Energy Stocks Are Crushing Bitcoin: Why This Sector is Set to Explode!

Ajouté : 2026-05-25

[00:00:01]Everyone, hopefully you're having a good day. My name is Andy. My channel's Finding Value.

[00:00:06]Today we're going to go through Twitter to see what people are showing on social media.

[00:00:09]I'll interject my financial opinions as we go through it together, generally related to three different topics, wealth building, commodities, and or financial topics.

[00:00:17]Let's dive right in and take a look, see what's going on.

[00:00:20]And if you want to follow me, it's @finding_finance.

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[00:01:12]Northstar says, "Bitcoin not good if this breaks."

[00:01:16]That's Bitcoin versus the S&P 500.

[00:01:21]And when it's breaking lower, Bitcoin is underperforming.

[00:01:25]Uh what I like to do is I like comparing something like the small cap energy fund, PSCE divided by Bitcoin.

[00:01:35]Bitcoin is obviously outperforming when this is going lower.

[00:01:40]We hit a bottom in May of I'll just say early 2021 broke out, did another pullback before a double bottom.

[00:01:51]And now we've got another downtrend breakout.

[00:02:00]and we are heading higher with a little flag pattern going on to go and move on up.

[00:02:08]Looks absolutely fantastic for PSCE, which is the small cap energy fund to outperform Bitcoin.

[00:02:16]You know what else we can do? We can start going across a lot of these different commodity sectors. This is copper ETF versus Bitcoin and guess what? It's the same stinking chart as PSCE.

[00:02:34]Then we can go look at maybe VanEck Steel.

[00:02:42]Roughly the same exact chart. Here we go, going across.

[00:02:47]This is your downtrend um falling wedge.

[00:02:53]This is your double bottom.

[00:02:56]You have another downtrend broken.

[00:02:59]Uh and this is this is just looking out, you know, at the big picture view.

[00:03:04]And I have a feeling that these are all going to get back up to these areas way, way up there during a commodity bull market.

[00:03:13]So what's what's causing these assets to shift the cycle?

[00:03:18]It's going to be a weak dollar.

[00:03:20]Uh the Nasdaq's going to underperform and that's what Bitcoin is representing.

[00:03:25]It's representing technology stocks in the Nasdaq hypothetically.

[00:03:30]And uh we're just looking at sectors that are commodity sectors against it.

[00:03:37]Commodity equities.

[00:03:40]Uh speaking of commodity equities, here's Exxon Mobil.

[00:03:44]I was looking at this double bottom this guy has here. So I was like, you know what? Let's pull up the chart. I don't really care about the verbage. I'm more of a chart, you know, picture guy.

[00:03:53]This is the long-term big move higher, the consolidation, and then the break of the consolidation.

[00:03:59]He's charting more on the short-term.

[00:04:01]This is the short-term here.

[00:04:04]Nice little double bottom uh breakout.

[00:04:07]A lot of the time you get a downtrend line that's broken, and then you create some sort of bottoming pattern.

[00:04:12]Sometimes it can be a double bottom.

[00:04:14]Some people call that the W bottom.

[00:04:17]Uh other people they call it the double the double bottom. I call it the the booty bottom. Like it's a person sitting.

[00:04:26]A lot of the times this occurs when you have support. This is your support area.

[00:04:32]And there's your support area going sideways.

[00:04:35]We pulled back to support basically and are now breaking to the upside.

[00:04:40]We can also look at something like Chevron that's doing the W bottom, too, or the double bottom.

[00:04:46]And that thing looks absolutely ridiculous uh on a long-term time frame.

[00:04:53]Look at that thing go. Broken out of the big heavy resistance consolidation to the upside, and this thing looks ready to just keep going.

[00:05:03]Energizer bunny style.

[00:05:06]We can look at other ones, too.

[00:05:08]Uh Did I look at Chevron? Oh, no. COP.

[00:05:12]We were on Chevron.

[00:05:15]Uh this one is COP, and it's a very similar thing. 1 2 3 consolidation breakout circle. 1 2 3 breakout circle.

[00:05:24]If you zoom in on the right-hand side, you've got a falling wedge into a double bottom, and that's already broken out to the upside.

[00:05:32]And it's going. It's just going to keep melting higher.

[00:05:35]That's that's my uh opinion. We can also look at uh Shell.

[00:05:41]These are all kind of the big boys.

[00:05:42]These are our leaders.

[00:05:45]Uh when I look at Shell, this just looks like a gigantic launching pad.

[00:05:50]This is kind of like your base or your LP, your base launching pad.

[00:05:57]That's that whole area down here, the whole thing.

[00:06:00]Once you break through that resistance, >> [clears throat] >> which is that trend line, now it's up, up, and away.

[00:06:09]So, they all look good, every single one. Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Shell, ConocoPhillips.

[00:06:16]It doesn't really matter.

[00:06:17]Uh, they're all in uptrends.

[00:06:19]And short-term, they look like they're breaking out of a little bit of a short-term pullback.

[00:06:25]Commercial stocks in the US should be between 425 and 430 million barrels if exports hold through the end of May.

[00:06:34]420 is a hard bottom with runs so high.

[00:06:39]Maybe 425.

[00:06:42]Exports will have to drop 1.2 million barrels per day in June even with the SPR pulling another 1.2.

[00:06:50]We are out of commercial oil stocks or inventory.

[00:06:55]When inventory of commercial oil gets depleted, that's when oil prices start to run.

[00:07:03]The reason we were looking at this launching pad for Shell is because that is what we want to look for, it are the equities front running that.

[00:07:15]They are.

[00:07:17]Here's something like XOP, which is an ETF, and that's breaking out.

[00:07:21]There's your shoulder-head-shoulder, and then the breakout, and we've broken the neckline and are running higher here on the right-hand side.

[00:07:29]Looking good to move higher. So, everything that I look at, uh, you can even throw in, uh, interest rates, interest rates are breaking higher, and all of the equities in energy are ripping higher.

[00:07:45]Uh we can even look at OIH. These are energy service companies. They're broken out of their base and ripping higher. The time to buy this was back here.

[00:07:56]Now, it's just becoming more obvious to everyone.

[00:08:01]We bought in 2025 at that bottom. We bought all sorts of stuff.

[00:08:06]I was a kid in a candy store, you know, 50 cent candy shop.

[00:08:11]>> [laughter] >> I was buying everything.

[00:08:14]Buying it all up, everything I had.

[00:08:19]And everything's breaking now. Now, it's becoming too obvious.

[00:08:24]Josh Young says, "The thesis is simple.

[00:08:27]Buying the inflection at heavy discounts.

[00:08:30]This is drill, baby, drill, the 2026 rig boom.

[00:08:34]US oil drilling hitting inflection point for massive growth.

[00:08:38]Rig counts projected to exceed 500.

[00:08:42]US oil rigs expected to climb from the 400s to over 500 by year end.

[00:08:49]Stocks trading at 1/3 replacement cost.

[00:08:52]The oil field service companies valued at massive discount compared to actual asset value.

[00:08:59]Yeah, we were buying the whole bottom of that.

[00:09:02]Capitulation mirrors the 2020 COVID era.

[00:09:06]High bearish sentiment historically signals dramatic outperformance for oil stocks.

[00:09:11]You got that right. We were just looking at a bunch of them and they were breaking out of I call it launching pad bases.

[00:09:19]20% plus free cash flow yields.

[00:09:23]Current valuations offer extreme financial leverage and high equity yields for investors.

[00:09:29]Watch inventory declines and bond yields.

[00:09:33]Shrinking oil inventories and rising yields historically correlated with higher energy valuations.

[00:09:39]Well, what did we just look at?

[00:09:41]Lower inventories reaching tank bottom of commercial inventory levels by maybe the end of May.

[00:09:50]That is a big deal.

[00:09:53]We are If you're part of the community, guys, and you're part of the website, we are positioned incredibly well for this.

[00:10:02]Patience. It's all coming.

[00:10:06]We've positioned exactly in the companies that we want to position for this particular setup and market condition. We are literally in the best oil and energy service companies that exist in the world, in my opinion.

[00:10:28]And we're spread out across those those companies.

[00:10:32]Some of the companies are super high leverage to the oil price.

[00:10:36]Other companies are a little bit less risky.

[00:10:40]Maybe they're buying back shares.

[00:10:42]Or maybe they're uh they're paying dividends.

[00:10:47]My Sunday thoughts on silver and uranium from Anders. He says, "Both markets have been in structural supply deficit for years.

[00:10:55]Yet most investors still don't understand what's coming. Why?

[00:10:59]Because deficits can be hidden temporarily by draining inventories, much like we're doing in oil.

[00:11:05]That's exactly what has been happening, and that is why prices still are not creating huge headlines.

[00:11:11]But eventually the buffer runs out.

[00:11:13]Silver demand's exploding from solar, AI infrastructure, electrification, investment demand from inflation and currency debasement fears.

[00:11:21]You know, I don't hear him say something here, even though, you know, we've got this.

[00:11:26]This one here, investment demand from inflation and currency debasement fears, is the biggest deal of them all.

[00:11:36]Let me explain.

[00:11:38]The reason some of these sectors don't go up is because there's no buying demand or money flows coming into them.

[00:11:48]The reason the money isn't rotating over is because AI and technology NASDAQ it's still working. It's still going up.

[00:12:01]When that turns over not if, when.

[00:12:06]When that rolls over, the money's going to look for a new home.

[00:12:10]When that money looks for a new home it gets sold out of tech and NASDAQ and then rotates into our stuff.

[00:12:22]So, that's going to be uh precious metals and commodities.

[00:12:26]So, meanwhile, supply growth is weak because most silver is produced as a byproduct. Even much higher prices don't quickly create new supply. Uranium may be even more bullish.

[00:12:38]Unlike silver miners, many uranium miners and developers have struggled for years at current prices.

[00:12:44]The result, a massive lack of new mines ready for the coming wave of nuclear demand.

[00:12:50]Utilities still need to secure long-term fuel contracts.

[00:12:54]Once they realize there isn't enough supply available panic buying starts.

[00:13:00]And in uranium, that can get violent very quickly. I believe we're approaching a tipping point in both commodities sooner rather than later.

[00:13:08]That's why I think now is one of the best times in years to build a basket of quality uranium and silver stocks before the crowd catches on.

[00:13:16]I've already shared several of my top picks on my profile and I'll soon add more.

[00:13:20]Follow me if you want early insight before the cycle gets mainstream.

[00:13:26]Well, I we can we can price like we can do like an OIH divided by URA.

[00:13:34]I think that the oil companies are going to outperform uranium.

[00:13:39]That's what I think is going to happen.

[00:13:41]We can also this is this is the energy service companies divided by URA can see this turning higher. This is a double bottom.

[00:13:48]I also think we can pull up XOP versus URA.

[00:13:52]>> [clears throat] >> Oops, I put a Q on the I fat fingered it. That's also doing double bottom activity here.

[00:14:01]So, I think I think energy, oil specifically and natural gas uh let's see what coal looks like. I haven't looked at see what coal looks like against URA.

[00:14:14]Yeah, coal's probably going to bottom, too.

[00:14:17]And head higher. Let's see what coal is against XOP.

[00:14:21]And it's pretty much flat and sideways.

[00:14:23]Not much going on there.

[00:14:26]So, yes, I agree with him. Yes, in the long term uranium and silver are going to do well.

[00:14:32]In the short term though, I like my oil guys. I like oil. I like energy in general.

[00:14:39]Um yeah, some people say, "Well, uranium is energy, dummy." Well, no. Uranium is a mining company.

[00:14:44]And miners kind of go up together sometimes.

[00:14:47]So, I I would say oil, gas, natural gas, coal.

[00:14:53]Coal's mining, too, but I like all those.

[00:14:57]It says, "Oops, copper versus gold."

[00:14:59]There we are breaking higher. Actually, let's see that I'm going to see this for myself. So, there's copper versus gold. Yeah, we are breaking higher here from a very very very low level. Look at the level on copper versus Oh, that's silver though.

[00:15:19]Put copper versus silver.

[00:15:21]I'm like, "What am I doing here, bro?

[00:15:24]There's copper. Yeah, that's the same thing. Copper versus gold is way down there compared to history.

[00:15:30]Yeah, we have a huge opportunity here in in copper from the price level that we're at.

[00:15:36]Usually what happens is you'll get gold that kind of front runs everything.

[00:15:40]And then later on everything catches back up. That includes silver, copper, other base metals, I iron ore, uh and energy.

[00:15:52]Energy will catch up, too.

[00:15:56]Chinese holdings of US Treasuries have fallen to their lowest level since the global financial crisis. Look at that thing.

[00:16:02]Down, down, down, down. No wonder interest rates are going up. China's not buying anything.

[00:16:06]Why would they?

[00:16:08]I wouldn't.

[00:16:09]It's just inflation on top of inflation.

[00:16:15]Occidental Petroleum, I didn't look at that one. After the recent breakout of its 15-year moving average, Occidental Petroleum is now retesting it, a classic technical move. Let's go look at what that looks like.

[00:16:27]Uh there's Oxy. Ooh, yeah, that looks real good.

[00:16:30]Breaking out. Now, am I buying this? No, I'm not.

[00:16:33]I'm not buying it. Well, Andy, how come?

[00:16:35]Because the stuff that we are in is going to wax this.

[00:16:41]But Oxy is the most leveraged uh company of the big boys.

[00:16:47]This is the most levered, and that's why Warren Buffett's in it.

[00:16:50]But it's breaking out. It's doing a little retest here.

[00:16:54]There's your retest, and then it's going to break higher, just like all the other ones. Chevron, Exxon, all of them.

[00:17:01]So, yeah, it looks really good.

[00:17:05]Uh GSCI, so this is the uh Goldman Sachs Commodity Index. Commodities here represented by the GSCI Index heavily tilted towards fossil energy are currently testing an 18-year old resistance.

[00:17:19]Breaking it would obviously be a major signal for commodities. We're going to break it here any second.

[00:17:25]And oil is going to be the big driver.

[00:17:30]We will avoid a total meltdown in bonds this time around, question mark.

[00:17:35]So, it's long-term bonds are imploding, that's TLT.

[00:17:40]We had a false breakdown.

[00:17:42]Big old move higher here.

[00:17:44]To the peak, this is where everybody refinanced their mortgages and got really low interest rates.

[00:17:50]Then it came all the way down as it crashes as interest rates go up and look at what we're doing here.

[00:17:54]Right in that corner, we are breaking down in bond prices.

[00:18:00]Interest rates are breaking higher.

[00:18:03]That is the setup. That is the market condition.

[00:18:08]You know what goes up when interest rates drop like that?

[00:18:11]Energy does.

[00:18:12]Energy and fertilizers and other sensitive assets.

[00:18:19]Uh this one I I covered last time, so that's where I'm going to end it.

[00:18:22]So, that's what I've got for today, guys. Give me a thumbs up for the content, subscribe to the channel.

[00:18:26]Subscribe to the website if you like.

[00:18:28]And that's all I've got for today. So, we'll catch you next time, guys. See you.