Camel Crew 30 minute LIVE STREAM

Ajouté : 2026-05-29

[00:00:09][music] No [music] recession.

[00:00:20]No cry.

[00:00:22]No [music] recession.

[00:00:26]No cry.

[00:00:37]>> [music] >> me. Remember [music] when hard work still used to pay? Could I buy a yard, raise the youth and live? Okay. But then the bankers get greedy, flip up the [music] game. Gold standard mash up. It never be the [singing] same. Boom.

[00:00:54]Economy [music] government never want them spend [singing] money drop the interest rate. Central [music] bank printing money start lose weight convincing no ever get paid me [music] believe it when see me [music] it make me want it but only if it really [music] legit.

[00:01:20]No recession.

[00:01:23]No crime.

[00:01:26]No recession.

[00:01:29]No crime.

[00:01:31]Change up the [music] definition.

[00:01:36]So slide, no recession, [music] no crime.

[00:01:45]Life get sweet, people get rich. Time feel [music] nice. Living big pand not thinking about the price. No turning back [singing] default and knock we g [music] but the genie up too late to lock that fate. 50 years pass need big job just to survive. Politicians still a shot [music] like all things alive. Job market sinking but say it all [music] right. Them twist up the data. Hide the truth out of sight. Believe it when we see it. It make me want to live [music] it.

[00:02:20]But only if it really led it.

[00:02:23][music] No recession.

[00:02:27]No crime.

[00:02:30]No recession.

[00:02:33]No crime. [music] Change up the definition.

[00:02:39]>> [music] >> So sad.

[00:02:42]No recession, [music] no crime.

[00:02:49]You them lost. Can't build no family drop this [music] madness of your tragedy. The rich investig.

[00:03:00][music] Good morning. Good morning. Good morning. Is it still morning? Yeah, just about. How are you all doing? Uh, wait.

[00:03:16]Let me turn this thing on. Bomb. Okay, so there's always this awkward moment, isn't there, where I'm like, what have I got to click? Uh, do that one. Yeah.

[00:03:26]Okay. How's it going everyone? How's it going? Um, I see a bunch of people in the chat. Thank you for being here. I've rolled out of bed super late this morning. For once, I managed to actually catch up on some sleep. So, that was cool. Uh, the wife has taken the car on some sort of adventure with the cousins and nieces. So, that means we got uninterrupted live stream to enjoy. So, I'm going to try this experiment out, right? going to do a quick chart recap, which I need to do because I haven't seen any charts since yesterday. And then I'm going to set a time of 30 minutes. In fact, I'm going to do that now. And the idea is lots of people don't have an hour, hour and a half to catch up on a live stream. So, I wonder if we do a 30 minute go on the timer if that won't take up so much of people's days. So, we're going to try this out.

[00:04:16]Um, I did want to quickly point at this because David Hunter, I'm sure you've probably seen this because he's got 1.8 million impressions. Uh, but he has raised his targets again and you can see the targets here. I'm not going to read them out cuz I'm sure you guys can read, but pretty wild, right? I would say so.

[00:04:33]Pretty wild. The only target of mine that's been consistently higher than Dave's is gold. My targets been way higher than Dave's the entire time. The rest of these I have consistently laughed at to be completely frank and they have continued to be met and exceeded. So, you know, I've learned from my lessons. I've learned from my mistakes. I'm not going to laugh at these ones anymore as crazy as they seem. Uh it's kind of like he's consistently been right. So, I'm not going to doubt this. Um, it seems it seems insane to me because, you know, our our cycle system does the best buying dips in uptrends. And if this is the type of uptrend we're going to continue to witness, then we're going to continue to print for a while longer.

[00:05:16]So, I'm here for it. Uh, it does seem crazy to me, but like I said, I'm not going to continue to laugh when he just keeps he keeps being right over over and over and over again. So, um, so yeah, if anywhere close to these targets are coming this year, then my goodness, number one, like I said, the cycle system is going to be able to extract a lot of gains from the market. And number two, you've got to think when this bubble eventually bursts, we're going to be in for some serious pain to the downside. So, it should be a pretty wild couple of years going forward. Uh, I also think, don't quote me on this, but I think he's kind of calling for this to occur by about Labor Day, which I think is early September. So if true again super super wild and if that seems insane I was thinking about this real quick right from the where was it from from here okay the tariff spill we did do something in the neighborhood of 40% upside here in 143 bars which is about six months. So, could we do something similar to that? Another 40%, but in less time. I think we probably could because this rally is getting steeper and steeper. Each leg is going more and more vertical. So, I don't actually think it's I don't actually think it's insane. Insane, right? Like earlier in the cycle when we saw some of these higher targets, I did say they were insane, but now I'm just kind of like, well, it's happening right in front of us. So, pretty wild, right?

[00:06:46]Pretty wild. And of course, if we did this, I mean, that's not even close to his target. 10K S&P, was it? My goodness. You know, [laughter] is that right?

[00:06:56]Yeah. 10K.

[00:06:58]I mean, we're still not there. Hang on a minute. Up here.

[00:07:03][snorts] I don't know, bro. I don't know. I don't know. But like I said, I'm here for it. And also, if we get up here, then we are going to have a C19 style plunge into that four-year low, aren't we? Of course, that low can move forward by about a weekly cycle. Uh, something tells me it's not going to.

[00:07:18]Something tells me we're right around there. So, I'm expecting kind of a repeat of this where we overextend and then have some kind of crash. As I've been saying for a while now, I think we have to accept that's what's probably coming. Even if it happened from here, we're still probably going to be closer to a C19 style plunge than we would an orderly bare market walkdown.

[00:07:37]Um, goodness me. Other than that, I guess it's just trying to stay on this ball without getting bucked off, as hard as that is. and and you're going to have to fight the FOMO and all that kind of stuff. But anyway, I try not to waste too much more time. I wanted to quickly check in on the charts. As I said, the S&P is still pushing. That's fine. The NASDAQ is still pretty much pushing. So, that's fine, too. The Dow equally still pushing about the small caps looking good. New highs, which means we can do this. Okay. Um, what else? Gold is on its way down to a lower low, cycle low.

[00:08:09]Okay. Which means probably good thing that we shedded most of the positions.

[00:08:14]Shedded shed most of the positions in the level three members section. Silver I think is about to invalidate the long setup. Oh, it still hasn't. Silver is refusing to fail this daily cycle. So I don't know. Until such time as invalidation hit, the trade is valid.

[00:08:31]Right? So as much as I want to kind of cut this cuz I just think it seems like we should probably lock in the gains here, right? it hasn't actually invalidated the setup and it's not a good habit to get into to try to preempt getting stopped out because imagine if I cut it now and then it moves higher.

[00:08:46]Well, with hindsight, number one, that's really painful if you cut a trade only to see it rip. Okay, but number two, you know, if I was to cut here and then it rips higher. With hindsight, we'd be able to come back and say, well, why did you cut it? Right? The trade was still valid. Why get in your way of your own trade setup if it's not invalidated? So, going to have to sit here and see if it trades through the invalidation. If it does, then it's okay. We'll have some gains here. This would have pretty much been a terribly handled trade on silver, as it turns out, cuz we would have given back a lot of ours, which I was fine with to bet on this second trade. But if this ends up getting stopped out here, then, you know, here it's break even and here is just a tiny bit of profit versus, you know, what could have been a massive trade. But I'm here for pushing this because if by some miracle we don't invalidate it and we move to new highs, then that is my entire 70% Kaggar for the year in one trade in the short-term account. So that's I don't often go for broke like this. And the risk is still managed, right? Because worst case scenario, like I said, we're break even here and we're locking in a bit of profit here. So the risk is still managed, but I kind of wanted to go for broke here in the sense of, you know, I could probably hit the entire 70% for the short term if we get to new highs.

[00:09:57]So, we'll see if we can get away with that. It feels like we're not going to.

[00:10:00]One thing that's kind of interesting to me is whilst the metals are showing weakness, the miners are showing relative strength here, which I think kind of makes sense because the metal prices have been elevated for a while and therefore you got to think the miners are still more profitable than they were 6 12 18 months ago. So, we'll see, right? We'll see if we can look for kind of leadership and divergence higher here out of the miners. Dave is still extremely bullish on the metals.

[00:10:25]So, yeah, I don't know. I don't know.

[00:10:27]We'll see. And the other thing to cover is Bitcoin, which is still on its way down to a cycle low. Today is the 28th, which means we're right in the middle of the window, but of course, we can overrun by 6 days. And occasionally, we can overrun by slightly more than that.

[00:10:40]So, seems like for now at least, there's no invalidation here. Seems like we can draw a line. I can't even see through my own squiggles. Somewhere in here. Okay.

[00:10:48]And once we get a breakout and a confirmed swing, then I will cover this short and probably even flip long here and see what happens. Unless well actually no less. Yeah. If it's there we'll look for 100 110 and if it comes all the way back down to 60 we'll probably look for a retest of I don't know 80 again maybe slightly less. Uh and that should be Bitcoin one or two other level three members positions which are doing well.

[00:11:13]I'm just thinking yeah and that's it.

[00:11:17]Okay. So ask me anything 22 minutes on the clock. [laughter] Pull some uh chat up. Where's my chat?

[00:11:24]Here we go. [snorts] Aliens first. Yeah, something like that.

[00:11:30]Do I think gold? Can you guys see the chat? Yeah, you can. Okay, fine.

[00:11:36]Silver is edging us. Yeah, I guess so.

[00:11:40]Charts of the charts indeed.

[00:11:43]It all goes back to the 41 video. I'm not really sure what that is.

[00:11:48]Bitcoin is still likely to go lower for the daily cycle low. Yeah, it looks that way. It doesn't look like it is fixed.

[00:11:53]It's changed direction yet. SMH.

[00:11:56]Um, no changes really. It still looks like it's in some big blowoff top.

[00:12:01]It looks like I also sold my semi position too early, but remember, you can only really sell too early or too late. Um, I know some people would rather roundtrip their whole position than watch it continue to move higher, but uhoh. Okay.

[00:12:18]But to be honest, I I made I made a bank doing this. Uh, and I was looking at the gains and I was like, I want the gains.

[00:12:25]I don't really care if it goes higher. I don't want to risk this thing puking because if this is the top, then it would puke quite hard, right? I don't really want to give all that back. We boosted the JISER, right? In one trade, the annual return for the JISER is currently around 20%. Just from this one trade. So if I can just do that once or twice more between now and Christmas in the JICER, then we'll hit the target Kaggar with no leverage and only making a handful of trades and never risking more than about 6% of the account. So you know that was a big reason for this.

[00:12:55]It's like let me boost the performance of the JISER. Let me also just take the gains because I'm rarely happy to the point where I say you know what I don't even care if it goes higher. That rarely happens but when it does I know myself enough to say let me just take the gains. So that's what I did and yeah I don't know if we get a bigger spill we'll buy it. If not, I'm happy to let this thing go. And we still got the Russell 2K, which is pretty much the same chart shape at the moment. So, yeah. I don't know. That's all it really is. I'm just trying to go slow here, not do too much. It's a very easy environment to wreck yourself in. So, got to look out for that.

[00:13:31]Why did I turn off the comments in the last couple of entries? Because it just gets overwhelming, right? like if I've got um the video members are commenting on the video and then if I've got multiple posts um that also gets confusing and from my phone I can't actually see what post your comments are under. So if I only post one then I know oh okay that's the TLT position and when people are commenting on it I know that's what they're talking about. But if I post multiple trades in a day, then it's easier for me to turn off the comments on all but one because then people can still ask me questions, but then I also know what post they're commenting under. It's just because of the way the um studio, the YouTube studio app formats it on uh on the iPhone.

[00:14:17]Hunter's reply below is hilarious. What did he say?

[00:14:21]How long can you call for a mup and crash? How long can you do this? I mean, yeah, people just don't realize. People don't realize that what he does. They think he's kind of like trying to pick a day for the top and they think that somehow he's bad because he calls for a target and then he exceeds the target and he sets a new target. Like I don't know. I don't know. You Twitter just doesn't know what he's talking about most of the time, right?

[00:14:46]Buy metals dips. I don't know. This the problem with the metals chart is it's kind of firing all manner of invalidations at least pertaining to the cycles. like we need to have something change quite rapidly to be able to justify staying long. Otherwise, it looks like Bob Lucas's idea where we essentially base which is this was my plan B, wasn't it? The plan B scenario was we do this, we kind of base around four year cycle low and then go and the whole thing would be compressing into some sort of triangle and then when we get to the half cycle low, we can go again. Um, to me, that's just what it looks like at the moment. It looks like we had a chance to just do like an ABC weekly cycle and then go like this. And I still think we maybe could out of this upcoming daily cycle low. But you know what is the point in having a system if you're going to disrespect it once it starts to fail cycles and starts to take you out of positions. Then you just have to accept that's what's happening. And it doesn't matter how bullish I am. Uh what matters is I have to have my system tell me when to act and when not to act.

[00:15:41]And at the moment it's telling me that I really don't want to be trying more longs just yet. I mean that can change.

[00:15:46]The good thing about the metals is they don't tend to move that fast. So, if we got a daily cycle low and then something like this and a higher low, you know, somewhere in here, we can say, "Okay, maybe it's time to go." But, you know, I can't really justify it from here.

[00:15:59]At the same time, I don't want to doubt David because he's been right more than anyone.

[00:16:05]Am I looking at other metals? No, not at the moment. Thank you for turning off comments and post to have the noise.

[00:16:10]Yeah, the noise is ridiculous. And the other thing is it doesn't like I want to try and be as nice as possible but I even made a video two weeks ago for the members and at the start I said hey guys like please can you not ask hypotheticals please can you not ask directly if you can buy stocks like this not how it works right I just show you what I'm doing it's up to you to do the rest and even then for the following week almost daily I got comments like hey camel if you had 10k and we're feeling sidelineed what would you buy it's like [laughter] there's only so much time I have I think people don't realize how much time it actually eats up answering questions and questions like that kind of detract from my ability to actually help people with serious questions. Um, so it's a combination of that. I am really, you know, a few years ago when I started this channel, I had nothing to do all day. Uh, and now this has become something that takes up a lot of time, which I like doing, but then when you add in like having a child and everything else, it's I'm I'm kind of getting stretched to my limit to a certain degree here. Uh, but I'm still I'm still happy to do it. I still really enjoy doing it. What do I think of Wolf?

[00:17:11]Um, you're a member, so you should absolutely know.

[00:17:16]Hey, Camel, do you think Bitcoin is going to have somewhat decent bounce?

[00:17:21]Uh, [snorts] I don't know is the answer.

[00:17:23]I definitely think we're going to get a cycle low in the next few sessions. You know, we're inside the window, so we should be able to get that. How decent the bounce is is anyone's guess really.

[00:17:32]Um, I don't know. Something I can't reconcile is how bullish everything else is. And then Bitcoin is still just in a bare market, right? I I don't think there's any stronger or more compelling argument for the four-year cycle being in control here given that all of these markets are going vertical, right? It's like Bitcoin clearly does not care about the macro. It clearly doesn't care about anything apart from its 4year cycle at the moment. Now, that could change if out of this daily cycle low, we moon up here. Okay, then we could say, okay, fine, like, you know, something else is going on. But right now, it's like to say the four-year cycle is not in control whilst literally every asset looks like this, right? Just seems just seems insane to me. So, yeah, we'll get a bounce, but how big is that bounce? I have no idea. And this low, by the way, it could form anywhere between here and like all the way down here, couldn't it?

[00:18:22]If it's a real weekly cycle reset, we could be at 40K. That's not a call. It's not a prediction, but I'm just saying if it did that, it wouldn't be outside of the cycle system and then we would probably expect a nice big bounce, okay, before again rolling over to find that four-year low. And if it did that, it would just be exactly the same as every other bare market in history, right? So, yeah, I don't know. We'll see. But for me to change stance, the market needs to prove to me that I need to change stance. And right now, it just hasn't done that.

[00:18:54]If Bitcoin goes to 100K, do you think it goes sub 60?

[00:18:59]I would think it goes at least back to 60.

[00:19:03]Ultimately, I do think we're probably going to run the low because Bitcoin is such an emotional market that it feels like we're probably not going to give people confidence. Like, if it's a double bottom or a higher low, then a lot of people, I think, will be able to look at that and say, "Oh, here we go.

[00:19:16]You know, it's a the four year cycle's dead and the bare market bottomed here and all that stuff." And of course, they'd be right in that situation. But to me, it just makes sense. Like if I was one of the big boys and I was like, I want to ruin as much retail as possible and hand it over to me and my institutional friends. How would I do that? Well, I'll kind of do something like this and then really set in panic down here and make everyone think, you know, this is only just getting started and that's how we'd reset it. So, but I mean it's all speculation, right? All I know is on a balance of probabilities, the cycles say this is what will happen.

[00:19:47]But it's not a holy grail. It's not certain in any way, shape, or form.

[00:19:53]>> [clears throat] >> At what kind of portfolio size would you say a good trader could start living off trading? I mean, it really depends, right? It depends how much kagar you're going to get. Depends what your living expenses are like. It depends what country you're in. Depends on taxes.

[00:20:11]I think the most conservative way to think about it is can you if you're a good trader, you should be able to do 30%. I think that's like the minimum I think. And if you can do 30% then work out what sort of portfolio size you'll need that 30% of that size gives you the amount you need to live off. I think that's like a good kind of template if you want to call it that to use.

[00:20:34]They're suppressing Bitcoin because it's their biggest bet. I don't know if they're suppressing it. I don't know. I just think I think this is what happens during four year cycles. But [snorts] there was a power outage in India.

[00:20:54]Wow. Okay.

[00:20:57]Aliens, bro.

[00:21:00]To cycles apply for all markets. Yeah, pretty much. Pretty much peeled here looking like it wants to move higher. What's my thoughts? I'm still short until it breaks the trend line and then we can talk about it.

[00:21:16]You have more patience as the creator than me as a viewer reading the comments. Yeah, thank you, bro. Yeah, I mean [laughter] I just tried to help. I tried to help where possible.

[00:21:26]Are we going to have you around still after the next four year low? I I would think so. Yeah, I would think for a little while at least. So long as I can return value and people can find value, then I'll be here.

[00:21:41]daily cycle lows around 70 to 80 days in this bare and last bare. Typically in a bare market they're slightly shorter on the way down but yeah they have Bitcoin's count has been kind of a problem child this entire cycle.

[00:21:53]I'm just holding the short for now.

[00:21:55]Yeah, until until we break the trend line. We'll see how low it goes. What do you fish for when you get out there? Um primarily I go sea fishing and what I fish for is whatever's there during that month. This time of year, the bass is the target.

[00:22:11]Do I see Toot getting a slow walk up or explosive move? No, I think it'll be slow.

[00:22:18]AI stocks taking all the cryptos thunder. Probably.

[00:22:23]Bitcoin could be detaching from tech. I mean, I think to be honest, the truth with Bitcoin is it's never actually been correlated. It's kind of like, you know how um I don't mean to say this in hate.

[00:22:33]It's just the only example I can think of. But you know how Blockchain Backer for a while was saying that when the Russell 2K moves into expansion, the alt altcoins go with it. And he was doing that because he was overlaying the two charts. And historically, every time the Russell broke out, alt season happened.

[00:22:50]So he then concluded that sort of one was causing the other, right? Like when the Russell goes, everything goes. Or when the Russell goes, altcoins go. And I kept saying it over and again like, you know, that's not it's not going to happen this time around because there's actually no reason for them to be correlated, right? Like correlation is not always causation. And I think that's true of Bitcoin. Like for a while, yeah, it traded in line with the NASDAQ, but that does not mean that it's actually related to the NASDAQ. It's just we happen to have both going up at the same time. And now I don't think we've broke the correlation. I think they were never really correlated. Like, does that make sense?

[00:23:27]>> [sighs] >> SpaceX, how do you use cycle theory? Oh, you can't really use it on a on an IPO with limited price data. That would be the limitation.

[00:23:38]What's my pie of choice?

[00:23:41]Uh, I don't really know. I like pretty much all of them. The only one I [snorts] don't like is the ones with like liver or kidney in them. Like steak and kidney or whatever. I don't like the texture of it.

[00:23:51]Smells like I'm right about Bitcoin. Um, I don't know. We'll see. something.

[00:23:56]Actually, I I feel the opposite. I think we're It looks almost like we're not going to be able to get down here at the moment, but you know, I don't know. It's not for me to know. It's for the market to show me.

[00:24:07]When you refer to cycles, is that the market makers and their algorithms? No, it's not. I don't know what causes them.

[00:24:12]I spent a long time earlier in my career trying to figure it out and I was never able to.

[00:24:20]When the cycle low comes, do you buy stocks or other types of strategies with leverage? Do you plan on buying just stocks at the cycle low? Uh, we'll buy a mixed bag, but it depends on the setup at the time. Some cycle lows are easier to spot than others, right? So, you know, I can't really say that now. We have to wait till we get there and then see what setups are looking clean at the time.

[00:24:47]Good. Pretty sure you live on the east coast. Skegness.

[00:24:52]Hi, bro. [laughter] I deny those allegations. Property market update. I haven't been tracking it. I'm completely switched off of it to be completely honest with you. Um, any advice on how to get any thoughts on Micro Strategy? I think same as Bitcoin.

[00:25:07]Advice on how to get cycle trader to manage my portfolio. Is that a thing? I think Bob Lucas does that, but I think you need 150K minimum or 250K minimum. But I do think Bob Lucas has one.

[00:25:23]It might be invite only, but I bet if you email him, he's probably happy to take your money. I would imagine most funds like that typically are.

[00:25:33]It worries me the herd's still bearish sentiment.

[00:25:38]I'm not sure if the herd is bearish. I think the herd for Bitcoin is more bullish than bearish, but I also think don't think it's one-sided. I don't think it's been extremely one-sided anywhere around here for a while, to be honest. Even at the top, I don't think it was extremely one-sided. I think that's why this top was so difficult.

[00:25:56]And I definitely don't think it's one-sided here.

[00:26:01][snorts] Did you see what they're doing? Changing the NASDAQ rules. Yes, I did.

[00:26:08]Yeah, they changed a lot of the rules to accommodate SpaceX. SpaceX is going to go down in history as one of the most insane rugps of all time, I imagine. But I still think it will pump first if I had to guess, just cuz people love Elon, right?

[00:26:22]I think we could see Coinbase to 100.

[00:26:24]I'm not sure what it's at now.

[00:26:29]173. Yeah, I think we could see 100.

[00:26:33]How was the sentiment in the Twitter world? Um, I'm not sure what you mean.

[00:26:42]These IPOs may well mark the top. Yeah, they could do. I see a lot of people saying that. See a lot of people saying that. I'm not really sure if it will or not.

[00:26:54]Do you have an IPO trading system? No, I don't have one. I I tend to just stay away from that stuff. I think trading is hard enough as it is without trying to bet on something with no price data or structure. I tend to just stick with a handful of instruments and trade the same ones over and again hust at the moment to deploy. Yeah, that's the best way.

[00:27:16]Do you think any leaders will hit the low sooner than the broader fouryear low like micro strategy? Yeah, probably one or two will, but it's kind of impossible to know until you get to the four-year window and then some of them will make higher lows. And by then it's kind of too late, right? Well, I say too late.

[00:27:31]That's a relative term, but you know what I mean. what needs to happen for the next alt season. I don't think I I don't think it's going to happen. I think there'll be something new, you know, like we had ICOs one cycle and then we had NFTTS the next and then meme coins this cycle. I'm sure there'll be a new thing. I don't know what that new thing is, but there's always something new where the devs are kind of quick to invent something and pump and dump it on everyone. I'm sure that will happen. But as for alt season, you know, we are looking at pets.com multiplied by something like 20 million coins, aren't we? So pets.com never came back. Why should most of these projects?

[00:28:12]Thanks SDS skess. Now [laughter] certain crypto influencers still calling alt season. Do you actually believe it or they just scamming? I think they actually believe it. Most of them or some of them at least. Some of them are obviously scamming. I just don't think I I think people think because they did it before they'll do it again. And I think that of Bitcoin, but I just don't think that of altcoins because I think most of the reason they didn't pump this cycle. There's lots of reasons, right? But if you think about the main ones, you know, most people didn't even believe in them. In 2017, people genuinely believed this tech was going to change the world. They genuinely believed like, "Oh, we're going to tokenize this. Oh, we're going to start stop using this old system and do it on a blockchain now. Like, people really thought they were buying into new ideas that were going to revolutionize the world." This cycle, people just bought them because they thought they would pump, right? They didn't actually believe in what they were holding. They didn't actually think like, "Oh, I've bought a piece of the future here." They were just like, "Yeah, this thing pumped last time, so I'm going to buy it now and it's going to pump and then I'm going to dump it." And so I think that's a big reason institutions as well aren't rotating. You know that ETF money for Bitcoin isn't going to you know those people aren't going to sell their IBIT from Black Rockck, right? They're not going to sell that and then bid altcoins, right? And I know people think they that's wrong, but you know that was a big part of the thesis and we just obviously didn't see that. You know, why would your boomer granddad that has finally decided to buy the ETF think, "Oh, I'm going to rotate into ShibaInu, right? this just not how they do it.

[00:29:49]They just buy it and hold it as part of a balanced portfolio. Same with the institutions, right? They're not going to rotate out the ETF into alts. Um, and then there's just too many as well. You know, we went from having like a few thousand to 20 odd million coins and there's just not enough money in all of existence to pump all of them by 500x.

[00:30:11][snorts] Last live, I told you gold, silver, and Bitcoin moving all at the same time on some candles just different degrees.

[00:30:16]Have you noticed this since I said that or have you forgot about it after I ended the live? Um, I forgot about it to be honest. Oh, always spectral calls.

[00:30:26]You nailed the 120 call earlier this year. I mean, I get a lot of stuff wrong as well, so keep that in mind. Nokia and Blackberry, I I don't know. Quick zoomed out look on gold relative to the larger cycles. I'm struggling to see them clearly on the chart as a beginner yet.

[00:30:49]There you go, bro.

[00:30:57]Plan to reenter the service now. No, not really, to be honest.

[00:31:03]What might invalidate Hamuz these nuts?

[00:31:07][snorts] A full scale war. $250 a barrel of oil.

[00:31:18]Can we get a homies t-shirt? Maybe.

[00:31:23]Let's wait and see if oil actually tops first. If it actually fully tops and goes down to um like the low sub 50 again, then I think we could do it.

[00:31:32]You mentioned before there would be an Excel file. Um yeah, I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I haven't got around to it.

[00:31:38]You agree? Oops.

[00:31:41]the altcoin idea.

[00:31:45]Silver thoughts about Bit Tensor. No thoughts. Got a screenshot. Happy days.

[00:31:50]There's some on my Twitter as well. If you just search gold in my Twitter, you should be able to find a bunch Clton.

[00:32:03][laughter] I don't know. I don't know what makes you think I live in Clactton or Skaggnes.

[00:32:14][laughter] Do I sound like I'm from though? I don't know. You saw another cycle trader mention Bitcoin low for the year late July. Does that make sense? I mean, we could have that. It could just be an extra daily cycle to get there, right?

[00:32:30]It could be that instead of this being the weekly cycle low now, we could form over here. That could certainly be a thing.

[00:32:40]But we are in the middle of the the window for the for the weekly cycle though now. So auntie about to get wrecked. Yep. And my mechanic Clactton would would be enough piss poor. I mean [laughter] update on TT. No changes, bro. No changes at all.

[00:33:07]is a cycle low window for Bitcoin until the 4th of June.

[00:33:12]Yeah, about there. 6 days from the 28th, whenever that is.

[00:33:18]FOMC, what does it look like? What's the bond market telling us? Um, I don't know. I'm not paying attention.

[00:33:25][snorts] We'll see. Is it breakout, retest, and resumption? In which case, something else is massively going on here. Otherwise, we get back inside of this kind of penant wedge thing, then I would say tell that to the bond markets probably coming next and Walsh is going to cut rates soon. That's my guess.

[00:33:48]Towel. What is people's obsession with towel? [laughter] What's your foil year cycle low target?

[00:33:58]Um, neither September or October are important. And cycles predict time, not price. So, I don't really have a target. I'm just looking for new lows really.

[00:34:12]And that is the 30 minute timer.

[00:34:14][laughter] So, thank you all for being here. We'll test this out. We'll see if more people find time to watch this thing. Uh, I hope you found some value here. If nothing else, I hope this was entertaining.

[00:34:27]And other than that, what's this? Sorry, camel, but vaping is almost as bad as smoking. Please work on quitting completely. Who? What do you mean vaping? I don't vape.

[00:34:36]What?

[00:34:38]Do I strike you as a vapor, bro?

[00:34:40][laughter] What is this?

[00:34:44]You think I'm fruity? You calling me zesty, bro. What is this? No, I don't vape. I would never vape.

[00:34:52]Um, bro, distracting me. What's all these allegations, bro? Uh, yeah.

[00:34:58]Anyway, enjoy your time everyone. Enjoy the rest of the week. Uh, I hope you all will get some nice weather. And other than that, I guess I'll I'll see you guys soon. So, thank you all for being here and uh until next time. God bless.