大悲観。セイラー氏がついにビットコイン売却！連鎖売りは広がるのか！？仮想通貨最新ニュース&テクニカル分析【LATEST:Bitcoin Chart Analysis】

Added: 2026-06-03

[00:00:00]Hi everyone, good evening. It's Moshi. In today's cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin is currently trading at $70,300. Yes, it plummeted yesterday from around 74,000. What happened? The strategist has finally sold his Bitcoin. Michael Saylor, who has been the representative of the company, has been vehemently stating that he will absolutely never sell his Bitcoin. Why did they sell at this particular time, and will these concerns spread further in the future? I'd like to continue watching the latest news on this topic with all of you today.

[00:00:27]Please subscribe to the channel!

[00:00:30]Why did you sell it?

[00:00:35]Yes. Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency, fell by 11,243,800 today. Isa's stock price fell by 317,000.3%. As you can see from this, it's clear that Bitcoin was more significantly affected than the altcoin market. Well, since they sold Bitcoin, that's to be expected, of course, but usually, if Bitcoin falls, other altcoins follow suit. However, the fact that they didn't move in such a large-scale, coordinated manner last night was perhaps the most distinctive feature of the market. Anyway, today I'd like to explain in detail why Michael Sayler sold his Bitcoin. Oh, before that, we'll be accompanying the stock market. You can register for Globez's morning analysis in just one minute and receive it for free every morning. You can learn my trading methods and everything else for free, so please check the description box for details. Yes, the US stock market continued to rise yesterday. This marks another new market record high. In particular, technology stocks boosted the NASDAQ and S&P. Yes, there was some progress in the situation in Iran yesterday.

[00:01:36]President Trump has shown confidence that an agreement with Iran will be reached soon, saying that the negotiations are progressing at a rapid pace. Well, right now, attention is focused on whether President Trump will reach an agreement with Iran on extending the ceasefire, but President Trump has said that there is a very good chance that an agreement on a ceasefire will be reached in the next week. Up until now, Trump has shown a relaxed attitude, but his recent actions clearly indicate that he wants to quickly reach a low-level agreement and then move on to a peace agreement. What happened, you see, was yesterday's attack on Lebanon by Israel. It has recently been reported that this was an attempt to strengthen the alliance against Lebanon, and while the US wants to stop, Israel does not, so there was a problem where the intentions of the two attacking sides did not align. And it's being said that Trump has finally intervened in this matter as well. Apparently, yesterday President Trump had a phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, and he revealed that he had prevented a large-scale attack on Beirut, Lebanon. Well, Mr. Trump says there was a minor issue regarding this matter today, but it was resolved quickly. This little problem is that apparently Trump got really angry with Netanyahu. Well, CNN is reporting that this phone call between Trump and Netanyahu was a very heated exchange, and it seems that Trump occasionally used abusive language to express his dissatisfaction with the way Netanyahu was speaking.

[00:03:06]Basically, to put it simply, don't take any strange actions while we're steadily progressing towards a peace agreement. So, basically, they've agreed to a low-war agreement, and they should stop attacking. That's one of the reasons why the US stock market rose yesterday. yes.

[00:03:24]Incidentally, regarding Iran's position, it has been revealed by a list of sources that Iran is seeking a limited agreement with the United States. Basically, when it comes to nuclear weapons, they're an absolute and overwhelming bargaining chip for Iran. They absolutely do not want to make any concessions on this matter, so it is said that they are postponing the discussion for the time being and are trying to reach a limited agreement on things like opening up the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:03:54]Trump says there are still several issues that prevent him from immediately extending this agreement, and I think those issues are probably precisely this nuclear issue. How will they manage to win over Trump here? Well, I think there's a pretty good chance that an agreement on extending the ceasefire will be reached this week, but as for the latest developments, we'll have to wait and see, and I'll cover them once they're available. By the way, regarding this week's economic indicator releases, there's nothing particularly important today. Oh, this week is the beginning of the month, so it's the week when the employment statistics are released. Regarding tomorrow, the ADP employment report for May will be released. Uh, and then regarding Friday, June 5th, that's the non-farm payrolls figure for May, right? And then, things like the employment rate and average wages received will be announced. The average benefit payments haven't increased that much since the last survey. And then, regarding the employment rate, it's flat, so employment is strong, and hourly wages have n't risen that much, so it's not particularly affected by inflation. That's what's shown, and the data is actually quite good, so the forecast is positive. However, given the uncertain circumstances, whether the announcement will be made as expected remains to be seen. I'd like to wait and see, together with everyone at Groways, as we watch the results unfold. Please register now via the link in the description box. Now let's take a look at some cryptocurrency-related news. Oh, strategist Michael Sayler has sold his Bitcoin. This has certainly raised concerns in the market, and of course, I hold the most Bitcoin in the world when it comes to this strategy. Well, it seems he has about 840,000 BTC, and what's more, despite saying he wouldn't sell until now, Sailor has gone ahead and sold it. This raised concerns that 830,000 BTC and 840,000 BTC might also be sold off. Well, I think the main reason Bitcoin went down yesterday was because of that. Let me explain this in more detail. First, what happened? So, MicroStrategy has 32 BTC worth about $2.5 million, which is roughly a little under 400 million yen. It was announced that they sold off assets worth around that much. Regarding the reason for the sale, the company has explained that it is to raise funds to pay dividends on its preferred stock, called STRC. So, the first point to keep in mind is that out of the 840,000 BTC he holds, he has only sold 32 BTC. Well, I think this is about 0.004% of the total, so it means we only sold a tiny amount, just a small amount. And another important point is that this is not the first time Strategy has sold Bitcoin. I sold about 700 BTC in December 2022.

[00:06:25]And one more thing, Saylor has mentioned the possibility of selling Bitcoin many times recently. So, if there was no such history of selling, and they had never sold anything like that before, and then suddenly sold the 32c, the shock would have been much more widespread. However, there have been similar cases in the past, and the amount sold this time was small, and I had been saying for a long time that I would sell, so I think it's best to consider this as just a temporary fluctuation of about $4,000. Well, that's the factual part. But Michael Sayler has always said that he will never sell his Bitcoin.

[00:06:58]Well, you might be wondering why he sold it, but actually, after he sold it, Sailor posted about it on X.

[00:07:05]What I posted was that our goal is to make STRC, or preferred stock, the world's best credit product. In other words, the goal isn't just to hold Bitcoin and maximize its value, but to consistently pay dividends to preferred stock STRC, grow it into an attractive financial reward, and ultimately increase shareholder value. I told them that this is the most important part of our business strategy. So, up until now, Strategy's stock was being bought as an alternative to buying Bitcoin. Well, it's linked to Bitcoin in pretty much the same way, so it was being bought for that purpose, but we've recently announced, and even yesterday, that we'll be taking a strategy to strengthen the credibility of STRC shares by investing in various products. However, he also made the following statement last month. Even if you were to sell about 2% of your holdings each month, if you were to buy five to ten times that amount in the same month, you would remain a quasi-buyer of Bitcoin overall, and you would never take actions that would cause selling to take precedence.

[00:08:10]So, considering the current situation, I don't think it's something to be overly pessimistic about, and I think it's fine not to think that way. Well, I think many of you probably feel the same way, but the problem with Sailor products is that you buy them in the wrong places. And the place where you sell it is also bad. Well, with the market continuing to hit new record highs, people kept buying, thinking it would go up even further. As I mentioned last time, December 2022 was the absolute bottom, and I even tweeted about it. The last time Sailor sold was in December 2022, so it really was the absolute bottom. They're selling 700 BTC here. So, this time too, he sold a small amount of Bitcoin here, and based on the results from last time, some people are seeing this as a signal for an upward trend, and it's become a bit of a joke. Well, on the other hand, it's quite possible that Mr. Sailor's sale reflects market sentiment. Well, even now, the relationship with the stock market is getting incredibly deep, and things like the Sandwichman P500 and NASDAQ are constantly being updated and improved in the market, but Bitcoin just can't keep up. Bitcoin has fallen to its lowest price in two months, which simply means that market sentiment has deteriorated considerably. Well, actually, Bitcoin ETPs, which are cryptocurrency-related products, have recorded their largest outflow in 2026, according to last week's data, with $1.67 billion, or about 267.2 billion yen, being lost. It is said that selling is spreading across all related products, including ETFs, and ETPs in general. The outflow of funds from ETFs, in particular, is overwhelming. yes. This is, well, a quasi-flow of ETFs across the entire asset history market, and yesterday we were hit with another large outflow.

[00:09:49]Outflows have been measured continuously recently, and looking at the past, it's not very common to see such a large volume of selling and outflow all at once. Well, in the case of C, there was a huge outflow when the full tax period began in 2025, and it's on a similar scale now, and it's being sold off continuously, so I think the most important point to watch in the immediate future is where it will reverse.

[00:10:13]yes. In this situation, Tom Lee, who owns the most Ethereum in the world, has actually bought some. So, regarding Bitmine, they have purchased an additional $52 million worth of Ethereum, and Tom Lee has repeatedly stated that the price of Ethereum does not yet reflect the strength of this blockchain in terms of its future development, and therefore, it is undervalued.

[00:10:35]Tory has stated that he will acquire up to 5% of the supply of Isalium, and he announced on Monday's Life that he has acquired 26,500 units in the past week alone. Well, recently we've slowed down our purchasing pace a bit, but we're still continuing to buy. This is Tom Lee speaking, but if Bitmine were to start selling off Ethereum, the market would likely be in serious trouble. Well, the point is that, including that J-Person Corporation, I think there's definitely an element of other companies considering their buying and selling strategies based on the actions of the world's largest holding company. So, I think Michael Saylor will probably make additional purchases soon to try and reverse the situation, but if Bitmine and others start selling and the selling spreads throughout the market, there's a possibility of a massive decline. Well, for now we don't need to worry about that, but we need to keep a close eye on the recent trend to see if it will help or not. If anything is to stop this trend, it would have to be the Clarity Act, and, well, discussions on the Clarity Act will continue this week as well, and, well, there are currently no plans for deliberations by the Senate. Well, at this point, it seems they're trying to reconcile the bills passed by the Upper Banking Committee and the bills passed by the Upper Agriculture Committee, and come up with a draft that can be presented to the Upper Committee for deliberation. However, it seems that Democratic lawmakers are all saying the same thing. It has been reported that Democratic lawmakers are unanimously saying that they will absolutely not vote for this bill unless the content of the conflict of interest is incorporated into it. Regarding deliberations in the Senate plenary session, Republican members alone are unable to pass the bill. In addition to that, the CEO of JP Morgan has completely denied the possibility of stablecoin yields, and since this matter hasn't been finalized yet, I think an early resolution is quite unlikely. In other words, the low profile of the cryptocurrency market may continue for some time. Conversely, this means that the conversation may continue for a long period of time, so I think that for the time being, we really need to remain calm and think about investment strategies with a long-term perspective.

[00:12:43]Taking these external factors into consideration, let's begin today's market analysis. The main trading platform I use is Vantage Trading. We're currently running a campaign where new registrants receive a 15,000 yen bonus, and the first deposit is eligible for a 120% bonus. When you hear about bonuses like these, you might think that the spreads must be wide, but as you can see in this table, the spreads are significantly smaller than those of major overseas trading platform brokers. This is the strength of Vantage Trading. In particular, gold, Bitcoin, and the USD/JPY pair, which have been performing well recently, can be traded in an environment with minimal spreads. First, check the description box to see if you can get these bonuses and try your hand at trading. yes. Okay, let's start by looking at the daily chart for Bitcoin. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $70,285, and I was saying that around $71,000 was acting as a support line, but it seems to have slightly overshot that level.

[00:13:30]Yeah. I wonder. It hasn't stopped falling yet, so it might drop a little further, perhaps even to around 68,000. Yes, a clear downtrend has begun on the 4-hour chart. Well, it's in what's called a perfect order for a decline, and it's showing a pattern where the downward momentum is very strong, but even so, it's trying to stop falling a little, and if you look at the RSI, especially on the 4-hour chart and the 1-hour chart, the RSI is forming a divergence-like pattern. So, I think there's a possibility that the price will stay around $70,000 in the short term, and that it might level off for a while. Well, even on the daily chart, it has broken below the area where the moving averages are clustered together. Well, I've been saying that a golden cross might be forming around here, but there's one point of concern: the possibility of a dead cross has emerged. yes. That's about it; the price is currently facing resistance at higher levels. Therefore, even if it rebounds from around $70,000 in the short term, there is a high possibility that selling will target the rebound afterward, and ultimately, given the current situation, I think we need to consider the possibility that it could fall to around $768,000 or $767,000. Well, when it really starts to drop to around 76,000 or 75,000, it will be the lowest level recently, so I think it will be another chance to buy. So, if you have bought a little bit here, then wait until it drops to around 66,000 and buy again, and don't put in a large amount all at once, but buy in small increments. I think that will be the most effective strategy. Given the current situation, it wouldn't be surprising if it dropped another level. yes. Furthermore, Ethereum is currently at $1981, and while it has n't fallen as much as Bitcoin, I think the outcome will be largely decided once it breaks through the 2080 level, as I've said before.

[00:15:16]So, even if it recovers in the short term, I think it will at least fall to the 1930 support line. Well, after that, I think it will start to stabilize around here, as it's currently at its lowest level in recent times, but it's hard to say what will happen in the future. Well, even if it recovers in the short term, I think we should carefully consider the possibility that it will be a situation where investors will target the rebound for selling. Oh, and then there was some movement regarding XRP. At 1.26, it has finally broken below the 1.30 dollar level that had been a concern for some time. Well, this has created a great deal of pessimism in the market, and since the price has broken below the cluster of moving averages, I think there's a high possibility that a downtrend will begin from here and that it will first test around $1.20. On the other hand, Jito is making very strong moves. Yes, it rose by more than 3% yesterday, and is currently up to 59. The price is currently trading lower, supported by the daily moving average, and has recently reached its high. Well, this is a line that we'll be watching around the 60C mark, and if it breaks through this, then it will open up sharply upwards.

[00:16:17]So, the next line we'll look at is around 80°, or maybe the 1 dollar mark, which I think will be the target line.

[00:16:23]Looking at it from a long-term perspective, when the price rises in relation to these moving averages, it's actually quite likely to reverse. yes. Not just that, but I think temperature tokens and things like that also fall into a similar category. Moreover, the trading volume for the temperature token has actually increased, so I think there's a high possibility that it will rebound after some adjustment. And the ICP that we discussed yesterday has suddenly risen. yes. Well, I think those who managed to get on board were lucky, but the price has suddenly surged to $2.90. It looks like this even on a 4-hour chart. The price has moved significantly above the cluster of moving averages. Well, it does seem like there's been a bit of a correction at the recent high, but even looking at the 4-hour timeframe, the moving average is in a position where it will be supported, so I think it's pretty strong. And then, on the daily chart level, all the moving averages are about to break out of a point where they are converging. If we can get past this, there's a good chance that the upward momentum will accelerate rapidly. In the past, I've consistently kept my savings rising from low to high. The fact that it has n't risen that high is something to keep an eye on going forward, but for now it's looking good and is trying to break through this moving average line, so the first resistance line is probably around $3.3. I think there's a growing possibility that it will test this level, or perhaps the recent high of around $4. And then there's gold, which is currently at 4519.

[00:17:39]It's rebounded slightly, but I do n't think this trend will continue for long. Well, for now, after testing the 4300 level and then testing the lower end, I think it's starting to look like a short-term, self-sustaining rebound. However, it's currently on the daily moving average, so there's resistance at higher levels. Therefore, even if it recovers in the short term, we must always keep in mind the possibility of it being sold off again. Okay, let's take a look at the dollar-yen exchange rate last. The current exchange rate is 159.70, so, well, the dollar is still strong against the yen. Since it has also crossed the moving average, I believe the dollar will remain dominant for a while, and there is a high probability that the dollar-yen exchange rate will move upwards. Well, the price has come down to a range where it's approaching 160 yen, so I think there's a high possibility that it will reach 160 yen today or tomorrow, and then there will be some adjustment due to concerns about intervention to encourage buying, so it's quite likely to be an Arai-style price movement. However, in the short term, I think it might be interesting to look for an upward trend, and then aim for a short position around 160 yen. So today we looked at the situation regarding currency and the dollar-yen exchange rate. Well, it seems the price has finally returned to the level it was around April 13th. Well, there wasn't anything particularly significant happening during that time, and ultimately, the short-term investors took profits by selling, and the fact that it couldn't break through the 78,000 yen to around 80,000 dollars range was probably the deciding factor. From here on, there doesn't seem to be any significant news related to cryptocurrencies, especially anything that would be considered positive news, in the immediate future. However, if there is progress in the situation and a peace agreement is reached, I believe there is a possibility that it will have a tailwind not only for cryptocurrency but for risk assets as a whole. Well, I'll be sure to keep up with the latest videos in my daily videos, so I'd be really happy if you could subscribe to the channel and watch them every day. So, I'd like to end today's video here. Thank you for watching until the end.

[00:19:39]With eyes and feet sticking out, the light of heaven connects us, a new time is rapidly moving We