BITCOIN TO $95K? SHORTS ARE TRAPPED

Hinzugefügt: 2026-05-14

[00:00:00]The price of Bitcoin is $81,300.

[00:00:02]This morning, I took a trade. I took the trade from the bottom of this range here at approximately $80,900 with about $200,000 worth of money. I also took a trade on SHIB for about $200,000 as well. And I'm doing that in the most responsible way because I've only got $10,000 in my account, meaning that we this morning we're leveraged. So, why now? Why this morning are we taking a trade potentially at the top of the range betting on higher? I aim to explain that to you in this video. Drop a like on it, subscribe to the channel, and let's crack on. First things first, hivirus outbreak today. Five confirmed cases so far. This last time it happened caused a pandemic. And we know what happened during the pandemic. We got rich. One of the best times of my life.

[00:00:45]I can't wait for the next one. Even given the world harm that it will do. It will definitely be a profitable thing for crypto because what is hivirus?

[00:00:53]Hirus is a severe and often fatal respiratory disease. In all likelihood, it's getting completely overblown and it's nothing's going to come of it. But it is affecting the market because people are already pricing in stimulus and it is quite a serious matter because a virus hit cruise ship have left Cape Verde for the Canary Islands after patients were evacuated. But it's also been banned from docking in the Canary Islands as well. And what do doctors know about this virus? Well, we know it originated in southern Argentina in a tiny village and it caused a bunch of people to fall gravely ill by the end of the outbreak. 11 people died. So, it's a serious one. And if it catches on, I mean, no one thought the pandemic was going to catch on and then it and then it caught on. No one thought the Dubai war was going to continue and it continued. People think a lot of things.

[00:01:38]Doesn't really matter what you think. It matters what happens. And so, even with nothing is really happening, the market is already pricing in stimulus this morning. We also have all of this madness seemingly coming to an end after the US had boats shot down in the straight of Hormuz the other day and the outrage that the EU leaders were saying about Iran being a bit unfair to the UAE. Trump decided to put out several statements saying I mean deescalatory things. He wants to bring it back in line. Another thing that's starting to get priced in when you don't have a global war causing global oil prices to go scatty. Generally that's quite a bullish thing and that's normally what's happening. And and right now the price of oil is collapsing. This is the price of oil since the other day. I mean, what when what day would that be? That would be Tuesday the 5th of May. And this would be I mean, today, Thursday. So, that's th Tuesday through to Thursday.

[00:02:24]It's lost down from $115 a coin. Nice.

[00:02:27]Per barrel to $100. So, it's down about 15% a few days. That's pretty aggressive. There's a big drop in the oil prices. But the thing is, it doesn't make things any more simple because Trump said this the other day. when I get out of office in let's say eight or nine years from now, I'll be able to use it. I'll be able to use it myself.

[00:02:49]>> The man is a rogue. I mean, he's a maverick. If if someone was to buy Logan Paul's brand of merchandise called Maverick from like 5 years ago, he he would be the number one customer because what other president says, "Oh, you know what? I might retire in about 9 years.

[00:03:05]That's not even legal." Trump's also done a lot of backtracking on the rhetoric that he put out against China, saying we're adversaries, but we have very good relationship. And I have my own thoughts on China. I think the Western world is very mean to China. I think some of it's justified, but I think that much of it isn't. China, I've not been, but I know now many people that have been. And the old time, honestly, it's a nice place. It's pretty cool. Like everything's quite cheap.

[00:03:26]It's well priced. It's kind of like Thailand to be honest with a bit more strict rules. It's like if you merge Thailand and Dubai. That's what it is.

[00:03:34]Only it's absolutely massive and it's got very cheap labor. So, they can outperform pretty much every company on Earth. And Bernie Sanders also pointed out the other day that actually the oil price right now shouldn't necessarily be affecting the price per gallon because back in 2011, the price of a gallon was $3.51 and yet the oil price was the same as it is today. He argues that that 25% increase in oil price or nearly 33% increase in oil price is not attributed to the actual price of oil. Instead, it's a premium going to the companies.

[00:04:03]And I believe that because America, there's a reason why the stock market is doing so well. This is the American stock market. All-time high after all-time high. Currently now trading at 7,300 points. This will come down at some point when the AI bubble goes pop and it'll be absolutely horrendous. And I wait for that day, and it might be years away from now, and I might be better off getting an entry now. But I have decided that one of my long-term plans is I want to hold a lot of shares in the S&P 500. I actually really believe in it as an index. The more research that I do on the S&P 500, the more I understand that it actually outperforms pretty much every pension fund on Earth. Pretty much outperforms pretty much every asset manager on Earth. It is one of the world's best assets. It's a really good asset, and that's why people continually put money into it. But the problem is the S&P is getting wrecked by all of this AI uh money that doesn't really exist because it's all built into shareholder value, and people are exchanging shareholder value for debt with loans. And that's not how things should work. That's why the crypto industry went bubble pop.

[00:04:56]Because when you keep building debt into assets and then the asset value collapses, well, you end up with a giant debt bubble and you got to pay back that debt bubble. Michael Sailor, on the other hand, he's got a problem at the moment. Michael Sailor mentioned in an interview, I don't know if I mentioned it in a video already, but he mentioned the other day in an interview that he's actually considering selling some Bitcoin to pay off the next dividend payments that are due. That's crazy. If Michael Sailor starts selling off, we are guaranteed to go down because he holds 3% of the supply of Bitcoin. Tom Lee holds 4.5% of the supply of Ethereum. If those guys start getting forced to sell in order to pay off their debts, we are truly screwed. So, having said that, why am I long on the price of Bitcoin right now and I'm in a $1,000 profit, so it's not going that bad. I'm also long on Shibba Enu and now in $400 profit. Again, not that bad. We are still very close to my entries here and I don't expect this thing to change overnight. And to be fair, I'm not necessarily expecting a massive break upwards during the day. I may end up holding this position into a loss before it turns into a profit. But I'm going to show you the levels of which I intend on exiting the trade. emergency exiting the trade or taking profit. We're going to show you that all right now. Drop a like on the video, subscribe to the channel, channel notifications turned on because you need them on for this channel because these are very, very timely videos. Not all the time, but a lot of the time, a lot of this stuff is analysis based. So, it's very important that you watch the videos as soon as they come out. So, let's get down to business here. This is the price of Bitcoin. Currently trading at $81,300.

[00:06:17]We can see that Bitcoin has now broken above this level of resistance and is trading above it. There is a large expectation from my part that the price comes back down to this level about $79,500 and retests the outside here.

[00:06:29]That seems more than possible, if not likely, until we start looking at liquidation heat maps. And on liquidation heat maps, we can see here we've got a huge bubble of liquidity just below the price of Bitcoin, but we've got even more above the price.

[00:06:41]Now, although that yellow there is much more yellow than the rest of it, indicating that there is an even bigger pool of liquidity below the current price of Bitcoin, often stuff like this acts as a trap and and I see a lot of people in the market calling to short right now. And I don't fully buy it. I understand the logic. I understand the theory, but I just don't think it's there yet. I still think because the way that I see it is I I've been monitoring the liquidity. So let me show you the liquidity on Bitcoin. So there's two aspects that we can monitor Bitcoin's liquidity. The first one would be this here, the Bitcoin funding rate and predicted funding rate. On the Bitcoin funding rate and predicted funding rate, what we've got here is the aggregated funding rate. This is the predicted funding rate. Now we can draw conclusions from what these do against the price of Bitcoin. And when we can see here when this is starting to dip negative, we actually see Bitcoin's price rising. And we see this time and time again. The more it dips negative, the more the price rises. When it's dipping negative, that means more people are shorting than longing. These are people that are trying to short the market while it's rising. And that's providing more fuel to the upside. It doesn't have to be that the market is bullish. It just means that people are desperately shorting using too much leverage. They're getting pushed into their liquidation points. Yes, at some point in time it's going to cool off very significantly. But is today that day? It seems somewhat unlikely. We're about to dip negative again on the funding rates. You can see here the early curve action on these particular candles here. And another way that we can monitor money flow is using this chart here, the open interest statistics. And on open interest, that shows us the amount of money that is currently interested in trading Bitcoin.

[00:08:15]Basically shows us all open orders on exchanges. And typically what you expect to see with charts like this is when liquidity is rising, price is rising. So generally here liquidity is rising, so price is rising. That doesn't mean anything more than more market participants equals a higher price. That is all this is measuring here. It is not measuring people buying or selling. It is just measuring the volume of market participation. And so from that perspective, when we zoom out on this chart again, we can see here we've looped back around. We seem to have far formed some kind of bottom of sorts within this range that we currently sit.

[00:08:48]And it looks like it'll continue to push higher again. It's been doing that a lot recently, but even when it continues to push lower, it just trades sideways and then continues going upwards. I don't think until we've seen a blowoff top out of this range that we actually stop pumping. And I think we can see even more kind of confidence in the data when we look over at Ethereum. Now, this is the Ethereum funding rate. and predicted funding rate chart. And on this chart here, updated this morning, you can see a similar thing, but not quite the same as what it is in terms of reading Bitcoin. Ethereum hasn't had the same bullish rallies of what Bitcoin has had.

[00:09:16]But what we can see here is when funding rate dips negative on Ethereum, first of all, you can generally expect a pump and then it'll continue to decline in price because it's Ethereum. So, it doesn't have that long-term confidence that Bitcoin does. Currently, funding on Ethereum is positive. And it's also about to head positive here. on an Ethereum when funding is positive price goes positive. So from that perspective people aren't trying to emergency short Ethereum like they are trying to emergency short Bitcoin further like making my confidence in my narrative more complete. Now when we're measuring open interest on Bitcoin something that we can do is we can see okay when the price peaked up here now when we're measuring open interest over on Ethereum we can see that the price peaked up here at $2,414.

[00:09:56]It went down as low as $2311 and it is now sitting at $2336.

[00:10:02]During that same period of time, liquidity dropped from $14 billion on 14.2 billion on Ethereum down to about $13 billion. About a 10% drop in the liquidity, but has since recovered about 4% and the price hasn't recovered about 4% indicating there is still more interest and a growing interest in trading Ethereum. And you have to trade based off of momentum. And when you see that open interest is rising, there is a reason that open interest is rising.

[00:10:27]There's also a thing that you can see here. Somebody was accumulating a lot of Ethereum here because open interest kept going upwards and then it kept getting sold into. So somebody was cashing out and someone was buying in. The thing is once somebody has run out of coins to sell and that person continues buying, you just end up with open interest rising again, which points me in the direction of we are actually quite bullish. Now, something that I'm doing for the community to keep you all up to date is posting all of these trades I'm taking, all of the analysis that I post in these videos. I'm also posting a lot of this stuff on a like an instant basis as soon as I've done the analysis in this Telegram group called Crypto Advantage. There is a link for it in the video description. I recommend you join it honestly. You'll find the information useful. No shilling or anything like that. It's just pure facts because I want you all to be profitable because I know if you're profitable, I'll have a much better bull market. So, join the group and slap a like on this video. And yeah, overall today I am bullish.

[00:11:19]Unfortunately, I am. I mean, fortunately, unfortunately, who cares?

[00:11:22]I'm going to get slaughtered for this in the comment section if the price goes down. I know I will do, but I maintain my bullish stance. I maintain my the trading positions here. Sure, the price is heading downwards right now. We'll see if it holds support. I told you that I was going to exit this at a certain point in time. Basically, for me, my exit is my entry. If we drop below my entry, I'm out. I'll look for another entry and I'll post it in the Telegram group. When it comes to this ship trade here, I mean, this was a dollar cost averaged position. So, I originally entered this position up here. The price continued dropping. I also entered again this morning. That brought down my average entry and now we're back in a profit. I'm expecting SHIB to break out here. And if that happens, for me, that's a multi,000 position. I have since topped up my account since yesterday. So, I put about $10,000 in there just so we can start playing around with some proper money again. I think it's time to get back serious. I think it's time to commit some real money to this. So, I mean, I'm pretty confident as well. We've been on a bit of a streak recently and I'm I'm I'm getting more and more confident because I've been consistently right now for about 3 weeks since I started trying again. And I think it's because of the approach that I'm taking is like the ultimate kind of in-depth data approach.

[00:12:23]So, if you're interested in following along, I mean, do do. It's going to be a little bit different from the past because we're not going off failing.

[00:12:28]We're not going off guilt. We're going purely off fact. So, drop a like on the video if you appreciate the increase in maturity and I'll see you in the next one. J.