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Prices Drift Up for Bitcoin Price Chart, Altcoin Market & XRP with Structure, Technicals & On-Chain

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2,253 views277likes31:46BCBackerOriginal Release: 2026-07-21

In crypto market analysis, relying solely on time-based predictions (such as the 364-day theory) is unreliable; instead, technical indicators (bullish divergence, oversold conditions), on-chain data (percentage of supply in loss), and market structure (capitulation through moving averages, liquidation events) provide more accurate signals for identifying market bottoms. Historical data shows that while the 364-day pattern occurred in 2018 and 2022, it failed in 2011 (162 days) and 2014 (412 days), demonstrating that technical and on-chain factors should take precedence over arbitrary time-based assumptions.