Diplomacy Meets Fed Hawkishness | MACRO TRADING DESK

Added: 2026-05-28

[00:00:00]So, so value macro trading desk. Today, markets are watching [music] two forces, Middle East diplomacy and Fed hawkishness. The US [music] and Iran appear close to a short-term agreement, though nothing is fully finalized yet.

[00:00:15]The draft reportedly [music] follows a two-stage model. First, Iran clears mines and reopens [music] the Strait of Hormuz, while the US eases port restrictions and some oil sanctions.

[00:00:26]Then, both sides enter a 60-day negotiation window on the new issue.

[00:00:30]But, markets are not celebrating too much. The key question is not just whether a deal is signed, but whether Hormuz traffic normalizes [music] and oil prices cool down. At the same time, Fed signals are turning more hawkish. Kevin Warsh [music] has taken office. Trump avoided pressuring for rate cuts, and markets are now starting to price a possible December hike. For US equities, AI remains the strongest theme. Macro risks may trigger pullbacks, but for now, they do not look strong enough to fully reverse the AI trend.

[00:01:02]On Sodexo, watch US Tech 100, oil, gold, [music] Bitcoin, Mag 7, and AI-related stocks.