Jesse Livermore, the legendary trader who mastered crowd psychology and predicted major market crashes like 1907 and 1929, demonstrates that trading success depends not on intelligence but on character, discipline, and emotional control; his story reveals that the market is a mirror reflecting one's own psychology, and even the most successful traders can be destroyed by their own emotions, overconfidence, and inability to follow their own rules.
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Jesse livermore: the trader who mastered crowd psychologyAdded:
Legends of yesteryear, Jesse Livermore.
You know, there are people they call legends, not because everything was perfect for them, but because they lived their lives in such a way that they left behind stories. Jesse Livermore is just one such a case. [music] He's one of those whose name over time becomes increasingly shrouded in mystery, but let's take it in order. He was born, imagine, at the end of the 19th century >> [music] >> in 1877, a small town in Massachusetts, and an ordinary American family, no silver spoon in the mouth. His father was a farmer, strict and stubborn. The kind of man who believed only in hard [music] work with his hands. His mother, on the other hand, was softer and wiser.
She sensed that her son's mind worked differently than others. Even then, [music] Jesse was a strange child. Not in a bad way, but in that he didn't like digging the earth. He was bored with doing the same thing over and over again, but he adored numbers. His father didn't understand this. For him, life was simple, work, eat, don't work, don't eat. And so, at 14, he simply up and left home. No drama, no movie scenes, he simply understood that [music] if he stayed, they would break him. They would make him a farmer against his will. And so, he ran [music] away to Boston. Late 19th century Boston isn't about skyscrapers and tech startups, it's about bustling streets, steam, newspapers, telegraph offices, and stock exchange that looked like a cross between a casino and an accounting office. And that's where Jesse finds himself. He gets a job as an errand boy at a brokerage firm, Paine, Webber, now part of the UBS AG. The firm's office was on the Congress Street, the equivalent of Wall Street in New York City. [music] Legend has it that Paine, Webber building was the first thing that young Livermore saw in Boston after getting off the wagon. His job [music] is to write down quotes on a board.
Imagine the ticker isn't available everywhere yet. The numbers come by telegraph and here's a guy sitting there simply copying down price after price for hours. Most people in this place would just do their job and wait for their paycheck, but Jesse begins to notice something strange. Prices don't move chaotically. [music] They move in waves, jerks, and pullbacks. He sees that after a certain movement, the market seems to pause and [music] then resume. He doesn't know the words pattern or crowd or psychology, but he feels it. And he begins to write things down keeping his own notebooks, not just prices, but price behavior. Over time, a simple idea took shape in his mind. If the market behaves the same in similar situations, then there's money to be made. His first trading experience, of course, was in so-called bucket shops.
Essentially, these were semi-legal firms where you didn't buy actual shares, but simply bet on price movements. Something like a very early version of speculation without owning the asset.
Many considered it a dirty business, but it was there that Jesse learned the most important thing, reading price movements. There were no dividends or fancy company stories. It was simply up or down. And then, he started winning.
Not just occasionally, but consistently.
At first, just a little, then more. By 16, he was already earning more than the grown men around him.
People start recognizing him and, of course, disliking him.
Bucket shops start banning him, really.
They simply wouldn't let him in because he won too often. Imagine the level of absurdity. You're being kicked out not because you're a cheater, [music] but because you're too good at reading the market.
And instead of stopping, Jesse decides to move on.
>> [music] >> The real stock exchange, New York, Wall Street. A place where money, ego, and fear are mixed into one big cocktail.
And he enters there with a same approach. No advice, [music] no inside information, just price and volume, just crowd behavior. He quickly understands one thing, the market isn't about numbers, but about people who are afraid, greedy, doubtful, and follow the crowd. And price is simply a reflection of these emotions. If you think emotions are easy to overcome, you're sorely mistaken. I have a separate video on this topic. Be sure to watch it. I always have separate posts on my Telegram channel about how emotions can negatively impact your trading. The link in the description down below. Be sure to follow it. Plus, every week we have a giveaway for 100% bonus of your deposit.
If you'd like to participate, comment, "I want to join the giveaway." and I'll send you a special link. Now, let's get back to the legend of that time. At this point, he begins making huge amounts of money, millions of dollars at the beginning of the 20th century. He is called the Great Bear of Wall Street. He profits from deadlines when others go broke, especially during panics. The 1907 the financial crisis chaos, banks collapsing, people hysterical, and Livermore makes a fortune because he is not afraid to go against the crowd if he sees that logic is on his side. He was one of those who quickly understood one simple brutal thing, the market doesn't like the overconfident. And the moment you start thinking you're smarter than everyone else, the market immediately brings you to your knees. This happened to Livermore more than once. After this first big success on Wall Street, he felt like a king. And how could he not?
A guy with no education, no connections, no last name, yet he earned more than bankers in top hats. Money flowed like a river. He lived lavishly, expensive hotels, the best restaurants, women, and feeling that the world was at his feet.
But, at one point, [music] all of this began to crack. He began to deviate from his own rules. The funniest and most tragic thing at the same time is that he knew the right way to do things. [music] He wrote about it, spoke about it, thought about it, but at the same point, he started listening to other people's advice. And every time he did so, the market knocked him down. The first major crash happened precisely because of this. He jumped into the market without a clear signal, without his own confirmation, simply because that was what they said. The result, the loss of almost his entire fortune. For everyone else, this would have been the end. He would have given up, walked away, declared the stock market is a casino, but not Livermore. He sat down, cooled down, [music] and did what he did best.
Began to analyze his mistakes. Over time, he developed his core principles.
Big money [music] is made not by constantly trading, but by waiting. He could do nothing for weeks, simply observing. And then, at one point, [music] enter, capture, and move that it others simply couldn't psychologically withstand. He said that sitting in the right position is more difficult than entering it because the market consistently tries to knock you out with doubts. But, for all of his genius, he had a weakness. He was addicted to emotions, especially the feeling of victory. When everything was going well, he would start increasing his risks, and the market punished him again and again.
During his life, according to various estimates, he became a multimillionaire three or even four times, and lost everything just as many times. The story leading up to the crash of 1929 was particularly telling. The Great Depression, [music] the most famous crash in history. And here, Livermore once again proved to be the man who saw it coming. He saw that the market was overheated, that the growth wasn't backed by a real economy, that people were buying stocks simply because they were going up. Classic, right? Nothing changes. At that point, he begins shorting carefully and methodically. And when the market collapses, he makes a colossal profit.
They say it was around 100 million at that time. He's a legend again, >> [music] >> the man who was right when everyone else was wrong. But it's precisely after this the success that his slow decline begins. Money stops bringing joy.
[music] His name becomes a brand. He begins managing not only his own money, but also that of others. And that's completely different psychology and responsibility, plus his personal [music] life. It was, to put it mildly, difficult. Several marriages, conflicts, [music] divorces, feeling of loneliness.
He was a man of the marketplace, not a man of everyday life. He struggled with everyday life, and the older he got, the more difficult it became to balance.
Everything he warned others about finally come crashing down on him. And at some point, he officially declared bankruptcy.
>> [music] >> And here, it's important to stop and think. The man who understood the market better than most, who wrote the fundamentals of speculation, who became the prototype for hundreds of traders, couldn't control himself.
>> [music] >> Not because he was stupid, but because he was human. The final stage of his life awaits [music] him, the hardest, the darkest, and the most instructive.
There will be silence, loneliness, and a very [music] bitter end.
But even there, there are important lessons that are still relevant for for any trader. Over time, the silence around him became too intense. [music] And this is perhaps the most terrible thing that can happen to a man who has lived his entire life surrounded by the noise of the market. The phones no longer rang, journalists stopped seeking commentary, young traders already knew new names and new legends. And Livermore was left alone. Financial problems mounted, pressure from partners and family, and the worst thing was the feeling that you'd already figured it all out, lived through it all, but couldn't fix anything. He wrote the most dangerous state for a trader was despair disguised as confidence.
Added to this was depression. Back [music] then, it wasn't discussed the way it is now. There were no psychologists, no Instagram cult gurus, no support for concepts, emotional burnout. It was just pull yourself together, but a man stops whining, but inside was a complete chaos. A man who knew how to read the market was completely unable to read himself. In 1940, he checked into a New York hotel.
It was a quiet room, an ordinary [music] day, and he wrote a very short note to his wife. Just a few lines about how tired he was, how hard it was, and how he couldn't go on.
>> [music] >> And that's it.
That's the end of the story, which ends abruptly.
And here, many people wonder, how could this happen? The man who knew the market better than anyone else, who left behind a legacy rules and philosophy, and this is how [music] it ends. And you know that precisely what makes him real. Because Livermore isn't a success story, but a story of a man with all of his weakness and mistakes. He left behind not a method, a strategy, or magic buttons, but the understanding that the market is a mirror. It shows you yourself. And if you don't work with it, no matter of knowledge will save [music] you. Almost everything he said 100 years ago still relevant today. People still follow the crowd, look for quick money, fail to wait, and break the rules when a winning streak begins, and they still blame the market, not themselves. [music] Livermore said that big money is made not by intelligence, but by character.
And perhaps it was precisely his character that let him down. He was too emotional, too lively, too involved. He didn't know when to stop, but at the same time, if you asked him, he regretted his path. I'm almost certain he would say no, because the market was his life. And that's why people still talk about him, not because he always won, but because he was honest with the market and as best he could with himself. If this story resonated with you, and you understand that trading isn't about luck, but about mindset, discipline, and self-improvement, then that's exactly what I do in my Telegram channel. There are no legends or fairy tales there, but there is a real market, daily analysis, trading sessions, entry entry logic, mistakes, and conclusions.
If you want to see [music] trading for what it really is, this is the place for you.
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