This analysis mistakes historical correlation for a fixed law of nature, essentially offering financial astrology under the guise of technical data. It oversimplifies the chaotic reality of global markets into a predictable pattern that rarely survives the next major shift.
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HISTORY REPEATING FOR BITCOIN AND MSTR!? STRATEGY INC TO TRIGGER THE NEXT BITCOIN BULL RUN IN 2027!?Added:
Good morning to the viewers. Actually, it's probably evening or afternoon by the time you're watching this. Wherever you are, good afternoon to the viewers around the globe.
Welcome to a different blockchain debriefing.
And we're going to do a little bit of a twist in this video. We're going to be looking at MSTR because it's actually potentially telling us where we are and where we're going to go in the future as far as 2027 and 2028.
Now, what's extremely interesting here, which I'm sure you've seen all over YouTube, is we're very much so following the playbook from 2021, where MSTR topped almost a year before Bitcoin, and it's been bearish since November of 2024, but you can see we're having a very large move to the upside now, even though Bitcoin isn't. And this is a very good sign because it does let us know that in the future MSTR should be just as reactive as it is now.
And because you can clearly see that even though Bitcoin is up well, MSTR bounced by 90%, but Bitcoin only bounced by 38%. So, well, I don't want to say only, but so you've have you have over 2x beta the Bitcoin. And this is in a bear market, in my opinion. So, when we're in a bull market and there's more euphoria, that should be even stronger.
And that's what we saw in both market cycles. So, the fact that we're seeing it again, I think is a good sign because it should doesn't mean it has to, but it should indicate that in the next bull market the beta should be stronger, which means technically buying MSTR is I'm not going to say better or worse than Bitcoin, but you get more exposure.
And the reason why this is so relevant is because we are starting to approach that potential reversal point.
Now, the 4-year cycle does say that historically the bottom should be at the end of the year, and that's what this is lining up for.
So, that's why in the Doge videos, I always say summer should be that reversal point. We're going to know that MSTR starting to move down into the end of the summer will confirm that this is The bottom doesn't have to be in October, but the bottom should be around here somewhere.
And you can see that if this ends up playing out, then the time to get really bullish potentially would be in the summer of 2027.
Now, it's important to note that you'll never see the same exact thing twice in a row, because if you took the 2017, or excuse me, the 2020 bull market, and you overlayed it to here, well, unfortunately, we don't have a bear market, cuz I think MSTR started buying Bitcoin back here, but you can see that it didn't necessarily play out. Right?
You didn't get this parabolic rally heading into the summer. You got duped.
So, one would argue that we can't necessarily expect it to look like this, but the reason why we're monitoring it is because MSTR selling off into the summer does potentially signal the bottom's at the end of the year.
And if that ends up happening, then we're going to know that the bull market has essentially begun.
And the reason why this is so relevant is because the 4-year cycle is heavily pushed on YouTube, but MSTR didn't follow it.
MSTR was bullish from 2023 to 2024, around 666 days.
Now, if this ends up repeating and the low is somewhere at the end of the year, us being bullish right from that point would potentially mark the top sometime at the end of 2028, which is an entire year before the 4-year cycle is projected to end.
But, the reason why this is so important is because we're very big on momentum, but when the momentum starts to top out, that's actually the best time to I'm not going to say get out, but I'll I'll I guess I'll say make money.
Because what else do we know from following the channel?
That Dogecoin also topped out in December, November of 2024. So, that's why monitoring MSTR will actually help us predict, or at least potentially infer, this XYZ period is the best time to get out, okay, with with minimal loss.
Because what we learned is we don't want to necessarily try and sell the exact top, because if you stay in too long, then we lose everything.
So, just a little video to let let you know, I think we're going to start covering MSTR. What do I think? Well, I think we could argue that we're potentially in here, where you can see that the stock RSI was on the floor, but we didn't actually start the bull market until months later. So, if I had to guess, right, we're probably in this, which means that heading into the summer, which is what we're about to do, the price of MSTR reversing back to the downside will confirm that the bottom is at the end of the year. But the thing is, if this ends up playing out, MSTR should actually turn bullish with Bitcoin right away.
Which means that the the bull market is probably going to pick up steam right away. And we should be looking for a potential top for MSTR in this area.
But it doesn't mean that Bitcoin is going to top there.
So, we'll continue to monitor MSTR.
I do think the fact that again it's bouncing with Bitcoin is a very good sign for the bull market, but we'll know that we're going to bottom if MSTR displays weakness in the summer.
And I say if because I'm giving the super cyclers the benefit of the doubt.
I I think when, right? When MSTR reverses down that'll let us know that we're finally bearish. But until then, we'll let the price go wherever it wants. But you can see the momentum is potentially setting up again for a repeat of 2022, where we stayed oversold basically the entire bear market because the price topped out so much earlier than Bitcoin.
And as we enter the end of the year, the final capitulation will come, and then we could potentially get the bull market for MSTR. And the reason why this is so relevant is because technically, yes, if you do put DOGE on the chart, you can see that both market cycles they topped out together. So, I I definitely think monitoring MSTR will help us in the big picture, and that's what we're going to do. So, as always, stay safe.
None of this is financial advice.
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