In highly volatile markets, technical analysis and key support/resistance levels provide actionable trading signals that can help traders capture opportunities before news events materialize, as demonstrated by the semiconductor sector's record 18.8% market cap weight and unprecedented options trading volume of $7 billion daily.
Deep Dive
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Deep Dive
Tomorrow Will Be Explosive For The Stock Market
Added:The stock market lost $3.3 trillion in two weeks only to bounce and gain $1.5 trillion in two days. This is the most volatile market we've seen. While investors and traders think the Iran peace deal is around the corner, we just got breaking news that the straight of Hermuse is closed again and the market will be expecting huge volatility going into next week. Along with this semiconductor stocks are at the highest peak since the dotcom bubble and retail traders are trading options at historic levels never seen in the stock market before. in this market of opportunity.
In this video, I'm going to explain all the news events that you have to be prepared for coming into the week. I'm going to explain my exact game plan, the trades I'm looking at and the critical levels on the market that I'm looking at this week. If you don't know me, I've been trading for 7 years. I have a major in finance and a minor in economics.
Let's get into the video. All right, so with the current market, the $300 peace deal is something that keeps coming up because the US and Iran conflict. And because of that, traders are thinking that the stock market will go even crazier than it is now. and I'll explain that in this video. However, as we can see here, these are two trades I took this week. And these trades were taken using the game plan that I talk about in my weekly outlook videos. With that being said, what's my game plan coming into this week? Well, the first thing we have to understand is 2 weeks ago, the US stock market lost $3.3 trillion. This was from June 2nd to June 10th. We lost $3 trillion. However, in then just only two days, so two days of reversal from the bottom to the top here, we gained $1.5 trillion back. So, it took about a week to lose 3 trillion and 2 days to gain back 1.5 trillion. The reason why this is so significant is because you can understand how much volatility the market has right now. And therefore, there is a lot of opportunity if you know what you're looking for. And that's exactly what I'm going to talk about in this video. Now, a couple things that you need to understand going into this week. Semiconductors, people are saying, are the new dot bubble. Semiconductor stocks now account for a record 18.8% of the S&P 500 market cap. This percentage has more than tripled since 2022. To put this into perspective, semiconductors accounted for less than half of their current weight at the peak of the 2000 bubble. Therefore, as we can see here, this was the 2000.com bubble. This was about 8%. However, now we can see semiconductors have been rising very rapidly. We are now taking over 18% and this was recorded as of June 15th, 2026.
Therefore, going into this week, I'm going to explain my exact game plan trading the semiconductors as there's so much volatility and opportunity in this market. On top of this, we are currently in a history/record-breaking volume in the markets. Retail investors have never traded more options. These are option contracts. Of course, retail investors have traded an average of $7 billion in options premiums per day so far in June. So that's $7 billion per day that traders are trading. This is 46% above the average seen over the last year. By comparison, the previous record was $5.8 billion per day seen in May.
And if you guys remember in May, of course, we had good volatility, but this keeps going up. And the more this number goes up, the more volatility we have for options, and the more opportunity there is in the markets for informed traders and investors to make even more from these crazy markets. However, like I mentioned earlier in the video, the market is rising because we have that $300 billion peace deal coming in.
However, literally 2 hours before I recorded this video, we just got new breaking news. Iran's top joint military command announces that the straight of Hermuz is now closed due to the US and Israeli violation of the memorandum of understanding. Iran says that this is the first step and warns that further measures will be imposed if the aggression continues. So once again, every week I talk about this where Trump, US, and Iran keep flip-flopping on when this peace deal will happen. One week it seems like it'll happen tomorrow, the next week it seems like we're going to close the straight of Himuse and go back into conflict. And that's exactly why even though all of this news is happening, we need to be aware of it. But what we need to be more aware of is the technicals on the chart and what are they telling us? Because the technicals will tell us a story that we can trade before this even happens and we can capture this volatility. In this video, I'm going to share the exact charts, key levels, and game plan that I have going into this week. But before then, we need to be prepared with the actual news events coming into this week. So, in terms of the news events, we have some yellow folder news, but really the red folder news we have on Thursday is going to be poor PCE and final GDP data. This will be at 8:30 a.m. on Thursday. Therefore, it will happen before the market opens at 9:30 a.m. Eastern, and this news will most likely already be factored in. On top of this, this week, investors feel a little bit more fearful than greed. And once again, that really comes from the uncertainty of the Iran conflict. And the most important thing for earnings this week, we don't have too many earnings. However, the biggest earnings we do have is MU. Now, this is a semiconductor. This semiconductor company now has over a trillion dollars in market cap, and it has been one of the movers in the market that has been pushing it even further. So on Wednesday after market close we have MU earnings and this is something we need to keep an eye out on. Remember I make videos throughout the week giving you my midweek updates as well. So make sure to subscribe to the channel if you haven't and like this video. Let's see if we can get 1,000 likes. But with that being said, let's go over to the charts. All right, so let's get right into the charts. The first chart we have here is SPY or the S&P 500. And this of course holds the top 500 companies in the US.
We can see that this chart has a clear uptrend. We then created this new low down here and now buyers are stepping in again on SPY. I said this last week as well, but essentially we would like it to hold above the 730 area for the next leg up. So I'm still bullish on SPY.
Yes, it is slowing down a little bit in terms of the momentum that we've had from March 31st all the way till June 2nd. We are definitely slowing down a little bit here on SPY. But if we go to the weekly time frame here as well, we can see we had a big push up, a red candle, but then two hammerstick candles. So, SPY buyers are still stepping up and as long as it doesn't break below this previous low, which is 72237s, I'm still going to look for that continued push back up on SPY for that all-time highs level this week as long as it holds above 73169.
In terms of QQQ, very similar. If we go on the weekly time frame, we can see buyers are stepping in. We have two big hammerstick candles here as well on Q's.
So, we got that pullback after this big rally up, right? So, we talked about this a little bit before, but we did need a pullback after this huge rally, which we already got. We then got this retest entry on QQQ right off the 72160 candle. So, we had a gap. We filled the entire gap. And now you can see we're coming back. If you don't know what the gap is, the gap area is simply the area from here to here, right? So, this candle high to this candle low. You can see there's nothing on the chart here.
And therefore, these two red candles filled that area and now we're bouncing back. I'd like to see an all-time highs move on Kikq this week. As long as Q's holds above 72160s, which is this red line right here, I am going to be bullish on KQ. In terms of Apple, we can see Apple has had a very nice move to the upside from this 248 buy zone that we had earlier this year. Buyers are stepping up. We're currently retesting right back into this previous all-time highs level. And if we go to the weekly time frame, you can see some buyers are stepping up here on Apple. What I would like to see on Apple now is going to be the break above this previous high. So this down close candle, that big downlo candle on June 9th. I would like to see the break above a retest for continuation to the upside. That is the only way that I'll be interested in Apple for that continuation move. Right now it is coming out of a demand zone.
So yes, I'm a little bit more bullish on Apple, but it's just a little bit too slow for me. So I need the break above 300s retest and then continuation. And this one can hit all-time highs. If Apple breaks below this demand zone, so below 286, I'm going to be a little bit more bearish. But as long as it holds above, I will continue to be bullish on Apple. In terms of Tesla, this one is consolidating a little bit more, especially with the SpaceX IPO. We're kind of right in the middle of the range from the all-time highs level here to the low here. We're right in the middle of that range. Now, for me on Tesla, I'm very, very neutral. We can see we are kind of creating this channel formation on Tesla on the daily time frame. This is something that Tesla did earlier this year as well. And once we broke, we got a pretty significant move that we were able to swing trade in the accelerator.
Once again, that's where I live trade every single day. The link for that is going to be in the description where I talk about my thesises in real time.
However, as we can see on Tesla with this channel formation, I want the break back above 418's 25s for continuation to the upside. Or if it breaks below, then I want the break below this previous 36856 pivot structure. the retest for a move all the way back down into 33734.
So that's what I'm going to be looking at on Tesla this week. Primarily, I'm going to wait for either the break below the channel or above the channel.
Anything in between this channel formation is just going to be a little bit more low probability. In terms of AMD, big buyers are stepping up on AMD.
We got the break and retest here once.
Then we got the break and retest here again twice. If we go to the weekly time frame, AMD is making an all-time high.
And if we go to the daily time frame here, we can see we're near that all-time highs level for AMD this week.
I'm looking for continuation in trend, which is simply a break above a retest and continuation above this 550 area. As long as AMD holds above this low that we made, so this low that we made on June 9th and June 10th, as long as we hold above this for that next leg up, I'm going to be bullish on AMD because the semiconductors are very, very hot right now. However, if AMD does break below the level, that's the only way I'll be bearish. But until then, I'm very bullish on AMD just because of how strong of a move we've already had. And we're near all-time highs. In terms of Nvidia, this one not as bullish as AMD.
We can see we are near highs here on Nvidia. Nvidia highs 23650s. Right now we're at 210s. On Nvidia, what I would like to see is going to be this week primarily a break above this up close candle, the June 15th candle. So on Nvidia, I'd like to see a break above a retest and then looking for that move all the way back up into all-time highs.
That's the only way I want to be a little bit more bullish on Nvidia.
Currently, we're right at this consolidation area, which was a previous low. And we can see we're trying to hold here. Some buyers are stepping up, but for me to confirm this move, I need the move back above 21273s, the retest, and then continuation into 23650s. That's the only way I'm going to be interested in Nvidia for a bullish move. For a bearish move on Nvidia, I would want the break and retest below this level right here. So, Nvidia needs to break below this downlo candle for a move down into 1958s. And that's going to be the June 17th candle. So once again, Nvidia, I'm bullish above June 15th candle and I'm bearish below the June 17th candle. In terms of MU, this is another semiconductor name that has been pushing up very very aggressively. I'm still bullish on MU as well. MU, I would like the continuation in trend. So a brand new high continuation with this one. Or if MU even wants to come back and retest back into this down close candle, right, this 1,000 area for the next leg up, that's fine as well. But I'm going to continue to be bullish on MU. And most likely this week I won't be bearish because the only way I'm bearish on MU is if it breaks below this low right here, which is 85226, which is actually a little bit more unlikely this week. So that's why on MU I'm going to continue with my bullish thesis. On SNDK this week, we can see this one is very bullish as well. I did want the break and retest of this down close candle for the next leg up. This was the June 4th candle. We never got to that candle and we already made a brand new all-time highs. So, for this week, the thesis is going to remain the same as MU, where we're essentially bullish above all-time highs. Any break and retest that we get above that area, I'm going to be bullish. And even if it wants to pull back into this down close candle and then show that next leg up, I'm still bullish on this one. Only way I'm bearish on this one is if it breaks back below this $1,500 area. However, anything above that area, I'm going to be bullish on SNDK. On INTC, this is something that I've talked about multiple times on this channel. Right, this one at that 100 whole psychological area. I said this was most likely going to be the bottom on this one for that next continuation move. And we can see that that was the bottom and now we're making an all-time highs on INTC. What I would like to see is going to be the break and retest above this high retest and then continuation. So that's all I would like to see that all-time highs play similar with MU SNDK. They're all very very similar names. And I'm not bearish on this one unless it breaks below 100 again. So if it breaks below 100, I'll be bearish. But anything above that I'm going to be very bullish on INTC. In terms of SpaceX, we finally got some data and information that we can actually trade a little bit more. We can see we got 3 days of green candles, 2 days of red candles. And if we go to the weekly time frame, we can see some upper wicks here as well. Go over to the lower time frame here on the 4 hour, you can see we're getting a little bit more of a channel formation. And go over to the 1 hour, you can see that a little bit more clearly. So for me, what I'm going to be looking at this week is simply going to be this channel formation on SpaceX. For me to take any sort of trade, I need the break either above this previous day high, a retest for continuation back to the upside or a break below the previous day low, retest, continuation to the downside. That's what I'll be looking at on SpaceX more so on the 4 hour and 1 hour just because we don't have enough data on the daily time frame to really create a thesis just yet. However, on the 4 hour and 1 hour, that's what I'll be looking for. Either that 190 retest for the move to the upside or that 172 retest for a move to the downside. Very neutral on this one because it is an IPO. I'm not bullish or bearish on this one. I don't really care what other people's opinions are either. I'm simply trading the technicals on this when I do trade it in terms of options and hopefully the IV is a little bit down this week. So, we can actually trade this in terms of Bitcoin. This one, like I said, for a couple weeks here now.
This one 60,000 area. This is where buyers stepped in. We can see a little bit of buyers. Sellers are stepping in again. I personally don't want to enter into Bitcoin until 53,000 or about 54,000 somewhere in this range. So once Bitcoin comes into this $55,000 to $53,000 range, that's where I'll personally be looking to enter into some Bitcoin for that next leg up. However, anything above that area, I'm just not as interested on Bitcoin as I think it does have a little bit more room down.
So I'm going to be a little bit more bearish at this current time. In terms of gold, this one I told you the key area last week, which was 4,400. I said it can come back to retest that area.
That's exactly the area we came back to retest on gold. We are now selling off this week. What I would like to see is a break below 4,102s, the retest of that area, and then the next leg down is 3,886.
So, if gold continues this trend, I would like the break and retest of this 4,102 for the next leg down. This one is going to be a little bit more bearish right now. And then finally on silver, this one is very neutral. We can see we're still in this key area. For silver, I am only bearish once it breaks below 6134s. Then I want the retest continuation into 5448s. However, if it just consolidates this week, then I'm still not interested on silver unless it breaks below that 6134 area. With that being said, remember I have a free 2-hour course plus an ebook where I go over all my systems and exactly how I create these thesises for absolutely free. The link for that is going to be in the description. If you want more of these videos, make sure to leave this one a like. If you have any questions, put them in the comments down below.
Subscribe to the channel and I'll see you Monday with a brand new
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