This analysis effectively highlights how traditional labor data continues to dictate the rhythm of the crypto market, proving that Bitcoin is still far from being a truly decoupled asset. It offers a grounded perspective on why macro-economic shifts remain the primary driver of short-term volatility.
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BITCOIN URGENTE: PAYROLL AMERICANO AO VIVO E MERCADO EM TENSÃO!Added:
We are live. Welcome to the Investment without Koo channel. Michurri, and today we're here to follow the payroll data that will be released in just a few minutes. Let me pull up the data on the screen for you. So, in a little while, guys, in about 15 minutes, let me share my screen with you here.
In just 15 minutes, we'll have the payroll results here, which is the average monthly earnings per hour worked for the month of April. There's an expectation of growth, meaning a projected increase from 0.2 to 0.3.
Next, the payroll jobs report, which has an estimate of contraction. Welcome to another update on US economic data. Today is Friday, May 8, 2026. Today we have the publication of data relating to the real estate market.
Okay, now that's better. There was a video playing, I couldn't hear anything, but now it's back. Let's go.
So, where we were, as I was saying. Okay, let's go.
So, in about 14 minutes we'll have the average hourly earnings report, the payroll employment report, which is an expected contraction from 178,000 jobs to 65,000 jobs. In other words, today is a day when the market expects us to see a contraction in the labor market. If we have a number higher than that or higher than 178,000, then there will be vacancies, which was the number last month. This could bring a lot of volatility to the market, because it's something that wasn't priced in beforehand. Then, soon after the payroll employment report is released, the US unemployment rate will also be released, which is projected to remain at 4.3%. It's noon, my friends, and Donald Trump is giving his speech. Remember that speech that was scheduled to happen yesterday, the one I told you about this morning, that could be at 5 pm? Yes, that speech will take place today at noon. In just a little while, very soon, this speech will take place and we will be here following it along with you. What will Uncle Trump say?
We were expecting a peace announcement, but we recently had a major threat from Donald Trump against Iran. And it seems that backfired, right? We were expecting an announcement of peace, and instead we got a threat.
Things are complicated here with this conflict between the United States and Iran, my friends. But we'll continue to monitor this situation one day at a time. So, I wanted to say good morning to our dear friends who are connecting with us here now. Go ahead and like, comment, and share this live stream, and let us know which city, state, or municipality you're watching from. It'll arrive in the comments section soon.
Let me read here what our friends who are arriving now are saying, live and in color.
First of all, let me let's get started with that "irra" sound. Wait a minute. Let's go.
1 2 3 and so on.
Beauty. So what do we have here? We have José Roberto arriving here and saying good morning. Take a picture of that old man. It can't be removed. He's only leaving on the 15th. So this is Jerome Powell's last payroll. This payroll report is the last one that Uncle Jeron Powell will be leading the Fed.
Powell still has a week left before he leaves. May 15th is his last day as head of the Federal Reserve.
Here we have our dear Cléber Lima. Good morning, Yuri. Good morning everybody. Here we have our dear Antonieta Alencar. Good morning. Gilmar always arrives strong and steady all the way from Cidrolândia. Hello.
Here we have our dear Rodrigo from Lisbon, Nelson from Recife. Greetings to the folks from Recife. We have Tuano Barbosa here from Pernambuco, watching our live stream from Pernambuco. Now I'd like to ask a question. Where are the people of Minas Gerais? Do you know what I'm missing from the live streams? I'm missing the people from Minas Gerais. I'm missing the people from Africa, the people from Mozambique, the people from Angola. Have the people of Mozambique and Angola given up on crypto? Have the people of Minas Gerais given up on the cryptocurrency market? This kind of deal is impossible. Where are all the people from Minas Gerais who are just now joining our live stream? Who else is arriving? Here we have our dear friend, Master Crypto. Oh, there's the master, arriving on the live stream. We're in this together, master.
Good morning. It's Friday 9:20. Those who did it, did it.
It will be? There's still more to happen today, huh, master? Who else is arriving here? Here we have the O não Li Livad Mineiro. Hey, here's a guy from Minas Gerais. But it's someone from Minas Gerais who posted a cosplay photo of Satan with little horns, and then they're saying they're from Minas Gerais. I don't know about that, you know?
Oh, finally, oh, we have Assis here.
Assis Magaço, good afternoon from Mozambique. It's late now in Mozambique. What time is it in Mozambique? Tell me what time it is in Mozambique. Tell me.
Oh, here we have Robert Junior. Well, I'm always here, look, a guy from Minas Gerais arriving here.
Who else? Here we have Peter, Peter Miguel from Florianópolis. Oh, the gang's arriving. The gang's arriving, look.
Here's Juliano Ribeiro from Minas Gerais.
Here we have our dear Anderson from Paraná. That's it, that's it, look. Here we have our dear Fábio Castro. I'm from Minas Gerais, but I live in Santa Catarina. Do you want a ticket?
Juliano Ribeiro. That's bad, huh? Has Payola already left? It didn't leave, no. It will be leaving soon. So, as you can see, in just a little while, in about 8 minutes, we'll have the payroll results. And right after that we're going to talk about Trump's threat, everything that happened.
Trump talking to Lula, Lula visiting Trump, Trump speaking well of Lula, calling Lula an intelligent guy. And there's a lot for us to talk about today in this live stream. So go ahead and start liking, commenting, and sharing, because in just 8 minutes, my friends, in just 8 minutes we'll have the payroll results here.
Let's start by taking a quick look at how the markets are performing here. Yeah, I think it's worth taking a quick look at the markets, starting with the price of oil, which, by the way, has been falling quite a bit here. If you look at yesterday, it was a day of decline for the price of a barrel of oil, May 7th. Today is May 8th. Let's update this chart to see what happened to the price of a barrel of oil. Wait a minute, let me pull up the screen, it wasn't showing up.
Hold on, it's going to show up now. Ready.
So let's go. Let's update this chart here to show the price of oil for today. And what's happening with oil today, my friends? Let's go. How interesting!
Yesterday, when we were doing the live stream, the price of oil was falling, it was falling sharply. Yesterday morning, throughout the day, oil prices reversed course, but reversed sharply. Look at the shadow we left down here on this candle. And we ended the day on a positive note.
So we opened the day down and closed it up, with the price of oil rising above 100 dollars, 101, and 14. And today we're opening the day again with a drop in the price of Brent crude oil. We 're now at 98 dollars. Let's see if this threat from Trump and Iran will bring about a reversal, just like what happened yesterday with the price of oil.
I hope not. I hope the price of oil continues to fall, to the delight of crypto investors, to the delight of SNP investors, and indeed, to the delight of all investors.
Oil prices need to fall, the dollar needs to fall so Bitcoin can rise, and everything else needs to go up.
This is a natural market movement.
Will it happen? Only time will tell, let's see how many minutes are left before the data is released. So now, my friends, there are 6 minutes left until the data is released. I think we have time to quickly look at some other charts here. Let's take a look at the gold.
How's the gold doing?
The price of gold, as you can see, is rising right now. Let's see if it's going up too.
Okay, let's go! Interesting here. Oh, Bitcoin wasn't included. Wait a minute. It's not Bitcoin. X USD gold.
Oh, today is another day of high prices for gold.
We are seeing gold prices rising today, May 8th. Not much, right? But it's going up. And that's what I always tell you, there's no way you can lose money in the long run with gold. Gold is infinitely high, always. There will be periods of correction here and there, like we had here, there will be some sideways periods, but in the long run, gold is infinitely high. You see, sometimes it can stay sideways for quite a while, but historically, the gold's performance is endlessly upward, my friends. And the global central banks, they just keep accumulating gold. We talked about this the other day, at the beginning of the week, if I'm not mistaken, many global central banks were buying tons and tons of gold, positioning themselves in gold. It is, without a doubt, apart from Bitcoin, the safest traditional asset, because Bitcoin is not yet a traditional asset, right? It's becoming that way with the entry of ETFs, with the entry of BlackRock, and now with the entry of the big banks through Clar React. We'll talk about Clar React later, as soon as we get the payroll results, but in the traditional market, there's no better place to be than in gold. This is your safe haven during times of uncertainty.
So buy gold, my friends. Now, how many minutes are left until the data is released? Just 4 minutes until the data is available. That gives us time to look at more charts.
Let's take a look at Dollars. Let's take a quick look at Dollars.
So, let's see how Doleta is performing here now.
Let's go, then. Oh, our dear Dollar, give this a refresh.
Our beloved Dollar is falling today, which is pleasing investors. Not much, right? You see, look how interesting, the dollar is finding support here in this region between 98 points and approximately 97.90.
He's holding it here, he's providing support here. It's a region where the market is trying to bring it down, but he's holding back.
What's cool? What would be a cool thing to happen? If the dollar were to lose this region, if the dollar were to lose this region here, starting a slightly stronger correction, bringing it back to the levels of early January, that would be very good for us, especially for those investing in crypto. We know very well that when gold starts to rise sharply, we usually see the market suffer, especially crypto. You see, here, in 2025, it was a period, at the very beginning of the year, when Trump started imposing tariffs, remember?
Last year, fee after fee. It was a time when the dollar rose a lot, it was a difficult time for Bitcoin. You see, if we look at Bitcoin at the beginning of the year, we started the year well, it's Trump's inauguration, you know. Look, where is the Bitic graph? Here it is, look. If you look at Bitcoin in January 2025, look, we started the year well, with Bitcoin going up to 109 and then whoosh, a huge drop.
We went from 109,000 to 74,000 from January to April. It was a terrible start to the year for Bitcoin. And what was happening during that period at the beginning of the year?
Doletinha bursting the lid of the box.
So, my friends, a stronger dollar is indeed a cause for concern. Ideally, it should fall. We're keeping an eye on it to see if it will fall any further. Let's go, data. One minute until the payroll is released, my friend. 1 minute until the payroll. We're eager to see what the job market will be like, what will become of B, guys. Good morning, everyone. Let's go! Let's go. Raduken is coming out, my friends.
You're going to lose, you're going to win, you're going to lose, you're going to win, you're going to win.
Let's go. He's just getting out of the Monster Cage. We are waiting here for the payroll results. Almost there. Almost there. Seconds until the payroll release. We'll wait here for a minute, man. It's funny, isn't it?
When we're anxiously waiting for something, things take longer. It just came out, look, 8:30. Where? Where? It went out.
Oh dear.
Oh dear.
So, let's go.
What do we have here now, my friends? You can see it on the screen, right? Oh, what do we have here now? His average hourly earnings decreased. So we're at 0.2% of the average hourly wage, when the expectation was 0.3%. In fact, it didn't contract, it remained stable; an increase was expected, and it stayed here at 0.2. That's good, because if the gain, I mean, it's not good for the person who's earning it and wants a raise, but it 's good for the inflationary context. So, if the average hourly wage increases, then this brings inflationary pressure. If the average hourly wage remains the same, this decreases, mitigating that inflationary pressure.
However, when we move from average hourly earnings to payroll data, we see a significant increase above what the market projected.
So this means, my friends, that the economy is stronger than the market expected, that the job market is stronger than the market expected. The initial plan was for 65,000 jobs, but it turned out to be 115,000 jobs, and the previous plan was revised upwards, from 178,000 jobs to 185,000 jobs. The job market is picking up, the job market is strengthening. And then you're going to ask me, Yuri, tell me what this changes for the Fed, what this changes for the American economy?
What could this change for the markets? Starting with the American economy, when the payroll data starts coming in strong, when it starts showing signs of strength, what happens? This means that large companies are hiring more. What 's curious is that 4 months ago there was an announcement that hiring would decrease, and now the numbers are showing the opposite: companies are hiring more. Because if companies weren't hiring more, the number in the jobs report would fall instead of rising.
So, since companies are hiring more. And when companies hire more, it means the economy is stronger. And with a stronger economy, this reduces the likelihood of interest rate cuts. Now, if this had come in weak, then that could increase expectations of a rate cut, especially since last year the Fed cut interest rates because, at the very end of the year, in November and December, that period between September and October, the labor market was showing signs of weakness. Now it's the other way around. And how does this affect the Fed?
Folks, when it comes to payroll data, the Fed looks at it very carefully and with great discernment, because as I explained earlier, the Fed decides whether or not to cut interest rates based on two pillars. The first one is price stability, no, sorry. The first one is what we just talked about, maximal employment, which is maximum employability. And the second one is price stability, which is the control of inflation. So, think about it, if the main pillar, which is the labor market, is showing signs of strength and is holding above projections, then this makes the Fed more comfortable about changing economic policy. Okay, so Uncle Powell, he's not going to decide anything anymore. Yes, this is his last week leading the Federal Reserve. Today is the 8th, so next week, on the 15th, he'll already be out. So he doesn't have much, he intends to continue, he intends to remain at the Fed, even if not as the chair, just to look over and supervise Kevin Wash's work, but he won't have the same power he had previously. And to be quite frank with you, with a stronger labor market and still-sticky inflation, it will be difficult for Kevin Washington to cut interest rates, unless he brings some kind of renewal to this data. I do n't know if you noticed, but in the last interview Kevin Wash gave, he said that the numbers and analysis metrics used by the Fed are archaic. Who remembers this?
Comment "me" in the chat. We echoed this, I think, a few months ago, not long ago, when a recent interview of his was released. So, it means that he could, I don't know, bring some kind of renewal to these metrics, to these statistics, and suddenly change the whole narrative. Just as the recession narrative was shattered by this stronger employment data, the narrative that cuts can't be made can also be altered.
Depending on what Uncle Kevin Wash puts on the table. Obviously, he doesn't decide this on his own. He has all the members of the Fed committee voting to reach a common denominator. But the good sign is that at that last Powell meeting, there were four members who were against holding down the rate. Four Fed members who wanted to cut. And now we have another one, Kevin Wars, who is willing to make cuts this year, he made that clear in a recent interview. So that's quite interesting for us in this context. And the third point, right, it also affects market volatility. If the market wasn't expecting data like this, showing a stronger labor market, it could at some point bring volatility to the SNP and to Bitcoin. Let's take a look now, because today, my friends, is going to be a hell of a day. We just got the payroll data and soon we'll have a speech from Uncle Donald Trump. And it's going to be a volatile day, my friends, you can be sure of that. It's very difficult for a payroll figure to deviate from projections, coupled with a live broadcast from Trump, where we have no idea what he's going to say, not to cause volatility. But let's move on, let's see how the market is doing now. Let's take a quick look at the S&P 500. Let me pull it up for you. Remember that it's still 8:37 AM, so what we're going to see here is the futures index. It's not going to be the spot, look. Let's take a quick look here. Let's go.
Let's take a quick look here.
The SNP got it wrong.
Let's go. It's done now.
Let's go. Let's go. Let's go. SPI.
Oh, my friends.
The SNP is rising right now.
Let me put this closer here, a one-minute chart that you can't really rely on, as you well know, but just so we can see how the candlesticks are moving more closely. So, look, since the data was released, which was 8 minutes ago, we can count eight candles back. We had a little setback during the release, didn't we? And now we're going up a little bit. First impression, right? In the brief moment the data was released, it dropped and then rose. Yuri, could the market view stronger payroll data negatively? When do we talk about cutting interest rates? Unfortunately, yes, because a stronger job market delays the cuts, but at the same time this is positive because it shows that we are far, very far from a recession. I wanted to ask you, who are watching this live stream, what are your expectations for the market? Do you expect the market to rise today, with stronger payroll data and a speech from Trump, or do you expect it to fall? I'll even put up a poll here so you can share your expectations for the market right now. Do you expect the market to go up or do you expect the market to go down? Let me quickly pull up a poll here.
Let's go. I'm really curious to know what Trump is going to say, because, man, what I supposedly thought he was going to say, he did the complete opposite. He threatened Iran. We 'll talk about everything in a little while, right?
Regarding the threat against Iran. We'll get to that. But first, let's put together a quick poll here. No, let me run a poll here with you guys. Let's go.
Let me pull up the poll here.
Let's go. Start a poll today.
Fall.
I'm not even going to mention laterality because, to be quite frank with you, for me it doesn't exist. I'm not going to say with 100% certainty because nobody here is a fortune teller, nobody has a crystal ball, but it's unlikely that today will be a sideways day, okay? Highly unlikely.
So, I'm just going to leave it as either "up" or "down," and you'll vote there, starting the poll.
So, our poll is set, my friends. And the question is: is today a decline or an increase? Vote now. We have over 340 people watching live and I want to hear from you. And the market is going up, look. And look, kendo is soaring upwards. Oh, daddy, the market is going up today, it's really going upwards. Well, my friends, the market slipped a bit as soon as it came out, now it's going up a notch, a real upward swing here. Okay, so this is a 1-minute chart, alright, everyone?
But it's going up, it's going up. So, it's divided, guys. 55% believe it will be a fall, 44% believe it will be a fall. We have our dear high here. Here we have our dear Emerson commenting: "Trump will say he drank cachaça with Lula."
Jaime commenting: "Store ban, our dear Fabiano, 76K easy." 76K where?
No Bitcoin.
76K on Bitica. Where is Bitica now? Bitica is at 81.
Bitica is now at 81.
Following here, 8115.
Let me refresh this to see if that's correct, because I think this graph is outdated. Let me see. I think it's outdated. Let's go. 80. Bitic is at 80. 80,000.
80.225.
80.225. We'll be back here at our beloved Bitica in a little while, but let's get straight to the point of what happened from yesterday to today, which I think is the most relevant thing for us right now. But before anything else, I wanted to ask you, who are watching this live stream, two things, okay? Two things. The first thing I want to ask you now is this: click the share button and send this live video to a group of friends on WhatsApp, or a group on Telegram. Share it there if you can help us on Instagram, or on any of your social media accounts, and comment something like, " Hey, let the people who follow you or are in the groups you're in join." The second thing I ask of you is to click the "like" button to validate this content.
So you come here, see, the like button.
So you come here, look.
and click the like button to validate this content. Oh, we have over 355 people watching live, but only 119 likes, meaning a lot more people need to leave a like.
People who watch every day are live, but they don't leave a like. Third, third, comment, or rather, comment too, right? But vote in the poll. We have 63 votes now. So, three things.
First, click the share button.
You will click here to share.
Second, leave a like. And third, vote in the poll, in your opinion. For today, what will we have, an increase or a decrease? Can I count on you for this mission? So, thank you very much. Let's get straight to the point. What happened, guys? Trump, he posted here yesterday, okay, on the social network Truth Social.
Yesterday at 6:34 AM, May 7th, the following occurred: three world-class American destroyers have just successfully transited the Strait of Hormus under enemy fire. In other words, Iran attacked, but the American destroyers got through without difficulty.
The three destroyers suffered no damage, but the Iranian attacks caused heavy losses; they were completely destroyed, along with numerous smaller vessels that are being used to replace the Iranian fleet, which was totally decimated. So, according to Trump, the American destroyers annihilated the Iranian fleets.
These vessels sank to the bottom of the sea quickly and efficiently. Missiles were fired at our destroyers and easily shot down.
Similarly, drones were hit and incinerated in mid-air.
They fell into the ocean magnificently, like a butterfly falling into its grave. A normal country would have allowed these destroyers to pass, but Iran is not a normal country. They are led by lunatics, and if they had the chance to use a nuclear weapon, they would do so without a doubt, but they will never have that opportunity.
And just as we defeated them today, we will defeat them with even greater force and violence in the future. So you see, what I was expecting yesterday was the complete opposite. The plan backfired. I was telling you guys yesterday morning, look, there might be a meeting with Trump at 5 pm today, Trump is going to announce peace, an agreement, man.
It was the complete opposite, my friends.
So, what happened?
Trump went out here unleashing his fury. The destroyers passed by, they shot down the Iranian fleets, they sank the Iranian ships, well, we were expecting something this morning, yesterday, and the complete opposite happened, right?
And it didn't stop there. And he concludes by saying: "If they don't sign the agreement quickly, our three destroyers with their wonderful crews will now join our naval blockade, which is truly a wall of steel." Signed by President Joald J. Trump. Okay guys, let's go.
When we talk about the American army, there is no army today that can go toe-to-toe with the American army, with the American troops. Of course, if you look at the numbers, China has a larger army and a larger population. But when we talk about power, military might, man, nobody surpasses the United States, nobody surpasses the American army, navy, and air force. So, uh, I don't know if you guys ever played with older kids when you were little, or fought with older kids, you know? When I was little, when I was younger, I really enjoyed wrestling because of Dragon Ball, those positive influences, you know, that increase our testosterone and masculinity. So one day I was at my tutoring session, I was at my tutoring session, you know, the one I used to go to for tutoring? You know what an explainer is, right? In Rio de Janeiro, they're called explicadoras; I don't know about other places. It's like a teacher who, outside of regular school hours, gives tutoring to neighborhood students for extra help. And at that tutoring session, there were students who were bigger, and older than me, you know. And one day they were playing a prank on me, you know, like teasing me. And I wanted to fight with one of them. Man, that kid knocked me down just by stomping on my chest. Because the kid was twice my size. He just stomped on it and I fell.
So, the United States, Iran, that's basically it. There's no way a younger child can fight with an older child. So, when I took that kick that sent me flying, I said, "Yeah, this is n't going to work for me here."
And it's more or less the same thing that's happening here. There's no way, man, there's no way Iran can go toe-to-toe with the United States. It's impossible, it's impossible, it's impossible. So what happens then?
Soon after, Uncle Trump, he made other posts here.
Where?
He published the following, oh. Trump stock market all time high, the stock market is at an all-time high. And Uncle Trump also posted, "Look, the lasers are hitting the fighter jets here, right?" Ah, the Iranian planes. So, laser bing bing gun, meaning, it took a laser and fell. And basically he's using this to his advantage, he's using the job market, he's using the stock market, and he's using these attacks to his advantage, right, to say that he's doing well. Remember, this year is a midterm election year, right?
So, if Trump doesn't win these midterm elections, he could very likely be ousted. He said so himself.
So he's doing everything he can so that when November arrives, Y, when will the midterms be? In November, the stock market needs to be strong enough for him to have the narratives to secure enough votes and remain in power. And then, right after that, he talks about the meeting he had with Uncle Luís Inácio Lula da Silva, right? Where? Oh man, it's out.
Come on, come on, let's go back there.
Sometimes this happens. Then he said something like this, I don't know if you've seen this, but he commented on the meeting he had with Lula. I have just finished my meeting with Luís Inácio Lula da Silva, the dynamic president of Brazil.
We discussed various topics, including trade and, specifically, tariffs. The meeting was very productive. Our representatives have scheduled meetings to discuss some key points.
Other meetings will be scheduled in the coming months as needed, signed by President Donald Trump. Yeah, another video, right, where he talks, he calls Uncle Lula a smart guy. Uncle Trump called Lula a smart guy.
So, what did you all think of Donald Trump's meeting with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva? Do you think you agree with Trump that Lula is a smart guy? Leave a comment below.
Comment below what you think will happen at this meeting. Hmm. Jesus commented: "That meeting with Nine was about rare earth elements and the classification of terrorist factions." And that. Everyone already knows that. Now I'm telling you that we don't know. Why?
Because, for those who don't know, Trump's meetings used to be held in the Oval Office with all the media participating and filming. In fact, it was at one of those meetings where that argument with President Zelensky happened, with Jade Vence on one side, saying, "Uh, did n't you thank the president?" Then Trump, Wernher, and Zelensky started arguing right there, in front of the world. And this one was different.
Trump's conversation with Lula took place behind closed doors. There were no media outlets filming there, no media outlets recording there. I don't know if you guys noticed that. Of course, there were a few statements here with the two of them together, but the subject, as our dear Jesus commented, rare earth elements, terrorist factions, was discussed with Lula and Trump behind closed doors, right? So, what do you think was said there? Our beloved MJ Belo Smart Guy gave it all away in exchange for re-election.
Daddy Lula is selling out the nation.
Maboral is trying to rob Brazil, and his intelligence is on another level.
He gave something in return.
Lula completely messed up. According to our dear Luís Maciel here.
Where is it, where is it, where is it?
Virus arriving. Trump was even asked about it, right? Trump was asked about the entavirus, right? And he didn't say much about it, did he?
Everything is in the interest of both parties.
Where was Lula? Did he see Grosso entering?
So, my friends, everyone is giving their opinion about this meeting between Lula and Donald Trump. And most likely this closed-door meeting, as some have commented, and I agree, was really an exchange, right, a mutual exchange, where the United States offers its interest in rare earth elements, right, and in the matter of organized crime, not so much in organized crime, to be quite frank with you, the greater interest of the Americans is in Brazilian rare earth elements and Uncle Luís Inácio is bargaining for those rare earth elements.
to bring some advantages to your benefit. So, basically, in my view, that's what happened behind closed doors. If anything else happened, we'll find out as time goes on. But leaving Lula and Trump aside and returning to the threat of Donald Trump, this happened very recently.
In addition to the tweet that Donald Trump made, Trump has just made a more extreme threat.
If there's no stopping the fire, you'll see a huge explosion coming from Iran.
Folks, when we say huge explosion, the first thing that comes to mind is a nuclear bomb.
When Trump says, "If you don't see a peace deal, you'll see a huge explosion coming from Iran," the first thing people think is, what?
Nuclear bomb. To be perfectly frank with you on this point, I think Trump is flirting, okay? Or, or, or, or... bluffing, to be more precise, right? Flirting is something else entirely. I mixed up the words. He was flirting with Lula. So, I think Trump is bluffing. I don't, I don't see the United States dropping a nuclear bomb on Iran, at least not now, okay? And that comment generated a lot of buzz because, man, it was a huge explosion coming, right? Many will see a large explosion coming from Iran. Everyone only sees what you're seeing on the screen. And they'd better sign an agreement quickly. If they don't sign, they're going to suffer a lot, right? Words from Uncle Donald Trump. It is a nuclear threat from President Donald Trump to the United States against Iran, which rejected the agreement yesterday. Oh, let me put the audio here for you to hear, so you can see that it's not something I made up. It really came from Uncle Trump's mouth. Let's go.
Is there any audio there, guys? No. Wait a minute, I need to put it in audio transmission mode.
Ready. Let's go.
Then he spoke, he said what he said in the trial, right? They tried to stop us, and we blew them up.
Blue away.
It saw? Then he said that if there isn't a ceasefire, you're going to see a big explosion, right? A lot of smoke coming from Iran, a huge explosion, right? Coming from Iran.
And they'd better sign the agreement quickly.
So, basically, that's what Uncle Donald Trump said. And then he also said other things, such as that gasoline prices are lower, that the stock market is stronger, in short, as I told you before, reinforcing the narratives to uh bolster his image and stay in power. And then, wait a minute, wait a minute, there was one more thing to show you here.
Wait a minute.
And right after that we had an announcement here, let me quickly show it on the screen, related to the Clary Act.
Let me pull it up for you, see.
Well, it's out. Damn, I had something to show you. Now I think it's going to happen.
Ready. So, let's go. Let me quickly pull up the screen here.
Now let's step away from geopolitics for a bit and delve into crypto.
So, what's new here in Crypto?
The White House just released the price of Clar, over 20 trillion. All asset managers want to participate, in other words, everyone wants to join Clar. Ah, confirmed by a former White House official connected to the cryptocurrency exchange Cracking. All the banks want to participate. Confirmed by JP Morgan, Black Rock, Goldman Sacks. All the trillions are in line. Confirmed by the White House. The discussion about Clar will now take place next week.
So, next week Clar will start to be discussed and the signing, right, the final Clar agreement, is expected before July 4th. Before July 4th, a Fth of July is expected, right? No, July, right? It is not? It's F of July, that's right. Fourth of July. So, before July 4th, Independence Day, the signing of the CLAR is expected. I've already explained to you the importance of Clar to the cryptocurrency market. Well, we'll have a floodgates opening, we'll have an opening, the cistern, the reservoir will be opened to gush water, gush money, gush into the cryptocurrency market.
What do you mean, Yuri?
A lot of the capital that's being held back today is going to start flooding the crypto market because the laws are going to be established. Today, there are many institutional investors who still don't invest in crypto. Why? Because there are no established rules, unlike in the traditional market, the SNP, or Nasdaq. So, when the crypto market becomes fully institutionalized through CLAR, then we will probably see—of course, this won't be immediate—that Bitcoin will explode the next day just because CLAR was approved, but in the medium and long term, this will open doors for 401 cases, which are retirement funds, right, American retirement investments, and various other segments to start putting part of their capital into crypto, allocating to crypto, investing in crypto. And this will be very positive for the cryptocurrency market. We are eagerly awaiting Clar's approval. This will become a reality very soon. We eagerly await the month of May, where we will receive an answer. Now you're going to like this. It's been a while since we brought him here.
But look who showed up again.
Look who showed up again. And to say that the crypto winter is over, huh?
Look who showed up here again.
Our beloved Tom Le. Oh, look who's back again!
According to Tom Lee, the cryptocurrency winter is over, right? End quote, Tom Lee made another prediction, right? You see, at the end of last year he got everything wrong, huh? End. The guy had been getting it right, he had been getting everything right until about mid-2025. Now, from September 2025 to December, he got everything wrong.
Let's see if he gets it right this time.
So, according to Tom Lee, Bitcoin will go to 150,000 to 200,000 and Ethereum will go to 9,000 to 12,000. Uncle Ton Lee showed up again.
Then the journalist asked him: "Bitcoin price in 2026," and he said : "I believe it will easily surpass the all-time high, somewhere between 150,000 and 200,000.
Man, I do n't know if I trust that right now." Do you trust, do you trust Uncle Tom Lee's words? He just said that by the end of 2026, or sometime in 2026, Bitcoin will hit 150 to 200,000?
So, I believe Ethereum will hit between 9,000 and 12,000 because the crypto winter is over. The winter, crypto winter is over, right? And then, our dear Neto Fernandes said that he trusts him.
Rafa said no, that he doesn't trust them.
Our dear Júlio commented: "Calm down, master." Newton said, "Hopefully." That's it, man. Well, Tom Lee, he has credibility because of his life history and time on Wall Street, but last year he got everything wrong at the end of the year.
He always was, man, when we talk about Tom Lee, he's one of the most assertive guys, he was, right, until the end of last year, he was one of the most assertive guys on Wall Street. Many institutional investors sought him out to invest, and many individuals also sought him out.
Why? He is the owner of Fund Thrat Capital, which is basically a company that advises managers, institutions, and companies on how to invest and allocate capital.
So, if there's one guy who knows where to put his money, it's him. And he was always a very assertive guy. He was right in 2023. When everyone said it was a recession, he said it was high, and it was high. He was right in 2024, when everyone said it was a recession, he said it was going to be high, and it was high. He was more or less right until about mid-2025. But by the end of 2025, he got everything wrong. He said Bitcoin was going to close the year somewhere between 100 and 30, and we didn't close at 130. It's true we hit 125, right?
We hit 125, 126 more specifically, but he brought some very high projections for Etherum that didn't even come close, right? And now he's back again saying that the crypto winter is over. And now you trust me, right?
Bruno spoke now, now, now I trust him. Now he trusts her.
Well, Neto said the following: because of the manipulation, that's why he was wrong.
Yeah, man, if we take into account that last year we had a shutdown, if we take into account that last year we had tariffs and all those messes that happened at the end of last year, it could be so.
This has hampered his analysis, because if you had asked in June of last year if anyone expected there would be a shutdown at the end of the year, no one would have said they expected that. Everyone expected that the moment there was a threat of a shutdown, it would be negotiated and postponed, as was done in the Biden administration. But there was no shutdown, not only at the end of last year, but also at the beginning of this year.
So this messed up the whole market structure. So much so that if we look at the SNP, let's go.
So much so that if we look at the SNP 500, let's go back to the journal, during the shutdown period, the SNP felt the pressure.
The SNP felt the impact of the shutdown at the beginning of the year. We had a small shutdown at the beginning of this year. The SNP felt the impact of the shutdown and tariffs last year, but it came back, it went and came back. The same thing happened with Bitcoin as well. Bitcoin felt the effect of the fees last year; it went there with the SNP and came back. But what's the problem?
Bitcoin couldn't do it again here. This is the same move that the SNP made, and Bitcoin also made last year. In 2026, Bitcoin failed. He went and came back from the SNP.
Then he went and came back again. And Bitcoin has n't managed to recover yet.
Bitcoin was gone, and now it's making a comeback, albeit with great difficulty, but it's coming back, right? We can't complain about last month. Last month, really, if I complain about last month regarding Bitcoin, I'm being, I'm being very... what word can I use?
I'm complaining with a full stomach, right?
Because, man, last month was really good.
Bitcoin has risen significantly. From this point in my analysis, I think Bitcoin is up more than 20%.
We're talking about a 33% increase here, right? Bitcoin has recovered quite well from its low point at the beginning of the year, but it's still far from its peak, isn't it? If we compare it to the S&P 500, the S&P has already surpassed its all-time high, while Bitcoin has not yet. Let's see. Let's see if, over time, Bitcoin will follow the S&P's path and manage to surpass its all-time high by the end of the year. Many of my friends, including my dear friend Sandro Cabrales, who I have n't done a live stream with in a long time, said that Bitcoin wouldn't go above 107 this year. I don't know if he changed his prediction, but the last time we talked together and broadcast this live, he said it wouldn't go above 107 this year. I have my doubts, okay? I believe that if the SNP returns in full force, if the war ends, everything, everything, everything, everything will go back to normal. The price of a barrel of oil will fall, the market will rise. I'm very optimistic if we see an end to this war, okay? Primarily followed by interest rate cuts with the new Fed chairman. Then maybe Uncle Tom Lee's words will come true, right? It becomes a reality. So what happens then? Then the altcoins come back. But to be perfectly frank with you guys, I'm not going to hold onto some altcoins for very long, okay?
I have very few left now. Right now I only have six altcoins, positioned in six, but most of them, when they get close to their all-time high, or even just a little past their all-time high, I'll take a 70% profit. In the vast majority of cases, I 'll only keep 30%, right? The only one I don't sell, you know, right? It's Bitcoin. I would n't sell Bitcoin under any circumstances. I only use my bitcoins to make more bitcoins. Perfect.
Yuri, Tom Lee's problem is that he does n't know what's going on in Trump's head.
Yes, you're absolutely right. I agree with your comment, my friend. Tom Lee, uncle, Tom Le. He doesn't know, does he? To tell you the truth, nobody knows, right? What's going through Uncle Trump's head? Hey, you, you over there, do you know what's going on in Uncle Trump's head? Nobody knows. Anyway, we're going to finish our live stream, and I want to invite you all to an exclusive live stream.
I put a link here, look. Let me pull up the screen for you guys, look. I put a link here, uh, on Bit Academy and it's going to be available to everyone, okay? Exclusive lesson by Yuri Lindoso. The time is 7 PM. But this is wrong, okay? This one is wrong. It 's not 7 PM, it's going to be now. Okay, it's over here, it'll be really quick, I think it'll be 15 minutes at most.
We're going to have a chat, and I'm going to tell you about some narratives and some artificial intelligence initiatives that I'll be investing my money in.
I'll even make a live purchase and talk about a few things, but it will be in our secret, closed room inside Bit Academy. Yuri, can I participate in this for free? You can, obviously, but it won't be recorded. So, we're going straight from here to there. If you walk in and you see 7 or 8 pm, forget it, it's going to be now. Just click there, go in, because I'm going to leave here and I'll automatically start in our secret room. It won't take more than 5 minutes for us to start our second live stream. Perfect. So, Yuri, how do I join Bitacademy? I don't even know.
app.bitacademy.vp is right up here. app.bitacademy.vvip.
The link is in the description. Very simple, okay? Very simple. The link is in the description. You click there and create an account on Bit Academy. No, no, it doesn't cost you anything to create an account on Bit Academy. It's free. And then you'll be able to access this exclusive live stream that we're about to start. It will be very short and to the point. Let's chat, let's do some live shopping, and I hope to see you there. We're going to do this exclusively for our valued students and non- students who belong to the Bit Academy community. Perfect. So let's go to the secret room. If you want to become a student at Bit Academy, the number is right here.
It's the number 551 992 2319. And the cashback mission is here, it will be released soon after I finish our live stream in our secret room. Perfect. So, look, the campaign for yesterday's live stream is already out. If you haven't interacted yet to earn 60 satochees, you can still interact. We already have today's campaign that the admin has already created, and I'm going to create another one for the live stream now, as soon as we finish our live stream in the secret room. Perfect. So let's all go to the secret room. Let's start there now. Let's do some live shopping. Go to Bit Academy now. I hope to see you there. Thanks, bye.
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