Football clubs strategically plan summer transfer windows by balancing financial constraints, squad needs, and market opportunities; Manchester United's £40m Ederson deal and midfield revamp demonstrate how clubs leverage Champions League revenue and wage savings to target proven Premier League players, while Tottenham's potential £115% revenue spending (vs 70% under FFP) illustrates how financial fair play rules directly impact transfer budgets and squad building strategies.
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Deep Dive
Transfer guru Ben Jacobs REVEALS how much Spurs could SPEND in summer windowAdded:
Our transfer guru, Ben Jacobs, joins us.
Hey Ben, 19 days till the window opens.
>> Yes, I know. In a lovely lovely striped jumper.
Are you Can you hold yourself together with the window 19 days away, Ben? Or Window 19 days away, World Cup even less. So, it's going to be a busy summer, but I think we're going to get a bit business in the next few days. Okay.
What's going to happen? What's the Where do you want to start?
>> Well, Ederson and Manchester United appears to be advancing, and at this stage, I would say Manchester United are the only club in the race. Atletico Madrid had looked a bit earlier in the window, but it looks like they're going to complete a deal before the World Cup for João Gomes from Wolves for a fee in the region of £40 million, and a similar kind of fee for Ederson, just under £40 million, and the clubs now are not far off a full verbal agreement, and Ederson has already agreed terms on a 5-year contract. So, if Manchester United pull the trigger, because they're weighing up lots of deals, then they can get that one as their first bit of business for the summer, and all signs at the moment point towards a club-to-club agreement imminent between Manchester United and Atalanta. Has Michael Carrick made any noises of anyone going out? Well, Manuel Ugarte, I think, could leave, but that's not going to be an overnight saga. The main reason for the midfield is due to needing a revamp anyway, coupled with the fact that Casemiro is departing. His wages off the books, which allows Manchester United with Champions League money to make a real play at more than one name. So, my feeling is by the time the window ends, minimum two midfielders, but potentially even three.
And Manchester United started planning, of course, under Ruben Amorim, also thinking that Kobbie Mainoo was not going to be part of their long-term plans. That's gone to the other extreme now, so he's going to be a starter for Manchester United, and that's led them to feel that the Casemiro replacement is the most important signing, but there will be two midfielders, and I still think along with Ederson, the second name to come in will have proven Premier League experience. And the only caveat to that is if Aurélien Tchouaméni becomes available. But if you discount Tchouaméni, Elliot Anderson, number one target for Manchester United, but Manchester City are the favorites.
Matías Fernández from West Ham United, the likes of Alex Scott, Carlos Baleba, Tyler Adams have all been looked at. And the commonality between many of these names is that they've all got that proven Premier League experience.
>> Mhm. Yeah. Um Baleba is part of a set of Brighton players that De Zerbi is apparently interested in. Um what with Van Hecke and Verbruggen, what do you make of those rumors? Yeah, I think Carlos Baleba could be on the move. The challenge for Tottenham is that Baleba's going to have some options with European football. The advantage for Spurs is that perversely by staying up and not being under financial fair play heading into the next cycle, they'll be able to spend a little bit bigger because the new financial rules for the Premier League squad cost ratio allow a higher ratio of your revenue that you can then go on and spend on transfers. And in the first year of squad cost ratio, there's basically no punishments if you exceed the 85% by over 30%. So, the long and short of it is you can actually spend up to 115% of your revenue on transfers if you're not in an FFP cycle. Whereas if you're under FFP, you have to abide by the 70%.
So, Tottenham may look to maximize that.
I do think they'll add a central midfielder. And in addition to that, they will be looking for a center-back because Cristian Romero is expected to depart. And you never know, a number nine >> Tried to depart last week.
>> Exactly. And he came back, but I don't think he'll be U-turning again. And for me as well, some of this is Tottenham wanting to move him on. Whereas Micky van de Ven I'm told he's very happy under Roberto De Zerbi and could now sign a new deal. Luka Vušković is going to come back and he's highly rated, but there's room for another center-back.
And it of course might be Marcos Senesi because there's a verbal agreement there. So, Tottenham are quite confident on that deal. Andy Robertson is potentially going to join, but Juventus have made a late hijack to see whether they can change his mind about joining Tottenham. So, Spurs are going to be busy and remember the left-wing as well because they didn't quite address that in the summer and there's still a chance that Spurs come back in for the Manchester City winger Savinho as well.
Um, rumors about Morgan Rogers and Anthony Gordon, uh, you know, two players who hopefully will uh, you know, have good World Cups.
Yeah, I think Anthony Gordon is going to be on the move come what may and it's been crystal clear for some time.
>> the player or is that the club needing to free up funds?
>> I think it's a mixture of Gordon wanting another opportunity, but also as you say Newcastle realizing a bit like Aston Villa with Morgan Rogers that one big sale for Gordon and they're in a much stronger position as far as Sandro Tonali or Bruno Guimarães is concerned.
So, if I had to wager, I would say Tino Livramento and Anthony Gordon could go.
Lewis Hall question mark and of course there's lots of interest in Sandro Tonali, but there's a chance that Newcastle fight to keep. So, regarding Gordon it's fascinating because 2 weeks ago Barcelona heard the asking price and said, "We're just going to focus on Marcus Rashford." Now they've changed their mind and only in the last 24 hours Barca held a direct meeting with Newcastle and they feel that Gordon's agent commission and his wage lower than Rashford and as a consequence even though the fee is higher for Anthony Gordon, it still could be good value and whether they then went to still try and sign Rashford in addition remains to be seen, but Barca are focusing on Anthony Gordon now. He's keen on the move. The fee Barca would be prepared to pay is between 55 and 60 million pounds.
Newcastle want 75 million plus. So, there is a starting goal for evaluation.
Bayern is still there and there's Premier League interest and with Morgan Rogers Aston Villa essentially said to Rogers if he extended by 1 year last year, they would then entertain offers this summer for 80 million or more. So, this is actually Villa a bit like Newcastle with Gordon saying it might make financial sense. Peak age, peak interest, peak price to sell Rogers and then reinvest some of that money on a squad revamp with Champions League football. Rogers is not pushing or agitating. He likes playing under Unai Emery, but this And he's in the Champions League. He's He's looks like he's going to start in in an England shirt or you know, he's at least sort of second second choice. So, so he's why why would he move, I suppose. Yeah, I think that Rogers will move because he can get a better wage and he can join another project with likely Champions League football or certainly some kind of European football. The only exception is Chelsea next season. They're there. You've got Manchester United and Arsenal, both with Champions League football. Remember Carrick had Rogers at Middlesbrough.
Arsenal looking for a starting left winger that can also get into the middle and play at number 10. And PSG are interested in Rogers as well. So, the volume of interest might mean at the right number in excess of 80 million, it's just a good deal for all parties and that's why I expect Rogers to be sold.
All right, good stuff, Ben. Thanks for coming Thanks, Ben. Thanks a lot.
Uh Ben Jacobs, uh transfer reporter.
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