Best MLB, NBA & NHL Bets for 5/08

Added: 2026-05-09

[00:00:00]Um, but hopefully you're having a strong start to your morning. I know I am. And man, did we have a time last night on the stream cashing on some nice long shots. Dean Wade first basket plus 2600.

[00:00:15]Come on. Little Brent Rooker as well.

[00:00:17]And then also Andre Fetchnikov. So we had a little baseball, basketball, and hockey all cashed across all three. Some nice longot tickets. So, we're going to be looking for some DFS slips to cook up right now. And then we're really going to be focused on mainline markets as the WNBA is back, which is going to help add some volume as the NBA and the NHL uh seasons, playoff seasons are starting to come to an end. So, we're going to be in really a WNBA and Major League Baseball mode. We have a full slate of Major League Baseball today. So, lot to look at. Rory, what's going on? Good morning.

[00:00:52]Um, and appreciate as always you guys you tuning in and everyone else. So, let's get into this. Um, at the moment guys, I have prize picks selected um, right here on the EV tool and don't see any results for Pinnacle. There we go. One Castle. Okay, Castle's kind of a slim edge over on his points 15 and a half. Let me come over here to Fandle to see if we have anything else. We have a couple more results. Yes runs first inning in the Angels and the Jays. We have Justin Rose and Harris English.

[00:01:25]Couple golf plays.

[00:01:28]Uh so much for the yes runs first inning, but not not a lot that I love here, not going to lie. Um not enough maybe on FanDuel to really or Pinnacle to make a prize pick slip. So we'll come back to that in a little bit, but we'll take a look at underdog here at the moment because just just not as much as I love seeing over there. Um, Rose on his player strokes.

[00:01:52]FanDuel's at minus 138. We get this at minus 115 today on round two. Um, I don't mind that. So, we'll go ahead and get this going. What's going on? Um, so we'll take a look at Justin Rose for golf. You know, Pinnacle will set some lines for golf. We don't play a lot of golf slips. I mean, the good news is is this, you know, he tees off in like, you know, an hour or two. So Rudy Gobear, Nicoladello, they're in consideration. I want to see if Pinnacle has anything that has a higher edge. Higher edge, more confidence, more cushion. Castle on points. We got a tennis play. Okay. All right. All right. We're gonna have to kick Justin Rose out because you know me with tennis. I love the tennis plays under seven and a half. And then we're looking at Castle over on points.

[00:02:48]If you want to take out Castle and put in Justin Rose, that's fine with me.

[00:02:54]But we're going to grab this two pick slip over here on Underdog. Drop this in there. There it is. Uh courtesy of Pinnacle.

[00:03:03]Anytime we can bet pre-match tennis using Pinnacle every single time. No questions asked. Now, I will throw in this tennis play here because I I do my best to try to get any pre-match tennis play in. And we'll add the Justin Rose play. So, this is a little bit more of a, you know, taking a little bit of a shot on this one.

[00:03:27]So, we're looking at what the under 21 and a half. So, I have to type in I have to type in Almeida. This person has an insane last name. I'm not going to lie. And here we go. Rose over and then the under on this. So, we're hoping that this tennis match goes only two sets. So, I'll share this link here with you guys. So, we just rip through two underdog slips. Don't love what I see on prize picks. But for prize picks, let's let me just look at the sharp money tool to see if we have anything that's worth of note. Majinski under on strikeouts.

[00:04:04]Okay, take an also another just quick look here because if I was going to hook this up on prize picks, one thing I do love to look at is team strikeouts, team rankings.

[00:04:25]And in 2026, the teams that strike out the least amount, Toronto, Tampa Bay.

[00:04:29]So, San Francisco is top eight, striking out the least amount in Major League Baseball. At home, the Giants are more middle of the pack because the Pirates travel to San Francisco.

[00:04:44]So, they're middle of the pack. Okay. If I look at Ballpark Pal, their model, Ballpark Pal's model, because I we get some different look at some different things.

[00:04:59]Uh maybe maybe it's not matchups, starting pitchers. My bad. Starting pitchers.

[00:05:07]And in terms of strikeouts, let me zoom out just a little bit here.

[00:05:14]I think Majinski is going to finish at 4.3, which is basically why the line is at four and a half. Um, okay. All right.

[00:05:24]It's It's It's all right. It's all right. I don't mind it. We'll see if we got anything else for for prize picks to maybe pair with Majinski. I don't mind taking a shot on Majinski. We just need some more picks for prize picks. We got nothing right now.

[00:05:39]We got this castle play that has a very low edge because now we're getting this at minus 122. The reason it had a higher edge on underdog is because we're getting at minus 115. So underdog's offering us a better price.

[00:05:50]Rose English, but these are low edge plays because it's assuming we're playing minus 119. And for the flex Friday, flex Friday isn't offered until like noon Eastern. So I have to wait a little bit, guys. I'll share that slip later on X today. We're going to move on if you can let me know like if you can still see me if the stream is still working fine. Um just double checking.

[00:06:11]But Scott, yeah, don't be afraid to ask questions here in the chat. Um others as well are more than willing to help share some information because we've all been there. We all everybody starts somewhere and we all start from you know like myself years years and years ago I was just cooking up parlays with the boys going over to my friend's house on a Saturday night to watch football their UFC and we were just cooking up parlays and I was losing every weekend and eventually I stumbled across Alex Monahan and Matt Modi making videos on odds jam whatever five six years ago.

[00:06:48]All right, Champenny under on P. We got Maxi. So, what you're going to learn, Steve, is that um or excuse me, not Steve, Scott. Scott, what you're going to learn is that everything comes down to price. Price is everything. I can talk you in or out of a play if I give you a good enough price. Um and so here, this price is minus18. This is assuming we're playing a five pick slip because on a five pick slip, we're getting minus 118 odds for each slip, for each play.

[00:07:19]on a three-p slip, it's minus 122, which the fair value to pin to Fandle here is minus 130. Well, 122 is below 130, so that's a value. And so, we definitely want to add that. So, we're going to take the maxi discount um because they they we play these discounts every day. I've been on an insane cold streak with better. Sometimes their discounts that they offer don't even hit. It's it happens at least once a day. they offered um you know it's just just the way it goes sometimes. And then we could go back to the well with Justin Rose.

[00:07:53]Again, if you're new to this, don't add Justin Rose to like five different slips because you're really then taking on a lot more risk. Now you need Justin Rose to hit or all your slips are dead. So you want to add them on one slip, no problem. Two slips. Okay. All right.

[00:08:10]That's fine. Um now for me, I can only play these slips for $10. So, I I don't mind if I have rows on a couple other slips because that's not going to crush my bankroll.

[00:08:22]But if your bankroll is a hundred bucks and you're rocking five different slips at $10 a slip for $50 and you have rows on all of them, that's going to put you in a very bad spot because now we're kind of gambling that we need rows to do well. Uber under on rebounds. So, this is going to be a perfect entry. Um, $10 max is what I can put on this, guys.

[00:08:45]I'll share the link in the chat with you guys.

[00:08:50]There we go. And as lovely as it was, I like I always This is something I don't know if I should do this like I'm not exactly doing like hyping myself up as a live streamer. I'm just very much a realist. So yesterday we got, you know, we we took some of the FanDuel promos and we turned a Brent Rooker promo, the $10 MLB promo. We put $30 down on the NBA promo. We had $40 down in promos and we brought back over $300 in payout.

[00:09:18]That's not going to happen every day.

[00:09:20]But when it does happen, man, is it sweet. Just like for those of you that know about how I love to bet no home runs over on FanDuel, we hadn't hit a single no home runs parlay or round robin the whole baseball season and then two days ago we cashed on one. There's the link guys at the three pick slip on better for the maxi discount. And so we hit one yesterday and for me keeping track of myself, I am now up on betting no home runs for the year even though I hit one parlay. That's because we're betting on plus 350s and plus 400s.

[00:09:55]We're parlaying them together.

[00:09:59]But that's that's the variance of betting parlays. And all these DFS slips are all parlays. They're all the same.

[00:10:08]Doesn't matter if it's prize picks or underdog or better or parlay play. They all work the same. It's literally just some variation of a parlay. Um, so unfortunately we can't play around Robins over there, which would be really nice, but we can't go back and just see if there's anything more. Wow, there's a couple more things that popped up here.

[00:10:27]Very low edge plays though, unfortunately on Fandal. So there's more discounts out there and better. We're just going to kind of chill at the moment. Normally I would not play DFS parlays this early in the morning, but um because we're I stream in the morning sometimes, you know, I like to give them out because for some people this the only time of day that they can actually bet. I want to make sure we can at least give you guys something. Um because, you know, other stuff's going on. Yeah, Rory. Um well, the Marcus Yeah, Marcus Smart. Um, we ended up Kate Cunningham ended up getting an extra assist on the underdog slip, so that didn't work out, but we did cash on sports points. And then, you know, the the DraftKings pick six slip never had a chance because SGA got in foul trouble and he hasn't been scoring at the pace that he was in the Suns series. Um, that's that's for sure.

[00:11:19]Lakers game. I watched most of if not all the second half. I did a little live betting for low amounts yesterday.

[00:11:25]um cashed a b cashed a couple live betting slips on fanatics and uh lot of issues with the referees yesterday in the Lakers Thunder game which was wild. Um if you guys tailed yesterday on Kowi, I created a play from Michael King over five and a half strikeouts for the Padres's and that play actually got picked up on Koshi which was really nice to see because that cashed pick six. I'm not really seeing anything that like we need to go make a slip right now for at least for me. Mitch Martyr looks great. I would love to add Mitch Marty on a play. Let's look at the sharp money tool. Um, nothing else on parlay play. That kind of sucks. Majinski, Alex Lion, Daryl. No, no. I've I've looked uh two separate times this morning. I mean, there's plays out there that have like a less than 1% edge. For myself, I'm not cooking up a play that has less than a 1% edge. And people will be like, why not, Billy? It's like, well, because if if we're betting on a player prop right now that has under a 1% edge and Pinnacle decides that they move their pricing on their odds and that edge disappears, we now have a negative EV play. So, if we were betting, if this was the evening stream, I'd be willing to take a 1% edge play because the games are going to start really soon. But right now, at as we sit at like, you know, 6 a.m. Pacific time, there's no, you know, we have a lot of time before games start. So when you're looking at a play like Dalene or Castle, especially Dalene here, like these are these are if Pinnacle changes their pricing on this Dalene play from now until the time that the puck drops, you know, this could increase and we could have a higher EV edge play, but more more than likely might not. And then we're not going to have any edge at all.

[00:13:25]Now we have a negative EV play. So that's why when you we look for prize picks like there's just right at the moment right now there's no edges to pinnacle and I'm just using power default and then to Fandal you know all right De'Arren Fox just literally just popped up on the screen Justin Rose this has a slight edge same with English it has a slight edge right we have a little bit more of a cushion here with Fox because remember I'm playing a three pick slipping minus 122 so this Harper play Dardare carry the no runs first inning, slim edge plays, and if somehow FanDuel's odds shift against us, we now have no edge at all. So, very slim margin. Um, so we'll just come back to that a little bit later.

[00:14:11]Uh, the traders tool, iring enough, the traders tool has a lot of plays today.

[00:14:16]The thing that I don't like about these plays is I don't play geopolitics or politics, right? I don't give a [ __ ] about how Mortal Kombat 2's opening weekend box office is. This person bets entertainment. They got a 4% ROI. So, these are mostly going to be all poly market plays.

[00:14:35]Every single one of these plays is some kind of politics. What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by the end of May? I don't care about any of this stuff. The Los Angeles mayoral election. I don't care. So, I'm interested in betting sports. So, there's a lot of plays popping up today for the traders tool finally. Haven't been able to say that in like a week about damn time. But the problem is it's all geopolitics or politics or entertainment. And I do have everything selected here, guys. If you don't want to see the non-sports stuff, then you can see that our results go to zero, right? If I select the non-sports, we have all these results. So, literally play this at your own risk. I have no idea about any of this stuff. Uh, sharp money tool. If we go past the DFS books, main markets player props. Top play at the moment is the Brewers on the Money Line and the price is okay. Every game is an offshore sports book. I've used them before. Um, they've paid me out. They're I've I haven't had an issue with them.

[00:15:48]In my interactions and experiences, they're legit from my side. Oh, I got to mention this one for my DraftKings predictions people out there. Those of you that have DraftKings predictions, um Marlins on the money line. Now, like the Brewers play, the Marlins play, very similar, you know, couple cents off the pinnacle bookmaker circa bet online.

[00:16:10]Nothing crazy in terms of a great price.

[00:16:14]Pinnacle's taking 5K right now. Money lines. We could see that there's roughly $9,000. Somebody wants this between -14 to -17, which is a much better price than what Pinnacle's at -121, but you can definitely go get this out there.

[00:16:29]Um, the Spurs at -5 and a half plus 110 Hard Rock. Um, okay.

[00:16:40]Somebody wants this for 5,400.

[00:16:41]Pinnacle's taking almost $12,000. And this is where I have a problem with this like with with this play in general where a problem. What I mean is I just I can't get myself to bet this play because this is only five cents off to Pinnacle and six cents off to FanDuel.

[00:16:58]Pinnacle's taking more money than what this individual is putting down. So I'm not getting that great of a price.

[00:17:06]Slightly better, not incredible. So, I'm just going to normally move on from this super long shot underdog play. The WNBA is back. We're going to be looking at some main lines this morning. Veronica Burton. Uh, player double double. Now, this is a completely different story.

[00:17:22]FanDuel's at plus 650. DraftKings is at plus 850. We can get this at plus 1,000 odds on Ballet Bet and Hard Rock. Now listen, for those of you that are new to sports betting, Scott, I'm kind of speaking with you at the moment.

[00:17:39]And anyone else that's new, first and foremost, welcome. Appreciate you watching. If you find value in the content, make sure like like and subscribe.

[00:17:49]Like, you gota you got to think about your buddies and you got to think about your friends, your cas your buddies that just love to bet casually. Okay? And arbitrage is a great great tool that we love to talk about the the pro the thing with arbitrage betting. This strategy makes money. This strategy will make you money. That's not the hard part. Th this is the easy part. The tool picks out the plays for you and tells you where to bet. The hard part is trying to get down your action so that on the sports books so that you don't get limited within five bets or within the first day because that can happen nowadays in 2026.

[00:18:31]So when I mention like WNBA player props, how many of your friends right now at this specific time of the day are betting a player double double for the WNBA?

[00:18:45]If you and and I'm not trying to be sarcastic, the answer is not very like nobody nobody's betting on Veron Veronica Burton. Shout out to her. She's probably worked her ass off her whole career to make it to professional basketball. But in terms of betting, nobody bets on WNBA player props at 9:00 a.m. Eastern. Nobody does it. So, this is a great play from a price perspective, but from your account health, this is garbage. This is going to kill your account immediately. Just like betting on Lou Dort's under player points. This is for tomorrow. No one's betting on an under on Lou Dort's first quarter player points. So, this is how you get limited arbitrage betting instantly on Hard Rock because you're placing a bet over 24 hours in advance on an under. And very few casual betterers bet unders. And no casual better ever bets a straight wager.

[00:19:43]Now, if you can bet this play 30 minutes before the game starts, I'm interested in that. So, this play is profitable.

[00:19:51]You can make money on this play. You're also going to get limited on your sports book after about three bets.

[00:19:58]That's the reality of it. So, that's the tough part. So, if you're new to Sharp, if you're new to Sharp Sports Betting or you have access to a bunch of brand new accounts, it's different, right?

[00:20:07]DraftKings predictions, they'll never limit you. They don't care.

[00:20:12]So you can put down as much money as you want. Poly market on this A Orioles game, you could bet as much as your heart desires. If you want to bet $112, you can do that, right? But you don't really want to do that on Veronica Burton over at Bet Rivers or Valley Bet, right? Mike Burrow's under on strikeouts. This plays a decent price.

[00:20:34]It's not bad, but betting an under on a Major League Baseball player prop this early in the morning when this game doesn't start for like another eight hours is not not good to go after. So, the problem is is once you get these tools, you kind of become robotic. I know I did when I first got these. I just bet everything on the screen, but I wasn't thinking a couple steps ahead. I wasn't thinking like, ooh, betting an under right now, maybe not a great idea.

[00:20:58]So that's why the in the morning streams I really like to focus on Benny mainline markets.

[00:21:05]Now Jaden McDaniels, I'm limited on FanDuel. I have 10% limits. I really can't get limited any worse on FanDuel. So once you're limited by a sports book, then there's no rules.

[00:21:18]You can do whatever you want. Bet what?

[00:21:20]Bet whatever you want. You want to bet $322 like I did on Samuel Bayo of the Orioles yesterday to go deep, you can do that.

[00:21:29]So on McDaniels, uh, not bad. Not bad of a price here.

[00:21:34]This is about 12 cents off. It's okay.

[00:21:36]Somebody really wants this at minus 108.

[00:21:38]Pinnacle's only taking $275. So as much as I love to give Pinnacle a bunch of like, oh, hey, nice job, Pinnacle.

[00:21:45]They're not taking any money on this place. 300 bucks. I think everybody in here has at least got 300 bucks in your bank account. It's nothing.

[00:21:52]So, tough to say there. So, let's move on.

[00:21:57]Let's look at some main line market plays over here on the EV tool. Um, for you OG's and Dens, you know, I know I'm sure a lot of you guys know this.

[00:22:05]Appreciate you hearing this because I' I've said this before in the past, but we do get, you know, we get people like Scott and that's why I repeat myself on the stream so often because we do get new people in from time to time. someone that comes across a video on OddsJam or one of my videos or you know their buddy refers them and you know we get some new people in. So um you know we all start somewhere and definitely want to make sure that you know we help you kind of grow and understand why the books are um and really my whole my whole stick I would say let me get off my player props. My whole goal here, guys, is that you can learn as much as you can from me. And then there's going to become a point in your sports betting journey where you aren't learning anything new from me. And that's okay. That's good.

[00:22:46]That means you've learned as much as you can from me. There's other people like the risktakers podcast and circles off other people out there, arb father and the arbologist where you can learn a lot more from them. I'm your kindergarten teacher. you need to graduate my class at some point and you can make a lot of money with a lot of other people that are much smarter and much sharper. Those are going to be your second, third, fourth, fifth, seventh, you know, AP chemistry teachers. They're going to be able to teach you a lot more. Um, and that's where I'm really hoping you guys go with this. All right. So, at the moment, I'm going to remove Limitless because I don't really like seeing them at the moment.

[00:23:28]And that's the whole goal with these streams. You take as much information as you can from me and then you just move on.

[00:23:34]Esports today. Okay. Pinnacle does offer esports lines. I don't have any odds range setup. That's why you're seeing like plus 320s and minus 550s.

[00:23:43]Um women's soccer.

[00:23:46]Again, this play looks pretty good. I'm limited on Bet Rivers. So, if I'm limited on Bet Rivers, I'll bet this play. If you're not like But I'm not limited on Desert Diamond yet.

[00:23:57]So, I don't want to bet this play yet.

[00:23:58]Even though it's an over, it's women's soccer.

[00:24:04]No offense to the ladies, but like not a good look.

[00:24:08]Awesome. Appreciate it, man. Yeah, no problem, man. Appreciate you following along. Appreciate the follow and the support. Um, glad glad that you're here, man. Appreciate you waking up with me and tuning in.

[00:24:22]All right, I kind of feel like I really want to put some limits on put some parameters on these odds ranges. This is a little too wild for me in terms of odds ranges. So, let's go minus 200 to a plus 150.

[00:24:39]Okay, so this is going to be again another issue. All of these plays that you're seeing on my screen right now are fairly niche markets. There's a lot of professional sports betterers that do very well on European basketball.

[00:24:55]Um, and obviously we got a gain today, right? So, Pinnacle on this play, they're taking about $1,100 on Bronwag and they're taking $1,800 on Oldenberg.

[00:25:04]I don't have my German too brushed up.

[00:25:07]This is German basketball, Euro basketball. So, you know, if you're looking at all these plays here, it's the same play. I would rather take the plus n and a half than the plus five and a half even though it's lower EV edge. You're going to see this down the line guys in football and in basketball when the NBA is back next year or maybe for the playoffs this year. You're going to see this across various sports where you have the same game with all these options. What's the easiest leg to hit? This leg because you're getting nine and a half compared to five and a half, right? And so if they if they lose the game by five, this bet loses, this bet wins. So you got to think about that, right? You want to take the easiest light. You're going to sacrifice some EV, but instead of having a 42% chance of winning, you have almost a 58% chance according to Pinnacle when they remove the VI. So we got a lot of women's tennis. Now little different story here. Sakari, this is a spread play. This match starts in about two hours. So, you know, I could either I'm not limited yet on bet 365, but I can't. And by the way, when I say all this, guys, I'm limited on every single sports book. My personal accounts, I've gotten limited years and years ago. So, how am I still betting on certain books?

[00:26:33]It's called partnerships. And that's where I'll leave it at that. Um, but that's how you can kind of keep the game going. Spurs on the first half money line. DraftKings.

[00:26:45]Interesting. Oh, we got a little WNBA here with the Valkyrie in the Storm.

[00:26:49]This is an offshore book called Ben Anything. I've been using them for a long time. Can't remember if I have any money in the account or not, though. I got to log in and take a look. It's been a couple It's been like two weeks since I've used them. I was using them a lot in Wisconsin, but then I just kind of forgot. Um, again, the under five and a half on the AHL. So, what you're going to see here is you're just seeing a lot of alternate leagues, right? You're not seeing, you know, I love the Spurs first half money line play. We open this bad boy up. You know, Pinnacle's taking about 1,600 bucks right now. As we get closer to tip, it's going to change.

[00:27:24]They're going to take a lot more. This is an ARB to Pinnacle. So, what do I say? ARB to Pinnacle. Oh, I do got money over there. Nice. We're going to bet we're going to bet that WNBA play.

[00:27:35]We're we're being told to bet the minus 142 on the Spurs. Well, on the other side on Pinnacle, you can bet the Timberwolves at plus 143. The plus odds number is larger than the minus odds number. I can literally, if I lived in Canada, I could bet the Timberwolves on Pinnacle. I could bet the Spurs on DraftKings and I could arb them to make a profit. This is a cross market.

[00:27:58]One of these sports books is [ __ ] up.

[00:28:01]I'm willing to bet it's DraftKings.

[00:28:04]So anytime that you can see an ARB to pinnacle or an ARB to bookmaker bet online or Fandal circa sharp sports books that's a green light indicator that you want to place a single straight bet over here. Now this ARB isn't going to make you a lot of money. That's not the point. The point is is that you can literally trade both of these books against each other and make make a profit.

[00:28:29]That shouldn't happen. So this is definitely a play you want to hit on DraftKings. I would be willing to put at least a unit on this play, if not more.

[00:28:39]I'm looking at this Valkyrie Storm play.

[00:28:42]This is for today. Um, now this is not an ARB dependent, but I definitely like it.

[00:28:49]Again, guys, the more sports books that you have, the more opportunities are going to be available to you. So, the over 155 and a half, um, I'm going to throw 100 bucks on this. 110 to make 100.

[00:29:03]And there we go.

[00:29:07]Appreciate that. Uh what else do we got here?

[00:29:13]Connecticut Sun.

[00:29:15]Interesting.

[00:29:17]So the Sun plus 11 and a half tonight on the road against the Liberty as the WNBA regular season starts tonight.

[00:29:28]All right. All right. So, Pinnacle's taking about $4,200 on the Sun.

[00:29:38]Um, I don't mind that. So, I'm going to go hit this up on FanDuel, guys. Uh, again, not an ARB, not a low hold, but definitely a play we want to go hit up.

[00:29:48]So, this is going to be an alternate line. Okay. Plus 11 and a half. I'm over here in the WNBA. There is no there is a reward. So, if you want to reward, um I'm probably going to go with the 50% boost. Okay, claim this for the NBA playoffs. So, we're going to go to just alternate handicaps and then the Sun at plus 11 and a half. So, a couple of things. What's the max wager for me? 200 bucks. It's not bad. Um I'm gonna bet 100 bucks on the Sun one time. Okay, I'll share this link with you guys if you want it. And then I'm also just going to put my boost on this as well because I can only bet what 10 bucks. So 10 bucks. I'm going to bet the boost on it as well. So there we go. So obviously the boost I can only put 10 bucks on but pretty solid. I'm getting paid out about, you know, $12. So there we go.

[00:30:49]So I'm in for 100 bucks on the sun plus 11 and a half.

[00:30:57]MP, good morning. Good morning.

[00:30:58]Hopefully you're having a good morning to to you, sir.

[00:31:02]Um, now different story maybe, right?

[00:31:05]Like Fanatics, like I'm limited on Fanatics. Like I would just go bet whatever on Fanatics. The over six and a half runs. This is juicy. This is an alternate line on the score for those of you that have the score. I'm limited over there. I'm literally just going to bet this right now because um I can't get that much down. And this is Major League Baseball. This is a main line total runs play. So, like I mentioned, if you're limited, no rules. Just bet whatever you can.

[00:31:50]Okay. Um, what else do we got?

[00:31:54]Not a ton. Not a ton. Now, something else that you can go above and beyond, guys, over here on the plus EV platinum plan on EV tool with a platinum plan. We're going to grab hockey. We're going to look at basketball. We're going to look at WNBA, baseball. Um, I would grab maybe a tennis play here or two. And then sometimes I like to grab a couple soccer leagues.

[00:32:19]I can grab up to 10 leagues at most.

[00:32:25]All right, so here's what we're going to do. We can go Pinnacle, we can go circle, we can go bookmaker, we can go bet online, right? Four sharp books. And I can just say, hey, I want 50%. So what does 50% mean? That means I have, first off, each book is at 25% input, and I need at least two of these four sharp sports books to agree together on a play. This would provide me even more confidence. So, a lot of no vig plays and profit x plays are going to pop up.

[00:32:52]So, if you're on no vig or profitex, get ready to go. Bet on line of pinnacle agree that the under four and a half in the raise Red Sox first half total runs.

[00:32:59]That's the first five innings is a almost a 2% edge. So when you can see that multiple books are in agreement here like on the Red Sox money line Pinnacle book maker and bet online all agree that there's a 1% edge on this play then you should have a lot of confidence that the Red Sox money line at every game which is an offshore sports book there's an edge.

[00:33:23]So when you combine multiple books together you're going to find out you get you get some edges. Now these edges are lower.

[00:33:30]So the Kelly criterion is going to tell you to bet lower. I believe because you're actually finding an edge, you should bet put down a unit on these plays because you're getting a lot of agreement between sharp books.

[00:33:42]So, and for those of you that are new to this, you know, and me betting on the Sun and me betting on the over on the Valkyries game, obviously tonight, you know, on the on the evening stream, I'll go back and show those plays to see did the spreads move at all in our favor?

[00:33:57]Did the totals move in our favor? You know, so those of you that are new to betting on on the WNBA or just betting in general, you know, we can take a look at how that works and to see if we got a good price or maybe if the market moved against us. Sometimes that does happen.

[00:34:13]So, you know, these plays are lowered plays, but I have a lot of confidence betting them because again, my analogy is you go out with friends for a drink or you want to go, you ask your family and your kids like, "Where do you want to go eat tonight?" And if you could get like a couple people to agree on one place, you're like, "Good, thank goodness. Let's go there." Right?

[00:34:36]Because everybody's gonna have a different opinion. So, that's the same with sports betting. We can get a couple of books that have the same opinions together. That's very powerful. So, you don't want to bet justif I don't want to bet $15 because his edge is lower. I want to bet a little bit more than that because I'm getting a good signal.

[00:34:54]Um, what we got here?

[00:34:57]Cool, cool, cool. Okay, so obviously I don't have no Vigor Profitex unfortunately out here where I live. But a couple of things. Number one, this Red Sox play, very few of you probably have every game, but guess what? You might have 4CX, no big profit X, or KI, right?

[00:35:14]So, I'm going to go over to Koshi right now. I'm just going to create a price for the Red Sox on the money line. I'd love to get this at roughly minus 126, maybe minus 125. So, again, I come over here to Ky, come up to sports. If you live in America, you have access to Ky.

[00:35:34]So, I'm just going to scroll down to Red Sox here. I'm going to click on the minus 137. [snorts] And let me make myself a little bit smaller.

[00:35:45]And you're going to see I have this. I could take it. Well, Billy's only minus 137. If you click this drop down here and you click limit order, now I can say, hey, you know what? I want to bet 100 bucks on the Red Sox, but I would like to get this at what's my options 124 and a half. That would be great at the scheduled event start. So at first pitch, if I don't get my order filled, then I just get my money refunded to me.

[00:36:11]Now, also, I could have someone take bits and pieces of my order. You know, someone doesn't have to take the full $100. Someone could just take $10 of this and then I get my $90 refunded to me. So, just remember that, guys. But I'm now literally creating a price over a couchy. I'm giving myself a chance on the Red Sox money line at minus25 odds, right? And so there we go. Give myself an opportunity. You'll be surprised.

[00:36:44]Sometimes these orders get filled, sometimes they don't. I'll leave it at minus 126 because after I pay the rake to Kowi, it's basically 126, right? So all of these plays, if I want to take the Knicks first half money line, I just scroll over here. If I don't see Koshi's logo and I can't bet that right now, right? 4CX profit X novig. You can do that. Okay. So if I look at the Padres's on the money line, I know that I could bet this on Cal sheet, right? This opens up a whole new world for me. I go create a price over on Cali. See if I can get my order filled. Right.

[00:37:20]Definitely an opportunity. It looks good to three sharp books at this particular price.

[00:37:26]So, all of these are different angles and strategies to try to help you guys.

[00:37:31]For those of you that are limited to $2 on Fanatics and MGM and Bet Rivers and Bet 365, etc. when you don't have and if maybe you're like me and you live in the state that you don't have no vigor profit X then you can go over to Koshi grab some sharp books and this is still a viable strategy that you can scale I've made videos in the past talking about some different ways to do this like to show you guys just in real real time um let's go back to see if anything news happened on prize picks because I'm not really sure hoping sometimes guys the morning streams and I would predict Moving forward for the summer months, the morning streams are going to be a little bit like 40 to 45 minutes. Um, especially when we get into like the dog days of summer for those, you know, we're getting in the slow part of the season here, guys. When the NBA season ends, NHL's over. All we have is baseball in the WNBA. You know, we'll bet some UFC's fights on the weekends.

[00:38:29]Speaking of UFC, we take a look at that.

[00:38:32]Um, but other than that, there isn't a ton going on.

[00:38:38]And so that can kind of be a pain in the butt. Castle, this play now has gotten to be a much higher edge on his player points according to Pinnacle. So I like the Castle play because Pinnacle again, they they adjusted their odds. There's a higher edge play there. Fitzpatrick on golf over 69 and a half, which would be good to know the conditions at the truest.

[00:39:04]Okay. Um, what about the sharp money tool for prize picks?

[00:39:18]Anything? Nothing.

[00:39:20]We got nothing for prize picks.

[00:39:23]Damn, dude.

[00:39:26]Okay. Um, for my prize picks, peeps, I like the Rose or the Fitzpatrick play and I like Stefan Castle.

[00:39:36]So, we'll cook a three pick slip up over on points.

[00:39:50]PGA.

[00:39:54]Fitzpatrick over on strokes. And then we can go with Rose. Over on strokes. I already have Rose, so I'm gonna go with Harris English.

[00:40:05]three birdies or more. Um, it's a three pick entry, no insurance. I'll share the link here with you guys for those of you that are thirsty for a prize pick slip.

[00:40:26]Austin asks, um, when is the best time to bet first inning plays? Ideally, Austin, less than an hour before first pitch, 30 minutes or less, because and the reason I say that again, all of this comes back to you want to try to mask your betting activity like a casual sports better.

[00:40:49]So, very few of my buddies I know for from now until before first pitch starts are really going to be looking to bet at all. Most casual sports bers are waiting to bet five, 10, 15 minutes before the game start. So, if you can wait 60 minutes or less to bet your first inning bets for the yes runs, no runs first inning, that's what I would do because you want to mimic your behavior like a casual sports better. Um, but good question. Scott says, "I'm definitely concerned when getting limited.

[00:41:20]Currently doing $10 units and mostly on player props with a lot of unders."

[00:41:23]Scott, so I will tell you this. Um, that is something that a lot of beginners think that they're that I understand you're worried about limits and you're new to sports betting. So, obviously you want to you want to take you want to go slow with your betting size.

[00:41:36]Even if you're only betting $10 on an under, you'll still get limited.

[00:41:42]You'll still get limited even if you only bet five or 10 bucks. So, to give you an example of why why is that? Because it doesn't matter what how much money you're betting. It all comes down to price.

[00:41:54]Again, this all comes back to the beginning of the stream. Everything comes down to price. So, if I'm looking at a player prop, because most people think that they're, you know, they're flying under the radar of the sports books if they're only betting like 10 $15 on unders. But the truth is is that's that's incorrect. Um, because it all comes down to price. So, if I keep this within a fairly conservative range, minus 150 to plus 125, I'm looking at player props for any and all sports books, okay? And I'm being told to bet the under on Nelson on Pitcher Strikeouts. Now, Pitcher Strikeouts does offer a decent amount of liquidity, right? So, you go to Hard Rock, and Hard Rock's a really, really easy book to bet. God, if we had no limits on Hard Rock, everybody would quit their job and they'd be rich. Um, so you're like, you know what? I'm just going to bet like 10 or 15 bucks on this Nelson play. But what Hard Rock's going to notice is a couple things. Number one, the time that you placed your bet, this game doesn't start until 9:40 Eastern. It's currently 9:43 a.m. We're 12 hours away from first pitch. That's the first problem. The next problem, look at the price that you're getting this at compared to the rest of the sports betting market.

[00:43:09]Everybody thinks this should be at minus49.

[00:43:12]You're getting this at minus 110. So you got an incredible price. You're betting early in the day and you're betting on an under.

[00:43:23]So even if you're only betting $10, that's still a problem. So hopefully you can understand that. Um Irish, no problem, man. Appreciate you able to hang out, man. Glad to hear from you.

[00:43:36]Hope all is well. So that's why this is a problem.

[00:43:42]Even if you're betting overs like, "Hey, I'm going to take an over." Well, that's great. But the problem is this game doesn't start for another 12 hours. And all the other sports books, as you can see here, for the most part, other than no vig has a minus sign next to this.

[00:43:56]They all think it's a favorite. You're getting plus 117 odds. Now, the workaround is you go to the kiosks, which most people don't have the time a day that they can't do that. If you go to a kiosk, no, I don't care. But you're betting this on your phone, this is a problem. So, that's why betting player props, even for small wager sizes, is a problem because Hard Rock, if you have access to Hard Rock, you're like, "Dude, I just got this great bet on Castle. It looks great and it probably wins." But you can see that all the sports books are like minus 140 odds and you got minus 110. So that's the problem.

[00:44:33]Um yeah, Austin, I I I would say um listen, most people and I would love to hear this. Most people don't understand how to navigate the sports books and limits until they get limited on all their personal accounts. And that's not a knock on anybody. It's just a learning experience. You're new. You don't know any better. You're using a software.

[00:44:59]You're going to be able to make money on these plays, but you're not going to know, oh, the ne there's another level to this, which is then trying to get your action down inconspicuously.

[00:45:12]And that's the next step. And most people, and I didn't learn this until I was like, wait a minute, I can't bet whatever I like whenever I want on bet MGM on player props. And then one day it all came crashing down. So, the hard part for you is to to scroll past this Stefon Castle play, right? The hard part for you is to scroll past the Nelson play. That's difficult. And even if you're putting this in a parlay, it's just nobody bets 12 hours in advance on an under on a pitcher strikeout. That's the problem. So, if you want, what I would do instead of going to Hard Rock is I would come over to Ky. Now, you might not get this order filled, but come to Koshi because Koshi doesn't care what you bet. They don't care how much you bet or when you bet or what whatever you want to bet on. So, come to Koshi because they'll never limit you or no vig or wherever you live at and go to KI should change down here to like my pricing because I put it up there or the over, excuse me, because I'm offering plus 110. I'm not offering the best plus odds on the over. That's my fault. So again, I'll just come over here and say I'm going to go to Cali.

[00:46:24]No, I'm probably not going to get that filled. I probably should have made me set up a better competitive price, but that's how you could do it. That that that's that's a better workaround. Now, if it's 30 minutes or less before first pitch and you see this Nelson play, go bet this. Go bet it on Hard Rock, right?

[00:46:40]You're going to get limited, but at least you can bet it. Also, limits are going to be increased on the books. As we get closer to game time, books start to take more money. That's why the books don't take a lot of money early in the morning because they're trying to limit their risk exposure. When they set a line, when they set a line out there, they're not setting the perfect line.

[00:46:58]They're just trying their best to not set the worst line ever and get killed.

[00:47:03]But then the sharp bettererss go in and they make and mold the lines. Think of it like a piece of play-doh. You just slap the play-doh on the on the table.

[00:47:12]That's what the sports books do. And then the sharp sports betterers come in and take that play-doh and build a beautiful piece of art. That's how it goes. So that's sports betting in the landscape. Everybody thinks that like FanD was trying to screw me. No, no, no, no, no, no. FanDuel set a line way early like four 24 hours ago and then the Sharp Betters went in and gobbled up all the good value and moved the line to where it now is. That's why in NFL Sundays, you never It's very difficult to win on NFL Sundays when you're betting 10 minutes before kickoff because the sharp bers have had an entire week to bet into that market in that line. And really, right before kickoff is the true representation of what should happen in the game. Doesn't always happen, but there's a lot of times it does. So, that's all. Don't mean to go on a rant, guys, but for those of you that are new, that's just kind of why you don't want to bet unders at like 12 hours before first pitch.

[00:48:10]I'll be back on tonight, guys, at 6 o'clock Eastern. Um, doing this again.

[00:48:14]Again, I do offer one-on-one coaching for anyone that's interested. Um, email me, DM me. Um, we've had some others like Ismael work with me oneonone. We've talked in the past about your risk tolerance and your sports books if you're trying to maximize and squeeze the most juice out of that. Um, but otherwise, have an awesome morning and afternoon. I'll talk to you guys this evening. Take care.