The UK labor market is showing signs of cooling, with unemployment rising to 5% (up from 4.9%), regular pay growth slowing to 3.4% (the weakest pace since 2020), payroll employment falling by 100,000 in April (the largest drop since May 2020), and job vacancies dropping to 705,000 (the lowest level in 5 years). The hospitality and retail sectors are experiencing the largest declines, and economists warn that falling payroll numbers could continue as consumer demand weakens, with full impacts of external factors like the Iran conflict expected to emerge in coming months.
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UK Unemployment Rises to 5% as Wage Growth SlowsAdded:
Britain's unemployment rate rose to 5% in the 3 months to March, up from 4.9% according to the Office for National Statistics, ONS.
Regular earnings growth slowed to 3.4% in the first quarter.
Following a sharp pullback in hiring, payrolls fell by 100,000 in April, the largest drop since May 2020.
Job vacancies slumped by 28,000 to 705,000, the lowest level in 5 years.
Liz McKeown, ONS Director of Economic Statistics, said the labor market remains soft with hospitality and retail sectors seeing the largest declines.
McKeown noted early figures carry greater uncertainty and have often seen larger than average upward revisions.
Suren Thiru, Chief Economist for ICAEW, cited growing distress within the UK's labor market.
Richard Carter of Quilter Cheviot warned falling payroll numbers could continue for some time as consumer demand weakens.
Today's figures capture only the initial effects of the Iran conflict with full impacts on consumer demand expected to emerge in coming months.
Policy makers will monitor ONS revisions as adjustments could materially alter labor market interpretations.
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