“Most Small Bitcoin Investors Have NO CLUE What’s Coming” - Jordi Visser

[00:00:00]I think Bitcoin has been a funding side of the AI trade. I think um it started when software got bludgeoned and all of the software names got hit hard. Uh and Bitcoin was part of it. I would say anything built on code, you couldn't get away from the correlation. So if you wanted to hedge your semiconductors, which now had high beta, you needed to find high beta shorts. And high beta shorts ended up being Salesforce.com, Adobe, Adobe, Workday, and Bitcoin. And I think all of those things became part of the momentum trade. So it's not a coincidence that as momentum has gone down sharply that Bitcoin has [music] a bid. So for people want to be bearish like well this is just short covering.

[00:00:39]All rallies that last for a year start with short covering every single one because it means the narrative that was existing before the AI infrastructure trade is no longer as strong as it's going to be and it's going to take a while for that releveraging to happen.

[00:00:53]The global economy is being simultaneously reshaped by three strong forces. Industries are changing more quickly than virtually anyone anticipated thanks to artificial intelligence. Governments and central banks are getting ready for a new digital financial system. Additionally, Bitcoin may be at a turning point that might define its next significant cycle following a time of uncertainty and investor annoyance. The majority of investors are preoccupied with daily volatility, market headlines, and short-term price changes. However, Yordi Visser thinks they are overlooking the much more significant change taking on underneath the surface. Capital has been pouring into artificial intelligence and businesses spearheading the AI revolution despite many investors doubting Bitcoin's ability to recoup its momentum. However, Visser thinks that rather than being a sign of weakness, this rotation might be paving the way for the next significant chance. If you're intrigued by bold predictions and deep financial insights, make sure to like this video, subscribe to the channel, and turn on notifications for more engaging content. Thank you for your support and enjoy the video.

[00:01:49]>> The first thing is I always look for technical signs and [music] I finally got my first RSI divergence since the peak uh at the end of last year and that divergence was using basically a 4hour [music] RSI and I look for points where the price makes new low which happened when we broke through 60,000 recently but the RSI is higher than it was at the prior low. Plain and simple. Now that was the first time that we got one. So, as a trader, I go, "Well, now I can buy something when we get back above 60, and I'll just stop myself back out below the lows." That's the way a trader trades, and that's the way that I've always thought. It's the way I was brought up.

[00:02:27]And I'm an Elliot wave guy, and I still believe we're entering a very, very big thing. My belief is that over the course of the next year, we are near the bottom end of the range of Bitcoin. And see how I said that, near. Could we go to 50?

[00:02:38]Yeah. Could we go to 45? Yeah. Do I think we'll be over 100 a year from now?

[00:02:42]Yeah. So what do I care whether I buy something at 60 or whatever? Yes, my my percentage gain will be better, but if we're above 100, I don't care. So that's the first thing. The second thing is I've highlighted that we probably all underestimated, I know I did, the impact that the AI capital suck would have from the rest of everything. It's not just Bitcoin people, it's the hyperscalers as well. basically my benchmark arbitrage of money rotating into the space that's going the fastest. Micron went up 20 times. A 20 [music] bagger. 20 bagger.

[00:03:17]You don't get that in big companies. And this is a big company. So for that to happen, you didn't need to buy Bitcoin. You didn't need to buy crypto. You didn't need to buy any of this stuff. Every single person in Silicon Valley talked about how startups, if you had AI attached to it, nobody wanted crypto. At the end of the day, people want to invest in things that are working. And so once it started to move lower, which coincided in October with the [music] release of Opus 4.5, but it also coincided with another strong secular trend that has still been in place until last week, which was rate [music] cuts.

[00:03:50]We had 150 basis points of rate cuts still in the market as of October or late September of last year. That peaked there. Some of it came out because of the actual cut, but then a lot of it came out because we started to build in hikes. and we have about we have a full cut plus percent of uh sorry hike plus a probability of another one before the end of the year. So here's what I'm telling you is going to happen in my mind. Um that's all going to change or at least the rate of change is going to be there and I'm a rate of change guys.

[00:04:22]I do not think they want to hike. I did a piece on the Fed this week and made sure that everyone was highlighted that hey the Fed Wars has spoken. He believes AI is going to be a productivity boom and that there might be a point at the beginning where it's a little inflationary before we get the deflationary, but the last thing he wants to do is go on some tight hiking cycle because of inflation. We're going to get a negative CPI print. The question is [music] July 29th when we have the FOMC, are they going to raise rates? There's a possibility, a good possibility, it's like 35 to 40% that they will. If they don't, then I think Bitcoin will be above 70,000 when that time comes because I think people are going to start factoring in the fact that maybe they're not going at all this year before the midterms. Does he really want to hike before the midterms when he was brought in by Trump? So, I think that may be on hold for a while. And it's not that it's a big deal because it means they're not cutting rates, but since hikes are expected, it is a positive relative to expectations.

[00:05:22]Those are the ways that I'm kind of looking at it. But I want to leave one more thing for people and this gets right [music] into the bigger picture.

[00:05:28]Scott Besson gave a speech at the New York uh economic club [music] and I posted something on X uh on Friday that Matt Hogan had put out. I do think people should read the speech. I think they should also read the op-ed from Muhammad Alan on it. This is the fact guys and we talk about it here. The administration is very focused on changing the way the US does business around the globe and part of that change is making sure that they don't lose the control of the financial system or be the leader of the financial guard rails.

[00:06:03]He specifically said that digital assets, tokenization, stable coins are all part of the administration's focus on this new economic order. [music] You have to understand what that means. They are focused on crypto being part of the guardrails and this coincides with AI.

[00:06:21]So the reason I named it AI macro nexus, the reason I do my YouTube and it's about [music] 90% a combination of the impact AI is having on the macro world we exist in today and 10% on crypto and what that means. [music] We're now at the point where the reason I'm do YouTube where it's going to be about 70% starting with crypto and then showing the difference of the macro world and AI connected to it [music] is because we are about to enter the AI agentic commerce side which means the velocity of money is going to increase. The dormant assets that remain in the form of housing real estate around the globe are going to be liqufied and turned into active cash over the next 5 years through tokenization. These are all major positives and that's the reason why I think you're at the beginning of a multi-year bull market in Bitcoin. And whether it starts in October, whether it starts in December, or whether it starts right now, I think we're at the bottom end of the range for the next year.

[00:07:15]>> Visser's thesis is not predicated on naive hope or optimism. He thinks a number of significant indicators are beginning to point in the same direction. Visser sees indications that the market may be shifting away from acute fear and excessive pessimism.

[00:07:27]According to him, the most important question is why Bitcoin faltered while investors around the world focused on artificial intelligence. In the following section, Visser describes how the AI boom drew enormous sums of money, why investors traded Bitcoin to finance that change, and why the early phases of a new Bitcoin bull market might not resemble the spectacular rallies that most people are anticipating. Please take a moment to like this video, subscribe to the channel, and enable post notifications for future Bitcoin, macroeconomic, and digital [music] asset content before we go any further. Now let's get into his powerful predictions.

[00:08:00]>> So price leaves nar leads narrative. The first thing that always happens in a bottom is you start getting short covering because people are frustrated that this has gone on. I think Bitcoin has been a funding side of the AI trade.

[00:08:11]I [music] think um it started when software got bludgeoned and all of the software names got hit hard. Uh and Bitcoin was part of it. I would say anything built on code you couldn't get away from the correlation. So if you wanted to hedge your semiconductors which now had high beta, you needed to find high beta shorts and high beta shorts ended up being Salesforce.com, Adobe, Adobe, Workday, and Bitcoin. And I think all of those things became part of the momentum trade. So it's not a coincidence that as momentum has gone down sharply that Bitcoin has a bid. So for people want to be bearish like, well, this is just short covering. All rallies that last for a year start with short covering. every single one because it means the narrative that was existing before the AI infrastructure trade is no longer as strong as it's going to be and it's going to take a while for that releveraging to happen and as we go through earnings like I said I think you're going to have disappointments before [music] every single name was working. I don't think that's going to be the case anymore in the AI trade. I also don't think you can get five baggers and six baggers over the course of the next year. I think a lot of these things are priced well. Dylan Patel talked about it today and he said you're going to see some surprises on the CPU side and the surprise is going to be that we've kind of gone a little too far on the optics side. We've gone a little too far.

[00:09:23]You're going to he talked about this. I think what all that means is that that place is priced in a way where if you can get 40% over the next year, that's [music] great. I think Bitcoin can do more than 40% based on the fact that just to get back to all-time highs, you're talking about a double. And getting back to all-time highs to me, we'll be left with the narrative that I just talked about. So the first stage is short covering. The second stage is for the momentum to shift once we get above the 200 day moving average which I've said that is the critical line. We are still way below it right now. We still I think it's around 76 77,000. So we still have quite a ways. We have 20% before we get up there. So this will be a short covering rally. We'll see how it goes.

[00:10:03]And like I talked about and for [music] people who who heard this before and still reach out to me, are we still watching Doge? Yes, I'm still watching Doge for the energy side of crypto, but I do think there will be uh surprising news on what you said over the course of the year where when people start to realize that the 40name index that I've created which goes through eight separate verticals or sectors is a [music] direct overlay with Bitcoin that Bitcoin just represents the ecosystem and I think the ecosystem is going to benefit from the stable from the agentic side and that's going to flow to Bitcoin as well. the Michael Sailor thing to me um he's even become like people are blaming him for why Bitcoin's not going higher.

[00:10:47]Bitcoin as we talked about um in every asset you have corrections. I don't get into four-year cycles. I don't get into any of this stuff but the reality is what he has done and what he has been able to do. I'm more focused on the quantum side of crypto and the solutions that are coming out and some of the themes about should we just basically deal with these tokens that are dormant and should we the man owns an enormous amount of supply of an asset that I believe the world is going to acknowledge is a real asset for collateral and as we get into tokenization and we start getting into the dormant asset side I think people will start to understand the value of collateral again like they'll start to understand what he has always talked about. So, I never bought into this thing. I do agree that the most important thing is that it's actually higher than when he made his biggest sale. That would be a sign that if you would have said to people, hey, what would happen if a week after he makes his biggest sale the unthinkable that he said he would never do publicly and even though this is for a different reason, so it doesn't count, but he did do it, what would happen? Everyone would have said the thing would be down big. So the fact that it's higher I think is a [music] Apple type news item where it happened and once you don't sell off after something like that it actually is more of a positive than a negative. So I don't think this will ever be talked about again in a big way.

[00:12:09]>> Jordi Visser thinks that before the market's narrative catches up, Bitcoin may make its next big rise. He clarifies that the price frequently changes first followed by the explanation for the change. As a result of their frustration that prices are not declining, short sellers typically close their bets at the start of market bottoms. According to Visser, one of the assets used to finance the enormous AI investment boom was Bitcoin. Bitcoin and other code-based assets were under pressure to sell as investors shifted their funds to high- growth technological firms and artificial intelligence. However, Visser thinks capital may start to shift back into Bitcoin as the AI trade matures and expectations become more difficult to meet. Every significant rally he says originates somewhere and the initial phase is frequently short covering before a more significant shift in momentum takes place. Visser thinks the greater picture is the expanding relationship between Bitcoin artificial intelligence stable coins and tokenization even though Bitcoin still needs to regain significant technical levels. According to him, Bitcoin is a part of a broader financial ecosystem that may grow in value as new types of collateral and digital assets become more widely used. He thinks that despite recent criticism and market uncertainty, Bitcoin's resilience in the face of adversity demonstrates underlying strength and may pave the way for a new long-term growth cycle. Remember to like this video, subscribe to the channel, and enable notifications if you thought his viewpoint was helpful so you don't miss any updates. We'd love to know what you think about the future of cryptocurrency markets, so please share your ideas in the comments section. We appreciate your time and hope to see you in the next video.