Credit spreads, which measure the interest rate difference between corporate bonds and government bonds, have become historically tight, indicating that credit markets are priced for perfection with minimal margin for error; this creates vulnerability when economic downturns occur, as demonstrated by struggling specialty lenders like GoEasy and pressure in the US private credit market, where unemployment and housing market struggles can trigger widespread loan payment difficulties.
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A Credit Crisis Is Coming… Here Are the Warning Signs
Added:The coming credit crisis in Canada, please do elaborate.
>> Yeah, that might have been it might have been an aggressive term, but let's let's be real credit spreads in other words that the rate that you that interest that you earn from owning a a bond versus what you get from owning a government bond it is really tight. So and what that means is that the credit markets are in general priced for perfection. They you know spreads don't get much tighter than this and inevitably we know that if we do enter a recession that the housing market will continue to struggle. If you start getting unemployment people start to run into problems paying their loans. We've seen that in a few specially lenders like go easy here in Canada GSY. They've run into some problems. I mean they're a subprime lender. So it's it's understandable and we've seen a lot of pressure in the US private credit market.
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