Benner Cycle & Bitcoin

Added: 2026-05-11

[00:00:01]Now, starting with the uh banner cycle, we can see with the stock markets years in which panics have occurred and will occur again in this A section.

[00:00:15]And in the B section, these are years of good times, high prices, and times to sell stocks and values of all kinds.

[00:00:25]And notice 2026 is uh in this vicinity right now.

[00:00:30]And looks like a 6-year or looks like a move down to 2030. We have a 100-year cycle ending here in 2029, which is reminiscent of our 1929 low in the stock market here.

[00:00:52]This before the Great Depression here.

[00:00:55]So, just pointing that out here.

[00:00:58]A lot of similarities.

[00:01:01]Okay. So, in this one here, this is the years of hard times, low prices, and a good time to buy stocks or corner lots, goods, etc., and hold until the boom, which is the years of good times, then unload. So, this is good times.

[00:01:24]So, the next good times is going to reflect this 2034 and 2035.

[00:01:33]It's going to be some sort of significant major top.

[00:01:38]So, just wanted to point that out.

[00:01:41]And that'll be again a 2-year campaign moving up here.

[00:01:49]And it'll be 8 years between these tops, these really big, big, big tops.

[00:01:57]Not saying that our 1929 top isn't big for our 100-year cycle for 2029, but I think we'll have some some type of topping pattern in that time frame. I've been stating that in my forward work on Bitcoin.

[00:02:18]Okay, so we've talked about our periods when to make money on this chart. So, go have a look at the Benner cycle.

[00:02:29]Uh right up here. Benner, B N N E R cycle.

[00:02:34]And uh you can print this off or have this to look at just to remind you while you're looking back at stocks when we had panics occur.

[00:02:46]All right?

[00:02:47]Big stock market panics.

[00:02:50]The bubble, remember?

[00:02:55]Okay, so let's now go take a look at what Bitcoin's doing.

[00:02:59]And let's take a look at uh percentage levels and time. And let's just see what uh we can see from that analysis because I'm going to bring both of those to you.

[00:03:15]And we're going to have a look at that.

[00:03:17]Okay, so let's just get rid of some of this stuff and hide it so that we can do our analysis a bit better.

[00:03:27]So, let's go ahead and let's just take a look at uh our low at 59.9 here.

[00:03:35]And it took to get up to this point here on the March 17th top here. And it looks like it was Yeah.

[00:03:47]About 26.3.4%.

[00:03:53]So, both of those metrics we need to remember. 39 days and the low 26%.

[00:04:02]All right.

[00:04:05]From there, we'll go over to our low here on the 2nd.

[00:04:14]And we go up to here. Well, 34 days, we're 26 and percent here.

[00:04:22]38% and at 39 days, which is Monday, I think you know, it's quite likely we have a change in trend. Whether or not we move up to 84 and 86.

[00:04:44]I don't know. It just seems that uh our s- moving averages here, which uh represent these, and I'm going to talk about those as well. So, we have a balancing of this move here, which is what I want to point out to you.

[00:05:04]So, time and percentage level in price had come together. Now, it came together just a few days sooner, but this plays out here in time.

[00:05:16]So, if that's the same, then this top and this top will equal this and this top here. So, I'm just trying to keep you aware that you know, it seems that um you know, we've moved just over around 90 days here. So, let's just go take a look in total.

[00:05:41]So, there's 90 days.

[00:05:44]Uh so, that's uh 1/4 of the circle for the sun to have made a movement.

[00:05:53]And we also had on this day we had the two planets, Mars and Jupiter, were in a right angle square.

[00:06:06]And uh Jupiter is now moving closer to making a 60° angle coming up here in the next month.

[00:06:16]And then at the end of the season a really big one will be in November when Mars will be again completely uh conjunct Jupiter. So, I expect by middle of November that our bottom is in and uh we finish our downward bear major campaign. However, we can still struggle a few months past our 12, 13, and 14 months. I mean, it can happen, but our metrics are for 12 and 13 and up to 14 months.

[00:07:00]So, that October coming up is the period.

[00:07:03]Okay, so we're going to talk about these moving averages. This red one represents our 90.

[00:07:12]So, I'm just using the proportions of the circle.

[00:07:16]And from there, the next one is this yellow one, and that's the 135.

[00:07:23]Next on the moves is this uh light blue one here, which represents the 180-day and our 225. So, the 200 is just right in here. It's just hovered. And everyone's wooing and about the 200-day moving average. Well, it's just in between these two averages right here. I could put it in there, but every other analyst is using 50 and 200. And well, it just seems the 180-day average seems to uh be confining our market right now at the turning point of our move, whether up or down now. But uh I'm still of the thesis that we can uh see a lot more downward pressure. Let's go take a look at our indicators and see what they're saying to us. Again, we're starting to come together and the buyers are looking to leave and the sellers are possibly about to step in here.

[00:08:34]You know, it's we have a lower top on our RSI movement on our MACD here and our histogram bars are showing weakness is prevailing.

[00:08:47]So, this is uh you know, a head and shoulders formation here.

[00:08:58]Let's go take a look at the RSI. The RSI is showing us here that uh it's rekindling an effort to come up and make a head and shoulders off this latest peak here on the May 6th.

[00:09:16]So, we're looking to see, you know, a rejection here soon.

[00:09:21]If not, then significant strength.

[00:09:29]Momentum. The momentum's come back up.

[00:09:32]We've had a head and shoulders and we're about to retest this head and shoulders in our momentum. We have our head and then our clear defined shoulders here.

[00:09:42]Same in our pattern here.

[00:09:46]So, we are again in momentum oversold territory and likely for a change in trend.

[00:10:00]Stochastics, this is the leading and lagging indicator in my view.

[00:10:07]And I think that uh just putting together my trend lines that uh I had on here.

[00:10:17]You know, coupling them through data points.

[00:10:22]You know, particularly these red ones where they kind of come together.

[00:10:28]So, we've had a big top here where these two have crossed in our big downward fake out. And here again, we're challenging our downward momentum here.

[00:10:41]Especially on this area here, we just we're going to come back up into this right away here and it looks like have another move down and maybe another swift spike to bring us back wider to a lower area in uh the late part of May and June.

[00:11:06]Okay, so that's our indicators. We've assessed that. Let's go take a look at the 4-hour chart now that we've already done our assessment on the day.

[00:11:22]So, it's pretty busy now. I've >> [snorts] >> uh I've put in our consistent channel moving up. It's in this white. I know this yellow one is right here. I'm just going to remove that one. We don't need that one.

[00:11:39]So, our channel has caught our tops here and from there, once we have broke above this topping pattern here, we reached the uh extended pattern for our main trend down, which is parallel to our main trends.

[00:12:02]I was expecting the downtrend to have occurred after the 78-day or back in here where we were price and time was square and it we've been pushing on and squaring out continuous our days higher and higher and now we are overshadowed our price and time because uh now we are in our 90th day.

[00:12:32]We uh or past our 90th day.

[00:12:36]We are below the price of 90 and so you could say that price is now behind time and it's uh imminent for a change in trend here.

[00:12:50]So, this is looking at it on our 4-hour.

[00:12:52]I've put a tighter channel moving up inside, which squared out with our main trend channel moving down on our daily chart. So, we'll just take another quick look at that.

[00:13:08]So, you can see what I'm seeing here.

[00:13:10]I've uh I'm representing our Um let's see here.

[00:13:21]These angles moving down represent off of our last topping channel tops and they they're done at our preceding topping areas. We couple them together and we're able to capture where the next possible trends can bounce off of and we can see that we have a Fibonacci level here that uh is uh sh- showing that it's holding us up there. I wanted to also just quickly talk about our Fibonacci sequences because I sometimes get uh some comments about uh that uh you can't use them right and whatnot, but um so in this Fibonacci sequence running down from the top I extended it down to the 15,000 where we made a low.

[00:14:28]I took the other Fibonacci sequence, which is the same as this one, and ran it from the bottom to the top and you can see now that these Fibonacci this 23.6 is in line with this 78 and this 38 is in line with this 61 and our 50/50 of course are the same and our 618 and 238 and then last is our 78 and our 23.6 showing how Fibonacci sequences line up.

[00:15:10]So, I wanted to just point that out that uh they're a good indicator and I utilize them to show us how we've moved between our levels. So, let's go take a look at what I'm talking about there, too.

[00:15:31]So, stating here, we've now moved down one solid Fibonacci to the 78, then fell down and gained traction at the 618 level.

[00:15:46]Then we broke through and we moved down another two Fibonacci levels, like this one.

[00:15:54]We moved two and this big one. And on this one, you could say we did two and a half, but let's just say we did two coming down to here.

[00:16:04]This three This 382 level held us.

[00:16:11]So, uh and now we've been uh closing under this 50% level, which is not a good sign when you do that.

[00:16:22]And this looks like a very typical failed attempt, in my opinion, to a bull market. And I think that uh this is a This is a trap, in my opinion.

[00:16:37]And I'm just stating that you should be very careful where price and time is uh is squaring out and it's getting, you know, a very dangerous position.

[00:16:54]And it's looking an awful lot like I keep saying, you know, we're going to be moving down, but uh I tell you, you know, when this when this breaks, we're going to move down two levels in our you know, our Fibonacci sequence, like we've done in the last two moves.

[00:17:16]And that represents an area right around here. And that wouldn't surprise me the least bit if that occurred over this period coming into the summer here. And we'll of course have some relief rallies into some holiday seasons, you know, notably in July.

[00:17:40]So, we just need to be aware that it's possible that uh we uh we experience a whole bunch of uh very quick whipsaw rallies here. And it's just very likely that we're going to have another very fast move, probably somewhere around 21 days as our [snorts] other campaigns have been quite similar to those. So, let's just quickly take a look at those.

[00:18:19]Let's uh Let's move some of these so we can just take a look at what So, we've been in this one. This one I know is 45 days.

[00:18:40]All right. So, again, and half of that is our 22.

[00:18:50]And of course, that's where this thing falls down. Oops, sorry. I didn't mean to put that in front of there. So, So, we have a mean top there, 22 days later.

[00:19:05]And then our 45 days, you know, we return back to the low.

[00:19:13]So, there's market symmetry there.

[00:19:17]And as we continue on with the square, after 60 days, we get into this channel.

[00:19:28]And around 90 days, we have a top here.

[00:19:34]Just like we're having a top 90 days from our bottom in February.

[00:19:40]This one extends out 100 days.

[00:19:45]The next major break through and down is after 123 days or another triangle point.

[00:19:58]Next is 135.

[00:20:02]And that's representing this low area right here.

[00:20:11]Next we have like 144 as Gann would say to watch.

[00:20:16]And of course, we're still in the channel.

[00:20:22]Next is 157, which is the halfway point between 180 and 135.

[00:20:32]And then we have our 180-day bottom.

[00:20:35]Our change in trend and our move up now.

[00:20:43]And our next major point on our square after So, the 200-day moving average is the same place as 200.

[00:20:53]All right? So, we're 200 days.

[00:20:56]All right?

[00:20:59]So, next on the circle is 225, and 225 represents May 19th and that is my birthday. Typically, the market always has some major wallops in the lips and uh we uh see some lows or some volatility at that point.

[00:21:25]Tops or bottoms, really quick whipsaws, that's for sure.

[00:21:31]So, that's our next point on our circle.

[00:21:35]After that, we have the lucky 240.

[00:21:39]So, probably a big walloping low, maybe a very good point here to look for a buy.

[00:21:47]Why else would that be? Let's have a look at my ephemeris here.

[00:21:53]Uh well, well, the 9th, 10th, and 11th, Venus is conjunct uh Jupiter.

[00:22:04]So, right in here.

[00:22:09]9th, 10th, and 11th, Jupiter and Venus are conjunct.

[00:22:20]So, that's a big one. And at the end of the month, on the 28th, Mars will be 60°.

[00:22:28]Uh Jupiter. So, that's another thing to be aware of at the end of the month.

[00:22:35]And 270 days from our top represents July 3rd.

[00:22:41]And in July, July 3rd, Mars will be conjunct Uranus, the planet of technology. So, I expect that there's going to be uh a rotation and some movement in our tech industry and cryptocurrencies because we have a planet of force and direction is going to be conjunct the planet of transportation, technology, and innovations. So, it's going to be kind of an interesting July 4th, that's for sure.

[00:23:25]Okay, that's what I have for you today.

[00:23:28]I just wanted to talk to you about a few of these uh market peripherals that I was seeing and what we could possibly expect coming up.

[00:23:44]Knowing that uh history seems to repeat and looks like we might be making our way down here soon to the uh to the low.

[00:24:00]I want to also show you some other trend lines. So, these trend lines here for our main campaign are the same parallel angle. And let's just take a look at what's so interesting about this topping pattern here. So, in this topping pattern here, I have uh placed this very same angular All right?

[00:24:27]trend line and notice where runs out and bottoms.

[00:24:36]All right?

[00:24:37]So, another confirmation for major top and a change in trend. So, this came down off this low channel here and let's just take a look at that on the Maybe we'll take a look at it on the weekly chart. See what it shows here.

[00:24:59]So, you guys can see that, you know, I've ran these angles back from quite a ways and that uh you know, they do show us that uh we've we've touched these data points.

[00:25:22]So, it is not out of the equation to see something may occur may occur in this vicinity and region again.

[00:25:36]So, pointing that out. And same with our tops, you know, from this area here, I've connected these data points here.

[00:25:51]And we've managed to cross our target topping areas here and that this is in fact an area where we would have seen a topping pattern form and another bear market campaign begin to exist. And we are therefore in the midst of the midst right now.

[00:26:21]Looking at it now as we expand it.

[00:26:26]We can see that we are in the midst of it.

[00:26:33]And uh this this 50% level and this 72 we've been talking about these levels and that uh if they don't hold, it's uh it's going to be down here. We're going to move down two Fibonacci sequences in my opinion and see some settlement and another move back up and rejection. We might have another move back up.

[00:27:07]Again, you know, this these these movements down have encompassed one one Fibonacci sequence moving up.

[00:27:21]Okay? So, moving down two sequences and up one would be the equal to a zigzag and or an XABCD move, if you want to call it that.

[00:27:36]I took ours off of here because it's getting too busy.

[00:27:41]But, I wanted to show you that uh you know, it's uh it's two down and one up in our Fibonacci sequence and it's certainly uh it's certainly showing that. Two down and one up again.

[00:28:01]Now, um we're going to hit another two down and uh a one up.

[00:28:11]Maybe this one up comes back up and uh re-challenges this 50% level.

[00:28:19]However, it's probably about this 59 cuz when we when we come down two levels, we'll be retesting the inside of the this one level here, right? And I think we'll be coming back to retest this sometime in the summertime when the kids are out of school and you're on holidays, the market will retest this area.

[00:28:47]So, it's very possible and likely now we we experience some volatility coming up here.

[00:28:57]So, just wanted to show you how you know, what I was thinking with this.

[00:29:03]So, let's go have a look at our weekly indicators here, too.

[00:29:08]You know.

[00:29:09]And forget about our lines here. We're going to get rid of all these.

[00:29:15]Okay, so we have lower tops on our indicators here. We've We've had a golden cross. This is a really good sign on the weekly chart. This is a very good sign. We're very close to a bottom. It looks like we're going to capitulate some more. We've got the buyers in on the weekly. However, it's looking like, you know, we've topped out in the strength of the bars here.

[00:29:46]Okay, let's move down to the RSI.

[00:29:54]So, the RSI has been moving down heavily, and it looks like it's about to collide with uh