The video accurately describes how market sentiment often lags behind reality, making a compelling case for contrarianism. However, it borders on using psychological theory to justify holding a speculative asset that may simply be losing its competitive edge.
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XRP: Why Would THIS Happen NOW of All Times?!Added:
Hello, this is Matt on the Moon Lambo channel. Why would XRP and altcoins be declared dead right now of all times?
Why why do people genuinely believe we will never have an alt season ever again? Because that's a real thing that real people think. Analysts, some of them even with fairly large followings say, "Nope, it's just we didn't have an alt season for a reason. It's a four-year cycle and we just didn't get it because uh it's a maturation of the asset class and turns out people just don't have interest in speculating in the ris riskiest part of the riskiest asset class ever again. And I just sit there thinking, audible thigh, face palm, all that jazz, because we're going to go on a tremendous run. Couldn't be more freaking obvious. And I got to tell you, after this most recent pullback the other day, um, at least as of the time I'm recording this, so let's see how the weekly closes, but uh, we are sitting pretty at the moment anyway. I know things can change fast, but if we really do hold here, I I just how could you not be optimistic for what's about to happen for the remainder of this market cycle?
You got XRP at $1.35. You got Bitcoin at 76,694 after the most recent pullback. You know, Bitcoin Bitcoin down to 744. Uh XRP down to $1.31.
Guys, none of this none of this is bearish. So, I want to talk a little bit about this because a couple things.
First of all, uh a little bit later in the video I'm going to highlight this, but there are a couple key XRP specific metrics I want to highlight you. And this these particular metrics and the human be behavior behind them, I think very clearly indicates uh extreme bullishness for what's going to happen for XRP in the not too distant future.
Uh but also people, it's just people do not know how to check their freaking emotions. My god. This is why I always say when it comes to investing, we are our own worst enemies. people get hit in their feels and then they'll make important financial decisions based on emotion rather than logic and data and reason. But before going further, I do want to be clear. I do not have a financial background of any kind. I am not offering financial advice and you definitely should not buy or sell anything because of anything I say or right. I'm just an enthusiast who enjoys making YouTube videos about cryptorelated topics, but just as a hobby and just for fun. All right, so there's this post from somebody I'm not familiar with, but that doesn't necessarily matter. Somebody named Alejandro BTC wrote, "Unpopular opinion.
Ethereum is completely dead. It won't disappear overnight. It'll die slowly.
And I truly believe we'll never see a new all-time high again." Woo! That's a big claim. Uh I'll tell you this, I think that's going to age like a fine milk. And I I've been holding Ethereum since 2017. It's actually happens to be the first cryptocurrency I ever purchased. Um I'm not the most excited about it, but I like to have broad exposure. It's a large cap. So, yeah, I hold it. Um, and I to think that the whole segment's not going to run and Ethereum, it's just God, that's not how this works, folks. And look, I understand most coins will not hit new all-time highs when we have an alt season. Last cycle, only about 20% hit new all-time highs, I understand that.
But to think that we're not going to that like the asset class still wouldn't all run in tandem, that's that's silly nonsense.
So, anyway, here's what chart analyst Psychedelic had to say about that specifically. He said, "It's baffling to me. No matter how long markets exist, no matter how many times sentiment shifts, investors will always call an asset dead when it's at its lows. I simply cannot understand how humans continue to make the same mistakes over and over and over. Ethereum is not dead, just like it wasn't dead in April 2025, in June 2022, but every single time it was called dead." Dead means upset at price action.
That's spot on. That's right. When people say it's dead, I don't like the price. That's what it actually means.
It's true. It says, "Be a smart, aware, conscious, thinking person who can regulate emotions and understand this phenomenon. The more something is labeled dead by the masses, the better the opportunity. That's it." And folks, think about 2024. Think about all of the large analysts, you know, in terms of followers, uh, large followings. Think about all the analysts I highlighted in 2024 before XRP run declaring it was dead. It was a bad investment. It shouldn't be part of anyone's portfolio.
And what happened? XRP became the number one performing coin by market cap out of the top 100 coins. The number one. So, it had bad price action until suddenly it didn't. Isn't that always how it goes?
But humans are like this. They like and he's right. So, on the whole um humans never learn. Like if you're just speaking in general about that the human race and that's never going to change and I do understand it. It doesn't mean that you can't change on an individual level as you get older and wiser, you can become better, but there always going to be people uh who get old after they've learned and then they pass away and then there's younger people and then they get into investing and they've got to learn the same mistakes. You know, they learn all over again. So that's why I keep saying as a as a group people are never going to get this this figured out. But I've got it figured out. I hope you've got it figured out. It can be challenging sometimes. I get it. like you are a human still. Um but when price goes down I just I I genuinely don't get fearful anymore. I I used to early on it was it was a bit concerning but I I logically understood and for some reason I just I finally let it sink in once. It just hit me. Um I guess when it did it was I believe it was yeah it was it was I remember it was like August of 20 uh 2018. So, I've been in crypto less than a year and I logically understood sentiment is what it is and just because the price goes down, it doesn't mean that everything's going to hell in a hand basket. But, um, you do have to get used to it a little bit. And so, for me early on, again, being been in crypto less than one year at that point. I remember I, you know, started my crypto journey November 2017, bought XRP, stopped after the price went up, and then I said, "Okay, well, clearly we're going to turn a bare market. I'm going to wait until price comes down a bit and I'll start dollar cost averaging in."
So, I did 55 cents, I started buying again, and then down to 50 cents and 45.
And I remember at some point uh in August, and I just so happened, this is just a coincidence because I was driving, I was visiting a family out in California. I live in I live in the Midwest. And so, I was uh visiting an uncle uh he lived up in Paluma and then I was with my my then girlfriend and we're just driving down the Pacific Coast Highway uh all the way down to like Malibu, Palisades area. And so we decided to stop in in San Francisco and I even saw Brad Garlinghouse. Actually, that's a whole separate story, but um but I went outside to Ripple HQ and it just happened to be the case that as I was there uh XRP price had gotten down to like I can't remember exactly. It was like 20 cents, 25 cents and I did have a moment where it just like emotionally hit me because I was thinking about how much money I had put into that point and how it just keeps going down and it did but but then I just had this epiphany. I was like Matt, you logically know that doesn't matter. And that was the last time that I ever actually felt fear um as a result of price going down. I actually just let it sink in. So that that's my story. But you know, I wasn't always impervious to this. Um but I will say the longer I'm in crypto that the easier it gets to be able to to just manage this. Like it just it does not matter. This asset class is so much bigger than when I jumped in. Um, you know, and I'm down on certain investments right now, but I think, uh, you know, a lot of them are going to come back because you because alt season is going to happen, you know, but people do give up. Like look at this. There's an account called macroite and he wrote, "I sold, held eight years, 5,400 Litecoin, top 1% private holder for a long time. Bye-bye shitcoin." So, so somebody uh has sold their Litecoin uh apparently at a bit of loss here at $51.82 per coin, which means at the time of selling uh their their Litecoin was worth about $275,000.
And they're selling, and they can do whatever they want. I'm just saying they're selling right before a moment that we're going to have an alt season.
So, I say right before, I mean it could be, you know, half a year, nine months.
I don't know. I don't know exactly. I don't pretend to. But just based on the macro setup, sooner rather than later, I do have confidence in that. Now, you can debate on whether or not Litecoin is or isn't a shitcoin. You can debate whether it will or won't ever hit a new all-time high. But to think that this is the highest price it would ever be is kind of silly nonsense. So, don't be surprised if this thing actually does hit a new all-time high. Again, I'm not going to make a prediction. I don't know if it will. I don't know what's going to happen there. But, I do know that this is an emotional post. And when people make investment decisions based on emotions, I mean this this literally this is textbook capitulation here. Like it's just a bad idea to make important investment decisions based on your emotions. So we'll see here folks. But I mean people people were doing the same thing. Like I remember in in 2017 when I jumped into crypto, there's a post like a few days. I've talked about this many times. There's a guy who made a YouTube video actually um and he talked about how he' been holding XRP for a long long time but it just wasn't going anywhere.
And so he's like I finally got to give up on it. it's just not a winner. I got to sell. So, he sold his XRP in December of 2017 and then it went on the biggest face melting rally in its entire history to that point. So, I was just people just don't learn their lessons. That's why to me it just makes sense to have exposure then you just freaking wait because you can't control when it goes.
But the market will eventually go again at some point. Uh here's XRP community member and chart analyst the great Mattsby. He wrote, "The flush in Bitcoin and Ethereum is uh is exposing all the frauds on here. These furus," which I'm guessing means fake guru. I like that.
If so, says, "These furus uh don't have convictions. They're just price dictated sentiment machines." Oh my. I love that.
That is like the way to word it. Price dictated sentiment machines. Yep. Price goes down, suddenly they're all bearish.
Bearish doomers. Price goes up, they're screaming to the moon again. Real ones stay steady through the volatility.
Here's another post from them. Uh, I just posted a handful of major crypto market cap charts. Everyone is in despair. Even though they're all quite literally holding multimonth or even multi-year support zones, people are once again the most bearish right at support. And it happens every single time like clockwork. I can't save everyone from their own emotional reactions, but crypto lagging in a macro bull market means the liquidity is there. Money just hasn't rotated to it yet. If we were in a macro bare market, I would be running for the hills, but stocks are proving how riskone we really are. Patience spot on. Absolutely nailed it there. And one more from him real quick. This is a short one. He says, "I bull posted so many charts last night to show everyone that they are being bearish at major support. The only way to improve is to get rid of bad emotional habits." And folks, this is true. We actually are at support. Now, if it falls through support and things start to develop on the chart, okay, then we'll have a discussion about it.
But it's not right now. Why are you getting bearish at support? It does not make logical sense. Stop letting your fuel fuels run you. Here's a post from chart analyst Matthew Highland.
All the data is out there that explains why Bitcoin had a non-uporic run and why crypto completely underperformed the past four years. That same data also explains why Bitcoin is going to have its euphoric run and why crypto is going to outperform over the coming years. Not here to convince anyone. Review the data and determine yourself ultimately. Yeah.
Well, I agree with that and I know what he's referencing because I I follow his account. He knows that we we are absolutely in a bull market still and he he's aware of what's happening with macro factors which are what those factors are what actually drives price action in the world of crypto for all risk on assets assets really including the stock market. It's macro factors.
They are these macro factors are primed in a way that they haven't been in about half a freaking decade. It is but we're seeing it now. That's not an opinion.
That's fact. Now, you can have an opinion about what that means for the market price-wise, but it is a matter of fact statement that those macro factors that drive the market are primed just like they were half a decade ago and the and the market cycle before that 2016 like I just and people are selling here.
I mean, if if do whatever you want to do, but I'm like would I would I sell here? No. Hell no. Not a freaking chance.
So, you guys do whatever you want.
Again, I'm not telling you what to do.
And also, there can be valid reasons to to to sell even in this environment. I'm just saying like I mean, if you really have to get money, it could be a dire circumstance, health concern, who knows?
I'm just saying if the reason for the selling is because you're being an emotional little baby back maybe rethink that. That's all I'm saying. You know, you you do what you want. I'm not saying there aren't ever good reasons to sell when the market's down. There can be. But if it's the emotions, I'm just like, man, you haven't learned your lesson. Here's a post from chart analyst Superb Bro. Bitcoin 3-day chart here. He says, "Woo boy, bears are walking dead if this holds to the close on Sunday."
Okay, so like I said, you know, fingers crossed. Not trying to jinx it here. I don't believe that anyway, but if uh if if you have the weekly close and it's above this, I just it's it's even more proof that like we're we're in we're in bull mode, folks. Like we just are. Look at this.
just seems so freaking obvious. Now, as far as XRP specifically, take a look at this post from chart analyst Ali Martinez.
In the last nine days, whale activity on the XRP network has dropped from 157 large transactions worth over $1 million to just 67 today, representing a 57.3% decline. When large- scale transaction volume thins out like this, it tells me the market could be entering a compression phase. Wales have stepped back to let the current price range settle which naturally reduces immediate volatility and allows the order book to mature. Okay, that what he's stating right there, that data is in line with data that I'm seeing from another analyst named CW who from time to time will update the price chart showing you um who's buying. Is it the large whales out there or is it just normal size orders? And I anytime he provides an updated version of that chart, I share it. And the last two times he provided an update, he said right now the whales are not buying. It looks like they've finished their accumulation. That's that's his perspective. So we'll see if that persists. Doesn't mean it has to, but that has been the case. So then you look at this also. What do what do you think? What do you think, folks? I mean, again, one more signal. Maybe we really are getting closer. You know, eventually whales, they're they're going to feel like they got their fill. You know, then you have an opportunity to move ultimately. And there was also this.
Here's another signal. XRP withdrawals from Binance hit highest level in over a month. XRP withdrawals from Binance have reached their highest level in over a month despite the latest market pullback after soaring to a high of $154 on May 14th. XRP faced resistance and pulled back alongside the rest of the crypto market, dropping to $1.37 amid the correction. verified cryptocoin analyst AMR Taha, not familiar with him, but that doesn't matter, uh, recently revealed that XRP withdrawals from Binance have climbed to their highest level in more than a month. This indicates that investors are making more withdrawal transactions than deposits on Binance. In his latest analysis, TA pointed out that withdrawal transactions once again exceeded deposit transactions on Binance. He represented this data um from the 7-day transaction share chart.
data confirms that withdrawal transactions made up 53% of Binance XRP activity while deposits accounted accounted for 47%.
Uh he noticed not noted that this was one of the strongest withdrawal readings since April 10th, 2026 when withdrawals reached 53.4%. So folks, when you're having more withdrawals than deposits, what do you think that means? It means that people are not planning on selling their XRP anytime soon because if you were, you would have just left it on the freaking exchange.
So, look at what's happening. The whales have have perhaps gotten their fill. Um, we'll see if the dead change. I'm going to keep tracking it. Uh, more people are are taking their XRP off exchanges.
That's a bullish signal. And this is at a time when macro factors are perfectly lined up. People are capitulating like crazy because they're emotional little And what do you think then happens? What do you think happens next?
This is why I keep saying, folks, markets find bottoms and the best is yet ahead. Couldn't be more obvious. I I do not question it. So, I don't make price predictions. I don't know exactly how high the price of XRP will go. I don't know exactly when it's going to launch.
Um, nobody knows technically for sure, but I do believe you're going to see XRP in price discovery for the first time in in the better part of a decade because we haven't seen price discovery for XRP since 2018 in the beginning of the year.
That was it. But to think that would never happen again, that's silly nonsense. It's just you only have an opportunity to see that when there's an alt season. And last alt season XRP was being attacked by the SEC. That's why XRP is the only top thing going by market cap when the market got hot. That did not see a new alltime high. All the other top 10 did. That's not a fluke.
You know, that was the government picking winners and losers. But now we have a level playing field and XRP is just soaring.
It's totally vindicating. The number one performing coin after the election out of the top 100 that that's XRP. All the utility increasing. One of the like I was talking about in my last video, you know, one of the most utilized chains for tokenization. Number four on the planet on the planet. Think about how many blockchains exist. It's XRP is number four. Couldn't be more obvious.
XRP is an early winner in the crypto space and the utility is just through the freaking roof and people are capitulating here. It's got legal clarity, utilities up, macro factors firing on all cylinders the way you'd want them to. Yeah, I would be excited here, not scared. But hey, you do you, girl. You do you. I'm just saying. I'm not a financial adviser. You should not buy or sell anything because of anything I say are right. That would be a very, very, very bad idea. Until next time, to the moon Lambo.
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