This video analyzes recent Bitcoin market movements, including MicroStrategy's $30M BTC transfer to Coinbase Prime, and explains that BTC has lost correlation with traditional assets like S&P 500, gold, and M2 money supply, making it behave as a random asset. The content emphasizes that investors should not blindly trust media narratives or famous investors' predictions, and instead should focus on technical analysis, liquidation heat maps, and order book data to make informed trading decisions. The video also discusses BTC's historical price cycles showing diminishing drops and gains, and warns against following seasonal patterns or guru advice without independent analysis.
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Deep Dive
Is Michael Saylor Starting to Sell Bitcoin? $30M BTC Move to CoinbaseAdded:
The MicroStrategy sent to the Coinbase Prime 30 million in BTC. Last pumps, last drops. Basically, it's more more than logical to put the price higher now. Don't believe in everything what you see in media. You remember that fancy fairytales from the MicroStrategy and the Michael Saylor so the strategy will never sell the BTC. What kind of strange moves today?
Um the MicroStrategy sent to the Coinbase Prime. This is a exchange what usually the BlackRock used to sell BTC.
And they sent around the 30 million in BTC. And you know what is fun? They not sent directly from the main wallet because see here is a main wallet and if you open the page you of Coinbase on the Arkham you could not find that direct transaction, you know, like inflow from the MicroStrategy. But you could find uh this wallet 6 hours ago. This one wallet 24 million plus 6 million. Two transactions 6 hours ago.
And uh here strategy wallet.
So it's kind of weird. It's absolutely weird.
Uh why the MicroStrategy even uses some random fresh wallet sent the BTC to that wallet and from that wallet sent to the Coinbase.
It's absolutely just no makes sense.
It's kind of strange but it is what it is. So the MicroStrategy's strategy now send the money 30 million dollars uh in BTC to this wallet. From this wallet they sent to the Coinbase Prime. It doesn't mean uh so they will dump immediately, right?
Or maybe they will not sell. We can't know. But guys, don't believe in everything what you see in media, in all of these promises.
On the market people here to make money at the end.
To be rich, to make more gains, to be successful, uh to be profitable, not to be the diamond hands, you know, and to hold for forever. For what? It don't make sense. Money make money. That's why if you're in profit, you can sell send it sell it and buy back at the cheaper price and make a this differences and be happy. May maybe more buy more BTC after that. Maybe sell, maybe buy Ethereum. We can't know what plan.
But this is a example how to work with the Arkham, how to track it, how I recommend go and check the videos about Arkham what I posted before and how I recommend you just add to the dashboard what I created totally for free with all market makers and and how to use alerts to track this transactions. So, everything totally for free, guys. Also, this is another example why not don't have to trust all of this fancy gurus, the millionaires who looks like the crypto genius. No, they're not. So, Grant Cardone is not buying Bitcoin, you know, in May 2025.
Exactly at the top.
It doesn't mean, of course, he exactly bought at that point at 108k.
No, but in media in media they they all the time show you, "Oh, I'm going to all in BTC." And the people believe in it.
You know, that's a problem. So, the people believe in this fancy stories.
You could never see the story like Grant Cardone say at 16k, I Guys, it's good time to buy a BTC.
You never see this this stories. You could all the time see that Robert Kiyosaki sold all silver and buy BTC at the top. So, after that the BTC going down, silver hitting a new all-time high. So, it's kind of strange. I don't know I don't know what's the point. Do they it's they posted accidentally, right? Or just randomly? Or just pre-planned it? Because they they get like a million followers. And here just yesterday, I'm selling all my bot coin.
So, the people not satisfied, you know, with the with the BTC perform.
And just after the few minutes, right?
It's got to like one over than 1 million views. And people believe in it, these guys. That's why I I just have no idea how the people still still trust and still even pay attention for what this guy tell you.
Another guys example and another information what for today. In this video, I will not analyze the chart, guys. We just double-check the data. Now, yes, it's just fun. Meme, are you winning, son?
This is comparison. Nasdaq, S&P 500, Russell.
And where are the BTC?
The BTC lost correlation between the S&P 500, between the gold, and the even the lost correlation with the M2, the money supply.
So, BTC is just a random asset now.
And nobody care about it. Of course, I'm not trying to say like BTC go to zero.
No.
I just trying to say don't fall in love with some asset just because someone big guru say it's a new financial system or something. BTC is just a basic software, and I showed you how the BTC correlate with the just a software companies.
And one day, I believe in new all-time high for the BTC, maybe even this year.
We can't know, right? Maybe next year.
But just because of speculation, not just because it's something unique or something special. No, because the big guys, the big investors, they can make a money with the Russell, S&P 400, Nasdaq.
And after that, they can make a money with another assets with the name uh the with ticker name BTC.
At the end, the main purpose is the dollar.
So, that's the point, guys.
So, this is uncorrelation. Of course, of course, no makes sense to buy now any uh stocks or something, you know, especially the AI like Nvidia at the top.
Uh but I'm more than sure uh soon you will see some uh other post like it's time to go all in in Nvidia because they they will uh post some crazy upgrades or or something something like this one, you know, at the top. Immediately, you could see this post. And you, the same time, you could see the post like BTC is dead.
And it's going to be the the great time to buy.
So, all the time we have to just filter out feed, ignore all noise in media.
And just analyze the charts. That's why yes, of course, the macro is important.
The some news it's important, but you could even close all news, you could uh delete all Telegram channels, for example, and analyze only the chart.
Look a little realistically on the charts, and you'll be more profitable because you cut all noise.
Uh for the BTC by months, uh like we can see here, the summer is not all the time is red.
But once again, there's no like uh one point. So, yes, 100% BTC uh will go down or will go up this summer. It's always Here, some 24 minus 7%.
Some 25 plus two.
8 plus 8 plus 3 minus 6 minus 8 minus 11.
So, here it was like 1 2 3 4 4 August in a row red.
Does it mean this one also will be red?
No.
So, it's absolutely random. This table absolutely random. People also pay too much attention for this They trying to find the patterns. You know, some behaviors. There is no behaviors, guys. Absolutely everything random. And maybe maybe of course everything pre-planned by someone, but we can't know that plan.
Because we're not insiders. That's why in median average is 7%, but you know why is 7? Because here in zone 11 it was 85.
Plus 85.
That's why we still like in average. So, median is 258. If we erase this 85, the median could be I guess minus 10. Trying to look at the different perspective all the time on a BTC.
Liquidations. Liquidations, guys, I showed you the charts. So, if we could drop this summer to much much lower price, it could be the 59 even 52K.
So, this is my support zone.
For BTC liquidation heat map 1 month the time from so here 61 800 and a little bit lower here 57. I don't think so we're going to drop to the 57 now, but it's can be the boring sharp market during the summer if we see the correction. But it's not a necessary because the same time a lot of liquidity above 96K.
That's why once again What the purpose of this information? Guys, this is the information, so you have to build your own plan what to do.
Because nobody know the future, nobody.
Not you, not me, not Grant Cardone, not CZ. Maybe CZ know, but we can we can't ask him, right?
Liquidation on week or 2 weeks time frame 78,500.
Basically, it's more more than logical to put the price higher now.
And maybe we'll see the uh June July June July a pump and after that the drop in August. We can't know, but we build a personal plan. So, I got to my plan and I play my plan I showed to you with you yesterday.
So, this is a liquidation heat map on the daily. So, the also liquidity under is not that big liquidity, right?
So, main liquidity is above.
So, that's the point. If we go back to the weekly where the liquidations?
We have or we can't track the liquidation on this uh on this time frame or whatever. On the 12-hour time frame, let's check. Where the liquidation levels? Main one of uh uh attractive one to liquidate there some uh traders is here. Is above. Under is nothing.
Also, this is a order book. Order book now on uh exchanges and like you can see it's tiny order box. So, we just stuck.
We just stuck and try to hold the line between 73,300 and 74K.
That's why uh I would not surprise if uh by end of the month we could close the candle over than 75 74K.
And like hold the line. This is a Glassnode studio, guys. What I would like to show to you. So, this is visualization for everyone who who wait some patterns from the past cycles.
Like, oh we should drop 75% down and only after that go into the moon. Guys, take a look. BTC price drop down from the all-time high. Every single like a cycle, if you love this word because I hate this word the cycle, the BTC show less drops, less gains, less drops. 32, 75, 82, 79, and 92. You could see this line so we could even draw the trend line like support. The same story with the pumps.
Less pumps, less drops.
It's so obvious. And the last information I would like to show you guys on the weekly weekly the BTC spot ETF inflow. We got like three three weeks in a row outflow with a big big outflows from BTC ETF. Of course guys, once again highly recommend to go and check the video what is ETF because the people have no idea what is ETF and every single news like oh BTC ETF inflow, it's a pump. No, it's not.
BTC outflow, it's a dump. Maybe it's not.
So it's just a speculation but it's not the main catalyst for the BTC price projection. And even if you are a fan of the ETFs, what what is good dynamic? Dynamic of the liquidity flow. That's why we can't go only out only outflow, right? That's why one day we will see the dynamic change and I would not surprise if the next week we could see the the green green money inflow into BTC spot ETF.
And maybe maybe we could write higher on the chart. That's why guys, write this in a comment. What do you think about the BTC now? And don't forget to join my Telegram channel. See you next time guys.
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