While the video correctly identifies gold as a barometer of global anxiety, attempting to time the market based on political headlines often traps retail investors in short-term noise. True financial insight lies in recognizing that once a "secret" becomes public news, the window for strategic positioning has already closed.
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தங்கம் விலை இனி சரசரவென குறையப்போகுதா? டிரம்ப் போட்ட கணக்கு!!Secret-ஐ உடைத்த Expert!Added:
Hello, sir.
Hello, madam.
Sir, now that gold has arrived, everyone is talking about it, so to speak. So why is there so much gold and so much speed? What kind of reason is there behind this? Sir, if you know, when there is instability in the world, when the war comes, everything will go up like this. Okay, that's why it went up. Apart from war, there is a war situation plus oil gummy oil problem. When a problem arises, they say, "Cheap Hawan." The only thing that is safe is gold.
Okay, that's what they're all going towards. But now, for us, there are two kinds of problems: one is the land cast from gold, and the other is subject to the US rate. I think the US was only 97, but now it's closer to 92. I understand that the price of gold will drop even further from now on.
Okay, they've even added import duty.
So, there is a possibility that the customs duty will be higher due to the imposition of import duty, and the landed customs will be higher.
Okay, but what's the problem with this? We always come and cut both sides of any issue.
We'll add 15% to our import duty and see what happens. There's a lot of smuggling, a lot of smuggled gold. Okay, okay, if you buy gold for Rs. 12 crore with a 15% difference, you will get a profit of Rs. 30 lakh. But let me give you an example. This definitely happens. There are many people who do illegal activities. This is definitely not active.
Therefore, the supply of gold is going to be very high illegally.
Okay, okay, it's going to be okay. It's a bad effect, but otherwise, the consumption of Chasing Gold will come down a little bit.
Chasing gold will decrease a little now. Let's think about buying all this import duty for investment. There are many opportunities to buy now just for needs. Sir, we have seen our gold rate now, so now it is over 1 lakh, that 1,50,000, 1,60,000, so we can say that it is close to that. So, this is not a starting point for now, and there 's still no chance of reaching the peak.
You say it's a waste.
There's no chance of going to the peak.
Okay. If that ceasefire is declared, all the gold, all the gold, all the silver will come to Cape Town. It's heading towards that.
Okay, okay. So, they came to an agreement and decided that from now on, okay, no problem, whoever wants to come, they can sell normally.
That's what I'm telling you. When you come to solve the problem, gold goes up.
Then, as you said, this crisis uncertainty. That's why they are buying more gold. Now, among those who are buying gold, no one is buying gold with an investment mind. Sir, there is a cheap side, there is a cheap side, let's go. That's how they are buying gold. I mean, if you look now, all those who bought last year, they are missing out on the bear of missing out.
Last year, I said, one person bought Unit 84. He is in plus.
But this year, those who bought it are in plus. It's hard for those who bought this year to come and get a plus. Okay sir, now that volatility is high, what are smart people doing?
Are they missing out on the Retail Investor Slam? When volatility is high, smart money wo n't buy gold. Okay, because it's smart. Okay, okay. Yes, you understand. We shouldn't say "our money."
That's a negative word. Do you understand. The driver of missing out money is what's in gold. Now smart money isn't in gold.
Smart money has come and now it's gone into equities.
It came in equity.
Okay, that's when the smart money will switch on. That's it, that's the famous smart money.
Okay sir, in the same way, let's say the dollar is now inflation and global tension. So, what is causing gold to move the most? If gold comes and sinks, it is global tension.
Global tension and uncertainty, that is, the main thing that comes to mind is war.
Okay, for India, I think the war plus the rupee, the rupee, the week, the rupee, the strong rupee, the landed cost of gold, it has come down from 97 rupees to 91-92 now. I forgot the rate.
He became a UST in 97. If it turns out to be 88 or 89, the land cost of gold will definitely decrease.
Okay, okay.
Because if the gold you buy comes in at $97, you have to lock in the profit above that.
So the same gold has arrived and now they have imposed 15% tax. If the rupee strengthens by 15%, the food will be good for you.
I understand, do you understand? So that's why this came, this came, a terrible strategic play, the second one came, this now, now you have even oil 91. 1091 has arrived.
Okay, let's reduce oil prices and reduce inflation.
Okay, inflation will decrease. If inflation decreases, an oil price hike will only give you inflation.
Do you understand that inflation will decrease and our rupee will become strong?
Okay, inflation has come down and productivity has increased, which is why the Indian economy is growing so fast.
Many things have just stopped and are standing still. It will be strong if it returns to normal.
Okay, but normal 6% to 7% GDP growth won't be very strong.
Okay, I want to hit the eight consistently. I want to hit the target consistently. The GST collection slam should be lifted.
There is no accounting for normalcy, meaning that five years ago, we had a lakh crores, now we have a lakh crores, and all this. It will go into inflation adjustment. Okay, do you understand? Five years ago, an item cost 100, and you paid 150 for that item, so now you have to pay GST of 2 lakhs, that does n't mean that the economy will grow. This is what the economy is still. The second best indicator is that the normal scenario is now when the economy is growing. Leave it as an exception. Okay, in the normal scenario, the rupee is constantly rising. You watch the rupee. If the rupee is strong, it means that the economy is growing. If the rupee is weak, you watch the gold import. Do you understand that gold is normal? Normal things are normal, that things remain constant. Normal, normal situation. Normal, normal situation. If the economy is doing well, the rupee is strong. It 's strong, okay, the bicycle is ready, we talked, and once we talked, 88 came out of 88. During that period, Ama came back and went to Ukandu in 87.
Again, Erisha, if this oil project is good, okay, then I'll come back and tell you, let's get back to normal, let's get back to normal, let's get some growth increase, let's get GDP to touch eight, eight, nine.
Touch GST Collection and it will come up and you will know the GST collection. Okay, GST collection should increase dramatically. GDP should be reflected. The rupee will become strong automatically, that's the only way.
Okay, since you mentioned oil, I'm asking, sir, now the oil has come and gone. So, as far as our country is concerned, India is an oil importing country. So, in our country, the prices of petrol and diesel have increased significantly in just 10 days, when they were already increasing. CNG is even more expensive. Everything is coming to Delhi and now the news is coming. I mean, this is a very sensitive area. No, how can I say this? The bicycle that was bought for 110 dollars went down to 70 dollars. Don't you understand that the petrol price has come down? This is a big boost. I'm just saying that it has come down by 40%, the government has come down by lowering the oil price and it is strong. The government is a jackpot. Okay, okay, I understand.
Now, what does the jackpot mean? They have increased the petrol price. The oil price is going down.
Okay, this is making the rupee strong.
Oil prices are also falling. While all this is happening, the price hike, petrol prices coming down, and the rupee will be strong. If you all come and see this, the government is completely stonewalled.
Okay, okay.
Do you understand the full cash? Now that situation has come, the government has gone and entered the territory again. That's why I'm saying this, this, this, this, this, this, now we can't ask them why they don't reduce it.
We don't know at what level Bikas operates. Now, when you watch an outdoor cricket match from outside, you know that ball can be played like that, right? But we only know when we are there.
They know that the government has a reason for wanting them dead. Okay, okay, we can't say that. You can't ask for a reduction in the price of Singha from 110 to 70. We can talk to them too, but we can't just come and pretend to listen.
So there might be some other factor. Let's get back to the topic, let's talk about our gold.
Is this gold rally just a normal price rise or is it the start of a long-term trend? There is no long-term trend. Gold comes and says, "I'm entering."
It's from Euphoria to Euphoria stage. The extended euphoria stage has been going on for a long time now. So, from this perspective, the probability of gold coming down is very high, very high. If the stop is reached, it will come here and fall down like a big debt.
Okay, okay, if you buy gold now, it will be very difficult to see returns in the next one year.
Sir, some experts are now saying that we can even touch one lakh by 2027.
They are saying that to reach all that, everyone in the world will have to fight for one lakh, 25 lakh.
For now, this is not it, no, that's what I'm saying, that's what I'm saying, Madam, you always look at it, how come you're an expert?
Any everyody, come to talk about the economy, economics, definition, 6 enemies, 7 buys, Amatiri gold, a lot of input, I see, I see, demand supply technical us, okay, I see a lot of burly technical, okay, a lot of people come and use the divination style too. So I don't know what they are looking at. That's why we can't make them into a kettle. I'm not a technician, so there are a lot of people who would like to know what I'm doing. Only those who are biased towards that technicality know about it. Okay. So, even today, someone came and saw me. Gold comes and someone comes and says, "Gold is the one who says it."
Someone else said it, just as you said. He came and said, "I think this is astrology." Okay, let's watch. Josiah said so.
I say let's see what happens.
Okay, now, as you said, you should have invested in gold for the rest of the year. They will have a little plus. There will be a slight limit for those who are there this year. It's really high right now, so you could say that. So, can I enter now, sir? The gold I tracked before came in at 146.
Okay, 1401 arrived. It turned out to be 126.
If you buy it for 145, it will take 10 years to pay off that amount. Silver 385 Those who bought silver at 385 probability seeing that number only God knows that silver has come technically and has hit the long term chart very hard. They have planted everything in the long term chart very well. They will tell you in a movie, they will go to the room and say that they will hit it. Do you know how they will slowly raise it and call everyone inside, call everyone to light and make everyone buy.
When is the selling time, we will buy the retail price. We are the ones who chase the smart man.
This is what is happening.
Sir, now the price of gold has come and is continuing to rise. If that is the case, let there be middle class savings, how can investment habits change?
Sir, madam, how can we do anything about this?
Madam, you have to accept it. Now, you can buy gold yourself, but no matter what the situation, whoever can buy gold will buy it, they will not be able to buy it. They will be the ones who will not stop buying it. Those who buy five gold bars will buy four, those who buy four will buy two, and those who buy two will not stop buying it.
That is the psychology of buying gold. Okay, that's not bad. So, Bhadar sir, do you think that gold will give us an opportunity in the next 6 months?
Or will our patients be tested? Sir, no, I will come back in the next six months and tell you that if this becomes normal, gold will not do anything for the next three years.
Okay, gold will be in trend for the next three years. The long-term downtrend has been OK for three times now, and it has technically come down to the 50-day moving average. The only reason why gold is on the rise is because of Trump. It's not because of the insider, it's because of Trump that Gold is on top.
Okay, sir, that's the matter.
Okay, in the current situation, should we invest in gold or not? But we shouldn't do it now. It shouldn't be done in the current situation.
Okay, I said eight, seven, eight months. But I've gone beyond that.
But what I'm saying is based on a risk-reward basis.
Okay, the risk reward basis is for me. Now, if we invest our own risk, we invest our own return.
I feel like the risk is too high for me in this place and the reward is too low.
Why am I the one who bought the Golduppa Gold Piece for ₹39?
I bought 39 gold pieces. I stopped buying when I was in the 70s or 80s.
I never expected to see 100.
Okay, okay.
So if there's a fight, this is the problem. Otherwise, it will have to reverse and come down at 80-85.
That trend has gone somewhere in the fish reversion, and it definitely can't go 120% if the average is 9% in the fish reversion. A correction will only come if the market goes above 16%, 40%, or 45%, making it historic.
Okay, this is it. At that time, only small caps will go up by 70-80%.
So, after that, I'll just say that they all need to be corrected, but it's very difficult to get this long-term thing back after a long time.
Thank you sir. To watch more business and related videos coming up on the ED Tamil channel, click the subscribe button below.
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