Blackrock- THIS IS THE TIME TO GO ALL IN BITCOIN

Added: 2026-06-01

[00:00:00]3 years and three months ago, Black Rockck posted this article called asset allocation with crypto application of preferences for positive skewess.

[00:00:10]Basically, they're looking at based on math, how much Bitcoin should you have in your portfolio. And it came out that if you had a 6040 equity bond portfolio, so the classic 60/40 portfolio, you should actually have 84.9% in Bitcoin and about 15.1% split 60/40 between equity and bonds. That sounds crazy, doesn't it? [laughter] Like the the retirement portfolio that a lot of people have should actually be 85% Bitcoin. That's what they're saying here based on the math. Now, take that one step further. If you had 80% in stocks, 20% bonds, which is actually more I I'd say that's more conservative than what most people have watching this channel, they say you should actually be levered up in Bitcoin 106.6%.

[00:00:58]You should actually sell everything and then go take out debt or use margin to buy more Bitcoin. Now, the timing of this is interesting, right? Keep in mind this is based on prior math. This is not them, all the financial advisors suggesting this, but this was in spring of 2023. Okay, where were we in spring of 2023 that they would come out with this? Well, we had just hit the bottom of the crypto market. Keep in mind, a lot of people were still saying we're going to go much lower, but we hit the bottom and we were just starting to move up into the low 20s range. We went back down under 20 just for a second, then started rallying up, falling back down, rallying up, falling back down, and then we went into the bull market. But this was right after the bottom. The bottom happened in late 2022. When we look at the four-year cycle, um we are approaching where we typically see a bottom. [clears throat] This is 2022 here. The red dot is the exact bottom of the market. This is 2018, 2014, 2010.

[00:01:58]All right. So, we are approaching where we typically bottom. And what can we tell from the last three cycles? Um the bottom has happened earlier and earlier.

[00:02:09]The highs have actually happened earlier and earlier as well. You can see last cycle we had a high even before the Bitcoin having the cycle before that it was after the having but it was earlier than the cycle before. So every single cycle we're seeing earlier lows and earlier highs. Black Rockck almost four years ago told us to lever up on Bitcoin and what do you know? They pushed hard into the Bitcoin ETF game. Very positive on Bitcoin after this, pushing it to their clients. Do you think they came out with this article after or before they were pushing their high value clients to buy Bitcoin?

[00:02:50]I'm sure that they started this that they they started this study well before spring of 2023 when they were probably pushing clients to buy Bitcoin.

[00:03:01]So, what's that tell you? We're almost four years after this. A lot of the ETF providers have been kind of quiet, right? Bitcoin's down. Bitcoin's down versus the S&P 500, which we'll look at.

[00:03:14]It's down versus a lot of other assets.

[00:03:17]Um, no one really wants to buy it right now. No one's paying attention. We're actually seeing large outflows from a lot of the ETFs. That's why I think now is actually a great time to buy Bitcoin and to set up leverage trades. If you want to leverage, this is the time to get really good at it, which we'll talk about later in the video, but check out Yubit. Check out Bitfi underneath the video. Bitfy has this up to $2,000 bonus. Yubit, if you deposit 100, you get a hundred back as well to trade with. And Bitfy, um, we run promotions on every single month where you can get up to $10,000 worth of Bitcoin just for trading. You don't have to jump through hoops or click anything like you to to get entered to get the $10,000. At the end, you'll just have to claim it. But yeah, this is the time I think to be very interested in this. Now, let's look at Bitcoin, right? We typically bottom at the end of this year, but things are always a little bit different, right?

[00:04:13]We've had bigger draw downs in the past.

[00:04:15]I think in general, there's a lot less leverage in the market right now, and a lot of it got flushed out like right when we were at the top. Um we had a day where altcoins went down 50% 30% on average. Some went down 80%. Um so we have a lot less leverage. We are coming down to this 200 week moving average which is typically like a good signal that that's like killer buying prices.

[00:04:37]Um we bounced right before it. It's sitting around $62,000 now. Now, I I think now is an interesting time in Bitcoin because so many people think that can't go lower. That's not going to sweep. Um, at the same time, it it seems like every like everyone that doesn't think that thinks that we're going much lower. I think we could sweep lows and then go down a little bit, but I I don't think this bare market's going to be as bad or as long as previous bare markets.

[00:05:06]Um, if we compare Bitcoin to the S&P 500, you can see we've kind of bottomed around this level. Uh the Bitcoin versus the S&P 500 or VO has been steadily rising over time. The tops and the bottoms. We're pretty close to where we would expect a bounce. Maybe a 10% further down move for for Bitcoin or um a 10% higher move for V. Now maybe you say no, you have to look maybe 20% down, but somewhere in that range. 10 to 20% down could be the exact bottom. Now, um, for anyone that doesn't know, I guess I should I should mention this. Um, when I talk about leverage trading, right, or going long on Bitcoin, that doesn't mean I'm 100% Bitcoin and I'm taking out loans as well or margining my whole portfolio. Now, I am diversified. I I think that, you know, Black Rockck made that article just based on math, but a lot of it is mentality and can you handle the ups and downs. So that's why like for some people I think it might make sense to go let's say you have a 10% cash position and then you also have 15% in Bitcoin or something like that and you have 75% other places. Maybe instead of putting 5% more of your cash, maybe you put like 2 or 3% of your cash into Bitcoin as time goes on. Um and then you also lever up a little bit on the Bitcoin that you do have or the cash that you have. And that way you don't have to put all your cash into the market or like deplete completely. I also think it makes it much easier to take profits during the bull run if you have leverage trades versus like spot bitcoin. Now the cool thing is too these platforms allow you to trade stocks like you can trade Micron, you can trade Nvidia, you can trade um let's pull up some of the other stocks. Circle, Micro Strategy, Intel, Tesla, Palanteer, Hood, Google. um so many different equities that you can trade even McDonald's and you can use leverage on them. So if you want to trade some of these stocks you can do that as well and you can ride the AI revolution here but in my mind I think it does make sense to start allocating more heavily towards Bitcoin as we go further down. And I've talked about this before. I am allocating towards Bitcoin and I'm also buying I'm going long Bitcoin as we go further into the bare market. I feel like Bitcoin's never been less risky. To be clear, I I say that I do have a short position because I'm not I'm not too big a person to take out a short position on Bitcoin if the technicals kind of show it, right? Uh I talked about this this trade here where I went uh I closed my long position and opened up a short because we had come to the previous uh support line which often times in bare markets we find that line and actually get rejected by it. We also were at 70 on the RSI, which we had done that a handful of times and gotten rejected.

[00:07:59]Um, and I I just thought in general we were probably going to continue this bare market. So, I flipped the long into a short and went down. And that's kind of helped me along the way. It's it's a very small position for me. But, uh, yeah, it is nice to have that mental flexibility to be willing to do that.

[00:08:15]One of the first times I've shorted the market though, cuz I don't typically like shorting Bitcoin. Um, that with that in mind though, this is a trading account. This is not like a long-term uh account, right? So, I think Bitcoin's never been less risky than it is right now. When you think about who owns Bitcoin, we have a lot of institutions.

[00:08:34]We have a lot of big money. We have uh countries that own it.

[00:08:39]The US president is very pro Bitcoin.

[00:08:41]It's interwoven into a lot of financial apps. And I think in general, um it's less risky than it's ever been before.

[00:08:49]And from a price standpoint, I think it's also still less risky than the top of the bull market, right? Like the chance that we see a 50% down move versus a 50% up move. I think we're actually headed towards a 50% up move rather than a 50% down. Even though I think we're going to sweep the lows, I personally don't think we're getting down to $37,000 Bitcoin. I would be more likely to think we're going up to 110,000 next. So on 2x leverage that means that you get a thumbs up [laughter] like that you get liquidated at 50% down and you double your position at 50% up. So that's where I start thinking like okay if we sweep lows if we go down to 60,000 it gets very very attractive to open up long positions on Bitcoin even if we don't know where the exact bottom is. Um no one's paying attention. Black Rockck made an article almost four years ago pushing Bitcoin and Bitcoin leverage. I think they're going to do the same thing where they're going to start talking about it a lot more often, especially after they think it's bottomed. I think a lot more people are willing to buy Bitcoin as well or to get back into Bitcoin when it's typically the bottom of the bull market or the bottom of the bare market. Um, it's never been less risky. So, like the chance of it falling down drastically is uh lower than ever. And this is a great time to practice. You can grow your accounts with stock trading. Uh, in the meantime, I if you don't want to trade Bitcoin or if you're like, hey, Bitcoin typically goes down, I'll short it. More power to you. I guess you can always add more margin as well. So, you can just increase your margin position. So, if you're long, let's say Bitcoin, and you think, okay, maybe we'll sweep the lows, but we're not going to go down um, you know, $25,000. Maybe that's where I kind of think the bottom is. You could use 3x leverage, which you just go over here, hit isolated, and then uh split, and then yeah, 3x leverage, put in however much you want, but your limit price, or just market price, and that would mean that your liquidation point would be right under 50,000 based on Bitcoin being under 74,000 right now. So, if we got down to 50,000, which is kind of where I think we could bottom, that makes a lot of sense to me. Um, we get a little bit close, you could always add a little bit more margin. and let's say you had a $300 position at $30 of margin, $50 margin, and it would lower your liquidation point as well. Or you could let it liquidate and then just open another position that would have a much lower liquidation price at that point. Um that that's kind of how I'm approaching it. So, it's an interesting time. Um this is a very easy way to force yourself to take profits during the bull run because you don't want to hold on to a leverage position for, you know, eight years or something like that. Um, now I think is a good time to be looking at this because Bitcoin is diverging so much from all other assets, all other risk on assets. Um, and we are getting to the point where we typically bottom and unlike previous bare markets, we actually can trade other things on these leverage exchanges with USDT. We also just got a piece of news from uh the CFTC that commission staff confirms the categor categoriz categorization of certain crypto assets as perpetuals as foreign futures and issues no action letter regarding FCM transfers of customer crypto assets to foreign brokers as margin. So they're embracing perpetual futures which makes it much easier in the future possibly to trade levered futures. So, I think that could bring in a lot more money as well. Let me know your thoughts on all this underneath the video. I really do appreciate it. Thank you so much. If you want to check out the links to Yubit or Bidfi underneath the video, you can. Uh there's also a link to BTCC. Thank you, and I'll see you in the next one. Just a reminder, this is not financial advice.

[00:12:29]This is not legal advice. Do your own research. I'm never going to reach out to you either in the comment section or through any other means to try to get you to invest in something that I'm investing in or to send me crypto. Some links underneath the video are affiliate links. I may earn a commission, but this is at no extra cost to you. Of course, do your own due diligence.