A short squeeze occurs when short sellers are forced to buy back shares to cover their positions, driving up the stock price. This phenomenon is influenced by factors such as synthetic share creation, retail investor sentiment, and institutional ownership dynamics. When retail investors hold a majority of shares and refuse to sell, institutions may be unable to suppress the price, leading to significant price increases. The video uses AMC as an example, explaining how the stock's price can rise dramatically despite negative market conditions due to the mechanics of short selling and the behavior of market participants.
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AMC SHORTS SLOWLY CLOSING! MARKET CAP = $1600!Added:
Hey guys, welcome back. In today's video, we are talking about how the market cap corresponds to the $1,600 per share, the short closing positions, how AMC can squeeze at any moment, and many more in this video. First, we're taking a look at this. Things that make you go, "Huh?" The price of AMC is 180, and the fundamentals are better than when it ran to 70-plus. AMC has had more buys than sells over the past 5 years, and the price somehow went from all-time highs to all-time lows. Now, by now, we should all realize everything that's ongoing with AMC. Well, when we talk about the comparison between AMC now at a price of 180 versus then when it was at 70, so many things has changed. Firstly, when you talk about the fundamentals, the revenue is better, the operational margins are better, the operational costs are getting cut down, the debt structure is better, and that's just talking about the fundamentals. When you talk about how many more synthetics has been created, and what that means for the future price of AMC, we talk about exactly why AMC is undervalued. Then, when we talk about the net buys, this is something we can also see. Whether you're taking a look at the OBV, whether you're taking a look at the ownership of AMC, whether you're taking a look at the net inflow outflow, what you'll find is how there are constantly more buys for AMC. The OBV already shows that that people have been continuously buying into AMC, not selling and holding. The net inflow shows you that constantly, whether you're looking at weeks or days, there is still continuously more money to go and into buying AMC than it is to sell AMC. And that sometimes the ratio goes to 5:1, 6:1, and even higher. And so, it really just goes to show where AMC should be. And we already know this, and it's important is that in this time, when we have when we see what's going on right now, you can see for Bitcoin, in spite of a 50% drop since all time high in September 25, Bitcoin market cap still corresponds to 1663 per AMC share. Many believe that AMC should be worth far more than today.
When you take a look at the AMC floor price from August, what we saw was it at 4200.
Now, a lot of things can be said about this. Firstly, we talked about how the assets, whether it's in crypto, so for Bitcoin, or whether it's in Mag 7 stocks, these are all collaterals being used to manipulate and suppress AMC.
We've seen this in the past before. We talked about how the baskets of margins can be used to long one stock and then short AMC. And we know that some of the assets involved are assets like Bitcoin, are assets like Nvidia. Now, with what we're seeing from Bitcoin dropping right now, it talks to you about the possibilities of where AMC can go. And this isn't just a fundamental, this is obviously a mix of all the FTDs and synthetics that's been created. It talks about the real price discovery of of AMC if we are ever able to see it. It talks about the sentiment there is for AMC after everything has been talked about.
And you can see how easily we can see AMC go to 1600, go to 1663. And this is just from Bitcoin alone. Bear in mind we have so many more different assets that have been used. Like what we said with Mag 7, when you take into consideration just how much value there is when you talk about just Nvidia alone, but then you can combine the whole Mag 7, you start to realize how easily AMC can see the value go up and what that market share would mean. And this why we've said that right now with everything that's ongoing, what AMC deserves to be at. And a big reason for why we're not seeing real price discovery is because the only reason AMC is trading at its current price is not because of its debt, it's because of the retail investors holding a shares. Understand how the market works, it is you versus market makers. Now, bear in mind this isn't to the them fault retail investors are holding AMC, rather it's the complete opposite. It's because institutions don't want money to go to retail. Even though everyone right now, including institutions, they all realize where AMC should be, but they also see that because AMC and in this case the real shares is 95% owned. Now, when you talk about all of the synthetic shares then involved, perhaps AMC is 60 or 70% retail owned as opposed to 95, but it's precisely because the majority is in retail's hand, the institutions don't want that value to go to the retail. Because this will be at expense of firstly, institutions who want to buy into AMC because they realize the potential, but secondly, because where AMC squeezes is going to bankrupt a margin call multiple big institutions and that money isn't then going to flow into other institutions, but rather into the hands of retail. And that's what they are afraid of and that's why they're trying to pin AMC's price on the fundamentals, like it's debt, like others. When the reality is it's because they just don't want to give money to the retail. Now, when you take a look at this particular example, you can see that this was actually posted yesterday where it talks about today where if AMC's price rises today as I predict, it would mean that hedge funds still need to unwind more stock positions just like in 2021.
So, what we are seeing was that today AMC was actually up 7.78%.
Now, the interesting thing about this is that this is because we have seen so many different clues already and indications of what's ongoing with AMC.
When we talk about suddenly the lack of shares, suddenly the increase in trying to pump more shares and in the creation of synthetics, when we talk about the cost of borrow, we talk about the gamma exposure there is for AMC is all showing right now and that there is a certain volatility ongoing with AMC. And right now it's very likely we are looking at these institutions who are trying to unwind their short positions. Now, this is a very good thing and the reason for this is because firstly, no matter how much they try to unwind, there would never be able to get rid of everything.
We know this, the synthetic positions they have put themselves into is already in the billions. So, just because they're trying to unwind, it doesn't mean that they can unwind all of them.
What they can do is obviously with the limited amount of shares that is able to be unwinded, they're trying to do that.
And that's why we're seeing AMC go up is because they are afraid of what's going on. But more importantly, going back to what I was saying earlier in terms of why they don't want to transfer the money to retail is because right now what we're seeing is with what the company has right now, what we can see especially with the proposed potential acquisition plans is that they want to wait until retail investors exit the stage and AMC gets swallowed up by the big players. Because at the end of the day, even without a squeeze right now, even just looking at what AMC is currently valued at and what AMC is projected to do that in terms of the return on investment and everything, AMC is extremely undervalued. AMC is extremely DFV, deep value. And so, just not even including the squeeze, there are so many institutions and investors that's eyeing up AMC. And the problem with this right now is that they don't want to enter into AMC unless the majority can be institutional owned. If the situation was flipped around right now, if AMC was 95% institutional owned and only 5% retail owned, you can imagine how high AMC would be right now.
If even AMC was 70% retail institutional owned and 30% retail owned, you will still see AMC go to a high. And that isn't because that is just institutions buying, but that's just because that's where AMC should be. And there is no other reason apart from that. And so they're trying to wait and they're trying to create any incentive incentives they can to force retail to sell AMC so they can buy. And so you can see it must be incredibly awkward for short sellers at this point. We created multiple synthetic float, they won't sell, the box office is soaring, we can't create any selling pressure, and the ape continues to buy. So this is the position they've put themselves in.
Because firstly, we know about the synthetic float, and that's why we're willing to buy because we want to force them to create more synthetics. There's two reasons for this. The two big reasons is firstly, when we force them to create synthetics, that's going to increase the floor price because it means they'll have to buy back more shares. Secondly, when we force them to create synthetics, it means that that we're using up their margin, we're using up their liquidity. And the fact that we won't sell and the fact that the fundamentals is improving more than ever, it tells you about how well AMC is doing. And you can see in terms of a comparison of just how undervalued AMC is. At on the $2 a share, AMC is basically trading for the price of a small popcorn but with a whole lot more potential. Now a big thing for this is because in the past, for those of you who have been investing for a long time, you would have seen the examples, you would have heard that the most simple way to find stocks to invest is to invest in things that you use. And in the past, that would have gone for products like Apple. That would have gone for products like Meta because they had big customers using it. And what we talked about was how back in the days, instead of paying 700 bucks for an iPhone, and if you bought Apple shares, you would have made a great return. The same situation is now. People are going to AMC. We are seeing consumers at AMC.
And when we talk about the movie prices, when we talk about the pop pop corn prices, and we talk about how cheap AMC AMC shares are, you start to see how that same example can be applied and why more and more people are willing to buy AMC shares. And just like what we saw with this particular company today, AMC can go at any moment. Takes one button of one click of a button and we can see AMC do this. And this is just talking about how it's very possible to see markets of you can see for this stock going up 3600%.
Now granted, this stock wasn't in the same situation as AMC, but we can talk about how explosive a stock can get, especially when we know what's involved with AMC, when we know the synthetic that's there for AMC. And if you take a look at some of the AMC setups worth watching, the 150 support, the 193 breakout, the 127,000 calls at $2, the fundamentals, these are all showing why AMC is going to do very well. And when we talk about how people said theatrical movies were finished, we and streaming killed them, we see how well the box office doing. The fact that we see Super Mario Galaxy movie doing $1 billion in worldwide box office, it already is a very good start. But it doesn't stop there. Because we're trading 2019 by 183 million quarter to date with 117 less movies. So not only is AMC going to be profitable, they'll be profitable with 3.9 billion corporate borrowings, which is less than the 2019 debt levels. So this is what we have to realize and is why I said earlier about even when you don't include a squeeze, why AMC deserve to be way above its current price.
Because the fact we're seeing how we're just slightly behind pre-COVID box office, but with 100 less movies, it talks about where AMC is going to be.
And when we talk about the debt levels and the fact that we have improved drastically from there, it also shows how well of a position we are in. Now, talking about the $2 calls, we're still seeing it go up. We talked about the gamma exposure. We talked about how this means opportunities for AMC, and that's exactly what we are seeing. And now, to talk about how AMC is up 7% today on news that apes never sold, we already know this. Fundamentals doing well.
Shorts are not unwinding.
So many things is lining up. But amidst all of this, remember, AMC is up 7%, but it should be up a lot more. The only reason why we're not seeing it up a lot more is because we're seeing dark pools go into that of 68%. Just like we talked about, right now, the market average last year was 25%. This year, we're seeing that 50%. Yet, despite that, AMC is still well above the average. So, when we talk about real value being taken away, this is what we are talking about. But, to sum up, zero selling pressure, diamond hands, bullish box office, improving fundamentals, it calls big money for AMC. And that's exactly what we're seeing. Now, bear in mind, the zero selling pressure means that apes aren't selling, but of course, it doesn't go for the same for some institutions, and especially the short sellers who are trying to push AMC down.
But, the real investors, the ones who have bought up the majority of the float, the ones who have bought up the real shares of AMC, they are not selling, and that's what zero selling pressure means. And imagine that they've spent years trying to make millions of investors quit, only to realize that we have created and they have created the strongest community. Because this isn't just And I don't want to put the credit on the short sellers, because the short sellers didn't want to do this. The short sellers wanted to get us to sell, but we we persevered through everything.
We came overcame adversity. We knew exactly what was going on. And we forged ourselves to be kind of the strong community that we are today. And it isn't up to the shorts, it's up to us.
And that's why they don't have any power over us. And when you talk about something else for AMC, right now it's seemingly looking like we have this $2 resistance area. So, if you're a fan of technicals, that is something that you should pay close attention to. Now, furthermore, when you take a look at eBay, currently what we're seeing is how eBay um and GME is very likely to have this takeover. So, GME taking over um eBay because of the acquisitions that they're trying to do, because that they're slowly accumulating eBay shares, it's very very likely to do so. Or at least the possibility is increasing. And so, this could be something that is major. This could be something that is pivotal. And right now we're seeing it become more and more likely. And along with all of this, we talked about how GME is growing, how they have tons of cash, how they're doing a buyback. These are all still again very positive things for GME as well. So, a lot of exciting things. And it's why we're seeing during some market close, people trying to quietly, and they're doing this at the very end, because they're trying to quietly accumulate GME, especially when you know everything that's ongoing.
Another big thing is how what we're looking at is the reverse repo 1.8. Not something major, but it's still talking about currently there are still institutions in need of money. Now, over the pond, kind of going looking over at Bank of Japan, we're seeing how it's expected to raise rates to 1% on June 16th. Now, this will be the highest interest rate in Japan in 31 years. Now, there's a big reason for this as well when you talk about what's ongoing, when you talk about the current Japanese market. So, you can start to expect more intervention, but at the end of the day, this is to prevent the Japanese yen carry trade. And it just goes on to talk about how kind of thin of a line we're standing on for the market to collapse. And when you take a look at the current market today, we saw over $2 trillion that have been wiped from the market in the last 2 hours. So, a insane amount of money that's gone, but it just goes to look about how these money can easily get transferred to AMC and of course others as well. As always, none of this is financial advice and I'll catch you guys next time.
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