Better than 50% chance of winning $30k?

Added: 2026-05-12

[00:00:00]What if I told you this roulette strategy has a one in eight chance of winning $30,000?

[00:00:05]What if I also told you that there's a way to get that one in eight chance up above 50%? That's better than the flip of a coin. I programmed 100,000 bots to find out how often they can actually be successful playing this strategy. Here's what the bots are going to do. They're all going to start off with $5,000.

[00:00:23]They're going to bet $25 on the number 15. If it hits, they win $875 and they're going to let that ride. If it hits, it pays 35 to 1. That's $30,625 and the bot is going to quit playing if that happens. It's actually pretty rare to get two spins of the same number in a row, but the bots have $5,000 so they're going to be able to try 200 times with that original $25 bet. Their ability to repeatedly play like this is what gets their chances up to one in eight. We're going to go over all the results from this 200 spin test and then I'm going to show you how the bots get their win rate up to 50.6% which sounds good at first, but there's a catch you really need to know about.

[00:01:10]Here's the QR code if you want to follow along and we're going to go and give this bot a test drive. We're on a single zero wheel, $5,000 bankroll, minimum bet is $25.

[00:01:25]We have a $5,000, we place a $25 on the 15. Let's do a random spin.

[00:01:34]And we lose it. So, that's what's going to happen most of the time. Round two, we're going to make another $25 bet again on that 15. Let's do one more random spin, see what happens.

[00:01:47]32, we lose again. So, now we're down $50. Now, this time let's actually see what happens when we win on that 15.

[00:01:56]Spin a 15.

[00:02:01]That's going to pay $875.

[00:02:03]Now, we're up $825 overall, and we're going to take that $875 and place it again on the 15. Now, what happens there? If that hits again, $30,625 won.

[00:02:23]The total win is $31,450, and the strategy ends at this point. So, the bot is just going to quit playing at that point. They're up $30,000. It's time to leave the casino. That was just one bot. It's basically what you might experience on a single trip to the casino, but it doesn't tell you how the system does overall. And that's why I like to do these simulations rather than solving mathematically because we can say, you know, one out of, you know, every 1,400, but what I can show you here is the exact results of how many of those bots were actually able to do it.

[00:02:55]Out of all those bots, how many actually walked away with a profit on their single visit? On the single zero wheel, 13.1%.

[00:03:03]That drops on double zero, it drops down to 12.6%. 11.9% on the triple zero. Roughly one in eight across the board. At first glance, it looks like a small percentage, right?

[00:03:14]13.1 versus 12.6 versus 11.9. Um but remember, that's a percentage that didn't win that full of $30,000. So, it actually makes quite a bit to the casino. Wait till I show you a little bit later on what happens when the bots go back to the play the same game over 500 times at the casino. The differences in the number of zeros are catastrophic to these bots. So, here is the actual distribution. So, we'll look at single zero. So, typical is a is a loss of almost that full $5,000. Some of them lost a little bit less, and that's because they actually hit that $875 um almost at the 200 spins. So, um they actually quit playing when they probably could have actually gone for the $30,000. The wins over here, they're a little bit spread out, and that's just because it depends on how fast they actually hit it and quit. If they hit right in the first few spins, they still had $5,000 that they started with, but if they didn't hit until the very end, they were pretty much down almost $5,000 before they hit that $30,000. So, so how do we get this 13% up above 50%? Well, just like we went from one try to 200 tries, and we increased the win rate from, you know, one in, you know, 14 1400 or so, up to that one in eight, I also had the bots revisit the casino up to 500 times. And this is crazy because at first, they actually increase the win rate. So, if we go from one visit, which is what we saw, up to five visits, look what happens on the single zero, they went up to 50.6%.

[00:04:44]at five visits, the bots have tried the strategy five separate times, and their win rate is 50.6% on the single zero wheel. That's crazy because it's actually increasing when they go back to the casino, when we would actually expect it to decrease, right? But what's happening here is they're putting more money at risk. It's pretty much the same as when we went from one spin to 200 spins, they went from $25 at risk to $5,000 at risk. Now, they're playing that five times, so they're actually risking $25,000.

[00:05:15]When they're very unlucky, they're losing $24,000, when they're at their worst, they're losing 24.6 thousand dollars, but the typical outcome is a win of $7,800.

[00:05:27]So, it's essentially risking $25,000 to win under $8,000, and that's what's happening when these bots revisit the casino. So, they can kind of hold that up for five trips, sometimes many visits to the casino, but once they start going above that, it drops below 50%, and they can never recover. That's the house edge just eating away at their winnings over time. And you can see once you get to a certain point, um it's never going to recover. Even at 500 visits to the casino. Now that's a lot of visits.

[00:05:59]That's basically one visit per month over 40 years. On the single zero, still 30% about one in every three is is actually winning money at that point.

[00:06:08]The very luckiest of those are up at $300,000, $1.1 million.

[00:06:13]Um but look what happens on the double zero. That's basically cut in half. On the triple zero, almost nothing. 7.5% after that. Uh it just plummets. And look how that's a straight line down.

[00:06:24]The casino has a huge advantage on triple zeros. It's just absolutely devastating to the player. The longer they play and the more they keep coming back to the casino. A lot of people ask me, is this strategy good or bad? And there's really no good answer to that.

[00:06:40]And that's because this game like all casino games have a negative expectation. You are going to lose money over the long run. And because of that, it's very hard to say mathematically is one bet is one strategy better than another one. It really depends more on what you want to get out of your time at the casino. So if you're a paycheck player and you like to win small amounts frequently, this is not the strategy for you. There's a lot of losses here. Same goes for the comp grinder. This is a win and walk away strategy. And you're not running the same money through trying to extend your time at the table and earn more comps with the same money being recycled. The table tourist does just a little bit better on the single zero wheel. Um there's a little bit of excitement, right? But there is still a lot of losing. If you're a jackpot hunter, this is one of the ways you could chase a five-figure win at the casino. The base data here is published on dicedata.info, so you can go in, you can read the true score report, and you can also read the long-term report. But if you do want to go into more depth, subscribers are going to get access to the full PDF that's 40 pages with a whole lot more information. I also put up a members-only version that runs at a $5 table, so you don't need that full, you know, $5,000 to be able to play this. And let me know in the comments what you think of this and if you've ever tried this or something like it. As always, thanks for watching and have good luck at the table.