APLD Stock Collects Billions More AI Data Center Leases...

Added: 2026-05-03

[00:00:00]I'd like to tell you that if you put $10,000 into APLD stock exactly 1 year ago from today in April, that $10,000 would be worth roughly $78,000 right now. That's a 682% return. And what we're seeing right now is at this $32 price point, what we're going to be going over and what I think we want to watch for at these levels is that we could currently see that there's going to be some momentum still. And speaking of momentum, and speaking of discounts, if you guys want a discount on my time to go over your portfolio, your systems, your strategies, it's the first link below to go have a look there. Now, we know the markets averaged over 100% returns over the last 100 years, but once again, looking at individual stocks, there is higher risk and there's no higher reward that is guaranteed. So, just keeping that in mind, these are insights for you to help you scale to 100k, 1 million, or 10 million plus. And I was literally just outside this morning, guys, on a walk, walking with my wife, and she said that she would like to see more content cuz she believes I'm like the stock market weatherman. Do you guys want to see more content? Comment down below if you want to see more, or if you think I'm the weatherman. I don't know which one.

[00:01:14]And first link to jump on in if you guys want to talk one-on-one, once again.

[00:01:18]So, when it comes to the oil you trade this morning, we were trading there.

[00:01:22]That one's up about $1,000 profit so far. So, portfolio is seeing some green.

[00:01:27]We did see some sell-offs in some of the markets early this morning. We saw some dips. Semiconductors did recover nicely, and we see data centers do well this morning. The oil you trade, that's $1,000 there. And then we did have some other ones like uh today Nvidia was down quite a bit, about 4%. But nevertheless, portfolio is up just about 3% today in the Robinhood portfolio. In the long term, I actually hold APLD stock. So, let's get into it.

[00:01:54]There's three things to consider with APLD. And the first thing to consider is that this is a highly, highly sought-after trading stock, not just a long-term investment. Now, most traders are not going to be as good as investing cuz they don't have the patience. So, just to kind of preface, this is a company I also, well, we trade it on the short-term with APLX because the swings, for example, in this trend right here, usually vary, but they're about 20 to even 50%. That's a 50% swing. You know, there's another 50% swing about a day and a half ago. And then today, this swing has been about 24% here on APLX. So, it's got the volatility, for sure. But just to preface, you know, I do lean towards heavily, and I don't have any short-term trades on APLX or APLD right now. APLX is the 2x instrument of APLD.

[00:02:52]But the underlying stock, APLD, I do hold long-term. Again, we were talking about this potential swing here in this trend where we could see that continuation back up into that $40 range. When we made a video just uh a few days ago here about APLD, and we're talking about the market of the data center market, and how there's so much growth there. Every big earnings, I got these earnings pulled up to my right here on my screen. And every big earnings was talking about more capital expenditure related to the data center market. And something we went over, you know, heavily in this this last video when we were talking about APLD, is we were looking at this move, this shorter-term trend where they had, you know, pushed up very high. You can kind of see the the levels here.

[00:03:42]Uh if you could see, I don't know if it's too clear. Um there, but they were up here right around this uh 40 or $38 range the other day. And we were saying, "Hey, I think we could potentially see this this near-term uh pullback here."

[00:03:58]And this is what we drew out, that they would pull back to around $32 a share or down here around 30 bucks a share, and then continued their trend of about 20% potentially back up into that $38 price point. Now, that was about 5 days ago.

[00:04:11]And uh we have a lot of people that while APLD, we talked about it, the $10,000 investment would be 78,000. You know, we've had a lot of investors that have been holding this stock since we've been covering it for a year that have made hundreds of thousands of dollars. I haven't heard any million-dollar stories, but I have heard of people cumulatively, along with some other picks, making over a million dollars.

[00:04:34]There's Jake, he's up 60k. I was reading Jason was up 330k.

[00:04:39]And we had some other Someone bought some other stocks. Yeah, there's a lot of people doing very well because, you know, they're up there. They're up there right now. And so, anyway, they did end up pulling down. We saw them pull down even a little bit further down to $30 a share from that $38 price point. And now we are seeing that potential continuation of trend back up into this 37 to 39 to $40 range, where that's still, you know, a smaller trend here, but the greater trend that we were watching was actually this trend. The potential of, you know, with this recent pullback over the last day and a half leading into today, while we could see them, you know, break further or sell them back down into those levels around the 200-day moving average at 27, that the AI market and the data center market, with the exception of potentially oil cost indirectly hitting the margins on some of these data center stocks because if oil costs go up tremendously, then maybe energy would be more expensive, and their profit margins may be lower or something like that, right? Cuz a lot of these companies operate large data centers.

[00:05:48]But barring that, all big AI companies spending more on data centers, and essentially, we're focusing on the potential that, you know, as the recent earnings have come out, just to kind of look at the the movements of the potential of this swing of continuing back up into that $45, $50 for APLD, it kind of hinges heavily on the fact, you just once again, those earnings we just had come out in our Stock Met community.

[00:06:26]It hinges heavily on the fact that APLD's financials will continue to do well. I remember just not long ago, they were, you know, three, four, five billion-dollar market cap, and they had $3 billion in equity, and their income was growing drastically, as you can tell annually, it's been going up quite a lot here.

[00:06:47]But the real story with APLD is that there's quarterly more increases, more growth in revenue. And they're up to over 120 million per quarter with 3 billion in equity. And so, while now they're they are slightly at a premium around this nine uh billion dollars, it's possible you get that sell-off down back into those those moving averages. But assuming assuming that That's just looking at the financials. But assuming that their pipeline that they've recently announced continues to reflect, and this is what Prophecy looks at, right? If we were just looking at the financials only, we would say, "Hey, they're kind of overvalued. They're trading at a premium right now, and they actually should be at like $15 to $20 a share, not this $35 price point." But if you're looking at what's expected from the market, that's a different story. You see, what's expected in some of these projections are as much as 88%, right? So, we're using Prophecy AI here.

[00:07:55]It's the third link below if you want to get your hands on it. It's our company, and it does analysis that sees things.

[00:08:02]Imagine you're ordering mail, or you're not even ordering mail, and you can see what people are sending you before you receive it from all points, okay? From all sources.

[00:08:12]That would take a lot of sourcing. You'd have to look at USPS. You'd have to look at UPS. You'd have to look at uh FedEx.

[00:08:19]And you have to see all the worldwide, you know, shipping, and then have an AI or something that's constantly checking for your address as a receiving address through all the tracking numbers throughout all of the postal services, right?

[00:08:33]Uh that would that would be very hard, and no one person could personally like be able to do that. Like, they're going to be seeing a lot of blank space, and they're going to get sent on wild-goose chases. And so, what our AI does is essentially, it does look at all the sources, and it does see all of the markets, and all of the news, and all of the financials, and all of the insider buying and selling, and even the dark pool transactions that aren't showing up in your order books that you use on Robinhood or Moomoo or anything like that, but it's actually dark pool activity, meaning private transactions that must be documented. We go and get all those sources so that we can get projections. And so far in our recent analysis, we found that our AI has actually been projecting, well, direction over 50% of the time has been correct throughout all of our models.

[00:09:27]And we just got recently the ability to see some new data.

[00:09:32]And some of the new data that I'll show you here, which I'm very excited about in product here, it's kind of our model accuracy. And what's exciting about our model accuracy here is it we're actually getting the ability to see from thousands of requests within our AI, the accuracy of these AIs. So, why is this important? Well, number one, people look at AI, and they think about writing emails. They think about maybe taking care of you know, some some text, some emails, things like that. What they don't realize is that AIs are becoming hedge fund level analysis. They're making people tremendous amounts of money.

[00:10:13]And so, for example, like for Meta in its recent direction accuracy we've seen that Meta has been 64% accurate accurate since its introduction.

[00:10:26]Claude just recently dropped below 49% and we can see by model, for example, like the new models on the one day for Opus are at 59% accuracy and we're actually seeing which models are the most accurate. So, Grok, for example, has been most accurate on the one day and we've said that for a bit. That was our theory, but we're getting real hard data. 67% accuracy off 1,267 projections um for Grok uh accuracy 67% direction accuracy for the one day. And so does it have its biases? Sure. Does it Is it perfectly right on the dot? No.

[00:11:06]But, is it direction accurate? Yes. And so, for the one day, Grok is look looking at all of the things that are happening on Twitter, all the things that are happening in the real-time world, paired with the data that we provide. And I can actually see all the different stocks and what everybody's searching cuz we got all of our investors using this and um I'm very excited to to just share this data cuz it cuz it's, you know, the difference like we were just talking this morning how I share this with you because APLD, the stock they're making like they're supporting the ability for us to do things like this. They're also supporting the ability for Nvidia to run, for AMD to run, for Tesla to run, for Microsoft, for Apple, for Core Weave. They got $23 billion in deals and their market cap's at 9 billion. That's why we're covering them cuz we think there's a lot of potential here for them to as their pipelines come true, their financials may improve and their revenue's going to increase. And as a result, people that know that before those earnings come out end up seeing a value discrepancy where later on it's priced in at a much higher price due to, you know, at that point the earnings have already been released and a lot of the market will have fully, you know, filled that value is is the idea, right? But, when it comes to the the usage of how we're using Prophecy right now and this is kind of just really exciting because when I'm looking at these projections what we realized is that, you know, for every 2%, 3% that we increase in the accuracy of Grok, of Claude. And again, these are basically untuned. These are untuned models and this is just the last 30 days in projections. So, it seems Grok is actually crushing it. The new Meta model is doing quite well.

[00:12:52]But, for every 1% or 2% that we add, you know, that's thousands of dollars, if not hundreds of thousands of dollars that are impacting the portfolios or the ability for people to earn more. And so, we're very we're very taking it very serious and I'm I'm really looking forward to uh building more with you guys. And again, if you if you want to get your hands on it uh we have something happening later today at 4:30 p.m. uh Pacific time. If you'd like to tune on in, it's going to be the third link in the description below. Just thought I'd share that with you all so you have a, you know, a grasp of what's coming.

[00:13:30]But, coming coming into um APLD once again, you got the nearest support level is going to be around, I believe, let's see where we're at in the short term.

[00:13:38]Again, longer term we are we are targeting those $35 to $40 range to $50 range and longer term could be 3 months, 6 months. So, I wouldn't, you know bet the farm on it or anything. In fact, that's just my timeline.

[00:13:53]And we've been in it for quite some time now. But, for the one day and understanding the value and and understanding if things go well and integrity holds that they do show good revenue after their earnings or with this backlog you know, just kind of looking at the nearest support levels.

[00:14:12]In my eyes, it looks like maybe they have a a strong support right here around 34 uh well, they got 3450 really close and then further down they have this uh 3350.

[00:14:25]And we can also look at Prophecy.

[00:14:27]Prophecy is saying 3420. So, right right at about 3450 3420. So, right here. Right here is going to be that nearest previous resistance and also a near support level that they kind of took off from. So, 3420 is going to be the near support.

[00:14:44]And then you also have that uh 30 I think it's about 33 50.

[00:14:50]Uh if we go longer time frames here, let's see if there's any difference.

[00:14:55]Yeah, into $33 in the next week is going to be looking at that support level.

[00:15:00]Some models are projecting uh 5 to 8% projections and this could change quite rapidly in some of these projections over the next few hours as it's had a very, very bullish day today.

[00:15:12]But, the big thing to realize is that the big companies and all these earnings that we just saw yesterday inside of here, inside of Prophecy, so we have our earnings that come out is that the big thing to realize is that in those earnings and stock make, big companies like Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet even Qualcomm Apple Apple's coming out later today.

[00:15:40]The biggest conversation is really about the AI and the drivers of AI include APLD. Now, APLD's building the data centers and they've already seen about 23 billion in contracted leases.

[00:15:54]And so, with their market cap around 8, 9 billion, you know, we continue to to hold more of a bullish thesis with them as of right now as they do continue to execute and see the revenue increase quarter over quarter. So, what's exciting and the dynamic part about APLD is it's also extremely volatile. So, you have to be ready for those big sell-downs that can happen very fast. Um and that's why I encourage anybody in the short term to have clear risk management, clear stop losses. You know, if you're really trying to trade it short term, that's going to be the approach. And also long term, like be ready to have tremendous patience and see a position that can potentially drop 20%, 30% in a couple days and also rise just as fast. But, just keeping those things in mind as a um as you're analyzing APLD.

[00:16:39]So, we're going to cover some more as well. If you guys want to stay tuned, make sure to subscribe. Fire in your thumbs up. Hit the like button. Do consider subscribing again and I'll see you in the next video. Take care.