If computing power continues to advance, running hyper-realistic simulations of entire worlds will eventually become affordable, leading to billions of simulated worlds being created for research, entertainment, and other purposes. Since the number of simulated worlds would vastly exceed the single 'real' world, the statistical probability that we are living in a simulation becomes extremely high. This argument suggests that once simulation technology reaches sufficient capability, the likelihood of our reality being one of many simulations rather than the base reality becomes the more probable scenario.
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We’re probably in a simulation: the 'run a billion worlds' argument explainedAdded:
Okay, so to make sure I'm clear on this.
>> It's sort of retroactive placement.
Yeah, so the minute it's affordable then you can run billions of them and they would feel and appear to be exactly like this interview right now.
So, assuming the AI has internal states, experiences, qualia. Some people argue that they don't, some say they already have it. That's a separate philosophical question, but if we can simulate this, I will.
Will AI take your job by 2030? Check your risk now. Free checklist based on Yan Polesky. Some people might misunderstand. You're not you're not saying that you will.
You're saying that someone will. I I can also do it. I don't mind.
Of course, others will do it before I get there. If I'm getting it for $10, somebody got it for $1,000. That's not the point. If you have technology, we're definitely running a lot of simulations for research, for entertainment, games, all sorts of reasons.
And the number of those greatly exceeds the number of real worlds we're in.
Look at all the video games kids are playing. Every kid plays 10 different games. You know, billion kids in the world.
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