This analysis offers a pragmatic shift from speculative noise to fundamental resilience, correctly identifying that long-term value is anchored in sectoral strength rather than transient technical patterns. It serves as a sober reminder that market volatility is often just a temporary deviation from a company's underlying economic reality.
Deep Dive
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Deep Dive
May 20 Markets Recover From Early Losses, CG Power, Data PatterensAdded:
Hi, welcome friends. Welcome to Telugu friends.
Today, the market opened with a gap down opening of around 150-160 points. But it has gradually picked up here. To put it bluntly, from the opening start, today's trend was that the market, which was down 160 points, closed up 40-50 points on average closing price basis, but it closed up 50 points plus sideways. It opened in minus [clearing throat] and closed in plus.
Markets are not afraid of near future.
That's it. There is no need to say that it is a rally. Not only that, but if we look at the trend in the recent past, have you noticed that it gets better later than when it just opened. When the market opens, it decreases and then improves. Why is it happening like that? I can't tell you why it is happening.
Reply for why it is happening.
[clearing throat] And the results are one thing. After March, there are March, after March, there are results before that.
So the results are some companies that are good, some companies that are not good. But the good companies are showing progress. They are showing progress.
After the breakout, at the same time, there are some companies which are not showing any. In the recent past, especially since this Iran-Israel- America war time, a development has been visible. What is that development, the power sector is becoming strong, and now the market is saying that there is a possibility of increasing the weightage importance of electric vehicles in automobiles. Sorry, let us say that this is a Nifty position, but there is nothing in it. Later it fell in the range, didn't it?
Today it also decreased, decreased, then recovered again.
This is the upper limit, upper limit. We have drawn a line of 2460, 24660, and 23000, 22,270, so 22,270. What is running in the middle is neither of nor down. It has to take a direction.
Whether it goes up or down, we don't know. It is not in our hands. Whether it goes up or down, the market will move on day-to-day developments. What will happen tomorrow?
Now, now [clearing throat] That Trump guy got disappointed and left.
Market sources are saying that the China visit was a failure.
That is, open political sources are saying that. He thought that he would take revenge on Iran, and he would start again. Since when has Israel been ready?
Israel will say, "Let's fight a war someday."
Israel has no other business to fight.
Iran, however, has become much stronger and stronger. This time, it will fight with renewed strength.
And we don't know all this.
What will happen tomorrow? Suddenly, they said, "It's not going to fall again." They thought, "We are happy." So, it is based on future events and political developments.
Therefore, we cannot assess the market on the basis of technical analysis and techniques.
So our job is only to search for good companies because the market has not increased, good companies which are doing well, our work with them is now done, look at the global market, sorry, coming to the global market, the American markets are decreasing little by little every day, it happened yesterday too, there is some selling or some sort of profit booking in the American markets, it is also coming to the European markets slowly, for example, France has become bearish, very bullish, hello bullish, what is FTSE German is still bullish, otherwise changing its color, leave the Nifty, good Nifty plot, that's it, we can't base the Nifty, right?
Asian markets today, if you look at the US, they are all in the red, they haven't decreased that much, but they have decreased, they are all in the red, but Brent crude has decreased, 108.7171, that is 2% 2.5 Brent crude is down 5%.
That's why maybe the market will recover today, it fell, it started to fall, it will recover a little again. The number of gold coins is decreasing day by day.
Now gold has become very bearish, he is showing here that the indication is that even though gold is very bearish, we are not getting that advantage, why is it not getting it? The dollar is very high, right? If the dollar also decreases, we will get the benefit of this decrease in gold, otherwise, if the difficulty decreases, there is no loss. The US INR has increased further, it has come close to 97 rupees, 9682 two paise. What is this? The British pound has also increased by 129 60 paise. The euro has risen as a flight, but the rise has increased, which means that as long as the dollar is rising, the advantage of the fall in crude prices will not come. However, if the crude price consistently falls or even falls, then the dollar may also fall a little. The dollar's effect is that we have to wait and see until then. This is the market situation.
We will discuss one or two shades. You must have heard the name of data patterns. Data patterns one yesterday from Gland Farmer.
Data patterns one after the power sector defense power sector power sector power sector is giving a big push to the power sector. If you look at the market in the last two months, let's check the power sector to power.
Will get on idea.
In the sectoral indices, power metals reality metal does not matter. It has been good from the beginning.
Energy quantity S MPA is there. There is energy for this. Oil defense oil is okay. It is not infra in this. It took energy. This ultimator took energy at home. We took energy. I know what stocks are in energy.
Energy. ABB India. Adani Energy. Adani Green Energy. Adani Power. Add that power to energy.
Adani Power.
Ages Last. BHCL. BCL. Is it included in this? BPCL. Castrol.
CSC. CG Power. S.
GE. Vernva TD. We have already discussed this many times before. So there is no need to discuss about G. Vernva TD.
Will go for it. G.
Power.
CG Power 853 has now increased by 4% today.
That means it is in the lime line.
It has been picking up for many days. Although the market has fallen due to the recent war, the impact of the war has not affected this.
Let's see how the energy sector is doing in general. Then let's move on to individual stocks.
See how it went from 3486 to 34,864 to 41,000 this week. After a slight retracement, it picks up again. Today, if it has risen strongly and a large candle has formed, then we know that there is buying in the power sector. Let's take a look at this.
39 day range 40 39000 40,000 okay 52 week 32890 but high is 4142 which is close to high number one 52 week high number two year to date now now so far this year it has been about four months five months 13 67 which is close to 14 percent increased 14% in four months which is significant because sector growth is individual stock if it increases any amount it means there is buying in this sector then which stocks are increasing in that sector why are increasing it can be seen that the value to catch some stocks I am taking CG power CG program CG program and industrial 853 have a look at the daily daily chart this is how much of this 648 648 when did it come in 647 when did it come in 24 March and 30 March i.e. in March this Actually, the war vibrations have been better since April than in March. If we take it that way, what happened consistently even though the war was going on? It has been growing consistently.
You see, when the war broke out and the market became turbulent and reached the 22300-400 range, what happened to the coin contrast from 26,000? It started growing from here. Go back, did you see 526 523 in this? It went from 523 to 745. There was a small retracement and it came back to 885. What is the situation today? It is 4% off. A small refreshment is that the fundamentals are strong. It means that it is power, but the business that Power and Industrial Solutions does is something special. So, it should be understood and traced like this. If you trace them, the stocks that rise will continue to rise and the stocks that fall will continue to fall. You should study carefully. Study and see if any retracement comes in. When it falls, do a fundamental check.
Don't forget, I told you earlier.
Before going to defense stocks, look at EMS stock. Have you seen it? It keeps growing. There was a small retracement in the middle. It went from 1160 to 1925. It went down by 100 points. From here, it went from 1953 to 1400. What does it mean? It has increased by 35% in one, two, three, four, five, six sessions. What does it mean?
It has once got a breakout. It has a breakout here.
After the breakout, it has not looked back.
How much growth has it given in one year?
Not one year, six? It will be given for months. There will definitely be good growth.
Let's go to another website to see this.
Now security is simple. You can get simple information here.
Havalan is a new company. It's not very old.
Havalan Techna is Evalam Technologies.
Looking at Evalam Technologies, it doesn't give a distinct sense, but it has a market cap of 8000. 8000 is just a mid-cap. It has moved from the small cap stage to the mid cap stage. Just face value ₹2 is 777 in 52 weeks, but 149 in 52 weeks means more than double, let's say double 1500 [clearing throat] This has a one-year return of 69% and a return of 41% in the last six months. If we go short in the last six months, actually it has given even higher returns in the last one month, two months, but if it has given a very, very good return of 40% in six months, its deliverables are not good.
People are buying more for speculation, so we shouldn't enter now. You should not enter at this time. If the deliverables increase, that is a different matter. If the deliverables are low, that means you should enter with a slight correction. You should watch things like this. Never digas.
Look here. 78% P/E is 78. The P/E is 78. It is very high. But EMS stock is not glamorous. EMS stock. Therefore, if you take competitors' peers in it, it will be X-ON.
Blue Star Oltas has 68% in 12 months, 30% in 36 months, 300% in three years. If you put 1 lakh, you will get 4 lakhs. There is no five years. Its history is not that old a company.
This is this matter. It is three to three years.
Then we thought, what else?
Data patterns, a defense set, data patterns, etc. have gone very terribly. Now today too, it has increased by 9% and decreased by a little bit in the middle of the day. But it will come again.
Data patterns 2131 4300 high means double almost now it is near 3834 which means there is a little distance to the high one year return 46% last six months 24% but deliverables are low so PE ratio is also high 74 is a wait and watch candidate this is also wait and watch even if deliverables increase after wait and watch even if PE decreases we should not take it for granted if price decreases slightly and correction comes then we can enter this company we have seen 12 months it has come 149 150% in 36 months not bad consistent in last three years Vedam Veram but it has increased four times in last five years. This is also wonderful.
Okay, let's say someone has been patient for five years and their money has grown from one lakh rupees to 5 lakhs, which means it has increased four times. A person who invested one lakh rupees, including the investment of five rates, has invested 5 lakhs. Very cool, just watch it for a while, put it in your watch, study it a little, and when the market drops, you can enter after looking at the fundamentals. You should study, you should study further, what is the future of that company now? There is so much information on this website, like bold searches, chats, GPIs, now we are in information, so studying the company is also an extent okay, all the best. Don't ask what the market will be like tomorrow, they won't be able to tell, so I won't talk about its market. Right, thank you.
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