Successful crypto trading requires understanding order flow dynamics, including liquidity zones, volume-weighted average price (VWAP), and point of control (POC) levels, while maintaining strict stop loss discipline and monitoring news events to avoid being 'wicked out' of positions. Traders should analyze open interest changes and short/long positioning to anticipate market reversals, as demonstrated by the $386 loss example where proper order flow analysis would have prevented the mistake.
Deep Dive
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Deep Dive
Bitcoin Is About To Catch Everyone Off Guard (Final Warning)
Added:Ladies and gents, we need to talk. I took a loss yesterday and I really shouldn't have, okay? Today's video, I'm going to be explaining order flow expectations and everything under the sun pertaining to Bitcoin and where it's heading next, okay? So, let's have a quick look at what happened yesterday because I had everything correct. The order flow was correct, everything was correct. However, I got stopped out and I was in a bit of a rush yesterday, that's why I didn't upload a video.
However, I'll show you what happened so you can see. Now, I bought Bitcoin at here at 63,000 dollars and I had a 50,000 order in, okay? Now, from where it was to where I bought it to where the price is now, it was about 1.5 but the top was about 2% move, okay?
So, you know, it was an extra 1,000 dollars if I caught that. Now, I was going to catch it. However, what happened was I got nicked out at the low, okay? And I was telling my premium group members that I I took a long and my stop loss was at this low.
The issue is I made a mistake. I didn't check the news. I also didn't check what was happening.
Like it was like an hour later there was a news thing that occurred which I don't really check the news when it comes to trading but I when it comes to stop losses, you got to be careful cuz you get wicked out. So, this is a bit of a rookie error on me and I took a loss of 386 USD, okay? So, to give an update on where the account is sitting currently, um we're sitting at 103,000.
You know, we started at 100,000 dollars so we we've moved up but you know, we lost another we lost 380 USD.
Now, that that that should be 104,000 dollars cuz I'm doing right now in my system I'm doing I'm doing the 100,000 to 200,000 dollar challenge.
So, yeah. Anyway, this is a little quick schematic of my entire system that I'm using to for the YouTube and all that so you can get an idea of how to give access to these groups too, okay? But, you know, that was a silly mistake that I made and we shouldn't have made a lot of money there and but that happens.
That happens, that's the market. It just shows me that I need to tighten up when it comes to my information streams with the order the news and all sorts of stuff just for stop losses. However, let's quickly look at that trade, what the expectation was, and why I've been so accurate in the market. Cuz if we look at the last video I did, which was a day ago, and we 333 people saw 35 people saw that.
The expectation was that we were going to go up, right? And then come down, take out the low, and then go up again.
Now, we've done one, two, and three halfway for this bit here.
That's pretty impressive. So, we've done Let's have a look at what that is. Have a look.
So, you can see I successfully called that segment, leg one, which is that, and then leg two, and then leg three, which is halfway complete.
So, yes, that's pretty interesting. Now, um let's move over here.
I just might have to stuff my chart up.
I've got a bunch of stuff over there.
That's okay. Anyway, that was the expectation, and that's what happened in the price of Bitcoin. And then recently, this low that occurred here, where I was looking to take a position, and the reason was, and I'll quickly zoom in as to why. We can pull the fixed range here, okay? You pull that fixed range, you span it out, you can see the POC is exactly on that level.
And to top it off, you also have the volume weighted average, which is spanning down here.
And I noted that you had one, two, three, four touches.
Um but the main reason as to why I took it wasn't that. It was actually the fact that we had the Well, it was that, but it was also the liquidity information in terms of the order flow. And this is why I repeatedly say order flow is so important.
And also right now I'm working on an order flow course for everyone. So, it'll be a brief little introduction. It won't be anything crazy. I'll have the links for Atas, so you can use this platform.
Um but yeah, you'll have to sign up through my links to get access to it, and I'll give you the templates and all that sort of good stuff, okay?
But what I was looking for at that time when you come into that low was essentially the fact that we've got all these shorts coming in, right? So, you got $2 million of shorts, a million dollars of shorts.
$2 million of shorts and $1 million of shorts and you can see the the schematic for the order flow. Price was moving sideways {slash} up.
Open interest was going up, so you had a $10 million increase in open interest.
And you had a $10 million position in shorts. Yet, price wasn't moving down. That's very interesting.
So, that means the shorts were trying to push the market down, but they weren't successful.
And what happened was there was a news drop that came out and you can see very briefly we saw um longs. So, shorts exit the market.
Which is very interesting that this section happened. And then we saw people short into the low, which is actually very good recipe for a bounce back which bounced back which we did see.
So, they short into low, then they got scared and they bought back. They did liquidate it. And then price started making its way up. So, it was a very much of a mess here. There's a lot of volume that transacted.
And then price starts to scale up as you go through, okay?
And then today to now where we are now, um unfortunately, I well, I would have been in a trade. I would have been able to have some state skin in the game at this current moment, but I don't right now because I got liquidated from that trade.
Liquidated, I wouldn't say liquidated.
Stop loss triggered, yes.
And now we're forming this almost just mundane very cartoonish price action that just looks very gross, honestly.
Um so, let's have a look at how this looks. It's just This whole range is a.2 It's about a $130 range.
Let's put a fixed range for the laughs and just see how this looks, right?
So, you can see we're just trapped within this and you can see the volume is just very scattered.
Not something I'm interested in taking a trade from, okay?
Um yeah. Anyway, what I would like to highlight is the expectations.
I'm still in my longs from down here at the low. So, I'm still going I'm still in positions. I'm just talking about the fact that this account that I'm doing these videos for, I'm also doing it for spot trades, but majority of it's for the perpetual traders.
Which is why I have Let me just relay the specific framework I'm using, right? So, my entire brand is connected to Bitcoin, which is my brand here.
My distribution channels are YouTube and X. So, go follow me on X, too.
I cover order flow, liquidity, and live trades, which I is this portfolio here with $100,000 sitting in it, okay?
This is my perpetual account. I do have other accounts for spot and all that sort of stuff. The challenge is a 100 to 200. We're currently at 103.
My free group is free. You can access that down here if you go to the Isaac Crypto public, and you can have access to that. Now, if you want to have access to the affiliate access premium group, now that doesn't mean that just That's a complex way of saying if you want to have access to it, just sign up to Bitget or Weeks, and you can have access to this group where I will Well, I I do call out live trades. It just so happened that yesterday's trade was right, but I got stopped out early, okay?
Um but that will be happening continually.
>> [laughter] >> Anyway, you can see public, premium, you get the point. And that's that. That's the entire system. We're going to keep going till this bull market ends or so the bear market ends, and then we're going to go into the bull and just see how it goes, right? Ideally, we can get to this amount for the perpetual account. That'll be That'll be very nice, wouldn't it?
Anyway, that's the current system. That's the setup. So, let's get over to the market and the charts.
So, we check on the higher term time frame levels, we can see the daily, daily, daily. We're currently Ooh, let's have a look. Yep, we're currently sitting just above this this little daily.
What I find interesting is that liquidity is being built locally from here and here, obviously.
But more importantly, the liquidity that we formed at this high and this high. The reason being is this high right here did not take out this high. So, I would say that's that's a poor high in the sense that it didn't do its job of taking out the high, which means I still think there's a magnet coming to $66,000, which is why my expectations are quite frankly higher prices for Bitcoin to $66,000, and then we'll have to re-evaluate that. But, I think it's going to be very nice because what will form is a parallel channel, which is this channel here, right? Which has been very well respected.
However, we can also check on this way, too. What I think it's going to do is it's going to probably come into this region somewhere around here, right?
And then we're going to fish dive out of it like this. We're going to come up and then dive back down. I think that's a very likely situation, but I'm not going to speculate too hard just yet.
More so, I'm thinking this as a region, okay? I think there's a lot of confluence in there from liquidity.
Um and then I think do we have a 786 level down there? I don't necessarily think so, but let's have a look.
786 is just another Fibonacci pull you can do, which is this one here.
It's already been hit, okay? So, that's not out there. But, really you've just got the weekly, and there's a bit of volume trapped within this level, which I think should be magnetic for price. Now, let's have a look at this range. We can see locally that's what it looks like. We're currently at the value high. We took rejection.
We're now in this little mid-range channel of the volume, which we can see.
Um you can see this is a volume channel.
I would say yeah, we're currently trading on the midpoint, which is here and there. So, midpoint trading, very well respected, you know, that's good.
Um if we spin this back, what we can see is the value high comes in at 64,700, which is something Yeah, it's something to be aware of. But, I would say this is what I'm looking for. I want to see this get hit. I don't know how it's going to do it, if it's going to drop a bit lower, but we'll get into that. I just don't want this video to take too long cuz I know that people have very short attention spans.
If we shift over to the Oh, that's right. I saved it on here.
The the exact information I want to show. So, what we've got going on today for our liquidity for Kingfisher is just above us at 64,500.
We have some liquidity that's showing up again, so that's pointing towards higher.
However, it's not thing crazy to be aware of, but it's something to be keeping your eye on. There's also liquidity to the downside, but I would say higher looks very juicy. Now, locally, let's have a look of if we what we're going to do because I might draw the yellow squiggle of magic again because that's what was done in my last video and seems to have a good track history of working, okay?
But I need to know I need to have a good thesis to why I would draw it, okay?
So, let's just hourly chart. Let's just take everything off and let's have a look at this from the perspective of volume first.
Okay, volume is very interesting.
Let's check on the view up from the high.
Right here.
View up from this low would be very interesting cuz it'd be very sharp.
Yep.
All right, so what's what's that there? One.
And then, you've got interesting data here. So, what we've got is $5 million worth of shorts that entered right here, which then which then closed and then shorted again.
So, there isn't much of a divergence because if we flat this line out, we can see that with the lines going sideways more or less, the CVD hasn't gone up much. It's just been doing a bunch of nonsense.
This has had a $3 million reduction. So, there is $3 million worth of shorts in this little high this little high here, but it's not enough for a divergence to occur. So, I'm not going to say there's a divergence here.
If we look at money flow perspectives, we can see the oscillation has been very clean. It's been like this.
Sorry, this bit. Sorry, hold on. Let me just move that.
It's been So, this bit was that high.
That was the high, that was the low.
That was the miniature high, but it wasn't green yet. That's okay.
This one is closing.
There isn't a divergence yet. I wouldn't say. So, that's also interesting and alarming. Not alarming, but it's interesting.
Here's what I'm going to say. I would say that there's a chance that Bitcoin does drop into this region here.
Which then which I do think it will probably find support and then run up higher. Okay, that's what I would expect.
Now, I am not going to come on conviction today and say anything specifically more than that. I don't necessarily know if I believe that just yet.
Because we are trading in the middle of nowhere. And like I said, if we chuck on the volume, we can see that there is no asymmetry when you're literally bouncing on the point of control.
The asymmetry when it comes to point of controls is if it's a fresh point of control.
And let me explain what I mean by that.
This is a washed point of control. It's been washed many times. Okay? There's no freshness to it. What I mean by fresh is this.
Let's take out these positions that we've got here. And let's look at this section. This section would be a fresh point of control because what you'd be having is the low, the low, the low, the low.
And let's say we were to drop here.
Well, you'd liquidity, liquidity, liquidity, fresh point of control, and a bounce back as people try to short into the low, shorting into the 786, which you can see is right here in this liquidity band, but then a reversal trade to take place.
However, that is not the recipe with what we've got.
So, I will not come on conviction in here and say what's going to happen. And I stand by that. However, I do think higher is coming overall, which is why I'm positioned in longs from these lows, and I think 66 is coming.
That's my opinion. Okay? But I'm happy to change, but with what I've got now, I'm going to say that's my current stance.
And I think these lows will get taken out after this week high gets flushed. So, I don't know how it's going to happen, how it's going to unfold. I'm positioned for higher.
And I'm quite angry that I missed that trade cuz I would be in some juicy profits yet again cuz I clearly caught the low but I got stopped. I don't know why that's saying sold there cuz it's that's doesn't make sense. But anyway, you can see the price that I got liquidated was 62,600.
Sorry, not liquidated.
Uh stop was hit.
Anyway, welcome to the Isaac Crypto ecosystem, guys. If you If you're new here, hit the subscribe button, join the free group, and if you really want to, right? If you really want to have access to my trades and all that sort of good stuff and access to my 100,000 to 200,000 challenge, which we'll then do 200,000 to 400,000 after that, then you're going to want to go into the premium group, and to get access to that, uh well, I suggest you go sign up to Bybit get. And the links are in the description below this video.
And everything pertaining to that, you can text me premium, and then from there I can talk to you and we can arrange that. Currently wrapping Bybit merch here.
Bybit gets in the banner and Isaac Crypto logo. All right? Without further ado, we're going to make it one day at a time through commitment and grit. Okay?
That's what I have to say today.
Bye-bye.
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