This analysis exposes the structural decay of a system where interest payments and unconstitutional fiscal burdens have finally outpaced economic reality. It serves as a sobering indictment of a government that has prioritized debt expansion over the long-term solvency of its citizens.
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Economic Collapse Indicators & National Intel | Bear Brief 8MAY26Added:
Can I get up 5 by5?
Thank you. Beast mode ballet. Good morning everybody. I am a bear from the internet. The mayor, duly elected mayor of the internet.
It is Friday fry. Yay. Uh the 8th of May 2026 anod dominate the year of our Lord.
Uh and the show is brought to you by the creator of the universe, Yahweh, your Elohim, the Lord your God, and to whom you should say thanks today for allowing you to wake up. and uh the wonderful people over on Patreon, the economic engine of the bear nation and uh of course refuge.com for whom I'm the CEO, founder and chief shilling officer.
We have a written brief today. We have national intel is sent into intel at bearindependent.com.
Uh couple of articles maybe that we will look at.
uh one from Defense One, one from RT, and um you know, if you're looking for a synopsis uh of all the information and intelligence, yeah, you should be preparing uh probably at an exorbitant rate. Okay.
Okay, cool. Written brief. The US now owes more than it makes. National debt has crossed 100% of the GDP, the gross domestic product for the first time since World War II. and interest payments on that debt now rival what the country spends on national defense or Medicare.
I will restate we are in a defense procurement economy and have been and we are continuing in that direction.
Jonathan Williams of the American Legislative and Exchange Council warned, quote, "If Congress doesn't start implementing fiscally responsible policies in a nonpartisan fashion, Americans will pay the price in higher taxes and slowed economic growth and in the form of ugly price inflation." Now, the problem with that is that it assumes that Congress A cares, B actually has any power, and C would do something for the benefit of their constituents rather than themselves.
It also assumes that taxation is what actually funds the government, not just the rampant printing of money, using taxation rather as a tool to keep the common man down, running on the hamster wheel of life so that you have to accept their government handouts and live underneath of their thumb. And it also assumes that u ugly price inflation is somehow tied to congressional action and has nothing to do with the death of the petro dollar and uh the federal reserve, but it's a great quote.
And now the federal government also has to pay about 166 billion in tax revenue it collected through the tariffs that the Supreme Court ruled to be unconstitutional. Those refund checks are headed to the importers of record.
That is Thank you, slow but sure for the super chat.
Huh? Yo, that wasn't cool, man. You started the drum roll intro as I hit the brakes in my Peterbuilt. Gave me a heart attack. Thought something was randomly wrong with my brakes. Good morning.
Check those slack adjusters, sir.
those re refund checks are headed to the importers of record that is the corporations not the consumer that footed the bill. Uh now that's also potentially a [ __ ] talking point because the importer of record uh had a couple of options when it comes to tariffs either of which ultimately ended up getting passed to the consumer you.
One was that they could absorb the cost of those tariffs as an operational expense uh like payroll or utilities or rent uh and fold that into their cost of doing business.
Um the other is they could then and I guess option C both. But option B here is pass the cost of those importation tariffs on to you the end user.
Whatever. The Keel Institute, a European economic think tank, which we should totally listen to because European e economies, that's the word I'm looking for, are just amazing right now. The Keel Institute puts the number of Americans number Americans paid at 96% of those tariffs. The report describes the tariffs as a mechanism to quote trans transfer wealth from American consumers to the US Treasury.
Now, remember when I said DJT might be attempting to do an end run around the Fed using the Treasury Department? That could be part of a strategy. H interesting.
Congress's joint economic committee pegged the per household tariff burden at roughly $1,700 per household over the past year. More than a month's worth of groceries for a family of four.
Although stay tuned for a family of four groceries, we'll probably exceed $1,700 before we end up in World War II right around 2027 or by the time we end up in 2023 or World War II. More caffeine is indicated.
Boop boop. Critics have pointed out that just the consumer paid portion of those tariffs alone could have funded 20 years worth of wick. Shut up. The new nutrition program for new mothers and infants. Yeah, because when I look at Wick, especially here in eastern Oklahoma where there's a fair amount of poverty, I always see new mothers and infants on Wick. That's what I see all the time. 100% adherence and compliance.
It's only that ever. Sure. Or 12 years of Head Start or a full year of highway, airport, and rail repairs to the Department of Transportation.
Well, these t Well, then you know what?
If uh critics have so much to say about this, then why don't they actually introduce some legislation to fund those things or in other cases STFU?
While the tariffs were in place, factory jobs dropped by roughly 90,000 and the trade deficit and goods grew to an all-time high in 2025. Fed chair Jerome Powell, you know, he who shall be swinging from a tree shortly, attributed quote, elevated readings on inflation largely to quote, "Inflation in the good sector, which has been boosted by the effects of tariffs, goods. It's only the goods that have been inflated. It's only the material stuff that you buy. It's definitely not also food and fuel and um energy and rents and mortgages and anything that's denominated in the US dollar. It's not that at all according to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. It's just goods. It's just stuff that inflation has touched.
It's called gaslighting. Because see, you'd think to yourself, um, well, this guy's an idiot.
Doesn't he know? That's the chairman of the Federal Reserve. He doesn't he know.
He knows. He's just insulting your intelligence, seeing if he can get by with saying, "No, your lived experience is not valued. It's not true. Maybe it's rough for you, but it's not rough for anybody else because the household inflation is really just tied to goods.
So, if you're just over there treading water, barely getting by, that's a you problem. That's not a systemic US dollar problem. Because if it was a systemic US dollar problem, that would mean it was Jerome Powell's problem, not yours.
Uh oh. Turns out it is his problem.
The real beef bacon is 5 by5. Good name.
Those higher goods prices in turn kept the Fed from cutting interest rates, meaning mortgages, car loans, and credit cards stayed expensive longer.
Yeah, that's what kept the Fed from cutting interest rates. It had nothing to do with the tit fortap between the uh president of the United States of America and the chair of the Federal Reserve whatsoever. And those more expensive credit cards are getting used too. In a widely mocked spin, top White House economic adviser Kevin Hasset recently bragged that the current ballooning credit card debt is proof that the US consumer is quote really, really firing on all s on all cylinders and that quote they're spending more on gasoline, but they're spending more on everything else, too.
That's because the cost of living is going up because the devaluation of the US dollar.
As ordinary folks wait for increasingly inflamed economy that's coming, gas prices have jumped past $450 a gallon with some expecting to see $6 this summer. That's the average. In many places, it's already close to $10. Um, we are in a resource constrained environment in a wartime economy.
I would expect or not expect, let's say it's probable that whatever you're currently paying for gas right now, gas, diesel, whatever, it potentially doubles, maybe more so.
And part of that has to do with supply and demand, you know, basic economic constraints, but part of that has to do also with hyperinflation.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant dismissed concerns, calling gas prices a temporary aberration, saying, quote, "We are cognizant that this short-term blip in the prices is affecting the American people. But I'm also confident on the other side of this that prices are going to come down very quickly. If we look at the stock market, dot dot dot, well, that stock market is wildly detached from reality, reflecting the mainly jobless asset valuation, veering wildly from wage growth. Meanwhile, actual consumers are grounded in record low sentiment as they face day-to-day reality of affording increasingly more expensive necessities. The stock market's also highly manipulated at this point. I told you we're my assessment we're probably three to six maybe nine months away from the stock market not mattering anyway because it's all algorithmic and once you start pointing uh quantum computing GPUs and artificial intelligence towards algorithms uh with the upside of being you make money if you figure it out um it's going to stagnate and just go flat.
Yeah. So, I would keep an eyeball on that one. There's already people making uh tens of thousands of dollars a day just by vibe coding clawed on a tablet to make day trades.
Yeah. Yeah. So, uh what what's the long-term uh prosperity and longevity of the stock markets? I would say low. I would say low.
But naturally, insiders calling the shots are doing just fine. Just 70 minutes before the news broke that the US and Iran, Iran were nearing a deal to end the war, nearly 920 million worth of crude oil short positions were opened around 3:40 a.m. and by 7 a.m. oil had dropped more than 12%.
Those shorts had gained approximately $125 million in value. Similar suspiciously timed trades of 950 million and 760 million preceded market moving oil news in early April as well. Oh, insider trading. This is why having an expectation that anybody in the federal government would operate in the best interest of their constituents rather than the best interest of themselves is ludicrous.
Former JP Morgan chief global market strategist Marco Kolanovvic, we're going to call him Marco Colanic because he sounds like the type of person that have a garden hose shoved in his ass. Said, quote, "Who knows what happens next in blatantly manipulated markets?"
Who knows what happens next in a blatantly manipulated market? I do. I do. It's called hyperinflation and economic collapse.
Energy investor Eric Newall or Nuttle echoed the concern, telling clients, quote, to focus on the day after as day-to-day volatility may be intentionally induced for nefarious reasons.
It's the end of the world as we know it.
And I feel fine. Good morning. How are we? It's Friday.
Um, yeah, do the things. Drink coffee. I'm going to drink some more coffee. I need some more coffee.
Yo, Elgato Goat Gator, I don't know what the hell you're doing in the chat, but um stop.
Don't use my [ __ ] to promote your [ __ ] You could build your own [ __ ] Okay.
Okay, cool.
You want to partner on something?
There's ways to do that. You can reach out to me and do it organically. You can do it the right way, but simmer. Okay, bonus intelligence sent into intel at barependent.com.
Lord, clean his mouth. Grabbing gears 111. Hide user from channel.
Uh, okay. Now, grabbing gears 111, here's what I need you to do, okay? I need you to reach in your pocket, okay?
And I need you to pull out a compass.
You got it. Cool. Um, your back azimuth is me. So now I want you to pick any azimouth that's at least 90 degrees off from me, preferably 180 degrees. Got it?
Cool. I want you to look out that way and I want you to find yourself some type of handrail, something that you can dead rack it on. You got it? Cool. Now, I want you point your toes in that direction and [ __ ] off with extreme prejudice.
Cool. All right, wonderful. There you go. That's how you navigate. You don't like it, unsubscribe and leave. Uh, bonus intel. Intelbearependent.com.
I'm a contractor. We provide services to commercial and industrial clients all around our metro metro area. This includes a state headquarters for the Army National Guard. Recently, when doing a site visit, we sell large amounts of helicopters and personnel in the hangers. Our escort told us that they were deployed to Iran for one year.
She named the country and the time frame. Oh, well, your escort uh arguably just committed actionable in egregious actionable violation of operational security.
What?
Okay.
Nothing was inferred. She told us that they were one of the last units to deploy out there. It seems that [ __ ] is about to get sporty. Next subjects.
China J1 visas. Location Utah. Tourist area. Time frame summer 2026.
Local grocery store manager in our small town advised me as he was picking up his London fog that J1 visas were being was it a dirty London fog? Did you like how many additional shots did you add to your London fog? Was it at least two?
Come on. Come on. their J1 visas were being restricted on many countries this year that he normally received employees from. He rattled off a few countries of which none were countries I expected. He then said that China J1s and Jamaicans were not delayed and that he was thankful.
Next, I live in a small town in Willilamett Valley in Oregon and all of our phones just went off with the required monthly WEA test that has never to my knowledge happened before and we've lived here 30 plus years. It's almost like we are experiencing a test for zeroday exploits either Bear. That's the national intel. That's all that's all that y'all have sent me this week. Intel atend.com.
What a shame. I love your national intel. I love reading your words out on camera. Uh, so if you'd like to provide intelligence to the Baron Nation, intel atendent.com. If you can't spell intel at.com, you have self- selected out of your ability to provide intelligence to the Baron Nation. Cool. Cool.
All right, moving right along. Uh, it is the National Stop the Bleed Month. Um, the explain like I'm five version is let's keep our blood inside the body.
Okay. Okay, cool.
Um, how you going to do that? Well, a plan to improvise is a plan to fail. If you need band-aids, I'm probably not your guy. I got a couple of kits that got band-aids in them, but yo, like Walmart, Target, Dollar General, it's a thing. Um, if you need to not die, if you need a real first aid kit, I'm your guy. I got you for that. Okay, cool. Um the uh all of the things at refuge.com whether they be first aid kits, sewn kits, vacuum packed kits, training components, all of that. If you use promo code baron nation, you get 10% off. If you don't use it, you don't. And that that's entirely up to you. We have uh wilderness classes coming up soon about nine days away. Looking forward to that. We've got many, many, a lot of other glasses are in the store. Um, yeah, it's stop the bleed month. Get what you need, please, while you can.
And I I when I say while you can, I Yo, have I mentioned we are in a wartime procurement economy.
What does that mean? That means that uh yet again governments and agencies are hoovering stuff up so that they have it and they're wildly concerned that they don't have enough. So one of the reasons that Refuge Medical exists is so that you can get what you need regardless of whether or not you wear a uniform. Okay.
Part of our mission is to empower good people like you on the civilian side to have the equipment and more importantly the training to be able to use it for the preservation of life.
Every time I bring you intelligence like this, somebody goes, "It's shilling again." Yeah, man. Which would you rather watch? Which what would you rather listen to? You want some insert podcast ad here? You want another debt relief agency or a little blue pill ad or uh raid shadow legends? Or do you want me to talk about my company that is now on four continents with 175 lives saved to date that man manufactures stuff in America for the preservation of your life? Yeah, I'm going to show for Refuge Medical. Cool. Um All right.
Phenomenal. Let's see. Um there is uh the in Congress most viewed bills. Um impeachment of President Donald Trump is on there twice now. These are bills. They've not been voted yet. They're not been brought to the floor. But that's just something to keep in your back pocket. What's up, PHL Knives? Long time no see. I haven't seen the pocket yet. Can we see it? I pocket carry med. I'm always looking for a quality system. Uh yeah, the pocket. I have one in my pocket currently.
Um I don't have one over here, but this is the slick kit right here. And the pakito, see the slick kit is vacuum sealed. The pockito is this but in a nylon sleeve that you can put in your pocket as well. So the slick kit right here. You got a pair of chest seals, a pair of gloves, a flat 4-in emergency trauma dressing, a package of combat gauze, and flat duct tape. Couple this with a tourniquet, you're up uh massive hemorrhage airway respiratory. The pocket is cool guy pants. Hold on.
Now, this is a custom pocket.
It's mine. Many like it, but this one is mine.
Oh, hold on. Don't want that to come out of my actual pocket.
There we go.
So, this one, that's that's the form factor of the pocket. And actually, this is an sob inner. The actual pocket has the handle on this side so that you have something to grab onto. That's why I was on the struggle bus there for a minute.
But the same thing handle on the other side. Now, what's in this one? Oh, note.
Made in the United States of America.
Yep. It's also coincidentally guaranteed forever. It's also This one has a couple years of service life thus far training people. Look at the stitching. Oh my gosh. It holds. Wow. It's almost like it's real. So, what's in here? What is Bear carrying? Well, I've got two safety pins right there. If you know, you know.
If you don't, hi, welcome. Uh, what do we have in here? Heistatic gauze, combat gauze.
An SARK bandage. Well, we'll get there.
Compressed gauze for woon packing. An Smark bandage. This is for applying pressure. This can be used as a pediatric tourniquet. This can be used as a canine tourniquet. It's cordage. It also burns. It's also signaling because it has contrast and motion. It's all that smark bandage.
A flat compression bandage, mini responder bandage right there.
A pair of fulls size real shears.
Refuge shears.
Gloves. BSI body substance isolation. If it's wet, not yours. Don't touch it.
flat duct tape because duct tape rules the universe and coyote tan duct tape is like the preeminent king of the universe as far as tapes are concerned. A pair of full-size Halo chest seals, one vented, one non-bented, and a pair of decompression needles for closed tension in the thorax for both plural spaces left and right.
And so that's that's what's in my pocket in addition to Oh my goodness. What could this be? What could that possibly be? Look, a soft tea. Yeah. And then actually, and we're not going to do a full-blown pocket dump, but you know what? Since we're here in this other pocket right here, I have, look, the pocket organizer from Refuge Medical. It also has belt loops on it that you can run on your belt if you want. That has another soft tea and a reload and a flashlight that is charged.
Yeah. So, oh, and I have more pockets in these born primitive cool guy pants.
These are the OP pant, I think. And um I have a soft tea and heatic gauze for more wound packing.
uh or a SWAT tea and uh more hemistatic gauze for more wound packing mostly for junctional areas. Uh that's when when we get into junctional areas, my primary concern there is being able to get enough gauze um in the wound channel to ideally pinch off the bleeding vessel.
But in a outside of a laboratory setting. I'll take clots and arteries. Arterial bleeding will form clots. It just won't hold the clots because of the pressure and diameter of the vessels. Which is why we always back wound packing with pressure so that the clots that we've worked so hard to achieve don't blow out. And knowing that we have a huge opportunity for clot blowout with arterial bleeding, we're not depending upon clots. So when we wound pack, we want to get as much pressure as possible onto the bleeding vessel via the gauze as possible so that it actually pinches off a leaking garden hose instead of just soaking up the blood and forming a clot because again arteries don't keep clots. Uh but I'll take what I can get with heistic gauze, which is why I carry a fair bit of it.
In any event, that's the pocket. That's the form factor of the pocket. It fits in like a cool guy pants pocket, BDU pocket, whatever. The slick kit is this guy here, which is the vacuum sealed kit. And the pakito, which is Spanish for baby pocket or little pocket, is the same contents as the slick kit, just in a nylon pouch instead of vacuum sealed.
Okay. Okay. Promo code bear nation. One word, two words, capital, not capital, whatever. It all works. 10% off, whatever you want. Refuge.com. Stop the bleed month. Let me put my stuff back in my pocket. Okay, cool.
I have a bank robber mask in here as well. Yeah, just just in case. Yeah.
Uh we're not doing a pocket dump. I got a lot of a lot of cool guys [ __ ] in my pockets.
Why bear? Well, that's for me to you for me to know and you to wonder about.
Okay. Okay. Phenomenal.
There's also a set of covert instruments full-size lockpicks in that pocket and a notebook in that pocket. What do we got?
I got a wallet. I got a pistol. I got keys. I got more gloves. I got a lighter. I got a pocket knife right there. And uh Oh. Oh, look. More blettos. Another more ballet right there.
All kinds of interesting things. All right, moving right along.
Uh, I thought this was fun. Uh, from Defense One. This is an article written by defense.com. And, uh, I gotta be honest, this is mostly Wait.
Uh, this is mostly um for the people all the time in the comments that are like, "Parro, it's the Department of War."
And then I say, "Where's the effect of," oh, is it? Cool. Show me your contract.
And then they get mad. From defense one, Pentagon investigators blocked from using war department in official documents. The secondary title is fine for letterhead but not court filings according to the inspector general. Blah blah blah blah blah blah. Though DoD personnel and defense contractors have been compelled to use war department, only Congress has the authority to officially change the department's name. Lawmakers have made no moves to do so. Most recently, they passed up the opportunity in the latest defense authorization bill. So where legal proceedings are concerned, the DoD remains the DoD. According to a memo from the department's inspector general signed one April by the assistant inspector general for legislative and communications.
While the department of war label may serve a rhetorical or symbolic purpose, its introduction into official context has generated internal confusion and compelled legal safeguards. A DoD contracted blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah.
Um, the rebranding effort introduces unnecessary friction into inter agency coordination, congressional oversight, and an international engagements, all of which rely on legally established identity of the Department of Defense, the contractor said. Uh, internal guidance, blah blah blah blah blah blah.
It's the Department of Defense legally.
Okay, cool. For everybody who's like, "But I get all of my information from Fox News." And Brett Bearer said, "I don't care.
I don't care. You're wrong." Defense one. Go read that article. Okay. Uh, speaking of defense or lack thereof from RT, Germany mulls fines amid faltering army recruitment drive. This is interesting to me. Germany is considering imposing fines on young men who fail to complete mandatory military questionnaires of part of a new army recruitment drive. According to a report by Durbigel, Berlin has been seeking to rapidly expand the Bundesphere as part of the broader EU military buildup, aiming to increase the number of active troops from the current 186,000 to over 260,000 by the mid 2030s. Now, a few a few short years ago when Ukraine war first kicked off, Germany was like, you know what, we got about 200,000 troops. We're going to double that to 400,000 in the next two years.
Hold on.
What the [ __ ] was that noise?
Oh, I also forgot. I forgot more cool guy [ __ ] in my hoodie. Oh, look. More bullets. So many bullets. He got a lot of bullets and more gloves and lip balm.
Um, okay.
Uh, so Germany, they want more soldiers.
They want to add approximately 75,000 more soldiers by the mid 2030s. Well, that's great. They'll be speaking Russian by then.
Uh around 10,000 men who failed to complete the government's online survey despite receiving reminder notices are now reportedly facing penalties of approximately $300 a piece and that could go up as high as $1,000 a piece or their German equivalent of doll Harrison or EU social credits or whatever they're denominating their [ __ ] economy in.
The questionnaire, which asks recipients about their physical fitness, health condition, and willingness to serve, was introduced earlier this year as part of a new voluntary military service program, blah blah blah. All 18-year-old German men are required to register for potential service by completing the form and undergoing a medical checkup. So, they are planning to expand their military based upon the Russian threat.
And um it's probably not going to go well for them. Uh we've talked about this ad nauseium. The Europeans and the Russians really need to just get along.
They don't they don't want to, but they need to economically from a demography standpoint. Um yeah.
Uh lastly from RT, the captain of the Havirus plague ship told passengers the dead man was not infectious.
Three people have died following an outbreak of the deadly rodent born pathogen aboard the Atlantic cruise ship Envy Hondas.
The captain assured passengers aboard the haunt virus stricken cruise ship MV Hondas that the first death on board was due to natural causes and that the vessel was safe according to newly reveed video footage. The footage captured on 12 April before the haunt virus outbreak was confirmed shows captain Jean Drosski Dobroski informing passengers that one man aboard the ship had died. Tragic as it is, it was due to natural causes. We believe Dobroki said, adding that whatever health issues he was struggling with and told by the doctor were not infectious.
So the ship is safe when it comes to that.
Blah blah blah. The ship was carrying some 150 people from 23 countries.
Departed from Argentina towards the Cape Verde on April the 1st. The victim, a 70-year-old Dutch man, began showing signs of illness on 6th April, passed away on 11 April. His 69-year-old wife accompanied his body to South Africa where later she collapsed and died in a Johannesburg hospital on 26th April. On 2 May, a third passenger, a German woman, also died from the disease and her body is still on board the vessel.
Whoa. Is this CO 2.0? I've been getting a lot of questions about this. Yo, bear is the haunt virus then co 2.0. And here's my thoughts on this. If it is, it's not. By the way, it's not. Uh, but if they try to paint it as if it is such and people go along with it, we deserve everything we get after CO 1.0, he says with a pair of 12 gauges and an AR-15 behind him and a Glock on his hip.
at the kids property.
>> Yeah.
>> Not that I'm aware of.
>> Machine over there.
>> Is it our skid steer being delivered?
>> No, they're like doing stuff. Oh, >> well, >> I don't know.
>> But I have a rifle and boots, so >> yeah.
>> It's a shooty morning.
>> You hear it?
>> I hear it.
>> Okay.
>> All right. Hey, I'mma go not implicate myself on felonies as discussed on the internet uh with all these witnesses.
But I got a bounce. Uh, Patreon code 50 f iify 50% off your first month on Patreon. Do it. Links in the description. Baronependent.com for all your links. Caleb House.org, grindstone ministries.com. Refuge.com, promo code bear nation. And I will repeat, 50% off your first month on Patreon, promo code 50. Go check it out. Best information, worst production value on the internet.
Uh, let's go get a little gunpowder residue on the palms of our hands. I gotta go. Bye.
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