WARNING FOR ALL BITCOIN TRADERS...

本站添加: 2026-04-29

[00:00:00]This will be a big warning to all Bitcoin holders because there is still a big chunk of liquidity being built up above us while we are seeing a lot of mixed signals on the Bitcoin chart right now. So on today's video, I'm going to explain what is going to be happening with the FOMC meeting that is going to be happening today. I'm going to go over this very important behavior which we're right now spotting on the Bitcoin chart.

[00:00:28]I'm going to discuss the funding rates that remain to be negative. And of course, I'm going to go over all the reasons why I am currently still in this Bitcoin short position and what basically my strategy behind this exact position is right now. So, don't forget to once again slap that like button back above 700 likes. That will be highly appreciated. And let me jump straight away in this video. So first of all, Bitcoin is right now breaking below this very critical upper so trend line and I mean we've been holding this trend line for over 22 days and actually we've right now broken below it. And if we're looking at Bitcoin on the imminent short term, we can see that currently we are retesting this previous level of resistance that flipped into support right here and now is getting retested.

[00:01:15]And yes, this is clearly a big level of resistance. But if I'm looking at the liquidation heat map, there is still a lot of Bitcoin short liquidations laying around that 80 to about 81K region. And if I'm looking at my trade, yes, I'm currently still in a profit. You could argue why don't you close it right now, take the profit and leave. I mean, I'm currently not doing that because yeah, for me, if it is going to be moving towards the upside, which I think is a very likely possibility that could still happen. I mentioned this in so many videos before already. I think that there is clearly a possibility for Bitcoin to move all the way up to about $81,000. And that is why I also have this other trading order set up here where I will basically go double down on my Bitcoin short orders. So, if Bitcoin were to be squeezing up to squeeze out these short positions, I am basically going to go double down on my short orders. And I mean, if I'm really technically speaking looking at Bitcoin, I think the chart is looking super bearish. I mean, what we're seeing on the chart is clearly telling us right here that we're losing momentum on the RSI while price is moving towards the upside and we're running in towards a liquidity cluster. So, for me, this makes a lot of sense as as this zone to be a major level of resistance. Of course, if we're looking at bigger time frames or at different patterns, for example, on the daily time frame, we're still creating a big bearish divergence.

[00:02:42]We're running it towards this major major weekly and daily level of resistance on Bitcoin. This is just not a level that I think Bitcoin is going to be easily breaking through. And if we're looking and believing in somewhat of the seasonality of Bitcoin, it makes a lot of sense that we are going to see a big rejection from this zone. But since we're building still some liquidity above us, there could be a big possibility that we're going to first of all squeeze out this liquidity. Then talking about the FOMC, this is happening in 12 hours from now on and this next FOMC meeting is not expected to bring any firework. There is a 100% certainty that we're just going to stick with the same interest rates. But if we're just looking back at the last eight times we did got an FC meeting, we basically saw a lot of price movements after the meeting. So this is the only thing that I think is of much interest for everyone out there. Literally all the previous times we had an FOMC straight away after or the week after we have seen some major dumps towards the downside. So make sure to take that in account and of course it's also really going to be depending what Jerome Pal is going to be stating about the market his expectations etc etc. Further on, if I'm looking at a lot of the Bitcoin bottom indicators, we are of course coming closer and closer towards a bottom. But ultimately on the bigger perspective, I don't believe we have been creating a bottom yet here. And we are of course approaching May. And it is a very very cringe thing to say here. Sell in May and walk away. But I do think this is yet again going to be the case for Bitcoin. And I mean, if we're really looking also, for example, at the conflict in the Middle East, it looks to me that oil prices are once again searching all the way up to about $18 a barrel. And yeah, this is really a bad thing for the economy. And you have to understand, the longer this is going to stay higher, the higher the inflation is ultimately going to be here. And I personally believe that this is going to cause another wave of inflation spikes which is probably going to set uh in motion from of about 3 weeks from now on when we're going to get the next reading. Inflation is probably going to rise hard and this could potentially even lead towards the uh towards the Federal Reserve hiking the interest rates and you know what is that going to be doing with the market. So yeah, this is truly something I am very afraid for which could of course bring Bitcoin also down potentially.

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[00:05:49]It's a super valuable campaign. There's never been literally a better campaign than this. So, if you're looking for a great exchange which is non KYC, a great exchange which is offering the best deposit bonus right now, check out WEX because I've never seen a better deposit bonus in the market than this one. So, check it out in the first link in today's video description. And of course, by joining the second one, the second link in today's video description, you can join also our private Discord group where you can get and uh stay up to date on all the signals we're also giving. So, make sure to also check it out in that second link into this video description. Now, let me dive deeper in towards the data because if we're looking at Bitcoin and at the current data we're create seeing is that of course the chart the price has been walking a little bit down here while we're seeing that the open interest has basically stayed flat here and perpetuals are literally in collapse right now here the volume. So there's less and less trades being opened. And what we're seeing very aggressively right now here is that spot is selling because the market moves down. There's no open interest increasement, no uh perpetual volume increasement. So it means that shorts are selling and longs got wrecked. And this was of course what happened on yesterday's picture. Of course, today we have seen an ever so slight rally again here. But if I'm looking at my own data, which I'm currently paying attention towards, I'm seeing the aggregated funding rates remain to be close to zero, basically a little bit negative as of this moment of time. The open interest also remains very flat, but the Coinbase premium remains to be negative. And ultimately, if we're going to be squeezing all the way higher to about $81,000, the chances are that we're even going to create a bigger bearish divergence, and this would only allow us to have an even better entry at our current ongoing trade here. And I mean there are just a lot of negative signals right now in the market that are pointing to me that I think it's a better time to stay away from the market. However, of course, as long as the funding rates remain to be negative in such a rally towards the upside, there's also a possibility we're always going to squeeze higher and that is why I do have an high liquidation price and of course with this extra order, it will get pushed up even higher. And then I think I'm going to be uh very safe with this trade I'm currently taking. And I mean for the seasonality it doesn't make a lot of sense that Bitcoin is already bottom.

[00:08:01]But of course trading is a game of probabilities. And let's say Bitcoin is right now going to be breaking above the bull market support band with like two clearly weekly candle closes above it and a successful retest of a bounce towards the upset from of this level.

[00:08:16]Yeah. Then it could be that we're maybe breaking the 4year cycle. I mean as of for now the 4year cycle has been exactly played out like it always has. But if we're going to be breaking it, it would be definitely very interesting to be watching and it would be actually very very nice for Bitcoin because we're then going to be probably break all the way up towards new autumn highs. But it is a game of probabilities and now it is just more likely that we're going to just follow this path of of course the trends that has been already ongoing and also the seasonality just adds up that we're most likely going to be seeing a correction in May here. So that is just personally what I think is likely. Of course, my thoughts could be changing if the market is going to be behaving itself differently, and I will be adapting to it. So, with without any further ado, guys, this was it for me on today's update video. If you did enjoy it, subscribe to the channel, slap on that like button, and I see you guys on the next one. Peace out. Goodbye.