Inflation is driven by multiple interconnected factors, with energy prices (particularly gasoline) being a primary driver that affects transportation costs and subsequently impacts food prices through supply chain costs; the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures inflation by tracking price changes across various categories, with core CPI (excluding food and energy) providing a more stable measure of underlying inflation trends, and wage data showing real average hourly wages can decline even during inflationary periods, indicating reduced purchasing power for consumers.
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🔴 BREAKING! Prices Are About To SKYROCKET (PREPARE NOW!)Añadido:
Inflation is back. Some may say it never left, but now it's coming back even more so with a vengeance. 3.8% is what it says here on the CPI print today. It's from CNBC. We're going to look at a number of charts here and see where the inflation actually came from.
Now, yes, it come from gasoline, but there's also some other places as well.
What are we looking at moving down the line? Now, we're we are about two and a half months removed from the start of the war in Iran. And of course, the straight has been closed, inoperable, uninsured, whatever you want to call it.
The straight has not been the same since it was pre February 28th. Let's just put it out there. And so now we're starting to see the very early beginnings of inflation make its way down into the economic pipeline. And it doesn't seem like it's going to slow down. 3.8% um in April and that is the highest in what is that three years now. So it looks like we're getting ready to ramp up for another wave of inflation. Before we get started though, hit the like and subscribe if you haven't already. It does go a long way in pushing this channel out into the algorithm. And let's go ahead and dive right into some of the key highlights. It says here, consumer price index rose at a seasonally adjusted 0.6% for the month.
So that's month over month, right? So from March to April, prices rose 0.6%.
According to the CPI, putting the one-year pace at 3.8%. So from a year ago, from April of last year up until April of this year, 3.8%.
Excluding food and energy, the core CPI increased 0.4% and 2.8% respectively, keeping inflation well above the Fed's 2% goal.
So if you don't eat and you don't drive a car or use any energy in any meaningful way, then got good news for you. The inflation rate is about 1% lower than it is with all those stuff.
Though energy and in particular gasoline has been much the headline story, inflation pressures also came from a variety of different other areas. The report also contained bad news for workers as real average hourly wages slipped 0.5% for the month and fell 0.3% annually.
So, not only are we starting to see prices go up, but wages coming down.
Usually, it's a case of, oh, well, the wages haven't kept up with the increased prices. Now, wages are actually slipping.
They're not just not keeping up, they're going down while the prices are going up.
So, here's uh here's a quick chart. This goes all the way back to 2021.
And this measures the CPI. As you can see here in blue, this is your year-over-year CPI change.
And you see we peaked out here in June of 2022. That's when inflation reached the high of 9% three years ago or four years ago. Um, and interestingly enough, this was at the very first few months of the Ukraine war. We're now at an Iran. We're at the very few months of an Iran war. Now, now you're starting to see that pick back up here. We did have a bottom here at around two two and a half% or so. And now we're back up spiking up above 3.8%.
And it looks like we are getting ready for another leg higher in inflation.
Says your energy with jumped 3.8% accounted for more than 40% of the headline gain while food prices also climbed 0.5%.
For energy, that put the 12-month gain at 17.9% while food was up three uh sorry, 3.2%.
The gas index increased 28.4% annually.
Food at home prices increase 0.7%.
So, we're going to look at all these in chart form here in shortly, so no need to actually read through all of it in extensive detail. But here's another chart of US consumer price index and this is the month- over-month change. So this is measuring what the prices were one month and what percentage jump did they see the next month. So from March to April from April to May and so forth.
So for the month of May sorry for the month of April we saw a 0.6% jump from March to April. In March, we saw a 0.9% jump from February to March. This was the first month of the Iran war.
And you'll see we kind of saw similar patterns here. Well, not quite so similar. You did see what is this? Okay, so March of 2022 or sorry, 2021.
So, we want to go all the way out into 2022. Okay, so here it is. March of 2022, 1.1% move in the CPI. Now, let's go ahead and take a look at how much each category jumped in the inflation numbers. But before we do that, a quick note from our sponsor today. It's enhanced. Hey, Capital Cosm crew. Quick pause from the charts to talk about one of the most exciting new names on the New York Stock Exchange. It's Enhance, ticker symbol ENHA on the New York Stock Exchange.
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Back to the video. So, we've got the inflation numbers all in one chart.
Categorized by all items up 3.8%. That's basically what we just covered. But then you also you also have food 2.9% food at home. That is cereal and bakery items 2.6%. We actually saw a decrease in dairy.
Uh that's kind of weird because this is a year overyear change in the inflation numbers. Now of course there's always substitutions. There's always hedonic adjustments. If you don't know what either one of those are. Substitution is when they just literally substitute one item in the inflation basket with another item. So for example, if steak becomes too expensive, they could all just take out steak and put chicken breast in its place. Of course, chicken breast is a lot cheaper than steak. And that way they can say, well, oh well, you know, the price of food hasn't really gone up much. Meanwhile, the price of steak has gone 50% higher or whatever it was.
So, that could be another case of that because I don't know where I I don't know where you guys live, but where I live, dairy is not cheaper by any stretch of the imagine. Not even zero not even a minuscule amount by 0.6%.
It's only gotten more expensive for me.
But let me know, maybe I'm living in a bubble.
How expensive has dairy gotten for you guys? Has it gotten more expensive this year versus last year? Let me know in the comments. Fruits and veggies up 6.1%.
Non-alcoholic beverages 5.1%.
Other food at home 2.5%. Food away from home 3.6%.
So that's food. Energy that's this is the big one. Energy up 17.9%.
mainly driven by gas up a whopping 28.4% versus a year ago. Electricity up 6.1% pipe gas service up 3%.
So the big move in energy not surprising gasoline of course when you think about it gasoline drives everything you got to get you need transportation to move goods from point A to point B. The price of gas goes up. that has to be factored into the cost of the goods because of the increased transportation costs. So when gasoline goes up by a whopping 28.4%, no surprise food also goes up as well.
All items less than food and energy 2.8%. Apparel up 4.2%.
Rent of primary residents up 2.8%. New vehicles pretty much flat. Used cars and trucks down 2.7%. Is that true, guys? I haven't been in the car market. I haven't been looking for a new car in a few years now. I mean, I don't really have a benchmark here, but is this true?
Have you seen a decrease in the price of vehicles?
Vehicle maintenance and repair up 5.1%.
Insurance up 0.2%. I think that's not true. Actually, I think my insurance actually went up. Airline fair is up 20%. That's obviously correlated with gasoline prices and jet fuel costs.
Medical care commodities down 0.5%, medical care services 3.2%, alcohol, alcoholic beverages 1.9%, tobacco and smoking products 7.6%.
So, let me know in the comments. Do any of these numbers seem kind of off to you? Do you think that they're actually much higher than it's being reported here?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments and hit the like button if you enjoyed this rundown of the inflation numbers. Comment down below if you agree or disagree with these numbers and I will catch you all next time. Bye.
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