Hill effectively strips away the "news" facade to reveal the cold mechanics of forced liquidations. It’s a sobering reminder that in crypto, the price action often creates the narrative rather than the other way around.
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Deep Dive
THE CRYPTO MARKET JUST FELL AFTER THIS NEWS?!Added:
Well, the crypto market is off to a really rough start this morning with most altcoins being down anywhere from 5 to 10% as Bitcoin's price has now fallen back below $79,000.
Now, this pullback this morning has left many investors caught off guard because all we've really seen over the last 24 hours is good news. The Clarity Act was advanced to the full Senate floor by the Senate Banking Committee. I mean, Trump's meeting with China seemed to go well, and it seems as if the tensions there are maybe dying off a little bit, which could help out with this Iran situation and the oil situation. So, things have felt pretty good over the last 24 hours. Yet again, the market is pulling back and Bitcoin's price is falling extremely quickly. And so, because of this confusion, I wanted to jump on really quickly and break down exactly why this market's pulling back right now and what I'm doing as a result of it. Because while everyone's saying this or that, I think the reason why this market is pulling back is extremely obvious. And once you see it, you won't be able to unsee it. And so with that in mind, this should be a pretty quick video. So let's not waste any time at all and let's jump straight on in. So as I mentioned before, let's first and foremost answer why is the market pulling back? You know, why did Bitcoin's price just fall off a cliff today following all of this good news?
You know, just yesterday, the Clarity Act went through a markup vote over in the Senate and that's got advanced to the full Senate floor. basically meaning that now in a few weeks we should see the Senate actually voting on whether or not they want to pass this Clarity Act, which is a huge step in the right direction to getting this thing signed into law by the president. And also in addition to that, we saw Trump over in China um having some pretty solid meetings. Matter of fact, Trump actually said that he's going to decide over the next few days on whether he wants to lift the sanctions on Chinese oil companies that buy Iranian oil. And if that is the case, that can make of course more Iranian barrels of oil um accessible, which should then of course lead to cheaper energy, reducing oil cost, and of course reducing the amount of inflation that we're seeing here in the United States and globally as well.
So these things have been good news.
This has nothing to do with why the market is pulling back. Matter of fact, these have only made the market a bit more fundamentally sound in my opinion over the last 24 hours. Whereas what has happened over the last 24 hours, and the reason why this market is pulling back is because we are currently in what's called a liquidation cascade. We're in a liquidation event. As you can see, within the last 24 hours, there have been $530 million worth of liquidations that have occurred with the vast majority of those liquidations being from long traders, meaning that people were betting a lot of money that Bitcoin's price was about to go up. And they were wrong. the market manipulators, those lizard people, they pushed the price down, forced those traders out of their positions, pocketed some of the liquidation fees, and made money off of spreads. And as you can see, in the last again 24 hours, there's been over $530 million worth of these liquidations that have occurred. And the craziest part about it is I warned you all just yesterday that this might happen. Matter of fact, if you go look at this post that I made in the school and in the video that I made yesterday, I told you all there is currently a huge imbalance of liquidations to the downside on the 90-day charts. while Bitcoin still remains in an adjusted ascending structure. And I said that doesn't mean that it has to dump like crazy after today, but it means that there's a disproportionate balance of upside and downside risk. And I want to lock in a tiny bit of profit to compensate for that imbalance. And what I was simply just saying was, listen, there's a lot of people who will be liquidated if Bitcoin's price goes down compared to if Bitcoin's price goes up.
And this market has a tendency of wanting to go liquidate the people who are easiest to access. And I knew like, hey, there's a risk we go down at some point soon, so I'm going to lock in some of my profit. And again, just 24 hours later, now Bitcoin's fallen off that cliff and it has chased down some of those liquidations. Matter of fact, if we go look at the liquidation data from the short term, it's actually pretty crazy. Look at this. Look at the one-day liquidation chart. On the one-day liquidation chart, there's now $3.17 billion worth of liquidations back at 88,000 compared to only a mere 829 billion. We're talking about only 20% the size of liquidations from downside to upside risk. And this is a sign. This is a signal. When you see your one day liquidation map look like this, it means somebody just got wiped out and that was the bear. That was the bulls. This was the people who were betting big that of course Bitcoin's price was going to go up into yesterday's vote. And you need to take this as a learning lesson. When you have those moments in which we're going into a big catalyst, the market is pumping and you have a massive zone of resistance sitting directly above your head. You got to be careful because a pullback can come out of nowhere because you're already facing rejection. You're already facing resistance in terms of price action. And then if you include the fact that there's liquidations available for the price to go back down to, it's usually going to do that, right? And so this thing that we're seeing right now, no, again, it's not news. It wasn't something bad happening.
It wasn't even unpredictable. It's the market pulling back to chase down these liquidations that have been available for the last 90 days, right? And so that's what's happening right now. And so this isn't one of those moments where I think everyone should freak out.
Everyone's panicking. And that's one thing I get so irritated about with the crypto market is people panic like always. Oh my god, everything's going to go down now that the Clarity Act is passed. Now we're going to see the whole entire market collapse. That may happen, but it doesn't have to happen. It's not like this is some sort of crazy fundamentally scary thing. No, it's simply just a liquidation cascade. And what's going to happen is that this market is going to continue in the downward direction until it takes out as many of these downside liquidations as it wants. I think there's a very real world in which it continues a bit further, maybe even to the low to mid70s to take out these 7-day liquidations as well as these 30-day liquidations.
Because as you can see, there are still a lot of people who will be liquidated if we head to 7675, $74,000. But what will happen eventually in my opinion is that Bitcoin's price well, if it does continue down to some of these lower levels, it will take out enough of these long trader liquidations to where the long traders close down on their positions. They derisk and then the market isn't as incentivized to continue downwards and then you'll start to see this little pullback we're in slow down.
That could be today. That could be back at 74. No one really knows, but the truth is that this isn't scary in the slightest. It's just what the market does. Now, where it does get scary is if Bitcoin's price does start to come back down and lose support out of that adjusted ascending structure we've been talking about. That of course then starts to put Bitcoin on track to fall towards 65,000, 62,000, 60,000. That's when stuff could get ugly. But while we're sitting at the top side of this structure with resistance here, this sort of pullback is normal and expected.
So, with that in mind, that's why the market's pulling back right now. And that's why all coins are pulling back right now. So, let's talk about what I'm doing in my own portfolio now that this is happening. Now, before we get into that, I will remind you guys that if you're not planning on trading this, right? Like if you don't want to be buying and selling, longing and shorting in this market, you just want your money to work for you, I do have a link down below to Nexo. This is going to be a wealth platform specifically for digital assets. And they provide a bunch of different tools and services to help you generate some wealth. So some of those things for example are their earning platforms in which for example on this one you can earn up to 14% annual interest with daily returns and no lockups. Now in addition to that outside of just earning platforms they also have some of their credit platforms and services in which you can borrow against your crypto rather than selling it which gives you the ability to access that liquidity without having to create a taxable event which is of course fantastic. And they have a ton of different products I mean flexible yield, fixedterm yields, exchanges, credit lines and so much more. And the coolest part about it is that if you use my link down below, they're going to give you 30-day access to the Wealth Club, which is basically like a buffed up version of all of their products. So, I will leave the link for it down below if this is something that's interesting to you. Again, you just want your money to work for you without putting in a bunch of effort, that will be linked down below as well. So, with that in mind, though, let's jump back into this and talk about what happens now. So, as I mentioned before over in the crypto school, I told you guys that I was going to be taking some profit yesterday because I was worried that the market was going to pull back. Wasn't sure that it was going to pull back, just concerned that it might. Well, now that I have some of that cash sitting and available, it was a couple thousand worth of profit that I pulled. I am actually planning on redeploying it if the market gives me an opportunity. So, what I'm looking at right now is I'm going to keep a very close eye on these liquidation maps. And what I'm going to start to look for is for these to start to rebalance a little bit. I'm going to look for the Bitcoin 30-day and 7-day to rebalance just a little bit more, especially that 30-day chart because once we knock out maybe a few more of these liquidations to the downside and we do see some sort of, you know, balancing between the upside and downside liquidations or maybe like the 7-day, we see more upside liquidations available than downside. I'm going to go in, I'm going to do a little bit of purchasing. Now, where would that be at?
It's kind of hard to tell, right? Maybe somewhere around 75,000, maybe somewhere around 76,000 if we even go that low.
But yeah, if we do go that low, yeah, I do a little bit of purchasing in here with some of that profit that I took yesterday. Now, I wouldn't be going all in. I wouldn't be doing anything super crazy because again, we are still in an ascending structure and this is a dangerous structure that can lead you to the downside. Don't get me wrong, I'm vastly aware that at any given point, we could capitulate to some of these lower levels. So, no, I'm not going to be buying a lot. I'm just simply going to be redeploying some of the cash that I gave myself yesterday when I took some profit off the table. So, no, I'm not running from this little pullback they're in right now. I don't even think it's all that bad. I'm preparing to do some reinvestment and some rotation if given the opportunity. Now, let's say hypothetically, you know, Bitcoin's price is doing something like this, which there's a world in which this is occurring, right? We're seeing Bitcoin create some sort of descending structure like this. Bang, bang, bang, bang, and then it's going to break out. Cool.
Guess what? I'm going to study the liquidation charts and if there's another imbalance, I'm just going to take more profit off the table. So, it's really an easy game. I have cash now because I took profit yesterday. So now the game becomes, okay, I'm either going to redeploy that cash at these lower levels and try to catch another swing upwards or we're going to break out towards the top side and I'm going to take more cash. Easy peasy. This isn't something that I'm scared of. And this is what we've been doing. It's the reason why in this structure we've been selling the highs and buying the lows and making money while most people are waiting and sitting back on the sidelines, right? We've been making money in this ascending structure and we're going to continue to do so no matter what happens here. So I'll keep you updated as this does play out. Game plan simple. If we come down between 76 to 75, I will start to do some accumulating with the profit that I took yesterday. If we do break towards the upside, I'm just going to take more profit. Easy peasy, easy peasy. Okay, so that's what I'm doing there. Um, I am going to be doing some of this trading over on BTCC. So, I will have that link down below. Guys, don't forget if you do deposit um on BTCC, they're giving you a 10% bonus. This is for trading, so you got to actually go out there and actively earn it. So, that link will be down below. If you deposit over $500, again, you can get a 10% bonus back.
This is up to $10,000 in just deposit bonuses. and then an additional up to $13,000 in trading bonuses. If you don't want to have to work for your funds, you want your funds to work for you, you have that link down to Nexo as well. And last but not least, I have this the link to the school, which is linked down below, which is again where you can find all of the things that I'm doing, my thoughts, my insights, my buys, my sales, my longs, my shorts, and my portfolio. Now, in addition to that, there's so much more. There's a ton of other coaches giving their insights.
There's a community that's literally making money every day, no matter what's happening in the market. I mean, look at these gains from just yesterday alone.
And then you're going to get some courses. There's a beginner course, there's an phase 2 intermediate course, and a whole library of other content that's coming as well that you can check out. So, I have a bunch of links down below. Feel free to check them out. But don't run from this pullback. Don't be scared of this pullback. This is a liquidation event and it's going to end.
It'll slow down. The cascade will stop and the market will rebalance. Trust me on this. So, I'll keep you updated as all this plays out and I'll see you in the next one. See everybody.
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