Flash Crash Alert: Bitcoin Ready To Fall?

Added: 2026-05-16

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[00:09:12][music] [music] [music] >> [music] [music] >> All right. What's up, weirdos? What's going on, guys? Another day, [sighs] another Bitcoin choppy sideways nothing boring action kind of day. How's everybody doing out there? I got my uh I got my XRP Las Vegas hockey jersey on. I bought it at the XRP Las Vegas event.

[00:10:20]Look at that. Look at that. Boom. XRP.

[00:10:23]Boom. Ripple. You love it. You absolutely love it. How's everybody doing out there today?

[00:10:29]All right, what do we have? What do you say? What do you know? Let's check out the Bitcoin close. We had We closed right around 80,450 again today. We managed to hold 79K, but for how long is the question. Will we continue to chop and re and reject off the top trend line here? or or are we about to have a hard rejection, lose 79K, come down to the 30-day moving average right around 78,000.

[00:11:01]Here's the thing. See this blue line down here, guys? That's where I think we're going next. Right around $75,000.

[00:11:10]That's where I'm uh that's where I've got it. 75K. I think we're coming down to that level in in the near term here.

[00:11:17]Whether it happens tomorrow, tonight, next week, uh, or does it hold off until June? Either way, I do believe we have a significant move to the downside coming.

[00:11:28]Guys, listen, we have not seen a real crash. The last crash we really saw was between May, sorry, March 17th and March 27th. In that 10day period, we had um we had a significant leg down of about uh from the high to the low 14.33% on Bitcoin, right? So, we went from uh we dropped about $10,893 right now. I think that that's coming again, guys. I think we're going to see that that that leg down. It's not going to happen in one daily candle. It could happen over 10 10 days to two weeks, but I do think we're going to come down to the bottom uh trend line here again somewhere around 70 $71,000, but I think we're going to stop off around 75 for a little bit of support first. Maybe what we do here, guys, maybe what we do is we come down, we put in this right shoulder, and then we capitulate to the trend line, right?

[00:12:39]because, you know, that would be shoulder, head, shoulder, down, right?

[00:12:44]That's what that would be.

[00:12:46]So, we'll see what happens. But that's kind of looks like what's taking shape here. We'll see if we drop back down to 75K. You'll know that that's a pretty good chance that that's how things are going to play out, right? So, we'll see what happens. But too many people are excited and think that, you know, it's just going to be a moonshot from here.

[00:13:06]Which leads me the more the more bullish the sentiment in the market is, the more bearish my sentiment is, right? And vice versa, the more bearish everybody is, the more bullish I am. So Stevie says, "BTC can do it unless someone doesn't want it to. Market manipulation." Yes, a train, what's up, man? I appreciate you filling up the chat. It helps with the algorithm a lot, brother. Uh there's a lot of longs that could be liquidated unless Sailor saves today. Yes. Um he already bought yesterday though, right?

[00:13:40]So it's clarity week. Uh yes, that's right.

[00:13:44]The day after tomorrow. Uh potentially potentially we could see the Clarity Act passed. Uh I just need Zve to hit new alltime high or at best uh 11 cents.

[00:13:56]Holy smokes. 11 cents. That'll be a crazy move, man. I'm with you. I'm with you. Adrian says, "Not financial advice.

[00:14:05]I doubt it even goes to 70 cents." Uh, to be clear, 70.

[00:14:11]Are you Are you leaving out like 0 or you talking 70? Yeah, that's what I thought. Okay. Zero. I thought so.

[00:14:18]Moonboy over here. [laughter] Nice. Um, we could see two zeros five, but I'm not selling there. Uh, not a big enough bag. Yeah, for me, selling Zbec anywhere below a penny feels like a waste. That's just how I feel about it, right? Uh, I'm in this I'm in this for years. Yes, exactly. Exactly. You're the only one waiting. Fill up the chat. Yes, exactly. [snorts] Uh, Silver Days, what's happening, man?

[00:14:49]Good to see you. Good to see you. Silver Day says, "Hit the like, share, and subscribe." Yes, it helps the channel grow. It cost you absolutely nothing.

[00:14:58]So, go ahead and do that for me. H.

[00:14:59]Barbarina in the house. What's happening? Carlton, what's going on, my guy? Good to see you. Uh, Troy, good to see you, man. How's it going? How's it going? Uh, Evett, I'm slamming beers.

[00:15:10]Welcome, fam. Smash those things and share this out. Yes, exactly. Guys, make sure you're hitting the like and subscribing again. Uh, Ken, what's up, buddy? Good to see you, man. Uh, look up the song Pre-Ritch.

[00:15:24]Uh Gamecast, where you been, man? I'm back, baby. Got big bag incoming, too.

[00:15:29]Nice. There you go. Good to see you back, man. Good to see you back. John, [snorts] blessings, my friend. Good to see you. Uh Jasmina in the house. Dave, what's up, mate? Good to see you. Surf Armory, uh here at work turn tuning in.

[00:15:44]Uh call double down getting paid. Yes, there you go, man. I love it. I love it when you guys are listening when you're at work getting paid to get some education. 207. Uh, what's up, big dog?

[00:15:56]Crack, what's up, man? Uh, cracked crack. Cracked, what's up, buddy? Um, been a while, but I'm still here. It's good to see you, man. It's good to see everybody showing up. Dave with a wise in the house. I wasn't sure how busy the stream was going to be, uh, to be honest with you. Exit flip dropping some chatter. Uh, can you check liquidations on Bitcoin? Yeah, it's been giving me a little bit of trouble. Uh, but hang on a second. Let me see if I can find another chart. For some reason, mine is not working. Um, hang on.

[00:16:48]Let's see.

[00:16:50]See what I can find for you, buddy.

[00:16:53]John says, "Jasm is super fantastic."

[00:16:55]Yes, absolutely. It's been doing great.

[00:16:58]I did I did uh shoot a video this uh this afternoon about Jasm and Jenction and their latest uh their latest news.

[00:17:06]So, uh that comes out tomorrow morning.

[00:17:08]So, make sure you guys catch that. Uh all right, let me see if I can find liquidation heat map. Okay, let's have a look.

[00:17:21]Okay, this is have a look here.

[00:17:33]Okay, so we've got the I'm not used to the blue though. I'm not used to the blue, but the yellow is what you want to pay attention to. Okay, so we don't have here's the thing. We don't have a whole lot of accumulation in in terms of liquidations to the upside or the downside here. until we drop down to around uh $74,000.

[00:17:53]You have uh you have quite a bit of liquidations all the way down to about uh 72. So 74 to 72K that's probably uh that's probably what's going to move you even further to be honest with you.

[00:18:09]So the price is probably going to move in that direction because if you guys don't know uh liquidation levels where you have where you have clusters of liquidity uh in this case like uh longs or shorts then what ends up happening these are all longs right cuz the price is down here so these are all long positions okay most likely. So what happens is the price gets pulled down to it. Okay so and then what's going to happen is you could see a cascade effect. uh liquidating those those longs would be a long squeeze which would um you know which would push price even lower because people who have the longs have to sell blah blah blah. We've covered that 100 times. So um so yeah it could could be a bit of problematic but the liquidity for the most part is to the downside between 72 and 74k on the liquidation heat maps. So, uh, about to hit a workout. Nice. Steel Steel, what's up, man? Just came to say Zbec will change lives again. Hold and chill. I agree, brother. I agree. Have a fantastic workout. Curls for the girls.

[00:19:15]Remember it, man. Remember it. No pecs, no sex. Let's go, Paul. Nice to see you, man. Good to see you, my brother. All right. So, uh, let's see what's going on around the space here today, shall we?

[00:19:27]Uh, Clarity. Let's get into that first.

[00:19:30]Got a couple pieces to get into here.

[00:19:34]All right. So, Clarity Act pass uh passage could unlock rapid growth in tokenized asset markets.

[00:19:42]Let's talk about it.

[00:19:46]Uh the tokenized RWA market could be on the verge of a significant expansion if the uh if the US Congress passes the Clarity Act. According to Bloomberg intelligence ETF analyst James Cifart uh Seaffort in a recent note uh he highlighted that the proposed legislation would pro provide much needed regulatory clarity potentially triggering a surge in institutional capital into markets for tokenized securities, bonds and funds.

[00:20:18]The Clarity Act, formerly known as the Clear Legislation for Asset Regulation and Institutional Tokenization Yield Act, that is a mouthful, aims to establish a federal framework for the treatment of tokenized assets.

[00:20:31]Currently, digital securities and tokenized real world assets operate in a fragmented uh regulatory environment with oversight split between the SEC and CFTC uh and state level regulators. The bill seeks to unify these rules offering clear uh def definitions for the continue uh constit Oh my goodness, I'm tongue tied today. for what constitutes a uh security in tokenized form and outlining compliance requirements for issuers and custodians. According to Seafart, uh this clarity is the single most important factor missing from the current market. Institutional investors are ready to deploy capital into tokenized assets, but they need a clear legal foundation. The Clarity Act provides that foundation. And so there's a lot of speculation on the fact that there's a lot of money sitting on the sidelines waiting for legal clarity before they're willing to risk anything, right?

[00:21:42]The tokenized asset market has already seen uh steady growth with major financial institutions exploring blockchain based uh representations of traditional assets. Black Rockck, Fidelity, and JP Morgan have already launched tokenized funds or pilot programs. However, widespread adoption has been limited by legal uh uncertainty. Seart estimates that passage of the Clarity Act could accelerate the RWA market from its current size uh of roughly 15 billion to over a 100red billion within 3 to 5 years.

[00:22:18]That is crazy, guys. And listen, there's a lot of speculation uh right now over whether the Clarity Act passing is going to pump markets or is it going to be a nothing burger, right? Let me know in the chat what you guys think. Is it going to pump markets or are we going to see kind of just a flat maybe a sell off by the rumor saw the news event with the Clarity Act passing? Let me know what you guys think.

[00:22:43]Uh so why regulatory clarity matters?

[00:22:46]For years, the lack of clarity rules has kept many large asset managers on the sidelines.

[00:22:52]Without knowing whether a tokenized bond is treated as a security, a commodity, or something else entirely, legal frameworks have been reluctant to sign off on significant allocations. The Clarity Act would resolve this ambiguity, providing a single federal standard that pre uh preempts conflicting state laws. So, no more Gary Ginslers, right?

[00:23:16]Industry observers note that similar regulatory clarity in Europe under the DT pilot regime has already spurred tokenized bond issuance and institutions like the European investment bank. The US market uh has lagged behind but the Clarity Act could change that trajectory. So the US trying to be the crypto capital of the world. So far they're behind the eightball. Big Kev dropping that seven herbs and spices. He says, "If you want to see a brighter future, join the Patreon to see how to build a winning portfolio." Thanks, Rob.

[00:23:50]Can you take a look at Banker? Let's go.

[00:23:53]Absolutely I can, brother. And thank you so much. Yes, guys. Make sure you're getting over to the Patreon. Uh I did drop another gem video there today about an hour ago. So, it is very early, guys.

[00:24:06]Get over there, check out that latest gem that I dropped, uh low cap gem, if you want to check that stuff out. Uh if you're looking for those small caps that are really going to uh really going to boost you. Wow. Banker coins on a bit of a run today. Eh, look at this.

[00:24:26]She's ripping, man. She's gripping and ripping.

[00:24:31]We've got resistance obviously uh right here where you had support before. So, I mean, if we go let's let's let's have a look what our listen here's the thing, guys, right? the the time frame like we don't have a whole lot of history here on the chart but um if we want to go out high I mean yeah you got a long way to go just to kind of just kind of get back to your 786 right um man I don't know for me guys Uh, I think that if you can get past resistance here, uh, at 3046, then you're probably you're probably looking at resistance next somewhere around your 2064, somewhere around there. But I'm hoping not because I haven't even had a chance to fill up any uh any banker coin yet.

[00:25:37]So, yes, I would like to see this one uh hit the dirt. Hit the dirt a little bit, man.

[00:25:43]Atrain says question when XRP made that huge run in 201718 um in your opinion was it retail or institution money if that was the case uh once clarity passing uh it for me it was retail for me it was retail right institutions in 201718 institutions for the most part the ones that were interested in being in crypto were doing their own thing right like for example uh looking at projects like Canton, right, that were building for 14 years in the background, but weren't they never launched a token, right? Uh stuff like that, but I I really don't think that uh that it was institutional money.

[00:26:27]Uh sell off the shake out dumb money out there out of their positions.

[00:26:31]Absolutely, man. Blle, where have you been? I feel like I haven't seen you in like six months. Good to see you, dear.

[00:26:37]Good to see you back. I hope everything's going very very well for you.

[00:26:42]Uh, okay. Let's keep rolling along here.

[00:26:45]So, Clarity Act, we covered uh let's go into the global tensions obviously, right? We got to get into that.

[00:26:56]Let's talk about it. Let's talk about it. Global tensions and economic uncertainty challenge crypto resilience.

[00:27:04]In a week marked by geopolitical and economic upheaval, Bitcoin has stood its ground despite disconcerning global developments.

[00:27:14]As inflation reports hit uh sorry, hint at continued economic strain, Bitcoin remains steady, maintaining a critical $80,400 support level amidst turbulent markets.

[00:27:26]Elsewhere, Iran's strategic power move in the straight of Harmoose and former uh and President Donald Trump bold uh declarations have created ripples in the international relations and economic forecasts. So, here's the thing.

[00:27:42]A lot of people are calling for like a bull run to kick off and stuff like that and they're like they're pointing at things like the Clarity Act uh for things to start kicking off and they're they're saying that this time is different and all that kind of stuff which is fine. But what I I think that the problem is that a lot of people who are pointing to stuff like the Clarity Act passing that's going to send markets, they're completely ignoring the fact that there's two wars going on.

[00:28:10]two, right? And both of them can have significant impacts on markets. We're just pretending that those don't exist whenever we talk about markets pumping, right? I think I really think if we want to see true risk on appetite return, we need to see these global conflicts come to a resolution, right? That's just my thoughts on it, but I mean, we can continue pretending that they're not happening.

[00:28:37]Uh let me see. The cryptocurrency sector finds itself navigating through a maze of rising inflation and political uh intricacies with strong employment rate. With a strong employment rate, anticipation for interest rate cuts seems improbable until uh later years.

[00:28:56]Trump's efforts to sway monetary policies uh might falter as experts foresee little chance of the Federal Reserve aligning with his vision. should this proposed cuts occur, his proposed cuts occur, it could uh invigorate inflation. So, and that's absolutely right. If we start seeing rate cuts taking place right now, guys, it's going to increase inflation. We're already seeing uh almost almost a guarantee that inflation is going to start going back up again. Groceries are going to start going up and all that stuff because oil is becoming less and less uh available, right? So, it's going to start to affect everything. We're going to start seeing inflation going back up and that's going to affect markets as well. But again, that's just one more thing people are just pretending doesn't exist right now, right?

[00:29:47]Um, Donald Trump during recent discussions expressed a firm stance of foreign and econ uh and economic matters despite external pressures. He is confident in eliminating Iran's nuclear capabilities and sees military strength as an upper hand over China. He plans cover uh his plans cover strategic economic measures like re um revising customs customs tariffs aiming to balance efficiency with increased collections uh collection while the energy markets uh dynamics are closely watched. Yes, energy is a big one that I'm looking towards in 2027 as well, guys. Iran's announcement regarding the Strait of Harm further complicates the geopolitical landscape, re redefining the region's status and asserting naval control strengthens Iran's negotiating position, a situation intensified by the United States tactical pause on hostilities and ongoing nuclear developments. As Trump maps out potential responses, his timeline remains flexible.

[00:30:56]With geopolitical clock ticking past uh initial estimates, es uh escalating oil prices uh and pressure uh prices pressurize the Federal Reserve to maintain stringent policies. So, all of these things coming in, guys, say that we're probably not going to see worse come into the uh the Fed and just start slashing rates all over the place. I just don't think that's going to happen right now. Right. Maybe in Q4 of this year. I'm not even going to say Q3 because I mean we're halfway through Q2 already, right? We're we're a month and a half away from Q3 already in this year. So maybe Q4, maybe Q1 of next year, but I just don't think Worsh is going to come to the Fed kicking that door down and cutting rates. I don't see that happening. Right.

[00:31:44]Uh what do we got? been here every day watching everything. Nice. There you go.

[00:31:51]I'm glad you're still here with me. Uh Adrian says, "If it's uh retail, then Zevec could easily see uh well, here's the thing. I agree with you. And here's here's the reason why.

[00:32:03]So, a lot of people think that we need institutions to come in to see a parabolic bull run." Well, we don't.

[00:32:11]Will it make it bigger? Yes. And that is in fact what she said. But um we've had three bull runs, parabolic bull runs for the most part without institutions just running on retail so far in the crypto space as it is. We've never had retail before, right? So can't leave, won't leave the GOAT. Ah ah we love you. We love you. Blle Stargazer, what's up man? uh with all this uh uh news, can we expect to see the market uh to take a dump? If it starts if that specific situation starts to spread, if you know what I mean, and escalate, then yes, right? It could be a C19 uh repeat where markets take a massive dive, which would be a great opportunity at the end of the day. Not hopeium, but a chance. Uh I'm willing to wait. Uh be nice. Came in one year. Yes, exactly. Instead of five came in, that would be nice. But here's the thing. I do want at the very least I want the rest of 2026 to be able to accumulate, right? I would like my bags to be bigger before, uh, before that. So, uh, so speaking of Kevin Worsh, that's a nice little segue into what we have to talk about there. So, Kevin Walsh wins 49 to 44 Senate vote. When will he replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell?

[00:33:41]Kevin Walsh moved closer to become the next Federal Reserve chair after the US Senate voted 49 to 44 to advance his nomination, clearing a key procedural step before final confirmation. The May 11th uh vote allows the Senate to move forward with Worsh's nomination as a Federal Reserve governor and then proceed to a separate vote on his nomination as chair. If confirmed, Worsh is expected to replace Jerome Powell when Powell's term ends on the 15th.

[00:34:15]That's this Friday, right?

[00:34:18]Uh the Senate is expected to vote on Worsh's 14-year term as the Fed governor as soon as Tuesday, which was which is today, the 12th. The final vote of his four-year term as Federal Reserve chair could follow as early as Wednesday, so tomorrow. Worsh, President Trump's nominee, would take over uh the central bank during a period of renewed inflation pressures, political scrutiny of the Fed, and market debate over whether interest rates should remain steady or move lower later this year.

[00:34:56]Uh the vote 49 to 44 uh did not finalize his appointment, but it removed one of the main uh procedural barriers. the Republican controlled Senate is expected to approve his nomination in the coming days.

[00:35:10]Worse previously served as the Federal Reserve governor uh and has been a longtime voice in monetary policy debates. His term to the central bank would come at a time when the Fed is holding interest rates at 3 and a half to 3.75% range. During uh his confirmation hearing, Worsh said President Trump had not asked him to promise any specific rate decisions. He also said he would maintain the Fed's independence even as a central bank faces pressures from uh the administration to ease policy.

[00:35:50]Trump has publicly said he expects Worsh to cut rates. worse has not committed to that path and has said policy decisions will depend on economic conditions.

[00:36:01]The next uh Federal Open Market Committee meeting is scheduled for the June 16th and 17th if confirmed this week. Worsh would chair that meeting and lead the Fed's next interest rate decision.

[00:36:16]Worshes uh yeah, Worsh's expected confirmation comes as fresh inflation data adds complexity to the Fed's policy outlook. April consumer price index data came in slightly hotter than expected.

[00:36:30]Headline inflation rose 6% over the month, lifting the annual rate to 3.8%.

[00:36:37]That was above the 3.7% consensus estimate. Core inflation rose point4% as well on the month and reached 2.8% year-over-year. Treasury yields moved higher after the data.

[00:36:51]Uh the 2-year yield reached 3.97% and the 10year rose 4.43 to 4.43%.

[00:36:58]And the 30-year yield moved to 5%. The 10-year break even inflation rate edged up to 250%.

[00:37:08]The inflation report may reduce near-term expectations for rate cuts. It also gives Worsh a more difficult policy backdrop if he uh takes office this week. The Fed's most recent meeting policy makers voted to keep rates unchanged.

[00:37:24]Three officials uh dissented because they were open to the possibility of rate increases. Oh, so so nobody wanted rate cuts this time around. Three people wanted to increase rates.

[00:37:38]Little food for thought there, guys.

[00:37:40]Right. That's what I'm saying. I think people are putting the cart before the here horse here. People are getting way too bullish on markets right now. And I really do think we're going to see a big move to the downside across all markets and it's going to leave a lot of people flabbergasted. A lot of people are going to be scratching their heads going, I don't understand. Right? Meanwhile, all the evidence is right in front of us. We got two wars going on. Right. Inflation is r rising. Oil shortages are start starting to affect inflation. Like the Fed chair is coming in and is not going to be slashing rates immediately like people are expecting. Clarity Act while looks bullish hasn't passed just yet.

[00:38:24]We're in a we're in the midterm year where the Democrats are probably going to dominate in November. There's a lot of bearish macro stuff out there that people are just pretending they don't see, right? And it's it's scaring the hell out of me for people's portfolios right now because it I feel like they're just not paying attention. They they want they're using rosecolored goggles.

[00:38:46]They want to see that the markets are going to go parabolic so bad that they're willing to just ignore the fact that there's two wars going on, right?

[00:38:54]Like, um, Funky, what's up, man? This new Vscare is all fake. I hope you're right, man. I hope you're right. Uh, respect.

[00:39:04]Thank you, Rob, for answering my questions, but ZBCN, in my opinion, is like, uh, shaking a Coke bottle and opening. [laughter] I like it, man. I like it. Christopher, what's up, buddy? The thing is, uh, we had more wars going on prior 2020, 2021 bull run, so I don't think anyone can reasonably guess the future. soft bull run ending 2025, maybe a soft bare market 2026. I mean, listen, I never say that anything is impossible when it comes to crypto. You guys know that about me. I never rule anything out, right? In fact, there's a lot of people saying that this time is different because here's the thing. Bitcoin has never like gone on reversed back into a bull run uh after peaking.

[00:39:48]It takes a year for the market to bottom out. It has never taken less time than a year for the market to bottom out after Bitcoin u hit reaches its its peak which it did back in October. Right now in saying that there is an argument to be made because it's only been about 6 months since Bitcoin top what? October, November, December, January, February, March, April, May. Yeah, we're about six six and a half months right since Bitcoin topped. So there but there is a valid argument to be made that people say this time is different. Well I mean listen it would be the first time ever that Bitcoin didn't take a full year to to bottom out. But we did see Bitcoin reach new all-time highs before the Bitcoin having in the previous cycle. So we did see things kind of I don't think the four-ear cycle broke but I think it bent a little bit. Right? So there is a valid argument to be made for that. I will say that. Right. Like I said, I never say anything is impossible when it comes to crypto, guys.

[00:40:51]Dave, what's up, buddy? Nailed it, brother. Uh, it should have happened already. The markets are messed up.

[00:40:57]Don't believe anything. Yeah, I agree.

[00:40:59]Uh, Christopher says, "I would not be surprised to wake up one day and see 52K." Yeah, I agree. I agree. And you know what, man? That would make me so excited because I would be just backing the truck up on all my alts and everything, including Bitcoin. Uh, no way in hell Dems take back the house.

[00:41:17]Uh, I mean, I hope you're right, Ty. I hope you're right, man. I really do. Uh, if it crashes, it'll probably be a wick and get bought up fast. Depends on where it gets bought up to. Uh, where it gets bought up to, though, right? I'm fine with just ignoring it and waiting for an epic reversal.

[00:41:35]That's Hey, absolutely. I I'm picking up what you're putting down. I am pick picking up what you're putting down, man. Absolutely. But again, just just know that it's a risk. That's all I'm saying, right? Uh it just seems like people are just not prepared. Guys, I got to give a quick shout out to our channel sponsor, uh Coin Vigilante. I'm wearing my watch right now. Check that out. Boom. Look at that. Gorgeous, gorgeous watch, guys. I love mine. Uh custom crypto watches. Check them out today. Use our link down below. You're going to get a great deal on these things. They're slick. They're sexy.

[00:42:08]They're absolutely super fantastic. I love mine. Uh hopefully you guys will love yours as well. Uh all right, what else do we have? Christopher says, "I would be surprised to wake up this summer and see 100." Yeah, that would shock the hell out of me. Telcoin went on a rip the last two days. Was there news on it? Um maybe I did. Uh maybe there was. I I haven't seen much. I think there was. Actually, I saw something this morning. Uh Bitcoin will drop. Alt alt all coins aren't going lower. or they will explode.

[00:42:42]Um I I mean listen, I hope you're right.

[00:42:45]I hope you're right, but Bitcoin does tend to pull everything else down, right? So, but I hope you're right, right? I hope you are correct. Uh what else do we have? So, yeah. So, we've got this. This is kind of what I'm saying.

[00:43:03]This kind of reiterates what I'm what I'm trying to get across. Bitcoin could retest $126,000 after forming a $60,000 bottom. So, after revisiting $60,000, right? Arthur Hayes, uh, Arthur Hayes, one of the co-founders of BitMEX, has released a new a new analysis claiming that Bitcoin sets a major price bottom around $60,000 earlier this year and could now. So, he's saying we already bottomed and that we're primed to revisit $126,000.

[00:43:40]See, here's the thing, guys. For me, a lot of these analysts from traditional markets like Arthur Hayes, uh Tom Lee, uh Michael Sailor, they keep trying to apply traditional market structure to crypto and it that's why they're wrong all the time, right? I mean, Michael Sailor said there was not going to be another Bitcoin bare market ever. That's what he said. He said Bitcoin would never fall below $100,000 again. Here we are, right? Tom Lee has been calling for a $250,000 Bitcoin for the last eight months in a row and every month he's wrong. Right? So, and here's Arthur Hayes saying that we've already bottomed and we're going back up to $126,000.

[00:44:29]It doesn't translate, you guys. Right?

[00:44:31]And these guys don't get it. They don't get it. Their their traditional finance metrics, they do not apply to the crypto market.

[00:44:41]Republicans will likely keep the Senate uh and likely lose the House.

[00:44:46]Republicans need to match the Democrats with uh Yes. Uh cool thing is that we are starting to see uh certain alts pump when the rest of the market is red.

[00:44:57]Yeah.

[00:44:59]Yeah, you're absolutely right. We are seeing like uh the odd altcoin go on nice little rips which has been nice. In fact, over on the Patreon, we did take profits on uh on one of our altcoins a couple of days ago. We made uh quite a few uh thousands and we rolled those profits into something. If you're over on the Patreon, you know what I'm talking about. Uh so yeah, there were a dozen main altcoins that bottomed June 2022. BTC continued to drop lower.

[00:45:28]Um, five months BTS gem. Hey. Yeah.

[00:45:32]Yeah, you're right. A lot of them did.

[00:45:33]Like Salana was one of them, right? I believe Salana was one of them. Didn't it like hit like 40 bucks or something like that? Maybe even less than that, actually. 40 bucks. Was it less? 30 30 40 bucks, something like that. So, yeah, you're absolutely right. But yeah, so we have Arthur Hayes here saying that we're going back to $126,000.

[00:45:52]And at the end of the day, guys, for me, the more I see these bullish articles about prices going higher, the more bearish I am, right? That's that's how things seem to work. When you're reaching a local top, all the news is bullish when you're at the top and you're getting ready to tumble down and everyone no one expects the price to go down because you're seeing all this bullish news, right? And then you roll over, people like, "What the hell? I thought we were going higher." The same thing at the bottom. When you've reached a local bottom and all the news is bearish, usually you've hit a bottom and the market's starting to go back up and everybody's expecting lower prices, right? It's crazy how this crypto market works. And if you haven't been here in the market long enough yet, it can really mess you up, right? It's confusing as all hell.

[00:46:42]Uh synopsis, I have no idea which direction it's going, but but I bet 68,000 or lower. I'm with you, Christopher. Nobody knows for sure, right? Anyone who says that they do know for sure, they're full of it. I'm with you, buddy. Absolutely. I mean, all I can do is look at the probabilities of it, right? So, that's all any of us can really do. Uh, look at those probabilities. Uh, and then I wanted to share this with you guys. I talked about it in a video that comes up tomorrow, but uh, quick little update on Zbec as well. Um, ZEX Super App Mobile enters final testing ahead of the Q2 launch, guys.

[00:47:22]So, it's coming. It's coming. Zebex Super App Mobile has entered the final testing phase with an official release planned for Q2 of 2026. So, before Well, Simon said two weeks, but before the end of June, that would be Q2, the end of Q2. So that's like 6 weeks, right? Uh the application consolidation uh uh consolidates real-time payroll card management. We already know all this. So it's coming guys. It's entering the final test phases. So very very exciting stuff there as well. Um yeah, so let's go back over to Bitcoin's chart, see what's happening. We starting to a little bit of a green candle here.

[00:48:10]Oh, little bit of a green candle starting on the daily here for uh for Bitcoin.

[00:48:18]Funky says, "Seeing that Alberta vote to voted today, so you moving." H believe me, man.

[00:48:26]Believe me, I would love it. Here's the thing, though, Funky. Um there's there's this ridiculous law in Canada when it comes to investing in crypto right now that unless you live if you live in Manitoba or British Columbia, you can you can invest as much as you want into crypto. If you live anywhere else in Canada, Alberta, Quebec, Ontario, Saskatchewan, anywhere else, you're only allowed to invest $30,000 a year. a year into crypto. That's it, right? They limit you. The exchanges stop you. So, you have to use a VPN unless you live in Manitoba or British Columbia. So, I'm kind of stuck where if I go to Alberta, I can't buy the amount of crypto that I want to buy anymore, right? But I at the end of the day, I just got to get out of Canada altogether if I'm being real with you.

[00:49:23]Uh, are you accumulating waiting for big uh purchase? I've been accumulating on a daily basis. Today is actually day 92 of me accumulating uh throughout the bottom of bottom phase here of this cycle. So I am accumulating a little bits every day.

[00:49:40]I have my portfolio uh over on the Patreon so everybody over there can see exactly what I'm buying every single morning. I do my DCAs.

[00:49:50]Everyone sees what I buy, how much I hold, and when I sell and all that kind of stuff. So, uh, but all the content creators and social media people are bearish, which makes me super bullish. Um, well, I guess it depends on who you watch because it's funny how that works, doesn't it? The algorithm. It's crazy how that works because you're saying that everyone you're seeing on social media and content creators are bearish, but everyone I'm seeing is bullish. It's funny how that contrast works, how the algorithm kind of messes people up, right?

[00:50:25]Uh, if they voted to succeed today, uh, then ain't that Well, yes. I mean, hey, I'm with you. I would go then. My I talked me and my wife have had that conversation uh quite a few times.

[00:50:37]Funky, we would if Alberta became part of the US, we would immediately move to Alberta. Immediately. Absolutely, brother.

[00:50:47]Uh Rob Caesar thinks uh 304 ZBCN is going to happen. Come on. Is he crazy?

[00:50:54]Three zeros four.

[00:50:57]Yeah, that's a little low. I don't know, man. I don't know. I mean, again, I don't rule anything out, but uh I mean, where am I here? Let me find the ZEX chart. Where are we at right now? We're at 203. That's a hell of a drop.

[00:51:12]That would be uh that would be Wow. 304. That would be low. That would be a new all-time low for Zebec. I don't know, man. I don't know about that.

[00:51:30]I I I gotta disagree with that. Yeah, I gotta disagree with that. I could see two zeros maybe 309. I could see 308, but three4 I don't know. That's a hell of a drop.

[00:51:44]Back in the day, I would say I'm going to go to Canada leaving the States. Not anymore, brother. Get out of [laughter] there, man. Yeah, it's it's run by liberals. I I can't even I can't even.

[00:51:55]Uh absolutely.

[00:51:57]Uh so yeah. All right, guys. Well, listen. Uh that about wraps things up. I got to get going here. And um I'm glad you guys came to join me today. Thank you so much for supporting the channel.

[00:52:08]Make sure you guys check out the Patreon. I did drop a brand new gem over on the Patreon today. So get over there.

[00:52:16]It's another utility play, guys. Check it out. I'm super excited about it. I'm excited about the other three 100x gems that we dropped as well. So, if you're looking for small cap gems, guys, to beef up on before things start going up, you've come to the right place. The link is in the chat. It's in the pin comments. It's in the description. Get over there now before it is too late.

[00:52:37]Christopher says, he says 96% drop to the lowest ever BTC. Uh, it's newer first cycle. I think maybe 208.

[00:52:46]Yeah, 208.

[00:52:48]uh 205 maybe 202 right those are the two levels I was calling for uh originally so there there is some significant support at those levels so yeah but all right guys have yourselves a fantastic night I will see you guys tomorrow bless