This video teaches a futures trading strategy that uses statistical analysis of diverged Initial Balance (IB) patterns to identify high-probability trading setups. When different assets (like ES and NQ) show divergent IB signals, historical data shows only a 17% chance of both playing out correctly, creating an 83% probability of finding a profitable trade on the opposing asset. The strategy involves waiting for one asset to break its IB level first, then entering the opposing position on the other asset. Key supporting statistics include inside bar patterns (89-90% success rate) and gap fill probabilities (87-90% for small gaps). The approach emphasizes disciplined risk management, quick trade execution (5-10 minutes), and avoiding holding trades for extended periods to minimize exposure to unpredictable news events.
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Live Trading Futures Using The IB追加:
Good morning every morning. Good morning.
Crazy recovery.
Make sure we got everything typed out here.
Can't believe the the recovery we've had pre-market. We were down 86% last night and now we've come all the way back.
What's going on? Good morning, Steve.
Just a second.
One second.
Closet door stay open. It's too echoy with them closed.
I was going to try it. I was trying it.
Not sticking.
I was I was almost pressured. That was Steve.
It's not sticking though.
I could just hear myself bouncing off both walls.
I don't think it's that bad in the background.
Make sure we get all the alerts out for being live. Beautiful. Beautiful.
Beautiful.
We should have a decentish pullback here shortly.
I don't think that we're going to rapidly continue up at the I mean, who knows with this market we have uh for our stats today.
And what I'm going to be looking at in particular is the inside outside day. So we are pretty much smack dab in the middle of previous days range. Right now we have our previous day's high. I'll draw that out. 7339 and we have our previous day's low which we barely bounced off premarket and that is 72562.
So we are a little more likely to go and break the upside.
spying Q's aren't really gapped. So, there's no gap filled by size to go and take a look at.
Uh, if we're looking at Q's, we're in the first bracket on both of them. We have uh 100% 14 out of the 14 14 out of the past 14 gaps of this size have filled.
And then for spy, 29 and 23 of them have filled. So, it's very likely that we do get a fill into open here. We're having a pretty nice pivot candle. Uh think we're down to Let me take a look here real quick. 3057. We are still over 30,000.
Uh decent pivot candle here as well.
All in all, I do think that we get a pullback into open, but I'm a little partial. I mean, you guys are already know that I enjoy taking my longs. I'm a little partial towards an upside break. I don't think that we're going to pull back too much into open. I think that with the gap, we do still have 22 minutes until open. With the gap that we're going to form, is it going to be 0.00%. Is it going to be uh small gap down? Either way, it's going to be within the first bracket. And whenever it's within the first bracket, we have a 90-ish 80-ish percent chance of filling it.
QQQ a lot more likely regarding the gap 14 out of 14 or 10 out of 13. That's over the past six months. So I would in I would preferably want to see a small gap up into open sweep down form the IB low and then we can target both the high and we can also go and target the low.
Now, for anyone that was on stream yesterday, how many of you guys happen to hold this be of a trade? This beautiful trade after we got off.
So, I did take shorts into the afternoon.
Should probably move that over to This was the longest trade I've held for a pretty good duration. I mean, this was an hour and 40 minutes that I was in the trade. We go down to 3minut time frame and I did uh call this out right before we got off stream yesterday. The reason that I took this was that diverged IB stat and I will explain it. What's going on Eveina? Good morning. I will explain it here shortly. Let me get the Edgeful AI report up. So to get this data, you go into Edgeful, go into Edgeful AI and you type in for the initial balance on NQ and ES when NQ is indicating a break of the high and ES is indicating a break of the low. What are the stats for the initial bounce playing out correctly for both assets?
Put that in a time table for the past two years.
Total divergence day is 29. So 5.6% 6% of all trading days. One maybe once a week you get a diverg IB once every other week.
Actually that's over two years. So once once a month just about you get this data 52 yeah a quarter of the year. So once a month you get this data. You get a diverged IB. It feels like it's happened a lot more recently, but this is over the past two years. Uh May 2024 to May 2026, 514 total trading days, only 29 of those, 5.6 will be diverged.
And when they are diverged, the likelihood of them both playing out correctly on the same day is only 17%.
So that's when we go over to our beautiful chart here on QQQ and we see QQQ was the one that was indicating a correct breakout. This one broke to the downside yesterday.
What do we do with that information? We go over to our Edge AI. We note that okay, QQQ was the one that broke out correctly. So that means that there's a 17% chance that SPY will also break correctly or an 83% chance that it does not go and break the high.
SPY was indicating a high break. We had the low form first of the IB into the high at 10:18.
I took this trade. I ended up entering at let's see uh I ended up entering right after the IB break on Q's which happened immediately at 10:30 for Wednesdays. My entry looks like it was at 10:33.
So then I ended up taking this trade for uh 10:33 all the way until 11:45. So an hour and 15 minutes, just about an hour and 15 minutes. The duration of that trade, not too worried about because I did enter before 11. If I had entered after 11, it would have been a little a little less confident in the trade, but because I entered before 11, that lines up with all the rules that I have. held that trade all the way until full TP hit not only at the IB low, but I managed to hold the trade all the way to previous day's low, which is something that I was targeting yesterday. The reason I was looking for previous days low was the inside bar stat on SPY. We did not have the draw on Q's because QQQ opened outside of previous day's range yesterday. There's our previous day's high. QQQ opened at 7:33. We came down and hit the outside day.
And then we go into our reports, take a look at the outside days, inside bars, outside days. Yesterday was an outside day for QQQ. We had a 62% chance that reverse back down, which it ended up doing. And then the inside bar stat for SPY is the big one. This is a 90% 89% chance that price goes and takes out previous days low or previous day's high. in this case everything that was lined up and I'm I'm rather proud about how accurate the data was here but not only how accurate the data was how we manipulated the data and how we used it noted that it was diverged so we went into that edgeful AI again 17% chance that spy goes and breaks the high 83% chance it goes and breaks the low that is not using the IV by rejection data that is using the diverged IV data and then a continuation all the way to previous day's low and this was about 10:15 1020 that I I was looking for this yesterday ended up playing out really well draw down on the trade was about 12 points I believe I don't remember the exact riskreward I think the full stop loss was 16 points and it went up to 12 points red and then the reward which was pretty nice it was a positive R 1.15 the reward ended up carrying it up to I believe it was 18 points just about 20.
Yeah, it was a beautiful trade yesterday. I had to go to work yesterday at 7:30. Heard you mention that stat. I had the ES short. Maybe my new favorite stat days of diver. It's really nice.
It's not not only is it nice in regards to the stat itself, but the way that you go about playing it, Steve or Mark, sorry, not Steve. The way that you can go about playing it and how they fit together like a puzzle. Like you're looking at What's going on, Elena? Good morning.
You're looking at essentially two years of data on that diverged IB with two different sats. So almost 1,000 data points, 514 total trading days and you're looking at it for two assets. So over a,000 data points there.
Lining that up. So it's 1,000 data points on that one. Lining that up with inside bars, which is another 76 trading days.
That's on spy. You could use it on cues, too. So just about 1,200 data points.
data points that you're using for the stat and then it ends up playing out almost exactly as it should.
Now for price going into today, we no longer have a gap. This is what I was somewhat looking for into open here. Uh we don't have any heavyhitting news that I know of today. I'll go and take a look at market data this week. I don't think we had any 10:30 news. I don't think we had jolts.
Uh let's see.
Yeah, no 10 uh 10:00 news. We have new home sales. So, nothing major coming up today. These are all the data points that we had pre-market. These ones I wouldn't really put too much emphasis on. These are all mixed small data points, mixed low significance data points. So, No, I don't think there's anyone in here. I don't know anyone personally. I I joked about this with Andre yesterday.
I don't know anyone personally and I don't know anyone that knows anyone that knows how to read this data.
Uh Pipy, what's going on? Yeah, I know.
I should have gotten back to you yesterday. I know that you wanted that diverg stat. So to type it in, this is the prompt right here. You type in for the initial balance on NQ and ES when NQ is indicating a break of the high should occur while ES is indicating a break of the low should occur. Where are the stats that the initial balance playing out? Where are the stats for the initial balance playing out correctly for both assets? You can also simplify it too.
for the initial balance on NQ and ES when NQ and ES are indicating different directional breaks. What are the odds or what are the stats that the initial balance plays out correctly for both assets?
You're you're just looking for the likelihood that they go and break in their correct direction. So any way that you can go and prompt that, what I've done is referred to it as a diverged IB and that's why I put in for the bookmark or the pin chats. You can really do whatever you want with the data. Call it whatever you want.
That is just my preference.
And then it's really easy to go into.
You you can go bookmark it. You can anytime you have an older message pop up on here, three dots, pin or rename chat. And then you can go into that and read what the data is telling you. The last one that I did was uh for the initial balance breakout, what's the longest winning streak? And it said I think it was 14 based on the data. It doesn't have it on here now because it refreshed.
Uh I tried. You can see all the other scripts that I tried.
How many times has the initial bounce by rejection gone against the breakout or breakdown anticipated move five times in a row? This has only happened one time.
So, we've only invalidated the IB once.
Very nice.
or invalidate it five times in a row once.
For reports going into today, I already covered this. There's not really much that we have going for us at the moment.
We have a nothing gap. We have a 0.03% gap. So whichever way we open here in the next 10 minutes, we should anticipate an almost immediate rejection or reversal into the open.
So if we gap up, which we are on spying Q, uh spy is actually gapped down. Q's is gapped up.
They're they're flipping back and forth right now. There's no gap is is the point that I'm making. These gaps on spy and on Q's both have about a 90% chance that they get filled. Yes, 90 across the board. 87 and 89.
And this is a lot of data points as well. It's 31 27 of those have filled.
And then 19 gaps down of the size. 17 of those have filled. Two of them have not.
I would put money on the ones that do not fill probably being 0.19 or 0.18 because as soon as you skip into that second bracket you can see it drops pretty significantly goes all the way down to 50/50 on the gap up. So 11 data points. Five of them have filled. Six of them have not.
But anyway, gaps of this size, we have pretty much 100% likelihood. Not saying 99.9. Not guaranteeing that we go and fill the gap, but it should happen pretty instantly, pretty instantaneous.
It's 10 minutes into open as well.
I would look for it to maybe have like a a ghost wick. I don't know if I've mentioned that on this stream before. A ghost wick is something that happens, but it doesn't really happen because it's it's so small and it's so fast that it will just go like uh let me draw my tool and I'll go down to the one minute for this so you can see what I'm trying to mention. This is what the candle will look like. So, we're gapped up 0. We're at 0.00%. 00%.
Now, these wicks when they do occur, the next candle, so a ghost wick, if we're filling, this isn't an official term. This is something that I just made up, but if we're filling the gap, let's say we have a gap up right now, this candle will come in and you'll see a wick like that on the one minute time frame.
very similar to what we had at 8:40 this morning. It was like a 50 cent wick, but it happened within a minute. And not only did it happen within the minute, but because it was a wick up candle was green at the time and then it came all the way back down, closed red all within one minute, it probably in that case it most likely happened within 10 to 15 seconds.
Same thing that we had happen last 651 this morning.
So into open, we have uh 8 minutes into open. If we have a gap up, we'll have an almost immediate wick like this or we'll gap down and open something like that and then push back up and then this will be the direction of the opening candle. I am anticipating that we're going to have a bullish IB today. I think that the market is way too damn bullish to not buy up this drop.
And whether you agree with this or not, this is a very minor drop. But because the market's so bullish, the the whole reason we had the selloff was because of semiconductors.
737 down to 725, a $12 drop yesterday, but it was all off of the back of like AMD, MU.
MU still finished the green the day green, but it was gapped up $50 and we only closed at I shouldn't say only because it's still crazy how expensive this is, but 728 versus the 786 opening price we were at. And then same thing with AMD. AMD actually closed red. This was all the way at 516, so I had a $20 drop.
Nvidia, same thing. 216 all the way down to 208.
Is that James Bruce I just heard?
>> Morning.
>> Oops. I had you then removed you immediately.
>> How you doing?
>> Good. Good.
>> Good man.
>> You remember this trade from stream yesterday?
>> Spy one.
>> Let's have a look.
>> Oh, there you go. Y then it bounced.
>> I hit it to the tick.
>> Yeah, look at that.
>> So, shorts with the the diverged IB and then all the way to previous days low.
Nice. Are >> you able to get that prompt for the IV?
>> I'm still short. I've got a DAX short position at the moment that I'm running.
So, there's a German index.
>> Yeah, >> very good.
>> Um, yeah, I'm just having a look at the stocks. Y looks a lot more bearish at the moment than ES and ENQ. That's for sure.
>> With the the nothing gap that we have right now, I don't think that we're going to have any volatility into open.
>> Sure.
>> I can't imagine new we have new home sales at 10. That's the only data point.
I I can't imagine that's going to be a heavy hitter.
>> Yeah.
>> Excuse me.
I tried closing the closet door.
>> Too echoy.
>> It was too echoey.
>> Oh, too echoey.
>> Way too echoey.
Let me I'm going to post that prompt in announcements 15.
I can just copy paste it.
This one uh I do realize that it just tells you whether it's a breakout and breakdown divergence on ENDQ and ES. You can also add in another line that says or when NQ is indicating a break the low and ES is indicating a break the high or the stats for the initial balance playing out correctly for both assets.
You can you can tweak it whatever way you want. It doesn't have to be exactly like I have it written out.
and type into Excuse me.
I wish the trees weren't having such a big party or else my nostrils would be so clogged up. How do you like the pollen in the US?
>> Yeah, they're nice. Yeah, especially Miami.
>> Have you just Have you stayed in downtown New York or are you going upstate?
>> No, I'm back I'm I'm back in South Africa now. I'm just traveling on the road in South Africa. Yeah.
>> Oh, I had no idea.
>> Yeah. Yeah, I got back on Monday. I'm just in a different part of South Africa right now.
>> Yeah.
>> Gotcha. But we were staying in we were staying in downtown like right outside like near Madison Square Garden.
>> Nice.
>> All right. Gap up of this size on NQ.
We have a I think going over to the stats to see any gap of this size. It says we have 100% over the past six months of filling it.
meaning that this gap would should get filled down to >> Yes.
>> Uh I'm trying to locate it on NQ or any >> I don't really Well, it's only at 002.
So like uh >> yeah, it's basically trading at trading at it. Yeah, we're trading at it at the moment basically.
>> If that.
>> Yeah.
>> And then bounces right back up. We got two minutes into open. This isn't really anything you're going to be able to play, I don't think.
>> No, it's too small.
>> Spy and Q's are diverged, so they're the both of them should almost immediately go and take the gap fill up and down. I don't think one of them is going to have significance over the other one. I think it's just going to be a pretty immediate push up, push down. Both of them take it right at the same time.
I'm just adding my accounts, my socials.
>> How's the How's the Wi-Fi once you got back?
>> Oh, good, bro. It's actually I streamed from So, I was at home for two days and then before heading on the road here, but the it wasn't it wasn't pausing, bro. So, >> here we go.
>> Is that a sign that we buy? Cuz the war's over.
>> Yeah.
Could you imagine if we sell the news?
>> Yeah.
>> On this.
>> Sell the What's it? Sol the news. Buy the rumor.
>> Yeah. Buy the rumor, sell the news. So, if we've already bought it based on the war ending and then we get to the point where it's actually over and it drops.
Yeah. And then it's 500 points. Yeah.
All right, we are gapped up a whopping five cents right now, everyone. So, very careful. Very, very careful.
>> What's up, Pept?
>> That's obviously a joke. You don't need to be that careful.
>> Yeah, it's a nothing gap.
>> Wine.
>> 7 seconds into open. We should almost immediately push down right here, I believe, on Q's.
>> Look at Jeez, YM is absolutely tanking.
>> Did it fail into open? What? What would we open at?
>> Open was 72974. I don't know what our previous day's close was.
Spy Spy did what it was anticipating to do.
Look at YM, dude. YM just shoving down.
>> Yeah, Kikq should probably come back down then.
>> I don't know. YM sucks.
>> Yeah, it it actually tra it trades so differently. Yeah.
>> What's my Dax doing? My Dax is looking good. Let's actually get that up here.
I'm still >> Yeah, why am UM stinks?
>> Yeah, there's my deck. So, I'm currently still up 64 points at the moment. 65.
>> Nice.
>> Good morning, Kyle. How you doing?
Future Sky Kyle. What's going on?
>> Yes, sir.
>> Yeah. Why? It's because it's price weighted. Andre and I have we've spoken about that uh on stream.
>> It's still got I I know it's price weighted, but it's still the essentially the same 20 assets that NQ has the top ones.
>> Yeah.
>> Minus maybe like a Home Depot slip in there.
>> Yeah.
>> Have to get the exact names on the screener. I know JP Morgan is the biggest one in it.
>> So, Goldman Sachs, Caterpillar, Microsoft.
>> Sorry, Goldman Sachs. Yeah.
>> Yeah.
Nike, Walmart, Cisco, 3M, Nvidia.
Yeah, gold. These two being down then.
I mean, it's still like it's still what why is it always diverged?
>> Yeah, >> because those companies should theoretically be holding the same assets as what's in the MAG 7, right?
It's not like they venture out. It's not like Goldman Sachs was honoring this yesterday.
>> As you said, it just it just does its own thing sometimes, bro.
>> It does.
>> I actually don't hate I'm just watching this. Let me Sorry, Zinc. Let me just uh I don't hate a potential short off of this level. Obviously, I'm not going to take it now, but we'll see how it reacts. But I don't hate a potential short of here. We're back at Asia highs.
Um and we struggled to move higher yesterday, too. So, I don't hate the shorts off of this level. potentially back down to like 29 Asia lows, 29800, call it.
>> Yeah, we should uh we haven't filled the gap yet on Q, so we should go down and fill that.
It's to I previous day's close was at find it 45 close 72947 and I think it just hit almost off by a couple of cents.
There we go. Gap filled scared us there for a minute. Cues, the other thing to add in for today, everyone, diverged inside bars. They also only happen 4% of the time. We can actually >> I think I just I'm just sculping a short here. I'm in at 54 on that minute down.
So, I'm going to probably going to >> Yeah. Or ENQ. Yeah.
>> Nice. Let me see if I can trade it back towards the daily view app.
Just a momentum play. Okay. Yeah, back at 30K. I'm going to take that for about 35.
>> All right. Back down to 30.
That would have been a fantastic 112 point short if you uh really knew >> Yeah. Sorry. Sorry, I only got I only got 40. Sorry.
>> Amateur. Amateur.
>> Yeah, but that just playing that momentum play. I see. I'll bring my screen up now in a second. But just getting underneath uh the New York session open VWAP and we kind of we're kind of making like a higher and get back underneath it. So, I like the sometimes I'll take these momentum plays at the open, but no, I won't hold these trades for like the whole day. Like, I'm already out of it.
>> Yeah, I like it.
targets would be if I was, you know, if I really knew what I was doing would be daily VWAP, which is back down at 29,9969. But I again like these type of sculpts, I'm not looking to be like the home run like I'm holding for the whole day, you know.
>> Yep.
>> I got you.
>> So, my confidence also on that trade is um there's there's two things why I like the shorts there. Um, one of them is an edgeful stat, which I'll bring up in a second here. Um, let's go like this. So, one of them is an edgeful stat. Let me just get up zinc before I show you.
>> Screen's up now.
>> Okay, so the first one, okay, the first reason is, let's go to a 15-minute time frame is we're coming off of Asia highs.
So, in my pre-market prep stream that I do every single morning here with Edgeville, I speak about levels. So, levels that I like to trade off of. Asia high was one of them, right? Where we we we c we actually melted quite quite a bit off of that Asia high level. The second one is we have taken out the previous day's lows from the extended market hours, which is that white dotted line coming across my screen. So, because I we've already taken out those lows, we could potentially come back and revisit them because of that edgeful stat, the previous day's range report.
Um, which is over here. Uh, oh yeah, I've already got it up on ENQ. In the last 6 months, if we take out the highs, 80% of the time will close as a bullish closing day and 63% of the time if we take out the lows. Not a great stat on the shorts. That's why I'm also was quite quick on aggressive profit taking, but it does lead me to take the shorts off of that level instead of looking to to play the the bounce through it.
Very good.
Uh >> you guys.
>> Yeah. What do you think?
>> No, those are one of the two the two reports I really like. The previous days range report and the opening candle continuation report.
>> I got to get you start using inside bars.
>> Yeah, I know. I I do look at inside bars as well. So, yeah, I do agree.
>> That previous day's range is insane.
>> It is with the with Yesterday was beautiful.
uh pip t I do not use the I don't use the inside bars by open report. I just use the inside bars themselves. But what I was going to add in there is for these inside bars divergence on the inside bars. Same thing. I don't have it written out for a so you guys will just have to take my word for it. I'll I'll type it out right now so you guys can see. We go into two years worth of data. We go into ES and put inside bars on there chart patterns. And then we add the report on QQQ or NQ.
What I'm getting at here, I'm going to skip the leadup to it. Customize. Everything looks good.
inside bars.
When QQQ or SPY or NQ or ES analyze reports, two reports are ready.
When one or the other takes the previous day's low or previous days high, the other one, I believe, only has a 5% chance of going and taking the opposing direction.
So, let me mute real quick while I type this out so you don't hear me bashing on my keyboard.
And my um so while while I'm while I'm I took that ENQ sculp as well, my uh my DAX position which I can you can trade as a futures contract as well with some prop firms. Um, Zinc, I think it's the ticker's name is FDAX for those that want to look. I do know Tradeify offers it. Um, I'm up 107 points right now.
So, I'll take that, right? That's not That's not all too bad.
Things locked in on the prompts.
Smooth, you're asking a good question. I trade them as CFD, so I won't know the tick value, but um a simple chat GBT, so it should should help with that.
I was locked in.
>> Yeah, now you were. We haven't taken the low yet, David, on either of them.
Okay, so microax is one one euro per point or $1 per point and FDAX minax is $25 a point, but I'm trading them as CFD contracts.
So you got to keep that in mind, right?
>> Yep. just Italian euros. Well, that's what ChachiBT is getting. Yeah, I don't know.
Ask ask your the just make sure. Yeah, please take us to your DAX trade. Yeah, I can. It's actually I would say this is actually a better trade. It's sim similar to trade trade to the ENK, but this is more of like a directional trade if rather than a quick momentum sculpt.
Um, sorry Zinc, if I can just take the screen here. Um, okay. So, we take out the previous day's lows which is that white dotted line. You can get the indicators on the edgeful website. If you go to the bottom there, uh, trading view indicator access, but we take out the previous day's lows. Remember, DAX is open is the London session. It's not the New York session. So, we're already into the session while I can take this more as a directional play. So, we take out the previous day's lows quite healthfully in the Asian session. We pull back into it and I get short at the break of the daily VWAP. That black VWAP on my screen over here is the daily VWAP. That's where I get short and I have my stop. I gave myself a little bit more room than maybe I would have needed, but I liked it. I wasn't, you know, I took the trade and I went downstairs to get lunch and uh yeah, came back, rejected that daily VWAP, which I liked. Actually added in a small piece over there and now we we continuing to run. So that's that's my DAX trade. So using that previous day's range report with with Edgeful.
>> Beautiful.
Beautiful.
Holy drop on Q's.
That in hindsight, taking a look at it would have been a phenomenal opportunity to try and top call it.
There we go.
Here are our stats, everyone.
So, we have a five and six% chance, respectively.
the NQ has a bullish breakout and ES has a bearish breakdown or NQ has a bearish breakout and ES has a bullish breakout.
Bearish breakout, bullish breakout, vice versa. So, they're both considered breakouts. But 5% and 8% of the time that one of these assets goes and takes that previous day's low or previous days high, the other one will also go and take that. So 95 and 92% of the time for those stats.
So nine or 8% of the time this happens.
Meaning on the opposing side of that, 92% of the time it does not happen.
So only 8% of the time we will have a bullish breakout on NQ whereas ES goes and breaks down and vice versa 5% of the time ES will take a high and NQ will take the low.
That's the same concept that we played yesterday for those IBS diverged IBS.
Only for this one you don't really have as clean of an entry model. the IB you can enter at IB50 for this. The way that I would play it is if you see a breakout of the stat.
So ES breaks the low and Q goes and breaks the high.
Vice versa, whichever one you see go and break that corresponding level, you can take it on SPY to the low or SPY goes and breaks previous days low here first at 74835, you can go and take shorts on NQ and that should represent a 92% stat.
they line up 92% of the time.
Now, for the other stats, and this is all the this is over the past two years as well, so this isn't a a small data point.
Was that the the AI that just took a trade algo?
>> No, that's not Osmar. That's my Osmo.
>> Oh, the other stat for these inside bars that I love playing is the breakout report. So you go into QQQ ES, it doesn't matter.
Both of them only have about an 8% chance, 9% chance that they will break both previous days high and low. So once you see one of those levels hit SPY andor Q's, then you know it's going to stay in that direction or it probably won't reverse for the day.
Those are all my favorite stats to play.
Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
Yeah, >> I I got full out on that wick down. I got uh on on the DAX. So, I got my full exit at about 030.
So, I missed a about 15 points there.
But is what it is. But hey, Zinc, the if id hold that even more on the NASDAQ back where I said daily view, I would have got it. But I'll take the quick the quick sculpt.
>> Hindsight trader.
>> Yeah, exactly. Hindsight trader.
>> If that bounces go ahead, go ahead. No, if that bounces, you look like an idiot.
Only in hindsight. Only in hindsight.
Uh to be fair, that's not what the stat says. It says 5% of the time the asset takes out the other previous day's edge.
It does not mean 95% of the time it will take out the same side.
What do you mean?
If only 5% of the time it goes and breaks out the opposing direction, that would mean that the other 95% either doesn't break or it does go and break the same ass the same direction.
So divergence in the two only occurs 5 to 8% of all trading days over the past two years.
And that's saying that 92 to 95% of the time it either doesn't break that low, which we know doesn't happen very often because if we go to inside bars, it's only 10% of the time, eight out of 76 trading days it doesn't break.
So you could add in since it's over two years, 24 of those days, 32 of those days would not break. But for them being diverged, that's that should be what the stat's saying. It says 92 to 95% of the time it will go and break the same direction or not break.
I know it includes the probability of not breaking, but as I just showed, the probability of not having the inside bar break is very, very low.
So if we added that in as well, the likelihood that they're diverged and then one of them does not go and break and the other one does, that's probably lowers it even more to maybe 95 to 99% of the time.
>> Correct. Yes. Smooth operator. It's two It's two points of confluence. So, one of them is telling you that there's a 90% chance you break the inside bar. And the other one is indicating that when the inside bar is formed if the stats are diverge, what are the odds that it has a continuation or break or vice versa?
And we know that inside bars break a significant amount of the time.
Didn't happen yesterday. Smooth operator. Yesterday we opened outside of previous day's range on Q's but inside a previous day's range on SPY which is why I took shorts on SPY to previous days low.
Yesterday was not an anomaly. They It happens pretty often where SPY will be gapped up 2% but QQQ will be gapped at 0.1 or vice versa. And one of those will be inside a previous day's range. The other one will be outside of previous day's range.
Am I wrong or does the inside bar by open say we have a 71% chance of touching previous days high? I I don't use that one. I'll go take a look right now.
Inside bar by open says over all weekdays. Yes. So, let's customize it down to a Thursday 50/50 and open below previous days 50 as a 66%.
Open above previous days 50 as a 50/50, which I believe we opened right smack dab in the middle of previous days range.
Yeah, we did barely above it. I don't that I think that's refining it too much. Hip ti I I just use the inside bars standard report. This is the one that makes more sense. You don't need to guess the direction the inside bar is going to break because we have the IB for that 50.
We are taking out the opening range low now on NQ2. Opening range has been set.
Look at the strength we have on spy compared to ES right now.
>> Yeah.
Yeah. Also spy ES is also um it is also holding at that daily VWAP too. Looking NQAX.
>> Yeah, exactly. Pipy. I think it's a little too much that you're digging into.
You don't need to refine it down that that much.
the inside bar by breakout or by open.
That one you can use if you don't use the IB. I'm sure it works really well on most days, but the IB is what tells us what the direction is going to be 90 80 to 90% of the time.
Like on Wednesdays, it's a 92% stat and an 88% stat based on which high or low is formed first.
I didn't miss your question. Grumpy Life, where's the best place to learn to use the Edgeville to use Edgeville the way that you do with the IV? Maybe list of reports right here in the live.
Honestly, >> yeah. Yeah, >> you're in the right place.
Not too many resets coming in recently, but I will add that uh the companies that are adding, so like Tradeify, I'm sure Lucid will probably add one coming up here soon.
Tradeify with those five packs that they have, those accounts are selling like crazy right now. So, anyone that's buying five sets of accounts, I think Apex just said the same thing, too. I'm sure they're going to get a crazy amount of money from that. Buying five accounts at a time saves you so much time on Apex when you had I I think it took me like >> Did you have to buy it individually?
>> Yeah, it took me like 30 minutes.
>> Holy [ __ ] >> Oh my god. I would That's crazy, dude.
Buy Yeah, just to buy buy your proper accounts here takes you 30 minutes.
>> I mean, I can't show you because I can't get in the dashboard, but the worst one that I went bought accounts on was Ola Prime. Ha Prime.
They it it was like a 4minute process per account that you had to go and buy.
>> Jeez.
>> Cuz you got text confirmation and then you got email confirmation on the account and you had to activate the account with a contract you had to sign.
It was just very bad.
Right, we're bouncing a little bit.
Looks like we should if if we diverge again today, I'm not going to be too upset because we know how to play it now.
And honestly, with that divergence, 17% is better than most of the IB by rejection stats. So that 83% that we get if these diverge right now. SPY is about to go and take a new high by the way.
James QQQ is bounce.
>> Yeah, look at that bounce on ENQ2.
>> If one of these diverges, we know let's say spy goes and takes the high, we can hight tail it right into Q's and do the exact same thing we did yesterday >> and take long.
If I can just show this on screen as well for those that like to use VWAP with Edge for we are bouncing on this is a 15-minute time frame. I like to look at the 50-minut time frame just to see where we are instead of just locking in on like like a lower time frame. But look where we bouncing at. This could potentially be like a higher low off of that daily VWAP. I'm not saying get long or anything like that right now. I'm just saying just watch that. And that's why I was very sculpy on that short off the highs. It was a sculp momentum play, not a not a directional play.
I meant to ask you yesterday too. Did uh South Africa also celebrate e holiday?
>> Um as a public holiday.
>> Yeah. Is it like uh how the UK is pretty much shut down for the week right now?
>> Oh, no. No, no.
>> South Africa doesn't do that.
>> No.
Got you.
Anyone in stream on e holiday right now, >> dude. Look at look at Y. That is crazy.
Look at that.
>> The divergence is disgusting to me.
>> Well, look at that drop. Look at the drop. Look at the opening range. We above opening range high right now. We had a we have a we have a two 173 point wick on on YM.
>> Yeah. And then what's the >> I'm looking at the points on it right now. I don't usually trade YM.
>> It's similar to I know it's similar to ES on futures.
>> So that's a 300 point reversal in maybe 10 minutes.
>> Dude, that's crazy.
>> With just a gnarly wick, too. Yeah, I was looking at my stats again from yesterday uh Zinc with uh from year to date. In Q and DAX is where I'm making my money, bro. So that's why I am going to share my DAX trades even though I know some guys don't trade it. A chart is still a chart. I think you can still learn from even if I'm trading a different asset, you know.
>> Yep.
>> Your chart is smooth can make me overtrade.
>> So those are the two you're winning on.
What do you think you're going to keep doing?
>> Yeah, I'm going to keep trading those, bro. Stop trading all the other crap.
>> Do you guys see how simple it is when you collect data for yourself?
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> Isn't that insane?
>> James, what's your New York uh VWAP settings? It's open open high open high low close four. That's my settings.
>> I do see that we're approaching 50% of the IB, but we still have 35 minutes left for the IB to be set. So there's absolutely no rush to get into it right now.
Zero rush.
>> Yeah, zero rush.
Uh, while we're waiting for this, I'll show you guys the two trades I had on GlobeEx and Asia IV last night. So, Asia I did lose initially.
What I've been doing though is I've been entering just above and I know this kind of defeats the purpose of the 50% for the IB. I've been entering just above the IB50 and I still put the 1 to1 stop loss on it. So last night I entered at 3040. Unfortunately missed full TP by five points. It is what it is.
However, when I hit my stop just before it hit the stop, I got out. I think I got out right about there and then I went short to IB low and ended up capitalizing on like 50% of this drop to 30,000.
29,850 and then Globeex IIB was could not have been any better. Globeex IIB was perfect. We had the high first.
Still behind by an hour. I don't know why. High first, low second. We had a barely under 50% entry. It did ultimately hit 50%.
So, if I had waited, I would have gotten my ideal entry. But I hit full TP on this, was up 320, lost 240 on the Asia IB, but then flipped it to shorts and ended up back up 400. So, I made more on the drop back down than I did on the loss itself. But I have noticed that when the IB flips the midpoint, so when we're trading the IB, a couple months ago, we got away with this because it was a completely different environment with the IB in the market itself.
But when price is over the midpoint of the IB, you're much more likely to go.
So we have the low form first, high form second, you retest the midpoint. As long as price is hanging out over the 50% line, it's very likely that it goes up and takes the high. As soon as we do something like this where price has low high, you're struggling to get anywhere above like 75% of the IB.
as soon as it goes back below. I'm not saying close the trade and immediately flip short, but it signals that it's much more likely that it's going to go and invalidate the IB. I've noticed this a lot more with Asia and Globex IBS, but it also has helped a lot with New York IBS and avoiding the loss.
So, last Friday, for instance, we had the high form first into the low. As soon as we flip and get back over the midpoint, it's a lot more likely that we're going to go and take the high, which is what we did on Friday. And I took a pretty nice win on that one, targeting the high.
Same thing for Thursday last week.
Same thing for uh Wednesday. Last week, we had the Actually, no, never mind.
This one was fine.
I think it was Tuesday.
Yes, Tuesday. high form first, low form second. As long as you're underneath the midpoint, it's fine. As soon as you have a reversal candle that gets over the midpoint, it's a lot more likely it goes and reverses and takes the high. So, just something to look out for. Today would be a great example of it on SPY.
SPY is at 75% of the IB.
And if you guys don't have the data for this, luckily we do have a report, a subreport on Edgeful for this. Now it's going into the IB by rejection.
Customize the report and then go into the IB ending zone and look at what happens when price ends anywhere above 50. 50 to 75 or even I'll put this to all weekdays instead of finding it.
This is what happens to the stats when you end up closing up that level.
So it's not all that likely that you go and take the correct level. Whereas if you're below or even in that last bracket 25% you can see it goes all the way up to 95 and 85.
So anytime the price close above or gets back above the midpoint of the IB your stats significantly decrease. In this case for highs over the past six months when you close in 75% which is the top range of the IB.
So if it's a bearish IB 75% is at the top. If it's a bullish IB, 75%'s at the bottom. Anytime you close in 75% to 100% of the IB has a 66% chance that you go and take the incorrect level.
Hasn't happened many times. It's been three, but those times that it does happen, it can save you from a loss.
We are diverg on the IB right now which is very nice to see because we understand how to play divergence on the IB now.
QQQ. Yes, it is at the midpoint. But if spy or Q's, whichever one of these plays out correctly, we can take the trade on the opposing one. Did I just hear the algo? Now I swear a little bit. No.
Let's see how your how your perception of this is.
>> I remember where I went. So, I be by rejection. You ready for this?
>> Yeah.
>> Andre was stunned. He was stunned when I showed him this. I by rejection. Pretty good regular report, right? 65 and 81.
>> Yep.
>> How much different do you think this is?
It's on an hour time frame right now.
How much different do you think this is over the five minute IB?
>> It's probably the same.
>> It's probably very similar. I' I've seen the stats with the edgeful. Some of them are actually very similar.
>> I don't know. Let's see.
Yeah, there we go. 50. Oh, wow. 50%.
>> What is that right in this report? What was I looking at?
>> I know for a fact that like the opening candle continuation, if you look at like the first 30 minutes or first 50 minutes compared to the first hour, some in certain time ranges, it's very similar.
>> Yes, it was this. So, it wasn't the IV rejection. I'm sorry I messed that up there. But the five minute open, our five open is green.
>> Oh, yes. Yes.
>> 65% of the time we close the day green.
>> Yep.
So, I was I was talking to someone last two weeks ago, last week or two weeks ago, they used the fiveminute opening candle continuation >> and they front run the entire IB with that.
>> Yeah. I mean, I it makes sense. I've I know that from the opening candle continuation, it's not too it's not the stats are pretty solid from a five even to like a 15 compared to like an hour.
That's why that's why I front run like I front done it as well, the opening candle continuation.
So what they'll do is they'll enter if it's a fiveminute open and in green they'll enter bullish.
>> Sure.
>> And they'll ride that all the way up to 10:30 and set their TP after 10:30 where the IV high is.
>> Interesting.
>> What time is GloEx IB? GlobeEx is 6:00 to 7. Asia is 8 to 9.
We touch previous day's low, then go back to previous day's high or IV high.
We didn't touch previous days low, but if that were to happen, that only happens 5% of the time, 8% of the time, sorry, that we go and take both the high and low.
It's very unlikely.
It's not looking too bad right now for shorts on NQ.
>> Yeah, I just don't like it's above that uh uh the uh daily VWAP at the moment.
We have to wait.
We have to wait for ES or NQ to go and take one of those levels and then we can take it on the opposing side.
So if ES breaks the high, then we can take longs on NQ. If NQ breaks the low, then we can take shorts on ES. Does that make sense?
>> Yep.
>> Yep.
I'm going to be looking for ES probably breaking the high again. I I think the current market we're in also, are we going to get a 1007 wiggle coming up here?
>> Wiggle >> 107 >> potentially. uh the current market we're in, any downside, and I think it's going to be this way until the news is either confirmed or denied with the war being over, any downside whatsoever has been aggressively bought up. Otherwise, we wouldn't be sitting at the level we're sitting at right now.
Now we're all the way up at 30,100.
>> Which if you do have a short memory, two months ago we were trading at 23,000.
>> Yeah.
>> I'm going to restate that one more time in case you uh didn't hear me correctly.
Not you, but everyone in chat.
>> Two months ago we were at 23,000. We moved up 7,000 points on NQ in the past two months.
So, as I always say, if you're struggling in the current market conditions, don't beat yourself up too much. This is not a typical move in the market. Not at all.
Very, very rare and unlikely that we have these types of movement, this type of movement.
these types of NQ's picking up some strength now.
Yeah, ES is showing a lot more strength at the moment.
We're back at uh we have actually taken opening range high on ES. The opening five candle strategy you just mentioned uh would be a nice examples. Palanteer and Microsoft.
Yeah. I mean you can use it on stocks too for sure.
>> You can use on any anything you want.
>> Yeah. Obviously this the the the percentages will change. Of course.
>> Tesla coming back down hard now at the moment.
>> You guys will be able to play it on it should be next month. Next month's June already. Holy smokes. Uh, next month.
>> Yeah. With the individual stocks.
>> Yep. They should be launching independent stock.
>> I can already do it.
>> I can already do it. CFD's added for years, dude. It's nice.
>> So, if anyone in here likes looking at reports for independ independent tickers, so if you want to go and play Tesla's initial balance by rejection on a Thursday or just do it for all weekdays, you'll have What the heck? Oh, it's uh that's why it looks so weird. I'm on the five minutes still. You these are your stats. 70% across the board pretty much. So, if you like playing Tesla because it moves like crazy in the open.
>> Yeah.
>> Next month you will be able to do so.
Uh the tickers for them.
>> I think it's only going to be better for us as day traders. Bro, >> what if the options guys are going to move move across?
>> Options are going to get destroyed. The >> time to Nothing.
>> Well, you don't have uh time decay, right?
>> Yeah. No decay.
>> Yeah.
>> So, there's zero reason for people to be trading options anymore after next month. Anyway, why the IBO rejection have less data sets? I have it set to six months, that's why. And I was also just customized down to a weekday time frame.
I was looking at Thursdays in particular for today on QQQ.
We ideally want to see the low form first. We have a 77% chance to take the high, but this lines up really well.
This data, I like seeing that for the high forming first. 57% and 28%. It's not really that significant.
So, if ES does go and take the high right at 10:30, then we can definitely we can comfortably take longs on NQ to IB high. And not only can we take that to IB high, but we can take that trade all the way up to previous day's high 733.
>> Is there a VWAP report on Edgeful?
>> Uh, no. There's no VWAP report on Edgeful. There's the indicator. Sweet.
>> Yeah, it's very uh that would be difficult one to get a report on cuz like what you want from it, how how many times it moves back and forth above VWAP. There's the VWAP suite indicator which you can obviously have a look at.
I'll bring it up here on stream. Um over here BU. So like over here, sorry just to take the screen again. Look over here.
You can see I'm on test at the moment.
We're below the New York session open VWAP, below the daily. Um, but we are above the weekly VWAP. So, it shows me and you can change this whatever you want. You can also have a custom there as well.
>> I need to update it. Upgrade available.
Okay. Update to latest version. Let's have a look. There we go. So, yeah. Okay. But I don't want those lines on. There you go.
>> Would I take longs right now? It doesn't really make sense to I think anyway.
Is that VWOP we're hitting off right now?
>> Uh sorry that wasn't that wasn't Tesla though. Um >> don't worry I got VWOP on my chart.
>> It's on there.
>> We are over VWOP right now in Q's.
It doesn't make sense to take longs right now. Even though we understand how to play diverged IB is what we have to wait for and what I waited for yesterday.
We don't need the entry right at IB50.
We can still go one to one and if the trade does happen to lose, so be it. If it wins, great. That's what we were anticipating. If it loses, not really anything we can do about that. For these trades though, we need to wait for which one of them breaks. So, we cannot guess. Okay, QQQ is going to be the one that's correct or spy is going to be the one that's correct. I did have that right from when we traded diverg IVs or didn't trade diverged IVs.
Now, we just need to locate which one or identify which one is the correct asset.
So once the only way we can do that is wait for one of them to break the high or one of them to break the low and then we go over to the other asset and take longs or shorts.
That's the best way to go and play these diverged IVs.
You're front running based on diverge inside bar.
We haven't taken previous days low in either of them or previous days high.
Damn, it started pouring again. What the heck?
We've had nothing but rain for the past two weeks, James. It was nice yesterday.
I take that back, but it's been >> NQ took previous days high. There's no way it took previous days high.
Well, here comes it. NQ.
Sheesh. Look at that.
Something's happening.
>> What is going on with the chart?
Oh, trade's not doing this.
Previous days high is not even close to getting taken.
The seven the 1013 wiggle.
What the heck is happening? So, what you guys are going to want to do is go into X.
Oh, look at that. He's already pulled up. I go to his page so often. and he's already pulled up.
One minute ago, gas prices post biggest drop of 2026. US gas prices fell 15.2 cents a gallon.
That is the only data point that's there.
That would have been a very good front run for longs though. Anyone wasn't long there. Holy smokes.
Here comes previous day's high now.
We're kind of We're jumping all over, >> dude. Look at that. Oh my goodness.
That's just ripping.
>> Do you see what the NQ chart looks like, though? It's all >> Yeah.
>> wonky.
Now, NQ took previous days high, but it wasn't until this candle right here. QQQ still has yet to, but NQ did scratch that. No, it did not. Previous day's high on NQ is 30,192.
So about 50 points away right here.
Probably going to go and push to it right now.
3192.
That was a long >> I think it' be a little too aggressive to take a long with that news coming out. But I do like a long up too.
>> Even dude, look at the decks. The decks just ripped 200 points as well. That's crazy. Remember my deck short that I was in that I got out of his lows. Look at that. That's just ripped and he a casual off the lows 250 points. Crazy.
>> New says Iran accepts deal proposal.
>> I don't believe in this comes from Walter.
There we go. I believe it now. Walter said it.
US Iran deal pending Trump approval. US and Iranian negotiators have agreed on a 60-day ceasefire and framework for nuclear talks with the deal still awaits final approval for President Trump.
The memorandum would reopen negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, ensure unrestricted shipping through the straight of include Iranian commitments on uranium enrichment alongside possible sanctions relief discussions. Officials say most terms are settled.
There we go. That's our news.
previous day's high is still intact on NQ.
Still there is about 60 points away right now.
So it' be a pretty good trade to run it up to that. So it's we're well over it now on ES. So NQ should also go and take it.
You you should understand what I mean now by not front running the IB. Like if we had obviously we were correct in this aspect. We we were right with understanding that MQ was probably going to go and take the high. We didn't take anything but that was the indication.
You don't know that until it happens though. So, right now you can't be like, "Oh, well, next time I see this, I'm going to go and take longs for NQ to go and target the high." Obviously, we had news come out with this, but you don't know if ES is going to be the one that's right or NQ. We could have just as easily had news that came out and dropped us $5 there on NQ and then ES would have been the one that was wrong and NQ is the one that was right.
So, you can't pick and choose that way.
I bet there was a load of torch accounts right there though.
>> Oh, I'm I'm 100%. 100%.
>> What are you doing? Uh it's it's it's actually quite like these news like I'm glad I wasn't in any type of trade during the time, but these news like uh you know headline news has been actually quite it's very and irritating bro cuz sometimes you're actually in a very nice statistical play >> and maybe you're in a trade, maybe you up you know a couple points and then obviously it just goes against you know.
>> Yeah. Right now is a great example too.
if you were shorts.
>> Yeah.
>> Any any aspect of shorts. Gold just jumped way up, too. Gold just had a 50 point candle.
>> Wow.
>> Our Bitcoin's not doing great.
>> Yeah. Yeah, I know. Bitcoin's in the dumps again. It was >> back at 80,000 for a little bit and then >> Yeah. And now it's just coming back.
Yeah. It's down high was back at 80 max.
actually got up to on my chart here that I'm using with Coinbase. It's 82800.
It's back. It's down 12 11 12% off there.
>> Not just the rip due to gas prices. No, it's the an actual deal being made.
>> Yeah, but remember what I was saying though. I was saying this and this wasn't hindsight. I did say in real time. I didn't obviously execute on it, but remember I did say we are kind kind of coming off that daily VWAP. We're bouncing off of it.
>> You did. could I could see the longs coming in there, >> but I've already made my money today.
So, um I think that's also something that I I think I tend to do well when I when I am trading at my best is I make my money and then I don't try and >> because I could have been in a long and I could have been in a long and it could have come that news could have been bad and come down, you know.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh with a news move like this, I don't really know how to go about getting an entry for the IB.
I'll be honest. I I don't really know what the best. Do we wait for the 50%.
Will it come all the way back down to 50% or is it the Ivy 25? Because this is a pretty big range now, too. We're looking at a $6 range, 300 points, almost a $7 range. So, I don't really know how to go about taking an entry on this.
It should go and play out to the high.
Should pretty easily go and play out to the high. We also have previous days high that's barely intact still. We took it very easily on SPY. NQ just barely missed it. 73313 and then that price on NQ is 30,192. It's previous day's high.
IB25 could be a good entry.
Definitely.
But then again, you have uh for those IB25 entries, VWOP is way down there now.
>> Yeah, you're buying it uh quite quite far from VWAP for sure.
>> It is. I'm not being an advocate for going short or trying to call. Yeah, I'm getting a bunch of emails in already.
Resets.
We have a pretty high likelihood, pretty high chance that news move like this, especially with it not being confirmed yet, that it goes and reverses on itself.
Kind of flips on its head.
>> Like you know just as well as I do, what would Andre probably have taken right there?
>> Yeah. Short of the hearts. Mhm.
I think everyone in the stream knows too.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah. On trade. No. No. It's at IB25 right now, so it could be a decent bid.
But VWOP is mosquitoes. VWOP is way down there. Am I a little too too far down?
What would you do, James?
>> Yeah. Um, personally, >> if you weren't already done for the day, what would you do?
>> Yeah. Yeah. If I wasn't done for the day, I mean, I might We'll see what happens. I'm done on my main accounts.
Maybe I'll trade like an Eval account if I do take something later on. Um, which I think is yours. I like splitting my accounts up like that, Zinc. I don't know about you, but I like >> Yeah. Um but um I would look for something kind of like like this maybe where we get a move back towards that New York session VWAP and then a move back higher. That's ideally what I what I would like to play if I do take it on like an EVA later on. Um no, we're not in a trade. I took a trade on DAX and ENQ shorts for a winner. Um >> too bad of a long entry right now. We're almost at 25% or 50% of the IV.
Uh James, can you explain your support and resistance boxes? A little kind of respecting would like to know behind.
Yeah, 100% Mustang. So I've just got this the the the resistance boxes. I don't use I always look at previous days highs and lows and pre-market highs and lows. What this is, it's Asia high, but it's also pre-market highs. So I'm looking at at those four levels every single day. Those those are like the support and resistance levels that I'm looking at. Pre-market highs uh and and lows and previous days highs and lows. boxes that I got here on ENQ is pre-market highs at Asia highs and then Asia lows which was was uh pre-market lows. So pre-market highs and lows uh and previous days highs and lows.
>> So you could go in same thing that I was just talking about with the the one one risks just under the IB50 because we know that when price So you could take an entry like that. We know when price gets below 50%.
It's not as likely to go and take that correct level.
This is a pretty good retest right now.
But this is also what I was just mentioning on news moves. Andre definitely would have taken a short right there. But what do you what do you do for these types of news moves?
Because they always not you in particular, just in general, but they very often retrace like this. They do.
They do agree with that.
>> Scorches you a little bit.
>> Yeah, you better to just um wait it out.
Honestly, >> yes.
I don't mind for an entry right now though. a pretty good >> remember that >> just also to speak on this and I think you speak about this quite a bit like your motto like two micros like if your goal is to make $200 a day trading right of real live cash that you can withdraw whether it's prop firms or personal accounts don't need to take five trades in a day you just need one or two potentially even one so and you know say whatever you want but if you can make $200 plus a day trading that's good money you a lot of people you know you you trade for 30 minutes in a day, make 200 bucks. That's fantastic, you know.
>> Absolutely.
This would be uh my long right now. This is my long right now.
So, entry would be >> or is 30,72 and then stop is get back to 15 minute. Uh stop losses is 29,962.
Beautiful.
>> Are you long now?
>> Yep.
>> Nice. Yeah, I like that.
>> So, same same kind of concept that I've been doing. I know I'm entering just over 50% of the IB, but it's been working remarkably well.
back over 25. We got four minutes of the IB set, 1700 profit. Very nice. Good job, Zach.
Look at that recovery at 50 points right now.
Uh I took the shorts on ink off the highs. Um I took in real time on stream.
You can go back and rewatch, but shorts off the highs of the of the pre-market highs, Asia highs >> wind up about the same.
>> Yeah, we're not even close to VWOP either. VWOP is uh 729. It's well under 50% of the IBM.
Wow, I almost bottom took that one a little tiny bit lower. 729.991.
>> Yeah, that's a good entry, bro.
>> So TP for me is not only going to be IB high, it's also set at 30,192, that previous day's high.
Previous day's high on NQ as well.
30,192.5, but I'll just leave it at 192. doesn't need to be perfect. If it takes the IB high and doesn't immediately go and take that previous day's high, then we can get out.
But I'll I'll it's another seven points.
I'll see if we can run to it. It should be close enough that it just goes and hits it immediately.
But exactly what I was saying for news moves like that you there's no it's very difficult to accurately catch the top and bottom or if you chase it then you really get torched. Most news moves happen exactly like this where it pivots like that was a 120 point drop from the high. Especially if you're targeting previous days high like I just was. It's very difficult to not chase into the trade after missing that target by a couple points.
Anchoring View up on news candles helps.
That's a little too much for me already.
I'm just now starting to use Vue up.
Give me a Give me a little bit.
I know sometimes you look at what not to trade. It's all based on that. Is that all based on edgeful like Tuesday or is it just Yes, it's all based on edgeful stats. So, Tuesdays and I get this question a lot for Wednesday GlobeEx IBS as well. This trade's beautiful right now, by the way.
And the the concept of this trade as well is if it got below IB50, that's why the stop loss is set just above the IB low, we can flip the position and go and take it to the opposing direction. This trade is up 75 points right now.
Oh man, this is going to be really difficult not to secure.
You know what? I'm going to try to leave it. I'm going to try to leave it.
I don't have more than I don't have enough micros to trim though. I'm not going to trim. I never trim.
But anytime I want to move my stop to break even, same thing I told you and Andre just secure the position instead.
I really break even right now. Exactly.
Uh yeah, I'll get out all out.
So my exit was 3154.
Right about there.
Beautiful.
>> Damn it. One day I'll be able to hold it the full way. But that was a 80 point trade. 82 points.
Very nice.
>> Uh 10 points of draw down on it.
Now we should especially that I'm out of the trade. We should definitely go and take previous days high as well as IBI.
Exited a bit early. Only got 100. Still a lot.
Still a good bit.
Beautiful.
IB is set now. By the way, we are two minutes into the IB being finalized.
SPY is a little bit weaker. QQQ still looks fine.
Kind we have two points of confluence to the upside. We have IB high and then we also have the previous day's high IB high on a Thursday. 78% chance 14 uh only four of them have lost eight of them one. So there's a uh sorry there seven nine outcomes, seven of them won, two of them lost. And then alongside that we have our inside bar 91 and a half% likelihood that we go and break previous days high or previous day's low, which we should go and run to right now.
Pretty happy with that secure now.
Came down 20 points.
Great trade. Thank you. GloEx in Asia with days you don't trade. Uh Wednesday.
Yeah, it's sorry I didn't finish that thought. Wednesday for GloEx.
Go into IBY rejection. MNQ daily time frame.
Wednesdays I don't play it which would be Tuesday night I don't play GlobeEx or is it Thursday Thursday data we should be looking at the Wednesday night yeah there we go so I don't it's 6040 and this one was also prior to last night it was pretty bad it's not too bad now eight and six but you can see there's not really that many data points because not many have played out in that Okay, the majority of them, 15 data points, nine of them won, six of them lost.
When the high forms first, 60 and 40, it's not that good of a stat to play for GloEx.
And then what I've also noticed for Wednesday nights, Tuesday nights as well for GloEx IB, when it's set, so it's right here at 6 to 7, 6 o'clock to 7 o'clock ET. When GloEx sets, you only have an hour for that trade to execute. So, you need if it's too large of a range and you don't go and break the correct side prior to 8:00, you have to get out of the trade because Asia will typically go and set a different direction on the IB and there's not there's nothing you can do about it. It's just too short of a time frame between them. It would essentially be the same as New York going directly into GloEx. like we were trading that 10:30 to 11:30 window for GloveX and then we have that New York IB right before it finalizes at 10:30. So, it's just too short of a time frame and if they end up forming diverged IBS, you can't play that on the same asset. So if Globe XI IB is set short but Asia IB is set long, which one of those has a validation over the other one or more significance over the other one?
We don't know.
Enter again after IB break. No, I'm I'm happy with that trade. I'll be all done with that. I had a good night last night with Gloex in Asia anyway.
>> Jeez, you trade every session, dude.
>> Well, if they set up well, >> hey, fair enough.
I did lose last night on Asia, but I flipped it real quick.
Entered short.
Beautiful retest off the 25.
SPY is a lot weaker right now. Holy smokes.
250 USD, one micro in three days. I did, if you guys didn't see the post I made on X yesterday, to get a or two days ago, to get a 10K month with prop firms, all you have to do, and this isn't too good to be true or me blowing smoke, all you have to do is aim for like60. I'm not saying that you should aim for 160 a day, but if there's 20 trading days, if you copy traded 10 25K accounts, which you can get five on Lucid, five on Tradeify or five on Tradeify, five on My Funded Futures, copy trading 10 25K accounts, your upfront costs, if you had a 100% pass rate, which I'll assign like a 50 rate for it, >> you'll spend $1,200, but you'll get a payout with one micro. You'll get a 10k payout at the end of the month with one micro and aiming for about 160 a day.
So, you don't need to have a crazy amount of profit. If you do it with five accounts, 320 a day and you'll take two payouts for the month. But that is including passing the evaluation, funding the account, making the profit requirement on the funded account and getting a payout at the end of the month.
And it is the actual math behind it for Lucid.
It's $66 to buy an account right now. They have 50% off your first two and then after the average is 66 because I think your first two are like $54 and then your next ones go up to 70 or 80 maybe.
Upfront cost 350. you need to make 1,250 to pass the account and then 2,100 to get a payout. So 3,350 on those and then for tradeify it is 3,550 3,600.
Actually they don't have a it's not 1250 it's 1,500.
So 3,600 profit 3,350 profit. split the difference or bring them both the 3,600 and that is to get a 10k payout in one month.
IB50 long on ES a valid setup here for you.
Yeah, you could.
>> I mean, it looks bullish. I I I will say that you definitely could. This one I I'm not as You have >> to go to wide stop. Yeah. happy with because you it's a one to one. It's not a terrible trade. You have the the reason I don't like it as much as NQ is because you don't have the draw or previous days high on there. Yes, I already took previous days high. It's a 20 24 point trade. So, $120 per micro. It's still Yeah, it's a good one.
NQ I like more because we have two points of confluence to the upside. We have IB high and then also have previous days high right there.
Here it comes. Nice little 20 point cand 30 point candle on the one minute time frame.
We are off IB high by 20 points right now.
>> Yeah, I think this looks good for longs personally. The only thing is we did have trouble moving higher as well yesterday. But I mean on that news you I mean it looks good.
Hopefully a decent amount of you guys are able to get those lines.
>> Do you know what uh >> what do you know what Table Mountain is in Cape Town?
>> Do I know what what >> haven't you heard of Table Mountain in Cape Town?
>> I have famous mountain. You haven't research it.
>> Table Mountain Cape Town.
>> Yeah. Is >> that where you are right now?
>> Yeah. Go check that. I'll show you. It's out the window here.
Just a big ledge.
>> Yeah, it's like flat. Holy smokes.
>> Yeah, >> it's right outside the window here. It's a bit closer.
>> That's cool.
Very cool.
It's also why it's very important to not enter too early in the day unless you have very strong confluence to it.
Especially with the IB, it finalizes at 10:30. There's not much of a reason to enter prior to 10. Even 10:15 on it because you're also exposing yourself to a lot of risk.
The longer you're in the market, the more often it is that you lose.
>> So, if you're in and out within like 5 to 10 minutes, you're fine. The longer you're in the market, the more likely it is that you have news that happens like this. You have data points that you can't control. You have unpredicted catalysts that come out and just smoke you.
>> I agree with that. I was actually I was using that new feature on Z AI, the new AI feature, and if I hold my trades for longer than 30 minutes, more often than not, I'm I should just close it if a trade doesn't work in 30 minutes.
>> Yep. If I'm Yeah.
That was a beautiful long.
Here comes the high.
Stupid mosquito been bugging me all morning.
>> James, are you at the mountain? Yeah, the mountain.
Oh well.
It's sunny again. This weather is crazy.
Just barely missing the high. We are off by 10 points right now. Should go and smack through the high and then immediately take previous days high as well. 73309.
So 30,192 again. That's the profit target we're looking for.
There we go.
I always like to emphasize this as well.
So that trade I secured at 10:30 on the dot 80 point trade at 10:30.
I would now be in that trade. So entry was at 10:24, exit 10:30, 6 minute trade. I'd now be in that trade for an additional 17 minutes waiting for it to push up another 20 points.
Then it's actually back below where I got at right now. So that's another thing with preserving mental capital a little bit is not you don't need to hold it for I don't let my trades run to full stop loss anymore. Like if it gets below 50% of the IB, I know it's probably going to go and break the opposing direction.
You don't need to let your trades run to full TP either. So I there's no reason for me to hold this trade for another 17 minutes. Obviously, this is all coming from hindsight and I ended up winning in this scenario.
Holding the trade for another 17 minutes to get 20 points or would you rather just take the 80 points in six minutes?
So 100 point trade over 23 minutes now 24 minutes or an 80 point trade in six minutes.
Which one would you guys rather have?
Which one would you Oh, James left.
Which one would all of you in here rather have 80 points in 6 minutes or 100 points in 25?
I'd rather trade all day and make the same money. Yeah. No, obviously it's uh I mean, as I said, like if if someone offered you to work for 20 minutes or whatever, six minutes and get paid 200 bucks, would you take it? Of course.
>> Exactly.
>> You know, >> well, you just said the same thing, too.
You I mean, there's no reason to turn down that amount of money.
>> It's free money, bro. It's free money.
And and you know, I think we actually as traders, we get desensitized to like money. Like you can lose $1,000 on a day, dude. That's like a cost for an international flight, you know?
That's like a flight for you around trip, you know? And it's I think we get desensitized quite a bit to to money as traders. But I think if you can once you come back to like the basics, you realize, geez, if I can do like, you know, whatever your number is, like three 400 bucks a day trading, that's fantastic, you know.
>> Yeah.
What's that? You know, you always got that like that that post like $400 a day is obviously you're not going to always do $400 a day, but it's like if you can do $400 a day on average, that's 100 grand in a year, you know.
>> Yeah. Two uh $200 a day is 50,000.
>> 50k. Yeah. 50. Yeah.
>> I'll find that uh I found that picture.
I think the guys know what I'm saying.
Yeah, this one. Yeah. Uh, $200 day is 50k a year. $400 a day is 100k a year.
There you go.
Now coming up on an additional 20 minutes in the trade.
I'm going to keep counting all the time.
See if it breaks in the next 10. That'd be pretty surprising if it didn't.
But I hope everyone understands the point that I'm trying to make is that you don't need to let your trade run to full TP if that means that you're going to force yourself to sit at the desk for another 30 minutes, 25 minutes.
I'm hoping it continues to stall then breaks after 11. There's a really good chance of a big drop of the break if the break is after 11.
Oh, such a good move to close early today.
Yeah, I'm very happy with that close.
It's still below where I got out right now.
I got out at 30,156.
It's at 152.
Entry was 176. Uh, sorry, 30,76. I had 10 points of draw down. Uh, 14 points of draw down on the trade.
And that 14 points of draw down was maybe in 20 seconds.
Well, you're always going to have draw down on your trade and you're not going to get bottom ticket. That'd be dumb, right? Yeah.
Another 22 minutes.
What's going on, NRG? How you doing?
Yeah, I wouldn't really I I wouldn't care to hold this for another 20 points.
You I you can either look at it as you missed out on 80 bucks or you saved yourself another like what's your time worth in the trade? What's your mental capital worth in the trade?
And there was someone that I This is the first time I've disagreed with someone significantly, but averaging into a winning trade and then having something like this happen and your winning trade turns into either a blown account, DLL, or just a losing trade in general. That's all with mental capital as well. So the the concept that this guy was trying to push was I pass my accounts this way because when I'm in a winning trade like right now, he aggressively adds over and over and over and over and over again until it hits his TP.
So he'll enter originally with like two micros if it's a 25k or 50k account.
and he will ride that trade up 20 points and he'll average in with another four micros or another two micros and it goes up another five points and he gets another two micros and it goes up another five and gets another four. So by the end of his trade when if it does hit its TP he's in for like two and a half minutes.
But what happens when we'll go to the one minute time frame for this. What happens when you average in aggressively? You're in for two minis now and then you have this candle at what time was this? 10:46. The candle drops 50 points. So you're averaging in the entire way up that 50 point drop probably hits a DLL on a two and a half mini 3 mini position and then alongside that the reason that I disagreed with him so much is because it was on my funed futures accounts not my funed futures TV just the accounts and you can see if anyone didn't know with my funed futures accounts the three digits at the end of it is the number account that you're on. And his was at 586.
>> Oh my goodness, dude. That's crazy.
>> So, he's explaining to people how he trades and he's spent like 586 accounts.
The cheapest account at my funded futures is probably $87.
>> Oh my.
>> So, at minimum, he's spent $40,000 45,000 with money my futures. Dude, that's crazy.
50 That's 50 racks, bro.
>> Yeah, that's over like not a long time either. That's over maybe a year.
>> Wow.
That's pretty crazy. I don't think I spent that.
>> I honestly I don't think I've spent that amount on props in four years, bro.
I think I'm probably pretty close.
>> Yeah, I know. But you remember the futures ones are a little bit like you you reset them and stuff like that. The CFD is a little bit different, you know.
>> CFDs uh futures, you also don't get your money back when you pass it.
>> Correct. Yeah.
True.
>> Yeah. Don't do that. Or >> Yeah.
>> Hopefully that helps you guys out. Now, if you go and see someone's stream and you see that they're trading on my Funded Futures accounts, take a look at the top of the account, the last three digits on that account is how many they've had, how many they've traded on.
What happens if it gives you a thousand?
So, it lost four digits.
>> I don't think he's making enough money back on affiliate codes.
I'm not going to say who it is, but if you guys scroll on Twitter, you probably you'll see.
Same guy that I called out a couple weeks ago for the uh almost at the IB High by the way, >> the Lucid Live guy that was all upset.
He's >> actually from your your side of the ocean, James.
>> Wait, which country? I don't know what.
Uh maybe Wales.
>> That's not my side. No, no, don't put him in.
>> It's on your side of the country.
>> Yeah, but no, I'm in the southern hemisphere, boss. He's in the northern hemisphere.
>> His name was uh the Callum something.
Callum Trades. Uh >> he was upset that he got moved to live with Lucid and he said he was trying to say that they moved him to live after one payout but then you look at his Lucid account and his Lucid account numbers at like 89 for funded accounts.
>> Yeah, Zinc Wales and South Africa. Yeah, same neck of the woods. That's like a 12.
>> Same side of the ocean.
>> I said ocean. Same side of the ocean. I know I said that.
that Callum Callum Parker he's he was all upset about Lucid and then you go and zoom in on his screenshot he's on his 86th funed account we have taken the IB on NQ. It has not been taken. Uh MNQ took it. We hit 30,189. We're two points off of the previous day's high price target.
It's back to 172 right now.
Both over there. Yeah. On on that side.
>> Jeez. Think >> South Africa.
>> Next time I need to come up. I want to watch a Patriots game, bro. We'll go up and watch a game.
>> Absolutely.
>> It's not too far from you, right? It's not too far.
>> Like two and a half hours.
>> Yeah.
>> Three hours, maybe.
You know who I'm talking about. Pipy, shoot me a DM on Discord. Pipy. I'll see if you're see if you're >> Do you see Did you see my Mark Mike Evans jersey? I got signed Mike Evans jersey.
Signed Mike Evans jersey.
>> Yeah, signed.
Almost there. Almost to previous day's high. We did take the IV on QQQ. Now I think that probably means NQ.
Yes, we have taken previous day's high on NQ. 30,192 PT hit. 19250 is what we just hit.
There's previous day's high on Q's right before 11. Right at 11.
Beautiful trade today.
Beautiful. Beautiful. Beautiful.
ES coming too. Yeah, that one's a lot weaker.
All right, guys. That will do it for today.
Have a great rest of your day. Andre and James will be live tomorrow.
>> Yes, sir.
>> I will be live again next Tuesday.
>> Perfect. Have a good one, guys.
>> See you.
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