Putin Hyped This Missile. Then It Failed.

追加: 2026-05-26

[00:00:00]It's Monday, May 25th, 2026. In the United States, it's Memorial Day, and we want to say thank you to all those of you who have served and remember those who have fallen. We'll come back to that at the very end. Let's start here looking at this. Russians reportedly uh fired two Arishnik missiles as part of the 690 weapon strike targeting Kev yesterday. One hit Bell Belellatska in Kev Olas. The second may have struck Russia's own forces in Daesque Oblast.

[00:00:35]Okay, so remember that what Putin was trying to do here was trying to look tough by showing that we could do this thing to you. And what actually happened was the missile, the first Arishnik missile failed. There were reports of two missiles and it turned out that only one struck and then we corrected ourselves saying well we thought it was two but it was only one but it turns out it was two and the first one failed. So if you're trying to look tough by threatening with an arishnik and your arishnik can't actually reach the target doesn't look so tough. Here's Jane Keev.

[00:01:11]It appears that Russia's arishnik missile attack from yesterday was even more humiliating than anyone initially thought. Not only did they manage to only damage some unused storage garages in the Kev suburb. Okay, so but that that's primarily what they hit in the Kev suburbs. It's not only that. I'll show you the destruction. The first of the two $40 million missiles failed over Russia's occupied Daetsk. So $80 million just on Arishnik, let alone whatever the other missiles and drones cost. pouring warheads into the areas near Advika and Bachmood wherein lay high concentrations of Russian troops. And you can see this contrast. You see on top you see Kev and on the bottom you see Detsk. So this is what was coming down in Kev and what you see is coming down in Daetsk is down on the side here. It's hard to see. I'm going to show you in a different image.

[00:02:07]So here the second Arishnik launch followed later uh striking an area in Bila Surfka Kev region. Here's the Daetsk one though and you can see over here on the right hand side of the screen it coming down in Dunetsk.

[00:02:23]Uh those are Arishnik.

[00:02:26]So they basically bombed their own occupied territory.

[00:02:30]I mean it's it's crazy. Okay. The video shows MIRVS failing at 12:59 a.m. as seen from Deness City. The second strike on Billet Surfka occurred 17 minutes later at 1:16 a.m. And they geollocated these images or strikes. Okay, now let's look look at what Ukrainians were doing to Russians overnight with their strikes, their overnight strikes. So here we have it from drone bomber. Red arrows are the UAVs. Blue arrows are jet powered UAVs.

[00:03:02]purple arrows are USVS. 340 Ukrainian drones. Uh we're going to see um a thousand by the end of the year, I'm pretty sure. Okay. And now we don't see a lot of where the damage went. We'll find out more of that later on in the day. According to reports, explosions were heard in Belgrad. Local authorities and Russian operational headquarters reported a massive missile and drone attack which damaged energy infrastructure causing power and water outages in Belgrad. The uh avenge in Kev and they avenged Kev in their own way and the city uh endured Belgrad a result of missile strike. Disruptions and electricity and water have been recorded. There were also explosions heard in Yaruslav on its way toward Moscow. We don't know exactly what hit where. here. Russian monitors are already reporting deep drone penetrations with warnings as far as Chuvas Republic and Moscow. And I'll show you some of this. So, possible UAV sightings in Pensa Oblast, drone alert in Chuvash Republic, drone alert. Drone flights continue from the state border toward Bansk and it goes on and on and on and on within Russia. Right. So, yeah, but we don't we just don't have a lot of the evidence of what has happened so far. Ukrainian drone struck a $50 million Russian 5N63S engagement fire control radar for S300 S400 air defense systems. It seems like there's a premium placed on hitting radar. If you can hit radar, you blind your enemy and then you can do what they did in Moscow on the 17th. Ukrainian partisans said that they disabled communication towers and damaged substations feeding Novarosk air defenses before drones struck the Shesh Harris oil terminal and Grus Vaya depot without power. Russian radars lost stable operation. Now Ukraine's FP2 strike drones have been upgraded with larger 200 kilogram warheads and a range of up to 370 kilometers. According to Dennis Stillerman, uh here's what he had to say about this of what's going to happen moving forward. We've upgraded the wing and now the FP2 is the largest version. It carries 200 kg over 370 kilometers.

[00:05:24]So that's big. So essentially, it's a cheap replacement for a glide bomb, KAB.

[00:05:29]And we keep reducing the price. Now this this is music to my ears because they're they're innovative and uh like in a entrepreneurial kind of way. and that's going to pay long-term dividends. We constantly lower the price through scaling up production, switching to our own engines, using our own components.

[00:05:48]So, they figured it out with other components, and now they're creating their own. So, they're bringing the cost down, which means that they can send they can deploy more. And that's that's really impressive. Ukraine contracted five times more middle strike drones in the first months of 2026 than in all of last year. That is they contracted to be built more so far in 2026 than in all of last year. The five times more actually.

[00:06:11]The systems hit targets 30 to 200 kilometers behind enemy lines including Russian ammunition depots, command post, supply routes, air defense uh air defenses, radars, UAV control points.

[00:06:23]Foreign partners have joined production including Germany, Norway and others after seeing the drone effectiveness.

[00:06:30]And I added the and others because I know that there are others as well.

[00:06:34]Okay, what's going on with Russian strikes overnight? Well, it was only 262. Now, remember that's 262. What we saw here from drone bomber was 340. So, Ukraine is day over day normally sending out more drones into Russia than Russia sending into Ukraine. And that 262 is a 94% or so. It's a 93 point something, but 94% roughly uh shootown rate. Now, but wait a minute, Curtis, didn't you say yesterday that they had this tremendous like 92 93% shoot down rate?

[00:07:07]Yes. Of drones. They did. So, why do we see all this damage? Zalinsky said about 300 sites were damaged in Kev after Russia's overnight attack, not last night, but the night before, including 150 private apartment uh and apartment buildings and varying levels of damage.

[00:07:24]Cleanup continues in a number of districts. Now, the issue here is what they didn't stop. Stopping a drone is one thing. Stopping a cruise missile is another. Stopping a ballistic or arishnik is another and another yet. And so each of these the ballistic and arishnik do far more damage. This may be the most infernal night of Kev uh in Kev since the start of the fullscale war.

[00:07:48]That's what that was last night. And all you saw all that damage. The Chernobyl Museum in Kev after the Russian attack yesterday. the reports about 40% of the mu museum's collections have been lost from the attack. The Russians complained that they are under Now here's here's what I want to drive as the major concept of this video. The front lines are lagging and as and part of this is like you're playing chess or or you're trying to be as economically as efficient as possible with the resources that you have. Ukrainians seem to think, I'm going to go after this oil uh oil reserve, oil depot, oil refinery, oil transpoint, or I'm going to go after this military object. And Russians are hitting civilians in Kev. Like it just doesn't it it's not a good strategy to win the war. So Russians complain that they are underarmed at the front.

[00:08:41]Kremlin cares less and less about them and more about propaganda spectacles such as yesterday's 1 billion and now again that's a rough cut he's just rounding attack on ke maybe it's 800 maybe it's more I I don't know ornik proportion of the attack alone cost Putin over 40 million just for one now for two that's 80 million and then you got to add the other missiles on top of that I would have turned this green for commentary but I I I can't find any fault in that that that's a okay that they care more. It may be commentary, but they do seem to prioritize more this kind of attack over their own front lines. Here's Johnny FD. I don't know that I've highlighted him before. He does great work about what's going on in Ukraine, and you can look up his YouTube channel, but just 10 seconds from Johnny FD.

[00:09:26]>> Well, guys, I just come out of the metro to go to McDonald's, but it's shut and the sign has been melted.

[00:09:34]And why? Oh, because we live next to Russia.

[00:09:38]>> Yeah. So he's showing that the McDonald sign is melted and what happened? It can't get because this because of what Russia was doing last night with the not last night, night before last in Ukraine with these missiles. Okay, let's look at the battlefield update. Uh three 135,694 1,356,940 Russians off the battlefield in total.

[00:10:05]Uh there is 1,020 off the battlefield just day over day just under the paper number to reduce it and certainly far over the actual number to reduce the Russian number of soldiers. Three tanks, five armored fighting vehicles, 47 artillery systems, 302 vehicles and fuel tanks. That's reasonably high. 1924. But this number here, look at the unmanned ground vehicles. Highest since they started tracking this. I'll show you that in just a moment. Fewer engagements and casualties. No territorial changes reported. Armored and unarmored equipment losses well above average.

[00:10:40]Record losses of ground robotic systems.

[00:10:43]Drone losses slightly above average.

[00:10:45]Russian overnight attacks. Uh all drones with an excellent interception rate. So we didn't see much about the damage there. 10 Ukrainian strikes reported and at least 350 or 40 drones launched at Russia. So, there was a lot going on and we just don't see it yet and we'll see it soon. Okay, here's that record number of grown uh drone drone grown ground robotic systems or ground drones. That's what I was trying to say. Look at the date. May 25th, 2026. That is today. 14 is the highest. So, I I've been pointing this out like when I say, "Wow, there's 11. Wow, there's 12." And and look at the dates here. Okay, before that we weren't keeping a record of what what was, you know, how many there were, but yeah, now we're seeing this and there is a pretty I mean that again that's the highest number yet. Enemy self-propelled artillery intercepted before it could even reach firing positions and Slovian.

[00:11:41]Now I'm going to look at the front line a little bit differently and tell me what you think about this. I I'm trying to help you see things. So Le Man front two 2.49 square miles went to Ukraine.

[00:11:55]like this is recently like uh so there's they're picking up this over here and then on the other side Sunumi front 1.5 square miles to Russia and over here Constantinfka front 61 square kil miles to Russia Constantinfka front 0 51 square miles to Russia now that's not forward necessarily that could be across that line but nonetheless who's picking up line you know ground where hula ple 23 square miles to Russia and they do it in miles rather than kilometers. I know that's a little different, but it's a different way of processing what's going on. So, I think periodically I might show you this. Um, tell me what you think about that. Is that helpful to you? As of 0800, 233 combat engagements were recorded. It's high, but not like not quite spring offensive, kind of high, but high. Uh Ukraine is actively, this is the ISSW, Ukraine is actively challenging the positional character of the war and has dominated the battlefield or that has dominated the battlefield since 2023. Russia's battle battlefield gains are approaching net zero while Ukrainian forces are setting conditions to potentially break out of positional warfare by reintroducing limited elements of mechanized maneuver at the tactical level. Had I not read this from the ISW, I would have said before reading this that it just can't happen. But maybe it can. I mean, maybe there's enough uh technological momentum that they're able to do this, but I'm going to watch a little skeptically. But I mean, if the ISSW is saying it, this is the gold standard in reporting. Now, one of the reasons that this is possible is that this Chris O posted this.

[00:13:36]Russian soldiers in Ukraine face catastrophic shortage of drones and personnel at the front. According to two Russian war bloggers, the Russian offensive is coming to a standstill with Ukrainian forces said to be outnumbering the Russians two or three to one in some places. And certainly they're outnumbering them in UAVs being launched. Uh and Russia's having a hard time still replacing their pirated Starlink. So, it's really rough on the battlefield for them. And they're prioritizing what they shouldn't be prioritizing, which is hitting civilians. Ukrainian MiG 29 MU1 dropped a French AASM hammer bombs on Russian drone control post in a former sugar factory in Kursk Oblast. Uh and then we have a few additional stories. By the way, what do you think of the transitions? I think this helps kind of chop this up nicely. Russian warned that while the Kremlin is allocating enormous resources toward missile attacks on Ukrainian cities, Ukrainian army is advancing against far less armed Russian forces in both Zberia and Nepro. The Russian military blogger further site uh cites the lies being told by Russian leadership while Russian troops are outgunned by three to five times and Ukrainians are suffering far fewer casualties as a consequence. And Cerski is at the front line. And so is Brody.

[00:14:58]And they brought a friend. Look at this.

[00:15:00]Uh, Commander and Chief Cerski, Air For a Assault Forces Commander, uh, Austl and Norwegian Army Chief, General Eric Christopherson visited the front line.

[00:15:11]The Norwegian general saw the southern sector, Ukraine's weapons progress, and current battlefield capability gaps. So, good on him for showing up and being there and seeing it with his own eyes and understanding. Um, hats off to him.

[00:15:27]Defense Minister Fedorov said Ukraine contracted the largest batch. Now, we're talking about contracting for UAVs before contracted the largest batch of long range 155mm artillery rounds in the AY's history with six manufacturers winning supply contracts. Competitive procurement saved 16% in in the initial amount, equaling billions of Avenas, allowing Ukraine to contract tens of thousands more shells. Next, Keefe plans to scale competitive tenders for FPV, middle strike, and deep strike drones.

[00:16:01]I'm so impressed with Federov. He's been the right guy for this job. Uh, political reports, Ukraine is increasingly using the Lima electronic warfare system to make Russian drones and missiles miss. Developed by Cascade Systems, Lima jams and spoofs satellite navigation, feeding weapons false coordinates and widening their deviation. More than 400 units have been supplied with the system used against shaheds, cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, and glide bombs. So, if you have enough of these and they're dependent on that those GPS systems, it it can do some significant damage to their ability to to the Russians ability to inflict damage. It It can really send them into a tail spin. Okay, my shout out is to Walter Kowki. Walter, thank you. He's a patre uh no, sorry, a YouTube colleague. Thank you, Walter, for your support. Uh, Trump must pressure Putin. And I want to remember this. This is posted by the US Navy. All gave some, some gave all. This Memorial Day, we honor the service members who laid down their lives in defense of the United States. So, this is Memorial Day.

[00:17:06]It is not Veterans Day. It's to remember the fallen who served and gave their lives for our country. Thank you to you all. Well, I mean, thank you to those of you who have served and thank you especially to those who gave their last full measure. Thank you, my friends, for your time. Thank you for the likes, the shares, and the subscribes. And thank you for being the kind of person who cares about Ukraine.