PropsBuilder, a live betting tool available on offshore sportsbooks like BetOnline, Xbet, MyBookie, and Bovada, offers significantly different player prop odds compared to traditional sportsbooks, creating positive expected value (EV) arbitrage opportunities. The tool's algorithm is fundamentally different from mainstream sportsbooks, often producing odds that are 10-15% off from fair value, allowing bettors to find profitable arbitrage plays by comparing PropsBuilder's odds against books like DraftKings, Caesars, and FanDuel. Early in games (first 3-4 innings), these opportunities are most valuable as markets disappear later. Bettors should use OddsJam's recommended book weights to identify the best arbitrage opportunities and set minimum edge thresholds of 3-5% for profitable plays.
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Deep Dive
Live Betting MLB for 5/20Added:
stream.
And hopefully you're having yourselves a wonderful Wednesday thus far.
We have a couple baseball games going on right now. Three about four games that are live. Couple games like the Reds and the Phillies and the Orioles and the Rays that are later into action.
But this whole stream is just going to be dedicated to live betting Major League Baseball.
And I have a new new wrinkle to share with you guys for live betting MLB. So for those of you that are in the stream, you're going to find something new that hasn't I haven't really shared with anybody else yet. And we're going to look to kind of test it in real time which is going to be awesome. But appreciate you hanging out with me and following along.
And so we're going to get into a couple of things. You can see me get my screen here popping.
I got the Oddjam plus EV tool pulled up right now.
We're currently I got everything pulled up, right? I don't I don't have any parameters set up. So before we go nuts on some plays, I don't have any filters or anything set up at all.
So something that we're going to get into here right now. Make sure everybody can hear me and see me which is good to go. All right. So something that has recently come on to the scene for live betting for MLB. This is something that was an old one my best friend for NBA.
But props builder live betting props builder player props for Major League Baseball is live and well on certain offshore sports books.
BetOnline, Xbet, MyBookie, BUSR, Bovada.
I just hit a play up right now that was like insane for the Rockies Rangers game. And so I'm going to show you that right now because if this is this this might be you know you've heard a lot of people talk about I've made videos in the past talking about live arbitrage and live arbing MLB player props with props builder.
And right now I'm I'm kind of hesitant to arb the plays because I want to make sure that it actually works. But, for those of you that are new or don't know what's going on, we're just going to come over here to player props. Okay? Select player props.
We're in the filter section of the plus EV tool with OddsJam. We're looking for games for today, right? And we're just looking for Major League Baseball, right? Now, D big settings. Pinnacle doesn't offer player props live betting for baseball. They don't. So, you can go with OddsJam or we can go with like FanDuel. Okay? OddsJam's recommended book weights or FanDuel. Either one's fine. Okay? So, I'm going to go with OddsJam's recommended book weights.
And then, all I'm going to do, just for the first couple of minutes, guys, I want to show you this. I'm just going to come over to props builder.
And then, I'm going to go over here and I'm going to click play. And what you're going to notice on like McCutchen to not get a hit is like this is insanely off.
You could arb this with Caesars. You could arb this with DraftKings. This is 15% ROI, right? Now, I wouldn't go after these plays, but this McCutchen play is so good.
So, this is something that is out there that you can arb it if you wanted to, right?
I can come over to the arbitrage tool.
Here's the reason why I'm not going after these arbs just quite yet. So, if we were going to set this up for an arb, what we do is I would clear this out, the ROI, and I'd say, "Yo, I want at least a 3% arb."
We want to attack just baseball, and we want to attack just player props.
Okay? Now, sportsbooks, it's pretty simple. I'm going to go with like DraftKings. I'm going to go with FanDuel. Let's go with Excuse me, Caesars. And then, I want props builder.
That's it. That's the setup. Come over here. Come to live, and we click play.
And what you're going to notice on the arbitrage tool for live betting player props, we're getting 16, 12 and 1/2, 15% arbs right now to DraftKings and Caesars live betting player props with PropsBuilder. So, for those of you that decide to tune in on the stream, here we go. We're back alive and well with PropsBuilder live betting props.
Now, here's why I'm not going after these arbs, okay? The reason that I'm going to bet these live over here on PropsBuilder, okay, is because in the off hand chance in the off hand chance that PropsBuilder voids these bets, like I'm going to go over to McCutchen right now and bet 50 bucks.
This looks incredible.
I'm going to get this at 169 odds. I'm submitting this right now to see if it's even out there.
I'm waiting for it to go through. Just got it. 169. Just got this McCutchen play, okay? So, I just live bet McCutchen to not get a hit. I love you, Cutch, but sorry, bud.
Live bet him to not get a hit for plus 169 odds, okay? This is a very EV edge play. It's an arb to DraftKings.
Why I'm not arbitraging this play just quite yet is if PropsBuilder, and I'm using BetOnline right now, if they void this ticket, then if it's an arb, if I arb this with DraftKings, I'm in big trouble, especially if the under hits, right? So, if this is a plus EV play and this gets voided, then I just get my money back and then and nothing bad happens. But you're going to see some crazy EV edge plays here all for player hits, right?
Rockies Rangers. Look at this play right here. This is insane. You can plus 103 odds on the over for for Kyle. Draft FanDuel have minus 215. Look at this arb to DraftKings.
So, this is could be an insanely profitable edge because worst case scenario, one book's going to be off.
Like this is this is incredible. So, if you have props builder, there's like 12 different offshore books where you can live bet props builder, okay? For those of you who are like, "Billy, where where where is this? I don't know where this is." Okay?
All you got to do all you got to do is like on BetOnline, right? Here's BetOnline.
You come over to props builder here in the red. That's all you got to do. You click on MLB and then you toggle on live and you're focused on the hits.
Shane, not really. Not yet.
I haven't done it yet, um, to be honest with you. Something I got to got to test out in the future.
Trent, what's going on? So, every offshore sports book's a little different, okay? Like XBet and MyBookie, you got to click on the SGP section.
Here though, you just come over here, you go to props builder, you go to live.
And even if you can only bet like 25 or 50 dollars on these plays, this is very well worth your time. Very well worth it. So, wanted to kind of start the stream off talking about this because if you're in here now, you're one of the few that know about this and you can make a ton of money doing this, even if you're just straight betting. It is going to be we're talking Now, we're not diving into Pinnacle cuz like I said, Pinnacle doesn't have live player prop odds. But dude, you could trust that like all the sports books are correct here and this is just props builder's model. So, here's something that I would tell you, right? Like keep this to yourself. Like it's probably not a wise thing for me to share this, but I love you guys. I want you guys to make money sports betting. If this is just like an insane I mean look at all the unders here. The score, Caesars, DraftKings, they're all at plus 125.
These are insane arbs.
We're talking 15% arbs on the regular.
Right? And if you don't have DraftKings, you could use Courtside. We talked about Courtside being a new book.
So, player hits, props builder, Caesars, DraftKings, you know, this is this is going to be a great play. So, definitely want to get into this.
Because if you get limited on a BetOnline on props builder, who cares?
You just go over to BetUS, you just go over to Bovada, you go over to MyBookie, Xbet, BUSR, and you do this. Now, on BetDSI, they do not offer live props betting. Like Jazz Sports and BetDSI, you can't live bet props builder.
But, you can on Xbet, MyBookie, and Bovada, BetOnline. You can do that.
Check it out.
All right.
That's I'm just so excited about this.
This is This is This is going to make baseball so profitable. Like if you don't want to do anything else for baseball season, if you're having a hard time pre-game pre-betting baseball, like I I got to like I can't drive this point home enough. I I apologize for those of you that have that kind of got the point, but I got I got to maximize myself for a second.
If you're struggling betting baseball, you just can't win right now, right? Or we talk about a lot how like once we get to June, July, and August, baseball becomes harder to beat for pre-game betting. It does. It just does. Books have more historical data on this season. It just becomes difficult. This is your pathway to making easier profits, either live arbing or just positive EV betting props builder live offshore sports books player props.
Beat these books into the ground. Even if you can only bet 20-25 bucks, it's very much worth your time.
And this algorithm that with props builder, it's not like props builder knows and like the rest of the wreck books are off. Their model is just completely off. And they haven't fixed it. So, take advantage of this now because I can guarantee you this if we if I'm live streaming in August, this might not still be out there.
Early bird gets the worm with things like this. Something new that's hopped onto a sports book, you can make a ton of money with this.
This is literally changing my entire way I'm thinking about live betting this summer because I might just only do this. All right. Let's get into the rest of this.
Um Yes, JC, it's finally been added. And I'm going to tell you guys like I said, I'll say this one more time.
Get on this and get on it right now before everybody else finds out about this, right? Like I I I I don't have that I'm not that big of a powerful content creator, I'm not Alex Monahan. So, like you're going to have still time to do this, but their model their live betting algorithm is just so far off just like when it was for NBA player props. This is going to be something for live betting player hits, you're going to be able to attack. And probably if you live bet one player once on like BetOnline's props builder, you're not going to be able to live bet them again on BetOnline, you're going to have to go to another offshore sports book, another props builder, and bet that. So, for everything else that I'm going to do today, we're going to look at main line markets.
Now, there's a couple games going on right now. It's It's kind of busy, kind of not, right? Um and we're going to look for DraftKings. And I'm going to probably have too many sports books selected right now.
Um Desert Diamond DraftKings Desert Diamond guys, that's me in Arizona, it's Canby. If you want BetRivers you see a Desert Diamond play pop up on my screen, you can get this on BetRivers or Bally Bet or this on BetRivers or BallyBet or Um and then who else do I want? I wanted one more, I think.
DraftKings, Caesars, Fanatics. Uh no, that's it. That's it for right now.
Um and we're deviating to Pinnacle, okay? Now, remember, props builder, Pinnacle doesn't have live player prop odds. So, just select the OddsJam recommended book weights and you're going to be just fine.
Again, if you want to try this whole If you want to jump on this right now, guys, use code Billy35. You're going to get And tell them when you talk to OddsJam, I want to try platinum 1 week for free. It's going to give you access betting. It's going to be a great time.
It's going to give you access to props builder, which is even more important.
We're going -150 +125.
Right? I'm going to start off with 3% minimum edge plays. I will not go lower than 3%. I'll either go to 4% or 5%.
In-game status I'm going to have as live and stoppage.
That's pretty much it. Let's hit the play button. Okay?
This arbitrage tool, man, it's just absolutely going bonkers.
It was going bonkers. But still, it's great to see.
All right. So, the next thing that I'm going to do now is I'm going to go ahead and just log in to these books. Now, you should log into these books beforehand.
So, any plays that pop up on my screen, I'm not paying attention to cuz I'm logging into all my sports books right now that I'm going to live bet.
And so, that's all I'm looking to do right now. Now, MGM is a very profitable book for live bet. You can do a very You can do very well at MGM. The problem with MGM is that they they give you this timer, and this timer is a real pain in the butt.
So, the timer is going to be difficult because it might time you out. But MGM is still very profitable, and then I'm going to log in over to Fanatics.
But I will this, guys. Like, I've been having a really good month live betting, though I did lose the under six and under six and a half on this Rays game because the Rays just tied it up. But, still having a very profitable month live betting.
And what I will say is my entire strategy might flip because of this whole props builder thing.
This is uh Like, and so what I mean by that is like, I might look at some of the sportsbooks that I don't have a lot of money in and just say like, let's let's get into this. Let's like move some money around to get some more money into props builder.
And spread it out between the sportsbooks.
Rockies money line top second little early in the game, but um it's not there anymore. That's that's inconsistent. I'm going to be paying attention to Fanatics, guys. I have it right here on my phone.
Um if I see that there's just a lot of stale lines, I'm just not going to touch it.
The over six and a half on the Astros game.
It's at minus 105.
I'm waiting for that to pop back up cuz that doesn't look good anymore.
Um under seven and a half in the Rays game.
Always got to be a little nervous when it comes to extra innings, that could be bad. But, this under seven and a half is still there.
Yeah, I see that.
Fanatics is only now let me bet $43.
I just got it under seven and a half at plus 115 odds.
So, there it is.
So, I'm only in for 43 bucks. That's the max the Fanatics will let me bet, but that's fine. Obviously, there's a couple runners on in the eighth inning with two outs for the Rays. So, we'll see what happens there.
And so, you want to make sure you're logged into all your sportsbooks. The problem with MGM is just the timer is so long. It's not great. Now, we could get a plus 125.
The timer just takes such a long time with MGM that it's it's a real pain in the butt.
But, you know, it is what it is.
And if you guys want to get this at Fanatics at 125, so it's good by me.
We got first and second, two outs.
And what else? So, really when it comes to live betting, I'm not interested I'm not interested in betting um 1% EV edge plays.
But, you know, something like this, it's a 6% edge to Pinnacle, right? Pinnacle thinks this under seven and a half should be at minus 102. It's literally an arb to Pinnacle, guys. Arbs to Pinnacle are very good plays.
Excuse me. Plus 120 on the under. If we had an account with Pinnacle, we could bet the over on Pinnacle and make risk-free money. We love that.
>> [snorts] >> So, we're just kind of chilling. Kind of chilling. But, this whole Props For Thing, I might open up a If I can open up another EV edge tool player right here.
Can I do this for reset this and just go clear this out? And can I go to Props For? I wonder if I can run two at the same time.
I should be able to.
Uh date range today, player props, bing bang.
I don't know. Let's take plays that have at least a 10% edge or higher.
And what do we got?
No, unfortunately, I can't do that.
Ah, wait a minute. Maybe I can. Maybe I can. I can run two of of side by side.
All right, that's nice. We can run two of them side by side, which is not bad. And so, what I can do here is I can just bring this down. I can just minimize it just a little bit.
So, we could have props builder rolling down here and maybe the main line markets rolling up here. Uh-oh.
There we go. So, Sullivan down here.
Whoa. Whoa. Whoa. Whoa. I mean, this is what I'm talking about.
These plays. Look at this play.
It's plus 180 odds. No other sports books offering plus 180 odds. I'm I'm just not going to I do apologize. I just can't shut up about this. It's just insane. You don't see this stuff. So, the reason guys that I don't arbitrage this is because if this is actually like an error, if props builder decides they're going to void all these plays, that's why you don't want to arb these.
Um but these are just really, really insane. And if you're not in if you're not crazy about betting plus 160 odds, again guys, like the the average odds Odd Jam says should be minus 156. Like on this Carosi play, all the books think this should be at minus 152. You're getting plus 160.
So, like giddy up.
Giddy up.
Um let's go.
So, I'm going to have the props builder plays down here, main market plays up top.
Now, what I will say when it comes to these props builder plays, you want to attack these plays as the Rays score to run, dude. If the Rays cannot score another run and we just end this game 4-3, that would be great.
You want to attack these props builder plays early in the games because they're not going to probably offer these markets by the fifth, maybe sixth, seventh inning. So, you have maybe the first four innings to get after this.
I'm looking at this play on Caesars to see if it's there.
Under four and a half. No, it's not there anymore.
Over 11 and a half in the Phillies game, that's not there anymore. The over six in the Astros game.
That is there.
Just got this over six and actually plus 117 odds.
Um which is a nice round number.
If we get another run, then it's a push.
But again, this isn't arb to Pinnacle, guys. I got the over plus 117 on Desert Diamond.
The minus, you can get this on BetRivers. This is an arb to Pinnacle.
This is a great play on the over six.
You guys know how I feel about betting flat numbers. There's some insurance baked in with this, which we really like. I do have the under eight and a half on this game. So this is a little bit of a hedge for me as well.
Um or a little bit of a middle, if you will, but it's a definitely a hedge.
Irish, what's going on? No, Irish, not not a new stream time, Irish. It's just that current like I look at what's going on in the sports betting calendar today, and there's just there's a lot of live MLB games going on right now, and I've been doing very well this month live MLB. So this isn't going to be like a thing. This is going to be Damn it, Rays scored another run. This is going to be something that's going to happen throughout the throughout the week, one day a week probably in the summer. I did this last Thursday. There Wednesdays and Thursdays for Major League Baseball, there's a lot of afternoon games.
There's not It's not like there's a bunch of games in the evening. Now today, there's some games going on in the evening, but I just thought it was a great time to just try to live bet a little bit.
Obviously, we lose the under on the Rays game cuz they scored another run.
But this isn't like a this isn't going to be a new stream time every day moving forward. This is just a one-time thing.
Um so there won't be a stream at 3:00 because I'm streaming right now.
Um but just to kind of you know, we got some action going on, and you know, we we a lot of streams are pregame bets, and so I wanted to take some time to talk about live because I've definitely gotten some great feedback from people saying they wanted to get more into live betting.
And it's definitely definitely out there.
So let's see what we got cooking.
And right guys, like the Rays bet loses, got to move on, right? If I see value on the Rays game at under 8 and 1/2, we're we're still going to bet that. Um you know, though the under 8 and 1/2 is going to be heavily juiced. So we'll see what happens.
In order to bet that under 8 and 1/2 in the Rays game, the Orioles need to get at least two guys on base.
Over six, we got some closing line value there, right? We bet that at plus 117, it's now at minus 106.
I like that.
Um that looks really nice.
I'm not really looking to arb out of these plays, guys. Just looking to kind of ride it out. But these prop builder plays, man, this is just something insane. So you can see they're still here in the bottom of the second. What you're not noticing, guys, you're not seeing any Phillies Rays games, Astros plays popping up on the screen because um all those games are in the eighth or ninth inning. So if you're looking to live bet those player props on props builder, you're going to need to do so in the first three to four innings to get your value, for sure.
>> [snorts] >> Um there we go. There we go. But appreciate you guys hanging out, tuning in. Um this Rays game kind of screwed me. I had a couple unders there that all that all died.
Is what it is.
Dropped the Traders play today, guys, out on the on X. Uh Spurs money line. I understand it's very difficult for a team to win two games on the road to start the series, but it was good value there. Rays Reds minus three.
Oh, yeah, this is plus 114 odds. Desert Diamond.
This is very good.
No, I didn't get it.
No, no, no, no, no, no. Sorry, it's still good at 106.
I got it at 106.
The Reds game I got this at 106.
Obviously, you guys can tell I have the sports book screen teed up. They're up by three.
Um and Pinnacle thinks this should be minus 113. I got it at 106.
So, I don't mind that at all.
I don't mind that play at all.
Astros at two and a half, that just disappeared.
Now it's at plus 118, unfortunately.
We'll see. And again, with plays like that, guys, obviously we need the Reds to score a run and not give up a run to the Phillies.
But, you know, if they get one, you know, or if the game ends 7-4, then it's just a refund. We get our money back to us.
So, I you know, I I I never mind those.
Astros plus two and a half.
Got a runner at first with nobody out.
I'm waiting for this to pop back up, this plus two and a half for the Astros.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, it's there.
Problem is this timer takes sometimes forever.
So, let me come over here.
Run line for the Astros.
Do I get it?
Like I'm still waiting for the MGM finally. All right, we got it on MGM. It took a while.
So, they're down by three. We need a run to be scored. Now, obviously we have the over six. So, if nothing happens and this game finishes 4 to 1, then I'm pretty sad.
But, all right. Again, you know, now that the timer's over, guys, and I locked the play in, just so that everybody knows that I'm actually like betting these plays and not just telling you. Like, there we go.
Astros plus two and a half. 118 odds on MGM. MGM still worth it to live bet. It just takes a very long time.
And now it looks terrible cuz there's an out.
>> [snorts] >> Appreciate it, Irish. Appreciate that you stopped by, man. Have a good day at work.
All the Reds, BABY. THE REDS.
LET'S GO, BABY. They get two on the board. It's now a 9-4 game. So, now we have an insurance run, right? If they give up a run in the ninth, we have a minus three.
That would get us That would definitely get us back our um under on the Rays-Orioles at the beginning. The under 13 and a half is popping up now on this game.
It's grayed out right now on Draft Now.
They just moved it. DraftKings changed it. Which stinks. But, okay. All right.
What about on MGM? Nope, that's dead, too. Okay.
Still though, love seeing that.
Um looks like the Rays secure the win.
They win 5-4 or 5-3, excuse me.
But, um shout out to the Rays yesterday for getting it done on the Traders tool.
Love seeing that with the Reds. And we're betting some plus odds plays. So, that's what I love about betting plus odds plays. If I lose one bet, win one bet, I make a small profit. It's It's not the worst thing in the world. It's like a really small arb.
So, all right, we're just chilling.
We do have another game that's starting up here any minute now.
And again, guys, when it comes to live betting baseball, I normally like to wait until the first inning passes.
Yeah, we got the Giants and the Diamondbacks getting things started here soon.
Um so, and that'll be the only game. We do have the White Sox and the Mariners going on a little bit later. So, I'll for probably another 20 20 20 or 30 minutes, guys.
Um waiting till this giant So, I like the Giants and the Diamondbacks game the first inning to kind of come and go, and then I'll start to look at like what's up and looking to place some bets.
Under three and a half total runs.
It's at minus 113. So, that's I'm looking at it right now. That's not actually a real price.
And this is just how I live bet, guys. I haven't used the Traders Tool to live bet at all.
Dude, we got some crazy plays here.
Sullivan? Dude, look at these. I mean, you got to be These arbs are just too good to be true. Now, I will say this, guys. I'm probably going to try my hand at a couple of these with with Caesars and DraftKings maybe doing a couple of arbs.
Um maybe tonight or tomorrow. I want to kind of I do have a couple bets out there right now on Props Builder, and I want to wait to see after the game ends in this Rockies-Rangers game if the bets settle and I get paid out if I win any of them. That'll tell me okay, Props Builder's like honoring these, and then we can go and try to hit these up for arbs. Cuz these these are insane. And the cool thing about this, guys, like you're not exactly getting a great price on Caesars or DraftKings on this. Or Flip. You could do this on Flip.
Like it's not like DraftKings sees you betting this under and being like, "Wow, he's getting a great price on this." No, it's that Props Builder is just so far off that it's just so good. So good.
So, two outs in this Astros game. Not looking great.
The over's not looking great. The spread's not looking great. The only thing that looks great is that the Reds put up a run.
That's where we're kind of chilling right now.
But let me know how's it been going Let me uh let me find out from you guys that are watching right now um how's it been going?
Just let me know from you guys how live betting's been treating you thus far. So like this Giants play, I'm just going to chill there.
Chilling on all these Giants plays right now. We're back to this under three and a half cuz there's a runner on base.
I can get this.
Caesars got it.
Under the first half total runs. We got the first five innings under three and a half plus 108. There's a runner at second with two outs.
So if the Rangers can get out of this, that could be decent. It's a four percentage play.
Um now it's about two and a half. Not as great.
But there we go. We'll see how that turns out for us. Though it is in Coors Field. Never loved betting those in Coors Field.
Giants put up a run.
All right.
One nothing Giants.
I don't have anything on this game, but we'll look to get something maybe in the second inning.
And just really guys attacking DraftKings, Caesars, MGM, and then your can be sports book. Bally Bet, BetRivers, whoever that is. The over five and a half is now flashing. It did flash. It's still there.
Over five and a half.
Not good anymore.
Compared to Pinnacle. All right.
But I'll camp this one out. I'll just kind of chill here and see what happens.
And then we'll wait to see. Should see some Giants Diamondbacks player props builder popping up plays um soon.
Very soon.
100% said trash. Okay.
Oh, good to know. Good to know.
Um I would definitely definitely advise checking out what's going on in in props builder.
Um for those of you that have it, it's it's just I think it's too good not to try it out and pass up. The plays are just so so insanely EV. And for those of you that want to try arbitrage, um I would definitely arb. Maybe just, you know, don't throw like a billion dollars on each arb. Maybe just bet like bet what you can afford to lose. So what I mean by that is if you want to arb this Brett Sullivan play and you go, "What happens if I put this on props builder and it loses? Can I afford that? Am I okay losing it if it gets refunded to me, right, and I lose the other side?"
Just remember that, guys. In case you get the money refunded to you on props builder, you got to be okay then losing that bet on the DraftKings or Caesars where you're placing this.
Astros plus three.
Obviously I bet him at plus two and a half.
At the moment everything's locked, at least over or Desert Diamond.
We're going to the bottom of the eighth.
So less than ideal there.
Less than ideal.
Play's just popping up. So, you know, if you want to do this with Julian, right?
I got his I got his under on his player hits at like 123.
Like I could try to arb this over.
Right? I got a really good price on his under. I I his under at plus 123 odds.
It's currently now at minus 130 minus 136. If he goes and that's another thing you guys can try to incorporate, right?
Like I bet the under on Julian if he all of a sudden strikes out in his first at bat, now you're going to be able to get better odds on the over to arb out on him because he has less at bats. So another it's a really cool thing with with baseball because if you bet an over on a guy or if you in this case if you bet an under on a guy live betting props builder he strikes out in his first at bat, you have some time now.
Like that's the other cool thing for arbitrage.
You have some time now. If he ends up popping out the first base, now you have some time to find better odds on his over to arb out of it. So now you're literally just betting on this guy if you're looking to arb out before a second at bat, you're literally betting on this guy to not get a hit in in his first at bat, and then you have plenty of time to find his over which you're going to get better odds on, right? Cuz it's going to be an underdog. And so that can be a strategy.
Shane, yeah. Well, right now the reason that it's not the Reds and the Astros is cuz the game's just too late. The books aren't going to offer an over or an under um for you to bet in that game. Now they should offer something on this Diamondbacks game.
They we should start to see Diamondbacks Giants plays.
Um even though it's all Rockies. So here's what I mean by this, guys. Like Oh, we got something on Kyle Freeland on strikeouts? Dude, this is like this is their model is broken, dude. Their live betting algorithm model is so broken.
But like for myself with Julian, right?
I bet his or I bet his over, I'm sorry.
I bet his over, I guess. I thought I bet his under. I bet McCutchen's under, right? At plus 169. All of a sudden if McCutchen strikes out in his first at bat then I can look to bet his over at plus odds and just arb out of it. And the cool thing is is I have a lot of time before McCutchen gets up to the plate again. I have at least an inning.
So, this gives you a lot of time. Now, obviously we need something to work in our favor, but that's just something to think about there.
Um All right.
Just kind of chilling right now. The Rockies don't score any or the Rangers don't score any runs in the top half of the third, so our under one and a half looks alive right now. It's okay. Astros though don't look great.
Or we have the over six, right? So, we need the twins to maybe put up a couple of runs. We could we could get out of that Astros uh run line. But, we should be seeing plays here for um Should be seeing plays for the Diamondbacks and the Giants up on this screen.
Well, Joey. Joey, yeah, no, I understand, Joey.
The the the the smart math is The smart math, Joey, is you don't arb out of that play. You have an incredible EV edge play. You hold on to that EV.
Some people, and I'm I'm not picking on anybody, but there are some people out there that their heart just can't deal with it.
They want to get into EV betting, and then they realize uh yeah, no, I can't. So, from a math perspective, no, you you really shouldn't arb out of plays that are this insanely EV.
But, some people just don't want to don't want to do that. Or they get into this arena, they think they like EV betting, and then they find out that they can't deal with the stress.
And so, for those people, I would say arb out of it. So, I'm always trying to provide different types of strategies cuz there's a lot of different people out there. Not everybody's like you and me, brother. And some people just don't want to deal with the stress. They get into this, they think it's going to be cool, they're it's going to be profitable, and then they're like, oh [Ā __Ā ] Um yeah. So, on these streams, and it's a great point, I I try to provide a lot of different strategies depending on who you are cuz there's a lot of different people out there and everybody has different risk tolerances. And some a lot of people get in the EV betting thinking it's going to be a great time.
And then when they get into this arena, they realize, I hate this. I'm stressed.
I can't stand this. Get me out of here.
And so that's just another example for those of you that maybe get yourself in a situation. Also, if you screw up, maybe you bet this over on Helmet, but you accidentally screw up and you bet his under, right? Or something like that. It It's not the end of the world, right? If you end up betting maybe the under you're supposed to bet the over, vice versa. With this with baseball, you're going to have some time. Now, obviously if you accidentally bet the under and the guy and you meant to bet the over and he gets a base hit in his first at bat, yeah, it's over.
You're screwed. But in the off chance if he strikes out and you bet accidentally bet his under, there's a way for you now to arb out of this on his over. You're not dead just quite yet. This is completely different than basketball, right? Basketball, it can be sometimes difficult when you're live betting player props to get out of a position.
With baseball, you have a little bit more time. And that's the other cool thing about this.
So, um bottom nine, two outs, runner at second for the Phillies Reds, we can give up one run. It just can't If it's a two-run homer, then it's a push, which sucks.
Twins don't score any runs in the bottom of the eighth. So, we need the Astros We'd love the Astros to put up like two runs right here.
4-3 ballgame, and then that's it. But, we're going to have some bets that don't go our way live betting. That's just kind of the way it goes.
Um 57% said trash.
Not seeing a lot on the live markets up here for the main markets, but we're really just seeing a lot of Rockies and a lot of Rangers plays.
Um really interesting to see. Jake Burger, I mean, FanDuel's at minus 192.
Really, really good stuff, but I was really hoping to see some Diamondbacks.
Let me open up. I'm just going to go over to X Bet really quick over here cuz X Bet is one of the books, guys, I checked along with BetOnline.
Um Remember, guys, if you are on X Bet, okay, and you're like, "Where is the props builder at, Billy?" Props builder is right here.
This SGP button right here. You got to go to X Bet or MyBookie or BUSR, click the SGP button.
And that's going to open up props builder. Some of these books are real sneaky with it in terms of how they like to show this.
So, you just click on SGP.
And once you click on SGP, you're going to click MLB.
And what you're going to notice with with this is is it's a little different on X Bet or MyBookie. They're going to have this little live button right here.
You'll see this for the NBA. You click the You click this right here, this icon, and that's going to show you live plays.
And so, for hits, Yeah, so right now for some reason props builder isn't showing the Diamondbacks game, which I don't understand why.
They're just So, this isn't an Odds Jam thing. It's a props builder thing.
Maybe someone from props builder's watching my stream. God, I hope not. Um so, they're just not showing it right now.
But, that's okay cuz we're going to have a lot of games going on later tonight and we we got something that we can hit up.
Um it's just a 40-minute stream right now, guys. We don't have a lot else popping, so that's all right.
I really just wanted to focus on live betting. Reds get it done.
Reds plus three, so that gets us back our under on the Rays Orioles.
And now we just need the Astros to put up some runs.
That would be really great. That'd be awesome.
Um but that's going to be the stream for right now, guys. Tomorrow morning, I will be on. I will be streaming. We're going to be talking about a lot of pregame bets, right? For those of you that are looking for the Traders Tool for some top plays today.
Let's refresh the page really quickly.
Oh, this just popped up. The over on the Spurs and the Thunder over 215 and a half.
And then we get the over six and a half in the nights game. This is a very all three of these have high scores which we really like.
Someone got this at 53 cents.
What's that?
Prediction markets.
53 cents on over 215 and a half.
That's minus 113 odds.
Appreciate it Shane. Appreciate it man.
You do the same.
Um Yeah, this line's really moving. Not going to really be able to probably get this at 215 and a half.
And that's kind [clears throat] of unfortunate.
Yeah, Pinnacle.
Can I actually get this at Nova Okay, we can get this at Bet 105. I don't mind that. I'm going to go over to Bet 105 and grab this.
Um that's just going to be the top Traders Tool today. So we're on the Spurs money line and then Bet 105. But I'll be on tomorrow morning guys.
9:00 a.m. Eastern doing this again.
Looking forward to it. It's going to be a lot of fun. Hopefully you guys Let me know how it goes with Props Builder if any of you guys are or just plus EV betting.
Um would love to hear how it how it treats you, how it goes for you. But otherwise guys, have an awesome awesome Wednesday and I'll talk to you guys tomorrow. Take care.
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