BITCOIN LIVE TRADING: Something Is Off With BTC [Here's My Plan]

追加: 2026-05-28

[00:00:07]I heard for the first time. Hope you will make some cash. That's the first time I've seen.

[00:00:14]>> Introducing Quick Up.

[00:00:16]>> Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome back to >> Well, >> I don't know where we are to be honest.

[00:00:24]Well, I know where we are. We're going back to hell. So, I think our main focus is going to be on finding an entry for sure.

[00:00:34]>> Whitney is my favorite cowboy, Nick.

[00:00:38]>> Nick, um, >> the market has been crazy. Um, we got the swing short still on with a TP of 44 who K. So, that's uh, that's going to be good. Going to be very good. We know your website is the center of your online.

[00:00:57]>> First of all, good morning to everyone.

[00:01:00]>> Oh my m is my mic better now. Mic too soft your voice. Fixed it. Fix it. Fix it.

[00:01:06]>> Is it better now guys?

[00:01:12]>> Fix Mike. Yeah. Yeah. We got it. We got it. We got it. We on it. We on it. We on it.

[00:01:20]>> Go.

[00:01:20]>> Is it fixed now? Yeah. Good. Good. Good.

[00:01:24]Good. Good, good, good. Better. Perfect.

[00:01:27]Don't hear your voice. Good, bro. So, how are you guys doing today? How you feeling? What's going on?

[00:01:34]I hope not everyone got completely wrecked. Um, it's awesome now. Awesome. Even that's what we want to hear, right, John?

[00:01:46]Awesome.

[00:01:49]Yeah. So, let's look from a 4hour perspective to the market first. Um, what?

[00:01:59]Oh, eat below 2K here next to me. I fear wrecked. Yeah, I get that, man. So, what I wanted to show first was the coin glass liquidations because um it's been a wild one again, man.

[00:02:17]liquidations.

[00:02:24]We have a whopping of 871 million short liquidations.

[00:02:32]The only noticeable and the only semi-positive thing we could say about this situation is that the body perfectly bounce of the 732 level. the body with a successful retest.

[00:02:46]My shot was perfect. Time to pull back.

[00:02:48]That's a very, very, very good job. Um, so I had two lines on my chart which were for me the most important levels, the white ones. It was the 82.2K and it is the 74.4K.

[00:03:05]And why have these lines so much importance and why are these lines so important? Well, for me, these were the signs to either fl bullish or bearish.

[00:03:15]And as you see, we broken again below the 744k region, which for me was the final retest of remaining be bullish for me. So, as long as we're below here, I'm short. I'm so short. I need a step ladder to tie my shoelaces.

[00:03:36]And either we can get a swing position going from here with a soft SL at 85 or 75.4, but the takerit is going to be.

[00:03:50]Give me a second here, guys.

[00:03:54]63K.

[00:03:57]So, how would that setup look? Well, it's a 10.7R setup with an entry. And let me write it on the chart for you as well.

[00:04:14]because the structure definitely flipped bearish.

[00:04:19]So this is the only position I would look for. Any thoughts on the next capitalation?

[00:04:24]um define capital but it's um if I look at it from a 4hour perspective I've seen better to be honest remember this big rejection that we were looking at during the evening during New York that's uh 7% ago the good old Let me ask you.

[00:04:56]>> Yes.

[00:04:56]>> What is your indication of it? What is what is it that's driving this bearish now? What is your indication of?

[00:05:04]>> Well, for me, I had this white line.

[00:05:07]This is 74.4.

[00:05:09]And I marked these two off because 744 is the previous alltime high. And as you can see, 74 has been always the resistance before breakout to the upside. And 74 is also the the main structural flip between the first impose. 744 is the top of this one.

[00:05:34]This one didn't manage to break and it was the first impose towards well the good old 100k.

[00:05:41]And from a lower time frame perspective, this was also the last retest and the last hold level during the Christmas period. And theoretically also the bottoming of this whole structure that we've been forming here where 74 to 73 high was the levels to hold. Break out back to 78. Retest break out to 79.

[00:06:07]Retest the buff. Break out to 82. 82 double tapped it. And this is why 82 was my flip level for going up and 74 or 82.2 was my flip level for being a bullish structure. And this with the previous all-time high uh being around the same level is for me definitely also a trigger for lower.

[00:06:32]Let's see what the liquidations are doing on the lower time frame. Um, we are having a bit of a move up now to be honest.

[00:06:41]It's given us a good 1.1% but it's it's still not the impulse move you would expect, right? It's still not the amount of >> it's still giving relief.

[00:06:53]>> Yeah. Yeah. It's getting relief, but it's not giving enough >> reversal.

[00:06:58]>> Yeah. Not enough oomph.

[00:06:59]>> Yeah.

[00:07:01]>> Push before.

[00:07:03]>> Yeah. I want to see a sharp V-shaped reversal. Um, and what is very very noticeable is that normally we need Vshapes to make higher levels. Um, even at the 5 minutes, let me get these I'll leave the liquidations on because that's not that harmful.

[00:07:22]Look, if we go to slightly higher time frame, let's say the 15 minutes, every time we seen a sharp dump, small consolidation, shift out before a move up. This is already a completely different structure, a lot more tame test, second test before ship shifting out. Single test, single test. Oh, this is also double test. And what is noticeable about this double test of the low is it remain consolidating and retesting that low before even a tame shift out.

[00:07:56]As long as markets don't give uh clear Vshape like here, I'm I'm not confident in my long. Not confident is indeed the right word. It's not that I'm I'm certain of the short.

[00:08:10]It's that I'm not confident in the long.

[00:08:14]But you cannot deny that on the hourly it's not looking bad. But we have seen not looking bad structures in the past and not looking bad structures ended up being looking extremely extremely bad.

[00:08:25]>> Bad is just it's not cutting it now.

[00:08:27]>> Yeah.

[00:08:27]>> If it's not clear.

[00:08:29]>> Yes.

[00:08:30]>> Especially because of the fact that we are in a downtrending market. We are in uh downwards market.

[00:08:39]Not bad means it's not good. We need a lot more. We need more pressure.

[00:08:45]We need more conviction. Um, yeah, I think 744 region is a very good region to have a retest.

[00:08:56]I said the liquidity gap is big. Look, they wiped everything much, but now it's all gone.

[00:09:03]>> Well, there wasn't much. It's um they wiped 870 million in the last 24 hours and longs.

[00:09:13]I think a lot of that was people trying to knife catch. It wasn't people swinging.

[00:09:18]>> No. Um, there was some of it. A lot indeed must have been knife catching.

[00:09:24]But still, the ratio itself, it's uh it's 18 times more longs than shorts.

[00:09:31]And I just can't see shorts piling in right now at none of the time frames.

[00:09:35]Look, if there are shorts, they're resigning high around the 79K region. Um not particularly convinced that we're going back to the 79k region personally.

[00:09:49]Long short ratio going wild. Absolutely need more S&P.

[00:09:56]What is wild is that the stock market's closed positive but now oil is up. Gold is down.

[00:10:05]Mama mia bueno.

[00:10:10]So guys, what is your opinion? How are you guys feeling? You feeling long? You feeling short? How are you positioned?

[00:10:20]>> Yeah, that's >> that's not good.

[00:10:22]>> No, no, that's not good at all.

[00:10:36]We're below every Let's see. Where's the 4hour EMA?

[00:10:43]>> Oh.

[00:10:46]Oh, this is not good for the opium guys.

[00:10:54]Even though that price the pressure looks to be off and what is for me most worrying if I look at the volume chart of flow X here you see that all the spikes are green.

[00:11:06]Oh, the spikes are green yet price is refusing to move up.

[00:11:10]So, the absorption is pretty high.

[00:11:15]>> This is not good.

[00:11:16]>> That's not bueno. Yet again, >> every metric is not good right now.

[00:11:20]>> No, everything is looking uh >> money flow.

[00:11:25]>> Money flow is I'm I'm refreshing this because I I almost can't believe it.

[00:11:35]Ah, look at these candles on the 5-second chart.

[00:11:48]The hourly is not looking bad. The 4hourly has up volume. The 24 hours has a a pressuring volume of plus uh four of minus 4 billion.

[00:12:04]got completely wrecked. Oh man, Ahmad, that's that's not good. Scalping long 1 hour bullish. The 1 hour is not looking bad. Let me let me put it like that. I think you you have to be very careful with taking a bullish uh bullish stance from here to be honest.

[00:12:22]Yeah, I would be slightly more risk averse and until proven otherwise the trend is down and yeah trend is definitely done.

[00:12:57]Oh man, it's not moving up either. It still has no pressure. Is the news data today? Big short soon, May 28th. So what we have coming in is prelim GDP. We have core PCE and unemployment claims. It's not it's not an uneventful day to be honest.

[00:13:26]>> No, it's not.

[00:13:28]>> Smash the likes. Absolutely. For people that don't know me, I'm Shanto. I do everything for free. So my free Discord link is below as well. And today we're trading with Coin if we're taking any trades. If you want to have something that is secure and KYC coin is definitely the way to go and yeah I can strongly advise joining the free discord. It's free so that helps and check Z please. I don't trade out coins my friend.

[00:13:58]My last money is long Zcash.

[00:14:04]Well, you're I I guess you're not the most risk averse trader I've ever spoken to.

[00:14:17]Um, yeah.

[00:14:23]Why does this structure look like it doesn't have enough impose? And it's it's it might start looking bleak really really fast as well.

[00:14:34]New York is going to be spicy. Oh, New York is going to be absolutely spicy.

[00:14:40]You have gut feeling that next FO, you have a gut feeling, I assume.

[00:14:45]I think we front run it or at least then we go down hard. Waiting for 74.5 short.

[00:14:50]I think that's a very good choice.

[00:14:53]Um, it would make sense in terms of a structure. It would make sense to retest there.

[00:15:00]I'm just interested to see if the Yeah.

[00:15:02]If we get a higher low.

[00:15:05]Um, so the structure that the market needs to make in order to shift out.

[00:15:10]This is already bad because it's a second low, but it needs to do something like this in order to have a shift out out of this structure. And until now, um, I can tell that they're compressing like they're genuinely compressing the range.

[00:15:27]But uh I'm DCA into long from getting wrecked again. Shanta doesn't like Zcash. Bro, I don't like who woke up.

[00:15:47]>> Hi, Vic.

[00:15:50]>> Yeah, a bad ratio.

[00:15:55]>> Not bad at all. It's not bad.

[00:15:58]>> Not bad.

[00:16:00]>> Love the soundtrack. Very nice.

[00:16:04]>> Isabella Gim, I guess. Oh, we have we have two women in the chat now. Wow.

[00:16:10]Wow.

[00:16:16]Music is much better. Thank you. Yeah, we switch playlist.

[00:16:21]I think we got to we got to stream on kick soon because then we can play whatever music we want.

[00:16:26]>> Yeah. Are we in any trade? Absolutely.

[00:16:30]Yeah. I'm in my swing trade from uh 78K short, but that's basically the only trade I have now. We have a limit waiting at 774 or 744. My apologies. I forgot how to speak. The market is uh The Last Wish.

[00:16:54]What do you mean? What's this music code? I have no clue.

[00:17:05]I I just don't think this is looking good.

[00:17:12]So, from a market perspective, things are looking very very bad. Um, from a structural perspective, it's looking very, very bad. From an economic perspective, it's looking bad. From a geopolitical perspective, it's looking very bad. Um, from a liquidity perspective, it's also looking bad because there's still a lot of longs. So, the probability is uh I I guess we're going up.

[00:17:38]>> I'm a glass half full kind of guy.

[00:17:40]>> Yeah.

[00:17:41]>> And you know, the one thing that we have going for us is our spirits. Yeah, our spirits are immaculate.

[00:17:48]>> Fantastic.

[00:17:49]>> Fantastic. Listen, spiritwise, unbeatable.

[00:17:54]>> Why is this cowboy sitting there?

[00:17:56]>> For the vibe.

[00:17:57]>> It's for the spirits.

[00:17:59]>> Spirits.

[00:17:59]>> Spirits. What?

[00:18:01]>> Give Let me Let me ask you the question back. Why would you not have a cowboy on stream?

[00:18:10]I I can't think of a single reason why you put it.

[00:18:14]>> Or a co or a call boy.

[00:18:19]>> Any entry for today? Um yeah, 744 short.

[00:18:32]That's basically the only entry I can give you guys. Now listen, New York yesterday did the dirty. Um, Asia and London picked it up or well Asia picked it up. Uh, London now is just consolidating and probably waiting for more damage. Um, I would be very very very careful right now guys.

[00:18:59]Cowgirl would be nice also.

[00:19:01]>> I agree.

[00:19:04]I don't want to meet HR, but yeah, sounds great. Are you HR as well?

[00:19:10]>> I'm HR.

[00:19:11]>> Wasn't I HR?

[00:19:13]>> Delegated.

[00:19:19]>> Okay. S755.

[00:19:22]S75485.

[00:19:29]Guys, I wish I could entertain you guys longer. I wish we could make this u more informative live stream, but the truth is if you're not in a position, don't get in one.

[00:19:40]>> The market annihilated uh everyone who was long, huh?

[00:19:48]>> Yeah. Yeah, there's there was a little something here. Something bleach.

[00:19:54]>> Yeah. So, my advice would be 744 with a tight SL at 754.

[00:20:01]Yeah, wait for the market structure to actually shift. Um, to answer your question, will there be an out season?

[00:20:08]Abso fuckingutely not. Um, be careful, be safe, don't over risk or overleverage because we're now entering the period.

[00:20:26]Adam, you got to shout in that. When will it be an out season? There will never be an out season. Never.

[00:20:35]There's not even a BDC season.

[00:20:39]But we're now entering the period where staying liquid. Remaining in a place where you have money is way more important than trying to scrape out more money. Streaming US Open. Yeah, it's it's looking like we will, but I can't 100% sure say it depends on other meetings that we're having.

[00:21:03]>> I have a comment on the alt season.

[00:21:05]>> Yes.

[00:21:05]>> Uh I think we we are in alt season if you invert your charts.

[00:21:09]>> Yeah. Yeah. If you invert your charts is going epic.

[00:21:14]>> If you invert your charts, we're in alt season about 90% of the year, you know.

[00:21:30]Can we go to 64? Oh, easily, easy.

[00:21:39]>> Yeah, this PA is Yeah.

[00:21:43]>> Yeah.

[00:21:57]So guys, hit the like button on the way out. I think I'm going to leave it at this because there's not much more to to talk about. Um, as soon as I enter trade or see a trade, I will update the Discord and I will update the probably Twitter as well. Um, thank you for tuning in. Apologies for not having more information or for being able to provide anything better. Um