"XRP HAS BROKEN OUT OF ITS BEAR MARKET STRUCTURE" Popular Analyst Insists -Report

[00:00:00]Hello, this is Matt on the Moon Lambo channel. XRP has been moving down and then consolidating for actually at this point, I guess just over a year. Uh, but you cannot and will not stay in a range forever and there are lots of chart analysts that think uh, the end as far as the bottom, it's already actually it's already [laughter] actually happened now. Uh, I don't know if they'll be proven correct. There still are a number of analysts who I respect and follow who are warning XRP still very well may fall below a dollar very briefly before rocketing to the upside.

[00:00:28]And there are lots of reasons that analysts believe that's the most plausible thing. But based on what we've been seeing recently, I just I just I don't think it's a coincidence that after this long of a consolidation, you're seeing tons of analysts agreeing like XRP looks freaking primed.

[00:00:46]I So, I'll just say this.

[00:00:48]I don't know how you could not be excited for the future. We are at an advanced stage of whatever you want to call this bottoming process. And very clearly, the best is yet ahead. And I do recognize it's possible we could go a little bit lower first. I'm not going to even bother trying to make those types of calls.

[00:01:03]But I've lived through enough of this to understand what bottoms look like and this is it.

[00:01:08]But before going further, I do want to be clear I do not have a financial background of any kind. I am not offering financial advice and you definitely should not buy or sell anything because of anything I say or write.

[00:01:18]I'm just an enthusiast who enjoys making YouTube videos about crypto-related topics but just as a hobby and just for fun.

[00:01:24]As I record this video, XRP is $1.13.

[00:01:27]Bitcoin just a hair under $66,000 and we are in economic expansion. Take a look at this from a popular chart analyst TechDev. He shared this with his 554,000 followers. Uh, you got the price of Bitcoin up top and then you have the business cycle down below. And he says, "Your bear market comparisons are no good here." Uh, correct because we're not in a bear market and we haven't been in a bear market.

[00:01:51]The Look, the business cycle shows if we are expanding or contracting.

[00:01:57]What do you think is happening right here? You're right at this point. Well, so it depends on what you're talking about. So in term This is the oscillator version of this. So it it's showing you like where the momentum is.

[00:02:07]And if it keeps doing what it's doing, you know what's going to happen. You're going to end up with more of these red bars and eventually gets overheated and uh and then that's when you'd have the top for Bitcoin historically speaking.

[00:02:17]But uh viewed a different way, which I actually showed my last video, the business cycle, you can see like we're we're we're unquestionably, it's not even up for debate, we're in economic expansion. So this is more about the directional trend. That's what this particular version of the business cycle is right here.

[00:02:31]But every single cycle with zero exceptions, Bitcoin has peaked when you're at the top of the business cycle.

[00:02:39]And then things get overheated and it needs to correct and it goes back down.

[00:02:43]There's no reason to think this will be any different. And we're getting to the point where you should expect that momentum to to shift to a point where you are going to see these big red bars coming up sooner rather than later. It's just an extended cycle. That's it.

[00:02:55]That's all that's going on here.

[00:02:57]The 4-year cycle is not a thing anymore.

[00:03:00]The reason it was 4 years is because businesses after the the great financial crisis, they all refinanced at the same time. It set this 4-year rhythm. Uh but then when COVID happened, that extended it because people are like, "Wait a minute." Businesses are like, "Wait a minute."

[00:03:12]So we got 0% interest here. Uh why don't we go ahead and roll our debt instead of 4 years, let's push it out.

[00:03:19]And some some are doing more like 5 or 6 years.

[00:03:22]Some a little bit longer.

[00:03:24]So there you go. It delayed the creation of new money, uh impacted global liquidity, impacted M2 when it would uh hit all-time highs.

[00:03:32]It just delayed stuff. That's it. It's just a longer cycle.

[00:03:36]It's coming though, folks. It's a coming. Here's a post from Chart Analysts Super Bro.

[00:03:40]He says, "First ever weekly bullish divergence on Bitcoin spot ETFs, first ever tweezer bottom." Uh you can see that's what he's talking about right here. And he says, "Open gaps overhead and millions people waiting to bid a Q4 crash. Good luck with that. Yeah, the Q4 crash to a 30 or 40,000 Bitcoin is not going to happen. It makes no sense. Now, I I can't literally know for sure it's going to happen. I'm not pretending to, but I'm just saying in terms of probability we're we're seeing again economic expansion and increased risk on appetite. We're seeing what appears to be so far a rotation, which you've seen in every cycle, from risk-off assets into risk-on assets. You're seeing, you know, for instance, precious metals they peaked in January and going down and greater appetite for risk-on assets like the Russell 2000, the riskier stocks out there. That's going to spill into crypto eventually, folks.

[00:04:30]Um here's a post from Charting the Markets Psychedelic. This is a great post. So, he says, "It is important to not get overly excited too soon. Yes, Bitcoin is showing some nice strength here, but before we celebrate anything, we have to get some decent closes under our belt. The $66,000 is last cycle's $18,000.

[00:04:48]And our current situation is very similar to that.

[00:04:51]We can see that once Bitcoin reclaimed that range deviation and got a weekly close back above $18,000, the downtrend was officially over.

[00:05:01]Right now, we are starting to attempt to do the same here at $66,000.

[00:05:07]If we can lock in this close, it's a very solid start to the reversal here.

[00:05:12]After that if we clear $74,000 and the one-day 200 SMA we can be confident that we are fully back on and all-time highs will follow.

[00:05:22]I am allocated heavily and believe the macro low is in.

[00:05:25]But before we get ahead of ourselves, we let price action confirm it for us beyond doubt. Yeah. And so, I think it's fair to urge a little bit of caution here, but I think it's reasonable to be optimistic because even if we do have another pullback here we're at such an advanced stage of this correction, it's not going to matter.

[00:05:45]We're through almost all of the worst stuff.

[00:05:48]It's okay, folks. You know, one day Bitcoin's going to be worth a million dollars.

[00:05:53]And and then it's going to pull back to like, I don't know, $750,000. Making up numbers, but uh it's going to be the end of the world then, too. It's just It's all relative.

[00:06:02]Just like he's citing, you know, $18,000 Bitcoin.

[00:06:05]You know, remember when Well, it actually bottomed around like 15,400.

[00:06:09]People were calling for 12K. It's just it's all relative.

[00:06:13]It's just going to keep trending up into the right on the And just imagine what that means for XRP.

[00:06:19]The best is yet ahead. We haven't had a new all-time high for XRP against Bitcoin since 2017, but it's going to come.

[00:06:26]Uh here's a Yes, speaking of long time coming, here's a post from charting analyst Cryptalka. This is an ETH BTC chart, and this chart looks almost the same as an XRP BTC chart going back the last decade. Because we haven't had a new all-time high for Ethereum or XRP since 2017.

[00:06:42]So, what do you think's going to happen? Are we ever going to?

[00:06:47]Probably, yes.

[00:06:49]I'm going to go ahead I'll go out on a limb here and say without a specific time parameter, yeah, it's at some point, yeah. Why the hell wouldn't it?

[00:06:55]The fact it's taken a decade doesn't mean it's going to never happen. Almost a decade, anyway.

[00:07:00]Sometimes things take a long time to reset.

[00:07:03]But altcoins, including Ethereum and XRP, went so insane in 2017. It it If we need a decade before we can see a breakout that is of that caliber, I buy it.

[00:07:13]Yeah, absolutely. A decade to reset from something as insane as what happened in 2017, yeah.

[00:07:19]That's also why I mean, for any of you that were here in 2021, like it was exciting, it was fun, but there are a lot of people that were actually genuinely disappointed because it just wasn't the same scale as 2017.

[00:07:30]Well, right. It wasn't.

[00:07:33]But what if we are fully resetting now?

[00:07:34]And what if it is something closer to that?

[00:07:38]I'm not saying Look, I don't think you're ever going to see 2017 ever again like in terms of that. Like it's it I mean, there was a moment in time where it was like it felt anyway, like, it was impossible to lose money. Like, there's a moment in time you could buy any crypto, and if you just wait like a day or two or whatever it would be, it was going to rocket. Like, if you were trying to lose money, what I'm saying is there's a period in time where you'd have a hard time losing money on whatever you invested. Now, of course, it was a brief moment, and then, of course, we know the market cratered, went to a bear market. That was not sustainable.

[00:08:05]But, could we get something closer to that?

[00:08:08]Well, we're going to find out. It ain't crazy. But, here's what Cryptalka said.

[00:08:12]He said, "The chart that decides alt season, 9 years of waiting. ETH/BTC is testing the line that has capped every cycle since 2017. Break it, and the conversation changes. One break out away from changing the entire crypto market."

[00:08:25]Yeah. So, look at how it's budding up against this trend line. It has been coming up against it from time to time for almost almost a decade. What happens when it breaks through?

[00:08:33]Well, it's the same thing for XRP/BTC. I just don't think you're going to be disappointed here, folks. I really don't.

[00:08:41]Uh here's a post from Chart Analyst Kant says, "Last week, Ethereum dominance closed above a flattened 20-week SMA. It hasn't closed above the 20-week SMA since October 2025." Well, that's kind of telling. So, a lot of things are happening right now, um indicating we're at the very very advanced stages of whatever you want to call this correction.

[00:09:01]It it's it's about done here, folks. It just is. Here's a post from Chart Analyst Crypto Wizard XRP's turn. A pattern could be about to break out. XRP has formed an inverse head and shoulders. That's a bullish formation, obviously. He says, "Above $1.18 uh uh resistance, it'll break out with a target of $1.55.

[00:09:21]Can it break out?" So, he's calling for a big move, and there are lots of analysts that are talking about a move in line with that in the relative short term.

[00:09:31]You know, Credible Crypto said calling even for like a buck 70. Uh I think I think he said a buck 70 in the relative short term. Uh Chart Analyst Casey trades, I got some something from her I'll I'll highlight in a minute, but I think she was saying like a buck 65.

[00:09:43]So, you you could see XRP a fair bit higher in the not too distant future compared to where it is now if they indeed end up being correct.

[00:09:53]Uh here's a post from Chart Animals Fluffy. He says, "XRP BTC is so unbelievably compressed here." Yeah, so this chart's only going back to the end of 2024. And he's right, it's been increasingly trading within a more and more narrow range since then.

[00:10:06]Um I think the more extra more fun chart is for XRP BTC is the one that goes back the last decade. Just like I showed you with ETH BTC. But still, even if you're talking about on a lower time frame like this, yeah, he he is correct.

[00:10:19]And what happens as you This is This is always what precedes a breakout. You have You have a decreased range of volatility. You typically end up having less volume.

[00:10:29]Then you get a break and things go nuts.

[00:10:31]So, and that typically happens before you get to the apex. So, there's not much space left, folks.

[00:10:37]There's just like there there isn't. It doesn't mean the next move literally gets us to new all-time highs. I don't believe that will happen. Of course not.

[00:10:43]That's not typically how this stuff goes, but in terms of getting out of whatever the hell this range is that we've been in for almost half year.

[00:10:49]Yeah, I think that's I think we're about there probably. That would be my four fun guess.

[00:10:53]Here's a post from Chart Animals Bird.

[00:10:55]XRP has broken out of its bear market structure. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. If this breakout holds, we could explode from here. If not, we adapt. So, it's an XRP is D chart you can see And this is on the one day. You can see from where he drew the trend line of it's out.

[00:11:11]Uh you know, and I was mentioning this in my last video, too. And I think it's fair given the developments we've had like there there are an increasing number of XRP truck guys who are like, "This looks like an actual breakout." It looks like this is actually it.

[00:11:23]If that's it, again, it doesn't mean new all-time highs right away, but it does mean we can start talking about finally breaking out of this range that we've been in for so long.

[00:11:32]Ri- No, ranges are temporary, folks.

[00:11:34]It's It feels like you're never going to get out of it. It feels like it's forever, but it's actually not.

[00:11:38]Here's a post from Chart Analyst CW. He says, "XRP has broken through the first cell wall. There are three more cell walls remaining until $1.33."

[00:11:49]So, you can see around a buck 15, another one uh close to a buck 20 or so, a little higher than that.

[00:11:54]And then uh buck 33.

[00:11:56]So, if you hit resistance at those levels, he certainly wouldn't be surprised. Here's a post from Chart Analyst Casey Trades.

[00:12:01]She says, "The levels that confirm a macro XRP reversal. I'm watching XRP closely here, and for now, my purple bearish scenario continues to play out.

[00:12:12]This wave two correction has now reached an 854 retrace perfectly at $1.16.

[00:12:18]That's a deep retracement, but it's still completely valid for a wave two.

[00:12:23]The only rule from here is that price cannot make a new high above $1.20, or the purple count will be invalidated.

[00:12:32]Okay, that's the one that would take you down to somewhere around 86, 87 cents.

[00:12:36]So, if we break above that, the move down below a buck that she's been talking about as a possibility would be invalidated. She'd no longer believe it, at least this particular structure.

[00:12:46]She says, "That touch at $1.16 also created bearish RSI divergences across multiple degrees to confirm a top. Uh here's what I'm watching next to confirm the purple bearish scenario. Uh price should begin breaking down with momentum from here, keeping the path toward the lower supports uh 93 cents and 87 cents.

[00:13:07]To start entertaining the idea that the bottom is in, XRP first needs to break above a buck 20, invalidating purple, then clear a buck 30, invalidating C, and continue toward the buck 65, which is the mac major macro resistance that would truly challenge the bearish outlook.

[00:13:24]Let price, not emotion, lead your analysis." Well, yeah, I especially agree with that last part.

[00:13:29]So, who knows? Maybe we'll get lucky and we actually won't have to dip below a buck. It hasn't happened so far.

[00:13:34]I do not know if it will or won't happen. I'm not going to bother placing a bet on that. That's just not my stick.

[00:13:38]I don't do that. Well, let the chart guys argue about whether or not that's probable or not probable.

[00:13:44]I just know there are a lot of people analysts out there who think it's certainly on the table.

[00:13:50]So, take it for what it's worth here.

[00:13:52]But, obviously my God.

[00:13:56]This can't last forever.

[00:13:58]They're Mark my words. Like we're in extreme fear right now. We are.

[00:14:03]If you look at the crypto fear and greed index, we're in extreme fear. I'm telling you at some unknown points in the future, we will be back into extreme greed and these prices you'll just wish that you could purchase any number of assets at the prices that are on my screen right now. That's what's going to happen to people.

[00:14:18]I'm not a financial advisor. You should not buy or sell anything because of anything I say or write. That would be a very, very, very bad idea. Until next time, to the moon Lambo.