guys. All is the old guard. Is the curse of the old guard. O yo yo. What's going on in the chat guys? You're here.
Welcome welcome. Welcome everyone. Smash up the like. Subscribe to the channel if you haven't yet. As you can see, we're back from vacation. We're back from vacation in a big big way. It's fantastic to be back in the studio. I love vacation, but also it's nice to be back in, you know, to routine to normal studio, my normal coffee. Let me take coffee.
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Subscribe and as always, if you want to learn our methodology of trading, go to bull.com first link in the description.
Watch the free training. Book a free strategy call with us. We're going to review your uh trading. This is very important for you to be honest with yourself and uh do as soon as possible especially before the next bull. Book the strategic call so at least at least you learn about your pitfalls the mistakes so you don't f up the next bull market. This is important like if anything just do it as a way to check your uh track record. You check your car every year how it is. Is it still working? The wheel don't fall off. Okay, good. Engine still humming along good.
But you don't check your trading and then people get surprised. I messed up this bull market again. Ah, I round trip again. But you do you don't even check in. Check in. Check in yourself. It's like coming to the doctor. Do you check your tooth every every year? Do you check the health of the teeth? Maybe most people don't. You should check the the health of the teeth. The same thing.
Check the health of your finance. Okay.
Book strategy call boom.com. As always, first link in description. And then if you want to join us, you get the money line, the money scanner. You see things that are flipping in real time. Now guys, in terms of stocks, stocks have been on a on a rampage. Rampage.
Absolute rampage. Let's actually check different assets. Um, yeah, stocks have been on an absolute rampage. Uh, the the question that I see someone asked in Discord, which I actually wanted to show you when we're speaking about the price trend. The question someone asked is this. Let me screenshot it. It was about the uh yields. Okay, look here. Uh, this guy from our discord asked about the yield. He was asking uh so if the US treasury yields go up which they uh are doing I mean people are dumping treasuries there's more uncertainty more inflation uncertainty so treasuries go up the yield the yield on treasury goes up and he asked u what is what is the effect on the crypto going to be h how will crypto be affected by all this okay and the answer I gave is is the following uh normally higher yields are not great for risk assets because we now compete with a higher risk-free rate and risk-free rate it is the government uh what the government pays you what the US government pays you it is not like R Paul says it's it's not the Teraluna 20% basically risk-f free that is not risk- free in finance risk-free rate means what the US government pays you because that's like the baseline that's the lowest risk creditor so if you have a higher yield and now we we are getting higher yields uh that that normally is not good but at the same time at the same time okay uh Bitcoin could still rip anyway like that's the thing it is theoretical theoretically it should be like that but theory and practice is is very different it's very different Bitcoin could rip anyway okay even if you have a high yield and you know now money competes because markets are in manyaa cases irrational and it's impossible to explain you just have to admire and respect the pump and be in the bull bull trend no matter what happens So too much macro analysis is not great for profits.
Uh just like yeah with the with the SU stuff and waiting for ISM and all of that. And another uh recent example is high oil high oil price. We also said listen high oil price normally is bad for stocks but we became mega bull as soon as the stocks entered the bull trend. You remember earlier this year like in February stocks were actually in bare trend. They had quite a quite a dump and we said listen probably connected to the oil price. Oil price is high. So stocks are dumping as soon as stocks flip bullish. We forgot that the oil price is bad because listen pump anyway. So we're bullish stock since the bull flipped. That's it. We we we keep the practicality and the theoret how you say theory and the theory separate. High oil should be bad for stocks. Yes, they rip anyway. So we forget that and we just follow the trend. So practically S&P and NASDAQ they rip anyway nowadays.
So humble trend following wins without trying to be as smart as it wins over and over and over again. And that's the whole thing with the mechanical rules and what we explained to you in if you watch the video in bullmay.com. So uh looking at stocks uh oil does not dump them but at the same time it's also a a warning in case they go bare but they're nowhere near going. I mean see since the bull you're bull that's that's I love it. I love I mean this system is system is very simple and you need to be in early bull trends. I mean, look at NASDAQ up 17% since the daily bull trend. It's it's a freaking beast, man.
It's a beast. Should it go bare? Okay, great. Great. You risk off. It goes bare. Risk off. We can then start speaking about oil price again. Now, we don't mention oil price too much when it comes to stocks. Why? Because they don't care. Like the stocks, they decided not to care about oil. I don't try to understand it. I don't profit anything from understanding that fully. Okay? I don't I profit zero. I profit when things are bullish and chart moves up.
Okay? I don't get my portfolio don't don't get give me extra points for analyzing the oil and macro all of the relationships okay that gives me zero actually it gives me minus if I analyze too much and uh ignore the trend it gives me minus okay now NASDAQ will open higher very nice uh S&P 500 futures up very nice IGV IGV holy macaroni it's up but Bitcoin doesn't follow IGV anymore it's uh yeah let's see normally IGV and Bitcoin they follow quite exact but lately uh it's a bit of yeah decoupling where IGV pumps bitcoin does not pump because bitcoin is in bare trend it has a bit of a a curse you have a curse and yeah let's see what's going to happen guys strategy let's see the the uh stretch stretch can they can Michael Sailor raise money until the next uh dividend day on the 15th I mean here is where now the price of stretch should be starting to head back to 100. Okay, and if it's above 100, then sailor can uh raise money for buying Bitcoin. But currently, it's at 99. So, let's check how it goes if it goes towards 100 or not. U but yeah, something to keep an eye on here. Moving on. Moving on. Oh, uh speaking about Sui now, I'm actually bullish on SUI. Uh from the team perspective, again, it's a bare trend.
It's very bad. We don't touch sui now.
It's very bad. It's it's bare trend.
Stay out. Stay out. Stay out. But they have to give respect to the team because they said we had a we had a blackout.
What they had? They had not a blackout.
They had a halt. Network halt. Network halt. They had and they said uh it's unacceptable. Period. You have my sincerest apologies. And yeah, I mean this guy seems like a nice guy. He's the CEO. Okay, good.
Sincerious apologies for the outages. We are focused on restoring the level of relability and security. Yeah, very important. So good. Taking responsibility saying we effed up.
Fantastic. fix it. Uh, next guys, when it comes to stocks, uh, yeah. Uh, I don't like this that.
Yeah. Let's see which music is it. Okay.
I don't want to play music in case it's copyright. But anyway, you see the C CEO of Nvidia.
I I'm not sure I like it, guys. I'm not sure I like it. So, that's why should stocks go bare, we got to be very careful. We got to be super careful because these things when CEO of the like biggest gainer company goes like this like I don't know guys I get a bit nervous I get a bit nerv he he he has good moves I I cannot deny that but I get a bit nervous man I don't want to see that from my CEO okay I don't I don't want to see my CEO celebrate like Yeah, you see yourself because when Vitalik was dancing, it was the peak in ETH bit commulation when Vitalik was dancing. You remember look at Vitalik dance to me it's only almost right like romance Vitalic dancing when Vitalik was dancing that was the peak like the in Bitcoin in Bitcoin terms ETH never actually recovered from from this from this let me see never recovered >> to me it's almost like romance Big shout out. Big shout out my pants.
>> Check out this dance.
>> Why are they dancing?
>> Why are they dancing?
>> Is dancing.
This guy is dancing.
>> But why are they dancing? I love it. I love it. I love Vitalik. But the problem is when was this? This was uh Yeah. If you look at ETH Bitcoin chart, if you look at ETH Bitcoin chart, this was like the peak of ETH Bitcoin. Okay. This was the peak of ETH Bitcoin and it never came back. So when I see Jensen Huang Yeah.
Vitalic is dance. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I get I get slightly nervous. Let's see, guys. Let's see if if stocks go bare, we're we're bare now. They're bull as hell. So, we we're bull as hell. What is this Balanceer co-founder? I haven't watched this. Let's see what the hell he says.
>> I think you think Bitcoin is real, right? Um my question now is it, you know, it's become mainstream to the point of ETFs. I think it's be harder to go higher quickly now unlike it was supposed to be that everyone can get in now and that all the ETF companies are going need to buy Bitcoin to put it in the ETFs. To me it's like if you bought it at $800 or $8,000 you were smart went through a lot of trouble to buy it. Now everyone can buy it. I think it's going to be here for a while.
>> There's not going to be a whole new financial story driving it from from the side of buyers necessarily though.
There's one type of buyer that could be very important here. AI agents are going to start doing a lot of things in our economy and for agents according to >> 40k uh it's some old crap. Why they repost the old crap? This was when Bitcoin was 40k or wait.
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Okay. Anyway, ignore ignore they repost some old crap farming engagement. Let me I will even remove my life from this post. What is this? Okay, guys, that's it.
Guys, let's go to Q&A questions, answers, debates. To summarize, Bitcoin looking a bit uh flashy. Uh but at the same time, even if you are a bull is good with a flash. Let's flush it down.
Let's go to 200 week moving average.
Let's uh let's reset the sentiment fully. Uh there it's been too bullish guys. The bulljaculation has been premature bulljaculation has been very powerful. So that was like a tell sign that yeah likely likely we we're not finished guys.
Likely we're not finished. We need to be uh full capitulation. Full capitulation.
There are two types of capitulation. One type is price. I think if we get here it's going to be fantastic. Nice capitulation. That's one. And number two is time capitulation. So let's say we just you know we derp here until September. I would say likely bottom is in then also then we then I would say that this is the bottom also. If we're here in like you know August something like that September then very likely this was the bottom and then it's a very nice riskreward to be in in Bitcoin and uh this is important because stocks have been absolutely ripping. Look at Intel look at MU like look look at especially if you are part of bullman you know that we discuss stocks every day. every day there is stock coverage and stocks you know while Bitcoin has been you know derping I don't know what's been not it's not been doing great many stocks have done hundreds and hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of percent that's why I'm telling you it's all about having the best riskreward if you form in here I mean even if you're correct and this was the bottom but it's you know it it it derps for like a year it's very bad because you have opportunity cost you have opportunity cost so uh instead of being part of markets that move up you're in you in market that is like a limp. It's a limp. Uh yeah, you understand what Olympic you you understand what so um uh instead should we be here let's say August or something and this bottom still holds then I would say very likely it's the bottom and it's going to be super good in terms of riskreward because then likely this is very close to the rocket launch to Valhalla and that's what we want to be so we don't have opportunity cost but but still until August it's uh yeah two months two three months u and if we go here it's even better Like from risk reward, it's even better if we actually take this low here and go lower. If you're a bull, it's even better for you because you want you want clarity. When you have a clear capitulation, people say it's dead, but great. Let's let's let's crush a bit more souls. We we need a bit more crushing. We need a bit more crushing and let's go full capitulation.
Let's go. It's great. Let's do guys.
Let's go. Q&A, questions, answers, debates, discussions. Let's go as soon as possible. And as always, you have the bullman.com for our way of trading.
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I will take service now is beginning to take off. Let's check let's check let's check let's check how it looks. Service now very nice very yeah see this is actually bullish for uh stocks that all of the SAS companies you remember we said that SAS companies likely will recover because you will not they will not be vibe coded away. I I like enterprise SAS will not be vibe coded away. Sometimes people are telling me but no Ivan I have vibe coded a thing for my business. Yes, you're one guy, maybe you're five guys, then it's okay if then it's okay. If you don't have uh tens of millions in revenue that uh that that you know you have a real business and listen I if you have a small business it's fine like for you then vibe coing is good but uh what is driving a lot of this stocks and revenue for these companies it's not you it's not you it's also not me like I'm also doing a bit of vibe causing here and there okay so don't compare like yourself to what's actually happening and what is happening is that enterprise will not vibe code freaking accounting or they will not vibe code freaking uh CRM. They will not vibe code like any of this stuff like they will they will not vibe code. They will not AI will not disrupt that. Okay, so we've been saying that listen look at all of this enterprise SAS very unlikely to get vibe coded. Very unlikely to get vibe coded.
uh will Salesforce I think it's very unlikely to get VI vibe code and I think it's gonna uh as soon as it's bull it's gonna be very nice signal because uh the thesis will then confirm with the chart will comp confirm the thesis that uh this is like fear of AI it's it's been too irrational man it's been too rush I mean since the speak it's down 50%. So yes, but here's the thing. We're still bearish. We know it's irrational, but price is bearish. We're still bearish.
You understand? But uh both when it comes to price and when it comes to to story, say uh Salesforce turns bull.
Great. Great. But you you need bull trend story rationality. That's secondary. You always need trend number one. But so uh yeah, service now good.
It's actually now bull trend on the weekly. Very nice. confirmed bull trend on the weekly. So this thing uh yeah uh you see yourself uh next resistance for this one uh from here let's say to here it's 40% let's say it opens like from this open to the here like 30%. So yeah, you have a nice play here. Absolutely.
You have you have a nice play. Let's see what's going to happen. Uh I need I read someone uh claiming that hyper moving into top five market cap by 2027. Is that even conceivable? I think it's conceivable. Why? Because when you look at the top five market caps, it's all like fugazi stuff anyway. So I think it's very conceivable. Look at I mean it's vaporware. Most of the stuff is like vaporware looking here. So you have Bitcoin, you have E. I mean ETH. Okay.
ETH likely is going to stay remove stable coins because they're not really counted here. BNB, I mean BNB is great.
I love BNB. The price chart is good, but you know, I mean, from a usage perspective. Hype, you can you can argue that hype has a bigger impact from a usage perspective than BNB. Currently, like the way it is now, people are not really I don't know too many people that use BNB or trade like XRP. Uh, sorry, Vaporware. Big shout big shout like XRP has I love XRP overall. It's like five in terms of the price. I respect the the price. It's number five, but it's been vaporware for like 15 years now or how many years it is. You you got to respect the grind at some point. I just respect the grind. Okay. But yeah, vaporware. Uh then you have stable coin, soul, I mean soul, let's see, hype I think has a chance to go. Yeah. So basically, hype needs to go. It needs to replace X. I think it can do it. It's possible. It's possible. It's possible. Okay. I very possible. But I I love XRP. But I mean, you understand. You understand. But I I I love it. I respect the grind, man. I respect it. At the end of the day, man, you know, for 15 years, they they grind this vaporware thing is still number five.
They dump a lot of the coin. They have always committed community. They think XRPL, Ledger, what the hell banks are going to you would be. They're literally stable coins now. like the whole old regulation is all about stable coins, you know, banks settling with themselves also stable coins, but still XRP, they're still like kind of part of the story. I don't understand how to it's to me it's inconceivable. I just have to respect it, man. I just I have to respect it. I have to respect it. Let's see what happened. One second.
Oh yeah.
XLM pump. Let's let's let's see XML.
Let's let's see XLM what's happening.
Very nice. Bullish big volume. I love it when it's big volume. So it's confirmed move. I I think overall it's weekly bullish. Let's let's check daily.
There you go. There you go. Uh last day of confirmation also on the daily. Let's check the 12 hour 12hour bull. Yeah, I mean it's bullish across all of the time frames basically.
Let's check 1 hour 1 hour shortterm trend bearish. So all in all on the weekly bullish on bigger time frames it's now entering bullish.
But let's see. I mean the problem here is that you you see yourself with stellar guys.
Stellar I I would be super careful actually because if you think about it if you think about it if you've been in crypto for a few years stellar always is a pump and dump and you I mean you see it on the chart now.
I don't know how they do it. Is it their market maker? But it happened many times where it has a god candle and then it deflates. God candle and then it deflates like you know no one cares about stellar then suddenly out of nowhere stellar comes for like a week and oh I have you seen stellar have you seen stellar stellar and then it deflates and then you know a year passes another one gold candle fake pump and dump happens everyone's like oh stellar and then deflates so for this reason I would just be a bit careful here because I mean you see yourself like it's the third now it's the Third is the third now. Here it was another one.
Yeah. So all in all definitely something happening here. I mean definitely but I would just be careful with this. Okay.
Or with uh with this like see it as a trade. Don't see it as uh and also the problem is the problem is it pumps very fast and then it dumps. So here's the problem. You see when it pumps so quickly just one candle uh a lot of the trends don't have time to confirm. So like here for example daily is still confirming 12 hour is still confirming.
So when they just pump it in one candle it's it's basically untradable. Okay.
And then what happens they deflate it over like months. So uh for this reason this is not for me. I don't like it. I I want more like normal growth you know chart is nice candle after candle I want to understand what's happening here I mean someone did pump it fat finger market maker they pumped it very fast uh they I mean as you can see high volume which normally is good but in stellar maybe it's just the how much they needed to like how much coins how much USDT or USDC they needed to put in to pump it maybe that's I I don't know so for me it's not for me because as you can see we follow the trends When it comes to the trends, you cannot just have one fat candle, God candle, like we're not playing that game. We're not playing that game like a foro. Oh, have you seen this gold candle for? No, no, no. Listen, it needs to have confirmation on the daily just now confirming. So based on this, I would say be careful. I I myself careful with this. There are many other opportunities that make way more sense. Way way way more sense. I I would rather have it um uh I mean like kind of like hyperl you see you see you see kind kind of like this you know not just one god candle have it nice grind up like this yeah there we go I love great Valhalla that's perfect I would love uh people don't like AI me included because it's taking our jobs government uh must come up with something such meme percentage of required workers.
Uh yeah, probably guys. Probably guys, I mean it's uh it's going to be interesting to to see it unfold. Um I I'm a bit split on this. I mean, I'm I'm I mean, when it comes to like employment and all of that, uh I'm more I'm more brutal in my thinking, guys.
And uh you'll have to a apologize me for that, but you know, it's uh I'm I'm less for like trying to support people to get to like support them to get employment.
I think if the world changes and you're not needed, like you have to that that's on you to figure out. Uh now, I I know it's it's a brutal take. People don't like when I say that. They say, "Oh, no, but I'm in our job. Our job." Listen uh you have uh people hiring you employer they don't owe you job they don't owe you like they it's their business they they you know they have shareholders they they they owe to shareholders okay I mean that that's how the world works man it's and again I'm telling you that because I want to be upfront I see you as a friend I see you as someone so the way I'm thinking is that so that's I'm thinking and that's how I've been thinking my whole life like I never when you know when you are employed I always had in mind because for the first year of my career I was employed As a developer, I always had in mind that man, listen, any day situation changes, I'm out. I'm out. Okay. The best way to protect yourself against that is to be good at, for example, crypto and trading. I mean, my solution to that was to go like figure out financial markets. No one can fire you from financial markets. You trade any day, anywhere, that's it. No one can fire you. So, I it's a legit concern, but I don't think that anyone owes you a job. job is not a is not a guarantee.
You're either needed, your skills are needed, or they're not needed. And if you're if you're not needed, you should not have a job. I mean, I I that's how my brain works. Maybe I'm like autistic, you know? I I I I don't But I I I don't have sympathy. I I don't know what it is. I just don't I I because I also in my brain, I've never thought that anyone owes me anything. So that's why I have a hard time like sympathizing. Like people say, "Oh, no, our jobs, they're cutting job to AI." Well, AI can do what you do, so it's cheap. It's like subscription.
Good. Uh don't don't have opinions on that. Just say, "Fantastic." You know, that's why people are unhappy. People are unhappy because their expectation, you know, happiness, what is the formula, mathematical formula of happiness? Happiness is the difference between expectations and reality. So my expectation is always, you know, you're hired, you can always be fired. My expectation also when you do business with someone, man, you you could get screwed over. Okay? So, you need to be fully protected. You have to be a bit paranoid. You know, in business, you have to be paranoid because, you know, humans, we are freaking monkeys under under the hood. Maybe you get screwed over. Like, who the hell knows? It wouldn't surprise me if someone tries to screw me. Wouldn't surprise. So, let's let's put full protection in place, full, you know, arms length. So, it just so I'm actually quite happy from that regard. I don't have high expectation on my employer if I am employed or on anyone I don't have high expectation just handle the situation your responsibility is to handle the situation if you handle situation you will be surprised actually the outcome is going to be great okay okay but you you have to handle that yourself so you're going to get fired see it as a good thing you can learn trading instead go to boommy.com I mean learn trading better that you get fired because uh yeah I mean but that's also like you you get employed for something that you know you're not needed. You know AI like you say government should force them to hire minimum percent. I mean that's degrading. You know you're there just because government told them to hire you. You're really not needed. Like AI could do what the hell you do. It's also degrading. So guys listen it's a hard uh I'm not saying it's easy. Like it's a very hard topic. I'm not saying that uh I'm not a politician so I don't know the solution. Maybe you need some kind of support so people don't go loco. I mean if they go loco too much you're going to have communism. Okay, you're going to have Soviet Union. You're going to have like industrial revolution, they go loco. So, you need to handle them somehow. I don't want to handle them.
I'm just telling you how it is. Maybe someone smarter. May maybe mom Dani is the genius here. Maybe mom Danny is what, you know, he says, "Let's get plebe free stuff." So, they take it easy. Maybe he's the capitalistic genius protecting capitalism against the uprising of the plebbe. They can cheer on Manny. He tells them free stuff, free stuff and the system can survive. Maybe that's how it is. I don't know guys like uh you you just have to have a bit of self-custody in case you know with AI.
I'm really concerned about this actually. I'm really concerned. I'm really concerned because people will not be able to figure themselves out. Sadly, most people won't. Most people are entitled. They think that employer owes them something. Is probably going to be a bit of unrest. Probably going to be some weird political moves. I I don't know what's going to happen, but I'm a bit concerned. I'm bit I'm actually a bit concerned. It's good to be a bit concerned and uh prepare prepare for the worst and uh hope for the best. Okay, that's how you ensure you're happy. So your expectations and reality there is little difference and if there is difference then reality is better than expectation. Okay. Anyway, uh moving on, moving on. Guys, did you talk about the EU tax regime proposal? Which tax regime?
EU. You mean that there's some tax regime on EU? Let me see what's happening. I haven't seen anything.
Uh oh. Well, I mean recent. The EU doesn't really tax anything, but let's see. The most critical and recent EU tax region proposal is the May 2026. Well, that's now. That was just now.
Let's see here with uh Gemini what happened.
Oh yo yo crypto transaction tax a proposed 0.1 cut on all crypto oh h what guys what's happening like you know we we uh yeah crazy what's happening but what is I mean if you don't okay okay okay okay interesting so to fund it multi Yeah. I mean, there we go, guys. 0.1% on all. Okay. Okay. Okay. Crypto.
Yeah. And then there's some other stuff.
But yeah, good spot here. This is uh you spotted this in a very nice way.
Yeah. Got to think about your your guys.
This is the again with more and more plebs suffer AI coming they need to get the money somewhere they need to get the money maybe they can get something from crypto but see crypto is I think the here's where AI guys are going to struggle more I mean yes you can put all of this tax on crypto I I think it's going to be tough man why because crypto you take your crypto you you you move somewhere you move somewhere you know here you have to chase people with their cryptos, man.
It's hard, man. It's hard. It's hard.
It's hard. It's hard to chase people with their crypto. It's expens like it's it's possible, but it's hard. But especially with like Z it's it's harder.
I think AI AI guys are going to struggle more because they have incorporated entity. It's not easy to move. There's you know, good luck moving out your big AI startup, highly valued startup out of EU is going to be very hard or out of the US for that matter. So, so I feel that AI they have the more by the boss.
Okay. The the AI stuff. I think they're gonna AI guys are going to get milked more. So, capital likely is going to flow from AI into crypto. Okay. I I I think they're they're going to be easier to milk.
Way easier. Way easier.
Yeah. But good good shout. Good shout.
Interesting stuff. Guys, we're at 51 minute. Good length. Thanks a lot for being here. Smash the like. Subscribe.
Check out boom.com for our way of trading. Again, if you're worried about AI, you should you're likely going to get fired. And listen, uh I mean, in my view, if they fire you because of AI, um good, good. I mean, sorry to say, but it is like that. I I I have little sympathy for this, you know, let me have a job.
Just learn stuff. Uh take care of the problem. You're responsible that you have skill that's needed. If you're not needed, good. Okay. If you think that they fired you wrong, some see for example, people have so many opinions.
Zuckerberg fired so many people, he did it wrong. Okay, prove him wrong. Go get another job. Maybe someone else will hire you, maybe not. Who the hell knows?
Uh, but take your own responsibility in your own hands. If you don't take responsibility, you're going to be forever plebbe, always disappointed, unfair, unfair. Ban the word unfair from from your vocabulary. Nothing is the world is not fair, man. You have a gazelle. A freaking lion comes and freaking is the gazelle. How fair is that? You have a gazelle. La, let me drink some water in Africa. And then bam, freaking crocodile crushes your head. How is that fair, man?
Learn trading. Bloom.com. Have a good day. Bye, guys. Goodbye. Goodbye.
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