The 13% Rule: When Heavy Accumulation Really Starts

Ajouté : 2026-05-30

[00:00:00]13%. That's the number I'm waiting for on  this chart to pull the trigger to start accumulating cryptocurrencies like there is  no tomorrow. No, I haven't been accumulating, nor have I been trying to rush into anything  right now. I am still with the belief that we are in a bare market for crypto until we hit  this magical number. Now, why 13? Isn't that an unlucky number? I guess you could say so. But  if we zoom out here on this chart for combined cryptocurrency dominance, which is pertaining  to just USDT and USDC, which are stable coins, the last time that we got up to this level was  back in June 2022, and we bounced back into this level again in September 2022 and again one more  time in November. This has been the level that I have been waiting for, and we got really close in  February when we had that massive, massive drop.

[00:00:54]13% is a great number to start accumulating  but not to start aping into anything in terms of cryptocurrency and this is the sole  reason why. Now this chart shows two different cryptocurrencies combined like I said before USDT  plus USDC. Now we could use stablec.d which is also cryptostable coins dominance and this is  actually a higher percentage. It's at 12.66 66, which means that we should see a number that  is much higher, maybe like 18 or 19%. Which we could use this, but I don't really want to do  to be honest. Um, or you might want to consider looking at USDT. But again, USDT dominance  itself is only about 7 12% whereas stable coins with USDT and USDC together is about 10 and  a half%. So that little 3% amount matters a lot.

[00:01:49]But here's why I still think we're going to be  going up higher. If you zoom out and look at the chart just for USDT, we have history going all the  way back to 2015. Yes, this chart has clearly been going up and higher and higher until about here,  2023. It's been going sideways for quite a while now. it has reached a similar zone where it topped  out back over here in June 2022. But we also know that over time we've seen more stable coins  entering the space. Well, like USDC, which isn't that old, but it's also not that young either.  It's been around since really 2019, and yes, it's shot up a lot higher. Over here in May, it moved  up to 7%. So when we put these two guys together, we get um an interesting view of the stable coin  dominance market. So, if we were just to take the oldest, most historical looking chart, we could  start to get a little bit antsy looking at this upper wick that happened back in February with  that huge market pullback that we had because we see that same thing resembled here in June 2022  and again over here in November 2022. Anytime we see a big spike on this chart, it means a big dump  in crypto. So, it has kind of sort of hit this range where it's resistance, but again, it's just  one of many stable coins. And if we put all stable coins together, we're at 12% versus 7%. So, I do  feel like even though we can look at just one, we should really try to look as many of the bigger  ones as possible. So, taking that into account, trying to just explain my thesis as to why I  always look at these two specifically. This is why because it makes more sense to focus on the  two biggest stable coin dominance charts than just one of them. And with that said, knowing that we  had a much higher low in terms of this March 2024 high and December 2024 high which corresponded to  big moves in the market. These are being market tops right here. Again, I still think that we  have yet to hit a real market bottom, which should be at least up here to 15% if not higher  for the same reason as before. This just keeps getting higher and higher. And we don't have that  much data for stable.c.d. But for USDC dominance, we know this is also increasing. Used to be down  here at 0.09% and it moved all the way up to 7% back in 2022 June. So, there's reason for me  to believe that this could go a lot higher. So, again, I don't think that we bottomed out yet.  It's very, very deceiving to look at this and go, you know, I think we bottomed out. I'm going  to ape into everything right now. No. Now, the reason why 13% is such a pivotal number  is because that will be the trigger to start accumulating. And what I mean by accumulating is  not aping. I don't mean full porting into whatever coin you want to. This is basically going to  be the trigger where we're going to continue to see coins fall down lower and lower. I am a DCA  trader by nature, which means that I'm prepared to dollar cost average into positions. So once we hit  this magical number of 13%, I also have some more money set aside when we get it to 15%. If we get  up here to 17%, I'm also going to be scaling in to my positions even more. And I want to speak to  that now. And I'll also tell you in a second why 13% is that magical number. But the reason why I  want to scale into things is because it's better account preservation. For starters, on my first  ad, which will be here, it's only going to be 17th of my total possible volume for a position. And  the reason why I use 17th is because I double down twice. So another way that you could view this is  that this could be 100 bucks. Okay? So, out of my total possible value, which is $700, I want to be  making sure that I only put in $100 to start. So, that means the next time that we have a big push  up higher, then my total size is going to be 37.

[00:06:06]I'm adding another two lots to it, which is a  $200 order. And then finally, once we get to this really crazy amount, if it even happens, this is  where it's going to be a $400 order. So 1 + 2 + 4 is seven. So we have in total $700. So again, this  is the way I've been trading crypto since 2019. It served me so well. So while I think 13% is a great  percentage to start accumulating cryptocurrencies, I don't necessarily think that it will be the  bottom signal this time around. I still think that we could see stable coin dominance  combined go up a lot higher. And trust me, if it goes up that high, it's going to be  a devastating drop. I don't expect it to, but I'd much rather be safe than sorry instead  of going all in at 13%. Now, before I mention why or I tell you why 13% makes the most sense  to you, or rather makes the most sense to me, I want you to make sure that you do not miss that  subscribe button. If you're not subscribed to the channel, the little subscribe button has a little  animation. It flashes to get your attention. So, subscribe now and also like this video if you want  to see more content like this. Let us know also in the comment section down below. If you want market  oriented videos, if you want more narrative videos or just long form podcast or interviews, let us  know in the comments. We are reading them and we do care about what you guys want to see. [sighs]  So, the reason for me thinking that 13% is a great target is because of this indicator called the  trending breakout indicator or the TBO for short.

[00:07:43]The reason why is because this has been a  very reliable indicator at showing us where we have breakouts, breakdowns, tops, bottoms,  reversals, the whole kit and kaboodleoodle. Now, looking at this chart, there is a very long line  of resistance up here, starting right here in July 2022 and lasting all the way over here for  138 weeks. 138 weeks from 2022 to early 2025. So this length right here is a big deal because the  longer that these lines are, the stronger they are in terms of being resistance. So this is going  to be a pretty strong target, short-term target for stable coin dominance combined to hit. And if  it hits this and surpasses it, well, in my mind, this is basically where everything above this  level is where we see a lot of fearbased selling.

[00:08:46]We see a lot of stop losses getting triggered. A  lot of people that are buying the dip on leverage getting liquidated, which means buying the dip  on leverage and the price goes lower than you want. Your margin now equals or rather your loss  equals your margin and it pushes the price lower and lower and lower. We've seen this kind of  stuff play out particularly in 2022 and also in 2028 sorry 2018 which is why I don't think 2026  is any different. Now 13% is not a hard and fast and fixed number and again I do think that we  could see stable coin dominance combined go up a lot higher. Now let's just talk about a couple  of parallels too in terms of this indicator with where we are now versus where we were back  here. I said that I do think that we're going to go higher. Back over here, we can see one dip  into this cloud and it shoots back up, not once, but twice. Now, if that were to happen and we  kind of get stopped out here, we can't really move above 12.3%. I will let you know. Uh you'll  want to be on the uh Coinb trading channel if we get anything like that cuz that's where I'll let  you guys know a lot sooner than these videos.

[00:09:59]I'm not expecting some sort of a W move like  that, but that would be very odd if we were to exactly repeat. Uh mainly because I I don't  think that we're we've topped out in terms of dominance yet. Has yet to be actually uh verified  in my opinion. Another reason why I think we're going to be going up a lot higher is our RSI.  Now, if we look at this pattern here with RSI, we have a low here on the 24th of March and a  higher low on the 2nd of December. We have one pullback here on the 21st of July. And now we've  had another pullback again on the 4th of May. Each of these are higher lows, which means that we  should see a higher high coming up soon. Now, if that's going to be a or rather we're going  to see a repeat of what we saw in 2021 and 2022, I want you to pay attention here. We have a low  here on January 2021, a higher low on August 2021, a much a little bit higher low on November 2021.  Are these numbers, these dates sounding familiar?

[00:11:06]a low here on the 28th of March and then one last  push up higher and then a break of this level back over here in August 2022. Now, if you know  your dates, well, help you out. Right over here, this was the top in November 2020 or basically,  I'm sorry, January 2021 was a marketwide top after a massive rally. And then we finally had our real  Bitcoin top in November. We had a little bit of a rally. And then we saw a rally topping out here  in March. And then the market absolutely puked here in June 2022 where we had another rally and  a little bit of a disagreement in price. Another rally where we finally bottomed out in October.  And then in late December, we saw the market absolutely rip roar and go super crazy. Okay. So,  it's really really useful to use RSI to gauge the sentiment of the market. So, now let's superimpose  where we were to where we've been recently. March 2024 was a short-term high. This is after a huge  reversal rally that started in October 2023, topping out in March, which meant a very oversold  RSI. we had a rally um and then after that that rally we this is basically telling us this is the  top of the rally right here and then this is the bottom here in July 2024 and then we know that  there was a Trump pump there was a inauguration pump and then we have a top here in December  after the inauguration rally and then we had a big market drop in March which finally bottomed out  in a uh about April 2025 where we saw the market recover And we had a pretty big rally in terms  of this chart that went up to about July. Then we chopped for a bit. And then we had an initial  pullback in November, a little bit of a one, but a much bigger one that happened in October, which  forced us to go higher. And then we had another huge one in late February, well really at early  February, where we saw our big drop down to 60K for Bitcoin. So when we're looking at this chart,  this is an inversion of what's been happening on the charts themselves. So what happened from the  beginning of March up until recently here, May 4th, there was a really big Bitcoin rally. And lo  and behold, it's hit this support level yet again, similar to this short-term top in March before we  had one more drop. I still think we're going to see one more drop on this chart. Uh, it's taking  its sweet, sweet time, that's for sure. But I do think we're going to see one more drop, which will  mean one more push up to possibly this 13% level or higher. Now, once that happens, I believe that  that will be the final capitulation that we've all been waiting for. If we take into account that  Bitcoin has a pretty reliable four-year cycle, if we think about the concept of top bottom recovery  rally, which is a very very very long, it's a long-term strategy. Oh, I'm looking at the wrong  chart for this. That's okay. But essentially, we have it mapped out here on the chart. I can even  show it to you. We have our bare market year in 2022. our recovery year here in 2023, rally year  in 2024, definitely top out year here in 2025.

[00:14:46]So that means 2026 is a bottom year and we start  the whole cycle over again. So with this in mind, yes, I am still leaning bearish on Bitcoin. Yes,  I still think that Bitcoin will be going lower in 2026 based off of a 4-year cycle. Yes, a lot of  those signals that I've shared before about those top signals, they didn't fire. Like I said, they  wouldn't fire. But you have to understand that the bottom signals in terms of onchain signals, those  have fired reliably every single bare market.

[00:15:19]Every single time Bitcoin bottoms out, they are  ringing a ding-dinging like Frank Sinatra on a Sunday afternoon in Las Vegas. So, I fully believe  that we have not bottomed out yet, which feels crazy because a lot of people vehemly disagree  with me, which is fine. It's okay to disagree. But the main thing is that if we start to see Bitcoin  going down a lot further, now you know what to look for. Again, 13% is my target or my rather  my trigger to start accumulating alts that I've been interested in. I've already shared actually a  couple of picks and tickers with you specifically in the AI space. If you missed that video, you're  going to want to watch that. It's going to pop up right here. And until the next time, you know  what to do. Stay awesome and stay in the green.